I am a value investor with a bent for quantitative analysis. I got my start as floor clerk as the CBOE. While I have moved on to other professional endeavors, I have retained my passion for markets. I became a SeekingAlpha contributor because the user and contributor bases are host to an immense diversity of opinions and talent sets. Axioms to live by: * "GAAP is crap". - Me * "CAPM? More like CRAP-M!" * "The Crapital Asset Pricing Novel" - Me * "Post-Mortem Portfolio Theory " - Me * "The WACC is whack! " (another knock on Modern Portfolio Theory) - Me * "You have to understand the fundamentals first" - Aleks Chechkin * "You want to know about charts? All ships at the bottom of the ocean had charts; look where that got 'em!" - Bill McMahon * "If you spend more than 13 minutes analyzing economic and market forecasts, you've wasted 10 minutes." - Peter Lynch * "The market can remain irrational for longer than you can remain solvent" - Keynes * "The time to buy is when blood is in the streets" - Baron Rothschild * "There is no such thing as a bad investment; just a bad price" * "The solution for high (low) prices is high (low) prices" * “You can’t compensate for risk by using a high discount rate.” - Warren Buffet, quoted at a 1998 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting * "It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong" - Warren Buffett * "There are two kinds of businesses: The first earns 12 percent, and you can take it out at the end of the year. The second earns 12 percent, but all the excess cash must be reinvested - there's never any cash. It reminds me of the guy who looks at all of his equipment and says, 'There's all of my profit.' We hate that kind of business." - Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway 2013 Annual Meeting * "You can observe a lot by just watching." - Yogi Berra
A full time investor focusing on long-term value and income stocks. Energy, Tech and Pharma excite me and a small portion of my portfolio is dedicated to opportunistic trading situations. When not trading, I am outdoors playing football or watching the love of my life: Arsenal Football Club.
I joined Seeking Alpha as a Senior Editor in 2012 and currently manage the Energy vertical. I've spent the last 18 years working in publishing, and my experience includes editing scientific/medical journals, personal finance magazines, and several investment websites.
Here at Seeking Alpha we're always looking for new ideas and new authors, so please contact me if you're interested in contributing.
Based in Omaha, I am a professional real estate developer with 25 years of industry experience. Real estate analysis typically centers upon returns on capital and earnings yields and I tend to look at investments through a similar lens. My articles usually incorporate discounted cash flow analysis. I have completed the Ben Graham Value Investment program at the Ivey College of Business, London, Ontario. Arsenal FC supporter. www.AlchemyDevelopment.com, www.RobertHancockCo.com
The website Oilprice.com offers free information and analysis on energy and Commodities. The site has sections devoted to Fossil Fuels, Alternative Energy, Metals, Economics and Geopolitics.
To find out more visit our website at: http://www.oilprice.com
Business owner for over 35 years now working less and investing more. Our company has grown from $1M in sales to $25M in that time. I have recently sold my shares as part of an exit strategy. My philosophy for success in life and business is based on creativity. As Albert Einstein once said, "Insanity: doing the same thing every day and expecting a different result."
Elephant Analytics has an Bachelor of Business Administration degree with a concentration in marketing and finance, and 13 years of experience as an analyst. Elephant Analytics originally focused on marketing and sales analysis due to geographical and lifestyle considerations, but rekindled his interest in finance and investing several years ago and became a contributor to Seeking Alpha in 2013. He has a particular interest in attempting to understand distressed companies and distressed industries.
Elephant Analytics has unique skills in the areas of numerical analysis and applied mathematics. Elephant Analytics achieved a top 50 score on the Bloomberg Aptitude Test (out of nearly 200,000 test takers) which measures financial aptitude. Elephant Analytics also has achieved a score (153) in the 99.98th percentile on the WAIS-III IQ test and has also been involved in multiple teams that have won awards during business and strategy competitions involving numerical analysis. In one such competition, he captained his team to become North American champions, ahead of MBA and undergraduate teams from universities such as Harvard, Yale and Northwestern.
Legal Disclaimer: Elephant Analytics' reports, premium research service and other writings are personal opinions only and should not be considered as investment advice. Only registered investment advisors can provide personalized investment advice. While Elephant Analytics attempts to provide reports that include accurate facts, investors should do their own diligence and fact checking prior to making their own decisions.
Andy Hecht is a sought-after commodity and futures trader, an options expert and analyst. He spent nearly 35 years on Wall Street, including two decades on the trading desk of Phillip Brothers, which became Salomon Brothers and ultimately part of Citigroup.
Over the past two decades, he has researched, structured and executed some of the largest trades ever made, involving massive quantities of precious metals and bulk commodities.
Andy understands the market in a way many traders can’t imagine. He’s booked vessels, armored cars, and trains to transport and store a broad range of commodities. And he’s worked directly with The United Nations and the legendary trading group Phibro.
Today, Andy remains in close contact with sources around the world and his network of traders.
“I have a vast Rolodex of information in my head… so many bull and bear markets. When something happens, I don’t have to think. I just react. History does tend to repeat itself over and over.”
His friends and mentors include highly regarded energy and precious metals traders, supply line specialists and international shipping companies that give him vast insight into the market.
Andy’s writing and analysis are on many market-based websites including CQG. Andy lectures at colleges and Universities. He also contributes to Traders Magazine. He consults for companies involved in producing and consuming commodities. Andy's biweekly radio show, The Commodities Hour with Andy Hecht, can be heard on Tuesdays and Thursdays from 5-6 PM EST on www.tfnn.com. Andy’s first book How to Make Money with Commodities, published by McGraw-Hill was released in 2013 and has received excellent reviews. Andy held a Series 3 and Series 30 license from the National Futures Association and a collaborator and strategist with hedge funds. Andy is the commodity expert for the website about.com and blogs on his own site technomentals.com.
I have more than 10 years experience investing in commodities and hard assets such as gold and silver miners, exploration companies, oil and gas producers, MLPs, and various other sectors.
As I'm a long-term investor, I'll highlight some stockpicks which will have a 5-7 year investment horizon. As I strongly believe a portfolio should consist of a mixture of dividend-paying stocks and growth stocks, my articles will reflect my thoughts on this mixture.
I am a high school teacher for a decade.
Before that I was an analyst (operations and financial) and for a short time a Controller
I have a B.S. with an emphasis in Accounting and an MBA (for which I studied Finance, Economics, and Management)
I passed the CPA exam on the first try and am a retired CPA in the state of Maryland.
I have a high school teaching credential and an MA in Math Education
Palisade Radio features guests such as Rick Rule, Marc Faber, Doug Casey, Jim Rogers, and Eric Sprott to comment on the world economy, political events, and natural resource sectors.
Palisade Research is a leading research platform focused on producing in depth analysis and delivering actionable insights on the mining sector, precious metals, and general equities. With thousands of active monthly users, Palisade Research is one of the leading destinations for precious metals investors and speculators. Our weekly charts are hosted on many leading sites, including Seeking Alpha, Bloomberg, Kitco, 321Gold, and more.
Whether it is through publications, websites, social media, or just positive reviews from friends or colleagues, a growing number of people from around the world are discovering the excellent content that Palisade Research has to offer. Be sure to check out some of our other leading platforms including PalisadeRadio.com, PalisadeCommodityChart.com, and PalisadeCapitalCorp.com.
I focus on investments in the oil & gas & MLP sectors with an eye for dividend income growth and long-term capital appreciation. I typically allocate a portion of my own portfolio and devote some of my Seeking Alpha articles to small and medium sized companies offering compelling risk/reward propositions. I am an engineer, not a qualified investment advisor. While the information and data presented in my articles are obtained from company documents and/or sources believed to be reliable, they have not been independently verified. Therefore, I cannot guarantee its accuracy. I advise investors conduct their own research and/or consult a qualified investment advisor. I explicitly disclaim any liability that may arise from investment decisions you make based on my articles. Thanks for reading and I wish you much success with your investments.
BTU Analytics provides independent fundamentals-based consulting and analytical reports to the North American oil, NGL, and natural gas markets. We utilize our in-depth understanding of North American energy data to help clients better navigate the market and determine opportunities and risks in the upstream, midstream, and downstream sectors in the face of ever-evolving market conditions.
I am a lawyer and assistant professor living in New York. My work focuses on the intersection of energy policy and the economic feasibility of energy pathways. In addition to Seeking Alpha, my articles on renewable energy have been published by media sites including US News & World Report, Newsweek, The Huffington Post, and IFL Science. From a financial perspective I cover a variety of energy companies ranging from renewable energy to fossil fuels. While I discuss legal issues relating to these companies on occasion, my articles do not provide legal advice and nothing that I write on Seeking Alpha should be considered as such.
Writer/investor focused on emerging markets, precious metals and natural resources. I founded the CEO.ca blog in 2012 and joined geologist Lawrence Roulston, editor of Resource Opportunities, a subscriber supported mining investment newsletter in 2014.
Engineer by trade and passion. Have worked internationally for over three decades, running my own business. I hold a PhD in engineering, but honestly believe that the school of hard knocks has taught me lessons that are more applicable to my writing here on Seeking Alpha. My investing interests mostly concern the resource sector, with a focus on precious metals, base metals and energy stocks of all sizes. My research explicitly includes small- and micro-cap juniors, and I try to manage the associated risks in a methodical manner.
Jennifer's areas of expertise include energy trends —their economic and geopolitical implications—and resource sustainability issues. Other interests include shale oil and natural gas, climate change, green and efficient infrastructure, China, India, and the energy-water nexus.
Her work has been published in various academic, policy and business publications such as Far Eastern Economic Review, Economist Intelligence Unit’s Executive Briefing, Journal of Structured Finance, Lloyd's List, D CEO, Energy Trends Insider, Financial Sense, and many others. She has been interviewed for numerous radio broadcasts and news stories, and presented her work at various conferences. From Dec 2010 to April 2013, she was the CEO/President of a global affairs organization focused on cutting edge trends. She organized and moderated panels on global gas, energy security, energy infrastructure finance, and urban development.
She has a master's degree from London School of Economics, and bachelor's in finance/marketing. She is principal of Concept Elemental, a strategic communications consultancy focusing on knowledge work, and includes over fifteen years of financial services industry work. She works with a top University, "translating" cutting edge research as well.
HFI Research is a research firm that specializes in non-consensus investment analysis. We take the ideology of variant perception very seriously and believe that the only way to obtain a real edge in the market is to possess a variant perception investment thesis. We share our variant perception investment analysis with premium subscribers through 5 weekly reports: HFI Portfolio Weekly Update, Natural Gas Weekly Outlook, Oil Markets Weekly Outlook, Weekly Rant (investment topics), Big Picture Outlook. In addition to the weekly reports, we've recently launched a "Premium Daily" talking about the various observations in the hectic markets along with areas where we see opportunities.
If you enjoy our public articles, you will enjoy our premium service.
Our TipRank profile: https://www.tipranks.com/bloggers/hfi
My background includes education in petroleum engineering and business and 15 years working with producers, midstream operators and utilities to bring oil and gas from the reservoir to the consumer. I understand in detail the full life cycle and value chain of oil, gas, and NGLs, from the physics of permeability and extraction to the economics of refinery turnarounds and utility load profiles. I am interested in bringing focused, in-depth understanding to issues related to oil and gas investing. Industry expertise and a true understanding of how oil and gas is discovered, produced, processed, transported, marketed and consumed are vital to valuing investment opportunities in the fossil energy space.
Led by MIT engineers and Wall Street analysts, Trefis.com helps you understand how a company's products, that you touch, read, or hear about everyday, impact its stock price.
Surprisingly, the founders of Trefis discovered that along with most other people they just did not understand even the seemingly familiar companies around them: Apple, Google, Coca Cola, Walmart, GE, Ford, Gap, and others.
This might include you though you may have invested money in these companies, or may have been working with one of them for years as an employee, or have consulted with them as an expert for a long time.
Consider these questions:
•What % of Apple's stock price is iPhones? (Q: Is it 5%, 25%, or 50%?)
•What % of Dell's stock price is Dell Notebooks?
•If Bing took half the market share from Google Search, what % upside could there be for Microsoft’s stock?
On Trefis you will get answers to questions like above.
You can play with assumptions, or try scenarios, as-well-as ask questions to other users and experts. The platform uses extensive data to show in a single snapshot what drives the value of a company's business.
Trefis makes the same content, data, and tools that are currently available only to professional investors today, accessible to everyone. Importantly, it makes the extensive data/tools easy to use and understand, allowing investors to leverage the platform in their decision making much more efficiently than anything else available.
Trefis is currently used by hundreds of thousands of investors, company employees, and business professionals.
25 years in energy M&A/Corporate Finance business career. Senior officer for public E&P companies, including MLP, charged with overseeing (at different times) accounting, tax, legal, investment banking/analyst relations, investor relations, as well as business unit with land, engineering, geological and support functions. Used legal background to interface with and direct outside investment bankers, law firms and accounting firms in M&A transactions and offerings. Personal investments and trading 15 years.
Williams Equity Research analyzes trading strategy, individual stocks, asset classes, market sectors, and risk to reward parameters in order to provide valuable insight to the Seeking Alpha community.
The author has over 10 years of experience in the financial markets working in areas of equities trading, complex product analysis, and risk management, as well as a graduate level education in the areas of petroleum engineering (full), law (partial), and finance (MBA, partial).
I'm a CFA Charterholder and hold an MBA in Finance.
I spend a large amount of my free time analyzing and investing in energy companies of varying size. I'm currently covering oil and gas producers in the Permian Basin and the Eagle Ford. I try to provide quarterly coverage for several companies. I also look at oil and gas producers globally, in search of strong value plays. Anytime I find one, I write about it.
I will do my absolute best to provide quality research for you to consider in your investment decisions. However, I suggest you consult with your financial advisor prior to taking any action after reading an article, comment, private chat, or any other communication that I wrote. I urge you do your own research and draw your own conclusions prior to taking any action. My articles or comments are your starting point for your research. After you enter a trade, you are on your own to enter, exit, or take no action on the trade. I am not liable for actions you take after reading something that I wrote.
“When you are inspired by some great purpose, some extraordinary project, all your thoughts break their bonds: Your mind transcends limitations, your consciousness expands in every direction, and you find yourself in a new, great and wonderful world. Dormant forces, faculties and talents become alive, and you discover yourself to be a greater person by far than you ever dreamed yourself to be.” (Author - Patanjali)
“Tentative efforts lead to tentative outcomes. Therefore, give yourself fully to your endeavors. Decide to construct your character through excellent actions and determine to pay the price of a worthy goal. The trials you encounter will introduce you to your strengths. Remain steadfast...and one day you will build something that endures: something worthy of your potential.” (Author - Epictetus)
"Hope sees the invisible, feels the intangible, and achieves the impossible." (Author - Unknown)
"When I stand before God at the end of my life, I would hope that I would not have a single bit of talent left, and could say, 'I used everything you gave me." (Author - Erma Bombeck)
Contributing columnist for Real Money and TheStreet.com. BA in History from Bemidji State in Minnesota. I went on to learn Chinese at National Taiwan University in Taipei.
I worked in mortgage sales at Countrywide and Bank of America until 2010 when I decided to relocate to Taiwan.
I am a start-up entrepreneur whose primary interest is in internet and technology stocks. I tend to hold positions in only a few stocks and hold on to them for some time. As Warren Buffet said "I am a better investor because I am a businessman and I am a better businessman because I am an investor"
I am a reformed and recovering management consultant who, through multiple client engagements, applies deep exposure to the upstream and midstream oil and gas industry to create a picture of where these businesses will be in the next two years. With a background in both engineering and finance, I approach investing through a quantitative value approach for the medium and long term horizon.
The investment return profile looks to generate anywhere between 25 and 250 percent within a 12 to 36 month window and minimizes risk by focusing on businesses whose equity is liquid, and are large enough to allow a significant placement of investment assets (generally businesses with total enterprise values in excess of $250mm). The key elements of my investment style are:
1. Is there even the slightest chance the company is going bankrupt? If not, I just stop. I want stuff I can hang on to for long periods without significant risk.
2. Are the managers real artisans in their fields or have they fallen prey to the two most common corporate diseases: (a) their professional management activities are more important that the growth of the company or (b) their skills as financial engineers building masterpieces of leverage are more interesting to them than running a boring business. If not, I just stop. I want people running my investment that I can trust. Included in this category is skin in the game… they better own some measurable percentage of the business so that their own personal fortunes are tied up in it.
3. Is the business they are in one I could explain in under 30 minutes to my 10 year old son? For example, they suck natural gas out of the ground and sell it to whomever will give them the most for it. If not, I just stop. I want stuff I can understand without twisting my brain into a pretzel.
4. Do they build and/or sell stuff that during times of economic recession are truly discretionary items? If they are, I just stop. I want stuff that makes/sells things people need rain or shine.
Fundamentally, I believe self-directed investors can use their own experience and powers of understanding to make exceptional investments on their own, without turning to the professional investment advisory community... and obtain a much better return profile on their assets in the process. I like discovering value, whether because of cyclical down-on-hard-luck stories or secular growth stories and highlighting why I believe they are so.
Patience, low investment position turnover, true understanding of real value of a business, and the power of geometric compounding are the things for which I strive.