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jroliver77

jroliver77
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  • Linn Energy (LINE) -5.1% premarket after a weekend Barron's article warns of a sharp drop if the dividend gets cut. LINE's 7.5% dividend yield has supported the company's high unit price even as its fundamentals have faded; in Q1, LINE failed to produce enough cash to cover its distribution, even by its generous measure of distributable cash flow. LNCO -6.8% premarket. [View news story]
    I am also a buyer here, LINE, LNCO
    May 6 10:08 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • This High-Growth Company Is A Good Addition To Any Portfolio [View article]
    I may just wait until after the ex-date, of course will track everyday but may be excellent entry price that will give me the cushion to stay in for long haul.
    Apr 22 09:50 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bank Of Japan Vows To Purchase Assets - Next Year [View article]
    Also understand 2014 is the new policy the current policy is still in place and its already at heavy easing levels. The BOJ notes state that the current policy actions will continue to be acted upon and then increased in two years. Can trade this if you would like but mid to lt this is solid position. Logical thought you think just long usdjpy rather than japan equities??
    Jan 24 12:37 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Yum Brands (YUM) warns on China, expecting same-store sales there to be off 6% in Q4 vs. an earlier forecast of -4% thanks to the effect on KFC sales in late December from the poultry contamination issue. The company continues to expect full-year EPS of $3.24. Shares -3% AH. [View news story]
    I think it will take a few qtrs but long run w good mgt it will be in the past. We can also see how other sectors can drive up sales and keep their numbers in line. Ill add to existing positions at 61-63 area.
    Jan 8 12:53 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Leveraged Dividend ETFs: Too Good To Be True? [View article]
    What would you say about the chances of this getting off track with considerable declines and if holding these for long periods of time is similar to holding a leveraged etf like sds for example, any thoughts?? Long MLPL
    Dec 12 06:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What The Yield? Beware The Temptations Of Emerging Markets Debt [View article]
    So am I, also tgtrx. The total return view of tpinx. Great manager.
    Dec 12 02:17 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • What The Yield? Beware The Temptations Of Emerging Markets Debt [View article]
    Looking at PCY maybe that is where i should have been, higher yld slightly better performance, I am noticing the maturity is more inter-long where as EMB is generally short to Inter

    Upon further research ELD is looking to add momentum as EMB slows, Yuan boost over last few weks is directly correlated with this price action.
    Dec 12 12:00 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What The Yield? Beware The Temptations Of Emerging Markets Debt [View article]
    Any thoughts on at least for int time frame swapping into eem currency ELD from EMB, been well over 10% outperformance over last 2 years and eem currency sure has not been trending up example CEW. Looking at holding avg credit rating you have stronger credit make up in in ELD as well. May get a 5%+ return in appreciation over next year.

    I use many of these ETF's and also like TEI, terrific manager and its just as much a currency fund as it is a EMBond fund.
    Dec 11 11:51 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • John Hussman: Overlooking Overvaluation [View article]
    This is a better representation of his return, he has not been growth oriented ever since I have followed him but the strategic fund is solid considering the risk reward, standard dev 6.5, compared to Vanguard balance index, of 12.5.

    YTD 1 Mo 1 Yr 3 Yr * 5 Yr * 10 Yr *

    Fund 1.56 -0.18 0.98 3.59 5.08 6.97
    Van Balance 4.2 6.7

    Even with these numbers you would think he and other larger hedge fund's would subject some capital to an idea not entirely driven by their ultimate macro view. There are always opportunities and windows of opportunity that maybe could have boosted this return an extra 2% or more. If you use this fund or plan on it you just have to understand what it is and what to expect and maybe even consider it an alternative to your bonds if you want something that will not be static fixed income in the next 2-5 yrs as bonds may become increasingly out of favor. The average retail investor and prob half of adviser clients prob didn't make 5% over the last 5 years, many missed majority or all of 2009 and 2010 bounce back years.

    Aside from return I always keep track on what John is saying keeps me level headed and gives me perspective on valuation in overall market terms.
    Nov 30 12:30 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • John Hussman: Overlooking Overvaluation [View article]
    This will help

    http://bit.ly/11711WK
    Nov 27 03:58 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Utility Sector On Discount Plus One For The Radar [View article]
    I also like this boring sectors but to get our goal rate of return we have to add either leverage, risk. I would consider using etf or CEF. XLU will do for the mean reversion trade along with its 4.2% yld, I prefer JXI although volume isn't ideal gives me just over 50% US roughly 30% Europe which gives it the ability to get much larger gains with depressed stocks in that zone. I'd take good look now because as the utilities just did JXI also was way over sold. I am long JXI. Another idea is PDT closed end fund gives some leverage to a stable sector that is now on sale. It is 75% Utilities and also has some preferred stock exposure. Yields about 7%. I am long PDT.
    Nov 23 01:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Utility Sector On Discount Plus One For The Radar [View article]
    A solid alternative/addition $JXI- global Utility
    Nov 20 12:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Starbucks (SBUX -1.8%) plans to continue selling coffee at premium prices despite wholesale input costs that have dropped off dramatically over the last year. Edward Jones analyst Jack Russo says the power of the Starbucks brand is elevated enough that consumers will pay up, although he warns $5 for a cup of joe might be the level where the company finally sees a bit of pushback. [View news story]
    They don't sell $5 dollar cups of Joe so that shouldn't be a problem, Medium coffee is 2-2.10 Large is around 2.70-2.8

    Latte is entirely different and a consumer knows this when they buy one from any of the major coffee brands there is no major price diff when it comes to specialty drinks, from MCD to CBOU
    Nov 8 02:52 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Safest Way To Invest In 'The Cloud' And Earn 5% Yields [View article]
    Yeah i agree with that and like I said if you want Cloud growth go elsewhere but the growth of the overall industry gives you security of your assets. The are providing centers to cloud providers, here is the blurb on RAX,

    "Our ability to deliver secure, reliable and cost effective data center solutions globally is a significant benefit to customers, such as Rackspace, which is an existing customer of ours in the U.S. (They just opened another space in Australia for them)

    Yeah with it being REIT it must pay out 90% of its profits
    Nov 8 12:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Safest Way To Invest In 'The Cloud' And Earn 5% Yields [View article]
    Love, especially here, technically seeing a reverse in trend would be nice but started buying between 60-61. I agree with you although you may want cloud exposure within the growth spectrum elsewhere this is just solid investment with the leader in a massively growing industry. Investment is diversified globally and backed by real estate in a high growth industry that will continue to create opportunities for them. Add 5% yield and you've created a non correlated position for your portfolio that pays.

    Listened to last CC and mainly the analyst were concerned with the end of the year qtr which the CEO was confident they would hit their target range which was near the bottom end of analyst expectations. He expressed high demand but also noted some companies waiting a bit causing drag on what they expected.

    Be patient scale in but don't hesitate too much on this opportunity.
    Nov 8 01:22 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
70 Comments
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