Perhaps more than any other time in the last six decades, the fate of markets is inextricably intertwined with the ebb and flow of geopolitics. From the ECB's attempts to use the central bank's balance sheet to influence political outcomes across the eurozone to Saudi Arabia's efforts to transform the kingdom's influence over crude prices into an instrument of foreign policy, it's become increasingly clear that one simply cannot fully comprehend market movements without a thorough understanding of concurrent political outcomes. Drawing on extensive experience in both politics and finance, Heisenberg will help demystify a world in which investors can no longer hope to conceptualize markets as existing in anything that even approximates a vacuum. "I am the one who knocks."
I have a degree in Math and Science from the University of Toronto, as well as a degree in education, also from U of T.
I have traded private equity for 38 years and have developed a proprietary Price Modelling System which has provided me with consistent profitable trading success.
In partnership with my computer scientist son, Aidan Gomez, we have automated this model using neural networks, and offer a Trade Alert service that lets subscribers replicate the trades we are involved in.
Harry S. Dent Jr. studied economics in college in the 1970s, receiving his MBA from Harvard Business School, where he was a Baker Scholar and was elected to the Century Club for leadership excellence. Harry grew to find the study of economics vague and inconclusive and became so disillusioned by the state of his chosen profession that he turned his back on it. Instead, he threw himself into the burgeoning new science of finance which married economic research and market research. Identifying and studying demographic trends, business cycles, consumers’ purchasing power and many other trends empowered Harry to forecast economic and market changes.
The core of his work the “Dent Method” (forecasting long-term economic trends based on the study of and changes in demographic trends) was developed by Harry in the late 1980s.
Since then, he’s spoken to executives, financial advisors and investors around the world. He’s appeared on “Good Morning America,” PBS, CNBC and CNN/Fox News. He’s been featured in Barron’s, Investor’s Business Daily, Entrepreneur, Fortune, Success, U.S. News and World Report, Business Week, The Wall Street Journal, American Demographics and Omni. He is a regular guest on Fox Business’s “America’s Nightly Scorecard.”
A best-selling author, Harry has written numerous successful books over the years, including The Demographic Cliff – How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation of 2014–2019, which details why we’re facing a “great deflation” after five years of stimulus — and what to do about it now. Most recently, Harry published The Sale of a Lifetime: How the Great Bubble Burst of 2017 Can Make You Rich, looking at the upcoming economic crisis and revealing how it could be the single greatest chance to build wealth we’ll ever see, and how we can capitalize on such a unique and historical opportunity.
Allan Harris is an outspoken advocate for technical analysis via pattern recognition as the only effective methodology for making money trading the stock market. Allan has been involved in the markets for 40 years, starting as an options trader while attending law school in the late 1970's and ultimately becoming a professional trader after retiring from the practice of law in 1994. A prolific contributor to various stock market forums, including the Gilder Technology Forum in the 1990's, he started his own free stock market blog in 2004 that later evolved into AllanTrends.com, a subscription based trading service based upon a proprietary trend identification algorithm. Using a novel staggered profit taking strategy his service trades intermediate and short term trends in a basket of stocks and ETF's with outstanding trending characteristics.
MetalMiner currently ranks as the largest metals publication in the United States according to third party ranking sites. Geared toward industrial metal procurement professionals, MetalMiner has attracted a wide audience in the finance community as well as a global following. MetalMiner principals have appeared on FoxBusiness.com, MSNBC, NPR Marketplace, BBC Radio among others. The team has also received coverage in The Christian Science Monitor, Forbes, American Metal Market, American Iron and Steel Institute, Automotive Industry Action Guide, among many others. The team's principals have extensive global metals sourcing and trading experience having worked for consulting powerhouses Andersen and Deloitte Consulting and leading trading companies such as Stemcor and Glencore. Updated 14 times a week, MetalMiner continues to grow and attract an audience everywhere.
Topdown Charts is a chart-driven macro research house covering global asset allocation and economics. The flagship institutional offering is the Weekly Macro Themes - a vital source of macro insights and multi-asset investment ideas for portfolio managers. Message us or visit the website to receive a trial subscription.
Andy Hecht is a sought-after commodity and futures trader, an options expert and analyst. He spent nearly 35 years on Wall Street, including two decades on the trading desk of Phillip Brothers, which became Salomon Brothers and ultimately part of Citigroup.
Over the past two decades, he has researched, structured and executed some of the largest trades ever made, involving massive quantities of precious metals and bulk commodities.
Andy understands the market in a way many traders can’t imagine. He’s booked vessels, armored cars, and trains to transport and store a broad range of commodities. And he’s worked directly with The United Nations and the legendary trading group Phibro.
Today, Andy remains in close contact with sources around the world and his network of traders.
“I have a vast Rolodex of information in my head… so many bull and bear markets. When something happens, I don’t have to think. I just react. History does tend to repeat itself over and over.”
His friends and mentors include highly regarded energy and precious metals traders, supply line specialists and international shipping companies that give him vast insight into the market.
Andy’s writing and analysis are on many market-based websites including CQG. Andy lectures at colleges and Universities. He also contributes to Traders Magazine. He consults for companies involved in producing and consuming commodities. Andy's biweekly radio show, The Commodities Hour with Andy Hecht, can be heard on Tuesdays and Thursdays from 5-6 PM EST on www.tfnn.com. Andy’s first book How to Make Money with Commodities, published by McGraw-Hill was released in 2013 and has received excellent reviews. Andy held a Series 3 and Series 30 license from the National Futures Association and a collaborator and strategist with hedge funds. Andy is the commodity expert for the website about.com and blogs on his own site technomentals.com.
Orbex is a global award-winning online forex broker, fully licensed and regulated, specializing in the provision of access to the world’s biggest and most liquid financial markets. Orbex has a rich experience of ensuring superior customer service. Traders enjoy 24/5 Multilanguage support, outstanding trading conditions and personal assistance.
Since its founding in 2009, Orbex has been focusing on quality of its services and technological advancement. We were among the first in implementing of innovative trader’s dashboard, live chat, and automated trading solutions. As a part of our Customer support program, we provide enhanced security of clients’ funds and high professionalism in confidential finance matters.
Orbex understands the value of rapid decisions on fast-paced financial markets, therefore, we ensure sharp execution, sound market analysis, and profound trading education.
For our business partners, we have prepared a prime Forex IB Program, including personal business consultant, custom marketing campaigns, innovative affiliate dashboard, competitive commissions and leading reporting technology that allows having full control over your business.
Join Orbex and enjoy the new trading experience!
Acting Man has been named after the title of the first chapter of Ludwig von Mises' book "Human Action" - the best treatise on economics ever written. The blog's main author is Pater Tenebrarum, an independent analyst who has been involved with financial markets for 34 years and is writing economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy. Acting Man presents articles on the markets and the economy, a mixture of commentary on current events as well as economic theory and history, mainly from an Austrian School of Economics viewpoint. As more authors have joined the site, we have begun to broaden our palette a bit, but our orientation remains the same: pro-free market, anti-state, pro peace.
Daniel R. Amerman is a Chartered Financial Analyst, author, and speaker, with BSBA and MBA degrees in Finance, and over 30 years of professional financial experience. As an investment banking vice president in the 1980s he did groundbreaking work in the CMO/REMIC area as well as the creation of synthetic securities for institutional clients. As an independent quantitative analyst in the 1990s and early 2000s, he advised commercial real estate owners, investment banks, and issuers on mortgage-backed bond originations. He is the author of six books on finance, including two published by McGraw-Hill (and subsidiary).
Beginning in the early 1990s, Mr. Amerman became an outspoken critic of conventional retirement planning, arguing the accepted paradigm had multiple deep flaws that would lead to a profound long-term underperformance which would imperil both individual investors and pension funds. In the 20 years since that time, he has since developed a large body of work that concentrates on alternative strategies for long-term investors, more information is available at danielamerman.com.
Steven Jon Kaplan began TrueContrarian.com in August 1996 as a weekly blog and later expanded this to a daily newsletter with intraday updates in February 2006. Steve provides financial consulting which emphasizes long-term tax and investment planning. He has been trading his own account, and those of family and close friends, since 1981, and handles separately managed accounts for qualified clients. As a registered investment advisor, Steve charges a 20% performance fee on net profits and zero management fees. He has been quoted in Barron's, Market Watch, Dow Jones Newswires, Seeking Alpha, and Kitco. Steve has appeared on Market Watch cable TV with Stacey Delo and was interviewed by Alisa Parenti on Bloomberg. Since 2010, Danielle Kerani Oberdier has served as Steve's business associate.
Steve enjoys running with the New York Road Runners, composing and performing on piano and voice, writing stories, and traveling to unique places. He enjoys hearing from anyone about a wide range of topics, so please let him know what you think about the web site or whatever is on your mind. You can find his music at http://www.reverbnation.com/stevenjonkaplan .
*For Elazar's Research on SA hit "Follow." and click "Real-time alerts on this author" for real time.
*Trading needs a gameplan and discipline. Elazar has served clients in the $100mm-$10B asset range. See the market through a new simple perspective.
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Past performance can not predict future performance. Capital invested is capital at risk and especially when leverage is used large, some if not all of the principal can be lost. Please consult your financial advisor if such a service is right for you. The performance data shown includes back-tested past performance, which is not a guarantee of future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data cited. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations unlike actual performance records. Real time performance is in the process of being compiled in PRO TRADER on Seeking Alpha.
Lars Christensen is an internationally renowned Danish economist specialised in international economy, Emerging Markets and monetary policy. Lars has over 20 years’ experience in government and banking and is the founder and owner of Markets and Money Advisory and is a Senior Fellow at London’s Adam Smith Institute.He has a long experience as a speaking partner to multinational companies and financial institutions regarding global financial markets, the global economy and geopolitics. He is known for his no-nonsense, out-of-the-box views and as a lively and opinionated speaker.
Lars Christensen worked five years as an economic policy analyst at the Danish Ministry of Economic Affairs (1996-2001). He has a master degree in Economics from the University of Copenhagen (1994).
Lars is particularly known for having been Head of Emerging Markets Research at Danske Bank in Copenhagen. In this role he authored numerous path-breaking economic reports on particularly Central and Eastern Europe.
In 2006-8 Lars co-authored a number of reports warning of a coming economic meltdown in Central and Eastern Europe and maybe most famously Lars co-authored the report “Geyser Crisis” in 2006, which correctly forecasted a major economic and financial crisis in Iceland.
Lars Christensen is the author of the book “Milton Friedman – en pragmatisk revolutionær” (“Milton Friedman – a pragmatic revolutionary”) published in November 2002. He has contributed to numerous other books. Lars Christensen is internationally recognized as a specialist on the economic teachings of Milton Friedman and the history of monetary thought.
Lars also blogs at marketmonetarist.com. His blog The Market Monetarist has since it was started in 2011 become one of the leading international blogs on monetary policy. Lars has coined the name Market Monetarism. Market Monetarism is a new school of economic thought that has emerged primarily in the blogosphere. Market Monetarists like Lars advocate that central banks should target the nominal GDP level (NGDP level targeting).
Furthermore, Lars has a strong interest in monetary policy for commodity exporting countries and he is advocating that commodity exporting countries could benefit from introducing what he has termed an Export Price Norm (EPN), where the commodity exporting country is pegging its exchange rate to a basket of currencies and the price of the commodity the country exports. Lars has been advising governments of oil exporting countries on monetary matters.
Jason Hamlin is the founder of Gold Stock Bull and publishes a highly-rated investment newsletter focused on strategies for profiting in the bull markets in gold, silver, energy and agriculture. Mr. Hamlin has a background analyzing charts and trends for the world’s largest market research company, is versed in fundamental and technical analysis and has consulted to Fortune 500 companies around the globe. Jason is a cycles investor, student of Austrian economics and speaks regularly at investment conferences throughout North America. The Gold Stock Bull newsletter is focused on finding junior mining companies that are undervalued relative to their peers.
Hi, Welcome to my Seeking Alpha portfolio page. I'm a Global Market Risk Analyst and former currency risk management advisor with over 15 years experience in the financial services industry.
My writing focuses on the global markets and identifying risk associated with investing and doing business internationally.
The theme of my articles center around how global markets, companies, and investment flows are impacted by central banks, yields, geopolitical risks, and currency exchange rates.
As Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeff spearheads the investment research efforts while providing close contact to Alhambra’s client base.
Jeff joined Atlantic Capital Management, Inc., in Buffalo, NY, as an intern while completing studies at Canisius College. After graduating in 1996 with a Bachelor’s degree in Finance, Jeff took over the operations of that firm while adding to the portfolio management and stock research process.
In 2000, Jeff moved to West Palm Beach to join Tom Nolan with Atlantic Capital Management of Florida, Inc. During the early part of the 2000′s he began to develop the research capability that ACM is known for. As part of the portfolio management team, Jeff was an integral part in growing ACM and building the comprehensive research/management services, and then turning that investment research into outstanding investment performance.
As part of that research effort, Jeff authored and published numerous in-depth investment reports that ran contrary to established opinion. In the nearly year and a half run-up to the panic in 2008, Jeff analyzed and reported on the deteriorating state of the economy and markets. In early 2009, while conventional wisdom focused on near-perpetual gloom, his next series of reports provided insight into the formative ending process of the economic contraction and a comprehensive review of factors that were leading to the market’s resurrection.
In 2012, after the merger between ACM and Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeff came on board Alhambra as Head of Global Investment Research.
Currently, Jeff is published nationally at RealClearMarkets, ZeroHedge, Minyanville and Yahoo!Finance.
Jeff holds a FINRA Series 65 Investment Advisor License.
Matthew Bradbard serves as a Director at RCM Alternatives & Attain Portfolio Advisors. Matthew began his career in the commodities business as an advisor to clients on asset allocation and buy/sell decisions. Matthew has devised, implemented and executed trading strategies for several firms since entering the commodity business in 2001. Matthew has also managed his own global macro CTA that traded numerous futures and options strategies and operated his own Introducing Broker for 5 years. A prolific commentator, Matthew has published subject-specific articles, market commentaries, and Managed Futures educational pieces for the last decade. Matthew is frequently interviewed for his opinion on commodities and current events as they relate to commodities and their role in an investor’s portfolios.
The Mises Institute is the world’s largest, oldest, and most influential educational institution devoted to promoting Austrian economics, freedom, and peace in the tradition of classical liberalism.
Since 1982, the Mises Institute has provided both scholars and laymen with resources to broaden their understanding of the economic school of thought known as Austrian economics. This school is most closely associated with our namesake, economist Ludwig von Mises.
We are the worldwide epicenter of the Austrian movement.
Through their research in the fields of economics, history, philosophy, and political theory, Mises’s students F.A. Hayek, Henry Hazlitt, Murray Rothbard, and others carried the Austrian School into the late twentieth century. Today, Mises Institute scholars and researchers continue the important work of the Austrian School.
Austrian economics is a method of economic analysis, and is non-ideological. Nonetheless, the Austrian School has long been associated with libertarian and classical-liberal thought—promoting private property and freedom, while opposing war and aggression of all kinds. The Mises Institute continues to support research and education in this radical pro-freedom tradition of historians, philosophers, economists, and theorists such as Jean-Baptiste Say, Frédéric Bastiat, Richard Cobden, Herbert Spencer, Lysander Spooner, William Graham Sumner, Albert Jay Nock, Mises, Hayek, Hazlitt, Rothbard, and many others.
I am Khojinur Usmonov, a junior at CUNY Baruch College, majoring in Finance. I discovered my love for financial markets at the age of 15. When I was 15 years old, I started trading currencies. Over the past five years, I learned unlimited amount of knowledge about the macroeconomics. At the age of 17, I started to invest in stocks. Ever since then, I learned how to read companies’ financial statements and SEC filings. I actively trade currencies. From time to time, I trade stocks, options, and futures.
Today, I write articles about macroeconomics and investment ideas on my website, www.outofwacc.com. Founded in January 2015, my website significantly enhanced my way of thinking and my writing skills. I will continue to operate my website and share my passion with others.
"An investment in knowledge pays the best interest." - Benjamin Franklin ($100 Dollar Bill, of course).
Marc Chandler has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for 25 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. A prolific writer and speaker he appears regularly on CNBC and has spoken for the Foreign Policy Association. In addition to being quoted in the financial press daily, Chandler has been published in the Financial Times, Foreign Affairs, and the Washington Post. In 2009 Chandler was named a Business Visionary by Forbes.
Marc's commentary can be found at his blog (www.marctomarket.com) and twitter www.twitter.com/marcmakingsense
I'm an asset manager at Hebba Alternative Investments with a focus on real assets. In my articles I like to focus on events that affect the macro environment for assets (especially gold and silver), and also introduce readers to different metrics that I believe are under-utilized when assessing investments.
On a more personal note, I'm a firm believer that there can be honesty, morality, and integrity in finance (though its rare) and i'd like to believe that I stick to those principles. Thus I never "pump and dump" stocks, I always list the securities we own, and I take it very seriously when I recommend a company - I do not want to see any investors/readers lose money because of my recommendations.
I'm not always right with recommendations, but investors and readers can know that I always tell the truth (there is no deception) and I eat my own cooking as recommendations are either always owned OR the reason I dont own them is given (usually related to restrictions on stocks I can buy).
Advising people in financial matters is a serious issue and integrity is much more important than money to me, but I do believe both can co-exist. You live with money, but after your death you only have your morality and integrity and thus i've made my choice between the two. A bit philosophical for a bio, but I dont think there's a better way to give investors my background than that.
We offer investors a free weekly email list detailing gold, silver, and general economic markets which you can sign up for at: http://www.communitysynergy.com/subscribe/hebbainvestments_subscribe.html
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I participated in the creation of financial derivatives, beginning with the introduction of Eurodollar and Standard and Poors futures at the CME, and including the secondary market trading of OTC swaps. I have established and managed trading desks in these instruments and managed MHT Futures, Inc., one of the first bank subsidiaries to clear futures. Today I teach and write about the need for market-based innovation in these seriously flawed markets.
BA in economics from UConn. MBA in finance from Wharton. Worked as securities analyst and portfolio manager for an insurance company and a bank from 1960 through 1983. Retired at age of 53. Private investor from then until now. I am 86 years young. I like to write poetry and short stories. And, I am the Chief Inspector of Sunrises and Sunsets on Earth (self appointed).
My name is Colin Lloyd. I have been following the ebb and flow of financial markets for more than 30 years. I have worked for brokers and asset managers in commodities, money markets, capital markets, equities and foreign exchange.
My interests include, but are not confined too, geopolitics, central banking, energy policy, regulatory change, demographics, technology and capital flows.
About this news letter
I started writing this news letter to provide longer term macroeconomic commentary and guidance for financial market investors. I hope it will provide some new insights and provoke debate.
Author of Quantitative Investing, the Quantitative Risk & Value letter and the free Market Timing Signals. Often in the SeekingAlpha top 5 on Portfolio Strategy. Available model portfolios: market neutral, growth, closed-end funds, Vix trading. For more information, click "send message".
PhD, Software Engineer, Civil Engineer, 20+ years working in various sectors and countries. Also a lifelong rock climber and ex ski-mountaineering racer.
Adam has over twenty five years’ experience in capital markets and investment management, in a career that has involved proprietary trading desks, commodity trading advisors, sovereign wealth funds and private offices. During this time he has had trading book P&L responsibility, in addition to setting up and managing offices of regulated global financial entities in the UAE.