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Geoff,
Dec 07 17:16 pm
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All Comments by Jim Richmond »Safe Portfolio Withdrawal Rates: Beyond The 4% Solution [View article]
Another interesting read. Thanks! One thing you might have missed was that Guyton's ideas were tested with both historical results and with Monte Carlo Simulation. He published the results of the MCS tests in a 2006 paper.
For anyone interested, I built a free Monte Carlo retirement simulator that was inspired by Guyton's work. It lets you test out his idea of varying withdrawals to get a higher likelihood of retirement success at a higher overall withdrawal rate.
The URL for the planner is flexibleRetirementPlan...
(The further reading page has links to Guyton's papers and to some others)