Seeking Alpha

Toofuzzy

Toofuzzy
Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
View Toofuzzy's Comments BY TICKER:
Latest  |  Highest rated
  • The Time To Buy SVXY Is Now, And Maybe Again Later [View article]
    The vix is in backwardation instead of the typical contango. SVXY makes m8ney in contango.

    The normal condition is that futures are more expensive than spot. Because EVERYONE expects spot to pull back to 20 the futures are cheaper than spot now.

    As the vix pulls closer back to 20, the SVXY will improve as the backwardzation dissapears and contango takes hold again
    Aug 25, 2015. 04:12 PM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Significant Returns Possible With These Inverse Volatility ETFs [View article]
    Friday August 21 with the vix spike I bought $35 January 2017 SVXY CALLS

    I hope I am not too early to the party but will buy more if SVXY goes lower.
    Aug 23, 2015. 12:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • New SVXY Strategy [View instapost]
    Macro Investor

    Can you please fix the formular in the article

    R = ( F1/V , F2/F1 ) -1

    Should it be
    R = ( F1/ + F2/F1 ) -2

    So replacing comma with +
    And replacing -1 with -2 like you agreed to in prior post ?

    Also how often do you check to update, daily weekly, monthly, or is there a way of just looking at vix central visually daily because you would be able to see a necessary change on the chart, and the do the calculation.
    Aug 17, 2015. 12:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • New SVXY Strategy [View instapost]
    Wes

    You can NOT get put the VIX . The vix is only an index unlike uvxy, svxy, vxx, etc

    Toofuzzy
    Aug 17, 2015. 12:14 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Contango And Backwardation Strategy For Inverse VIX ETFs [View article]
    Thanks
    Aug 13, 2015. 11:31 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Contango And Backwardation Strategy For Inverse VIX ETFs [View article]
    The vix diped into backwardation today but then went back into contango. Was that enough if a signal to go long SVXY or do you want something more difinative?
    Aug 12, 2015. 05:23 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Money Managers Hate Me For This One Weird Trick... [View article]
    My point was to use new investments to stay on the glidepath and save the dividends to make up for any shortfall in the future. Also sell some stock in a really good year to use to make up a future shortfall when there is a market crash. At some point when the market drops 50% again $100,000 to $500,000 will need to be added to stay on track. It has to come from somewhere. Anyway an inforced way to buy low and sell high.
    Aug 10, 2015. 03:09 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Stock Market's Behavioral Correction Has Begun [View article]
    We seem to be waiting at least one more day for that market crash. And all the horid industries that have crashed already are the ones that are up the most.
    Aug 10, 2015. 02:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Money Managers Hate Me For This One Weird Trick... [View article]
    I gradually buy as a security I own goes down and sell gradually as it goes up but another way I thought of is to

    1) Decide how much you need each year to live and compound that for inflation at retirement age.

    2) Multiply that number by 20

    3) Figure out what you would need to save each year, compounded at 10% to achieve that goal.

    4) Figure out what the value of the account should be each year to stay on track.

    5) Do not reinvest dividends and put added cash in a savings account to the extent the stock account is ahead of schedule. In a year the market is down and the account behind schedule, take the accumulated cash to top off the stock account to the extent needed. If still behind schedule, try to save even more that year.

    6) At retirement, spend up to 4% of assets the first year.
    Aug 10, 2015. 02:37 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Money Managers Hate Me For This One Weird Trick... [View article]
    While you should have some diversification anyway, the risk of a market crash would have me have 5 years of what I need to live on in fixed income at retirement, if not more.

    But if this was stupidly your only investment, you would just sell a few shares every year to make up the income shortfall from the 2% dividend. Hopefully capital apreciation over time would make up for withdrawals.
    Aug 10, 2015. 02:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is The 'Sustainable Yield' Company A Sustainable REIT Brand? [View article]
    The lower interest rates are the more energy efficiency savings make sence, but unlike REITS that will be able to buy assets at lower prices as rates rise, wont HASI be totally dependent on the price of energy they are replacing? to spur additional growth.

    If I have a 10% energy savings at a 5% cost of capital, it makes sence, at 11% it doesnt.
    Aug 10, 2015. 02:07 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It's Not Rocket Science: STAG Is Now Grossly Mispriced [View article]
    Because I dont want te aggravation of dealing with deadbeat tenents who can do more damage to the property than the rent I can collect Iin a year.
    Jul 30, 2015. 09:25 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It's Not Rocket Science: STAG Is Now Grossly Mispriced [View article]
    Brad what is the relationship of FFO to CAP RATE? Can FFO ever be higher than CAP RATE?

    In the case of STAG and in general are aqisitions made with 30 year loans so there is no refinancing risk to higher interest rates or does STAG and ither REITS borrow money at 7 to 10 years or whatever.

    Is it better for shareholders, for REITS to buy properties borrowing now at low CAP RATES with cheap money, or to buy properties when inflation is high when I assume higher Cap Rates will be available with expensive borrowed money that can be refinanced at lower rates when rates drop?

    In the case of STAG are the new properties being bought at a higher Cap Rate that will increases earnings per share. How long can a company buy properties at higher Cap Rates and increase earnings per share? Isnt there a point at which you can grow the company bigger but you will not increases the earnings per share?

    Just trying to make sence of the finances of the Reit business model.
    Jul 29, 2015. 12:25 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Just Like Jon Snow, Alpha Is Not Dead [View article]
    Um that means you are making money! You can always take a bit of the cash and invest it in something else and be more diversified.
    Jul 21, 2015. 12:13 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Just Like Jon Snow, Alpha Is Not Dead [View article]
    I agree, own funds, specifically ETFs.

    I depart with you from there.

    I woud deside what you want to own and buy gradually if they go down, and sell graduall as they go up. You are never fully invested or never fully sold out.

    Google Automatic Investment Management and Robert Lichello or Tom Vealie.
    Jul 18, 2015. 01:10 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
188 Comments
111 Likes