Sometime investor, never short, usually ETFs, but sometimes individual equities. Native Californian as in born here, educated here, married here (to another native), raising family here. Staunch believer in the scientific method. Consider politics to be nothing more than the organizations of hatreds. Abhorred by the intrusion of politics into all facets of our lives, especially finance and investing. Especially unhappy at what thats done to my once beautiful state, but determined to see that reversed.
carefully investing but more often investigating; have had 6 decades of remembered losses in both public markets and private placements. Still a board member of a nonprofit and still holding shares in companies seeded long ago but not yet having reached their investor exits. Trying to be thoughtful about investments and enjoying the experience. Becoming less current all the time, likely finding me to be a doddering old fuddy duddy for anyone reading what I post here.
David Sims is the managing member of RidgeHaven Capital LLC. We prefer distressed equities and value investing. The firm was established to manage wealth with an eye on fundamental value, but also an understanding of technical trends and market behavior.
David is a Certified Public Accountant and previously worked as an auditor at a Big 4 accounting firm, SEC Reporting Analyst and financial systems administrator at a small private company.
Find the Sims On Finance Investing Podcast on iTunes, Tune In Radio, and Player FM radio.
Dr. Kris has two degrees from MIT because one just wasn't enough. Her life goal was to figure out the universe and having done that (at least to her satisfaction), she decided to tackle something even more difficult—the stock market.
Applying the scientific method along with an insatiably curious mind, she began trading stocks, futures, and options in order to find the holy grail to market success. She's discovered to her immense satisfaction that not only is there one way to succeed but many. Combining her love of cooking with the stock market, she's devised recipes for investment success designed to please the palate of most investors. Dr. Kris currently manages a private equity long/short portfolio and writes of her current research projects that appear on her website, StockMarketCookBook.com.
Her most exciting project is applying market timing models to Modern Portfolio Theory to not only give greater returns but at substantially lower levels of risk. (See PortfolioPreserver.com for further information.)
When will long-term investors have any cash to deploy? If you believe in their mantra, most of them think people should be nearly fully invested nearly all of the time - it is rare to have a long term Buy and Hold investor to keep 30% in cash for buying opportunities. How much of a loss are you willing to suffer waiting for a recovery? 10%, 20%, 30%? Do the numbers and see what kind of gain you will need to recoup to the break even point on several loss levels to get an idea of how long you may need to wait. For example a 30% loss requires a 43% gain to get back to the break even. A 20% loss takes a 25 % GAIN to get back to even.$100,000 - 20% = $80,000 . 80k X 25% = 20,000 +80k =100K There are few assets like PM's that are liquid and have NO counterparty risk. If you know of any that perform that function please post it for all to see. The fact of the matter is that some people ONLY save any money because of Precious Metals. If it were not for their gold and silver many would not have any money saved or invested. They would have Beanie babies or some other fad item. The people that buy Silver Eagles are much happier ten years later when they bought those coins made of PM's for their grandchildren (or whomever) when they find out the $8 - $12 bucks they spent is worth more than they paid.And the recipient learns a valuable lesson from it. There are good gifts and not so good gifts. Silver Eagles rank near the top of the list. Don't underestimate the power for people to develop good savings habits using PM's . It's fundamental. Our welfare system is a huge drain on the economy .Those of us working for a living instead of voting for a living see huge holes in our paychecks every week. As unfortunate as it is to know that cuts to foodstamps and welfare will likely cause a bit of suffering, it’s not the job of the government to forcibly remove money from the pockets of hard working Americans in order to take care of those who won’t work. Granted, there are some people who genuinely need the help, and those folks get dragged into the mud with the abusers, which isn’t fair to them. Now, just because the government shouldn’t be “helping” those in need, doesn’t mean we as Americans should forego kindness and charity. Quite the opposite. Americans are some of the most generous people on the planet, but unfortunately, that generosity gets quelled when the government is involved.Without the government in the way, regular every day individuals like you and me need to step up and start helping those who are in dire straits. That’s how this country used to be long before all of the social welfare programs, and it’s what made our nation so wonderful. If the government insists on being “helpful,” they can start by reducing taxes and ridiculous regulations that overburden small business owners, which will free them up to expand their companies and hire new workers. Two of my favorite comments ever on SA Avi Gilburt , Contributor
WOW!!! So, I guess when sentiment is at historical lows, we MUST assume it can only continue down!! lol
All you say constantly over and over is "I don't understand how it can work, so, clearly, it does not work." That really does not need much of a "demonstration" or response.
Comments (8231) |Following |Send Message
The question isn't how high gold or silver will go in dollar terms, but will that amount of dollars buy more than it buys today.
....................................................................................................................................................... Let's say 50 years ago, 1964, your grandfather bequeathed you an inheritance worth $1,000, which he put in a pretty box with your name on it. At this moment, you are about to open that box… Would you be happy to find his personal check dated 1964 made payable to you; would you rather find ten $100 Federal Reserve Notes; or would you prefer to find that thousand bucks in the form of 4,000 silver quarters, the steady constant value of 715 ounces of silver, with a current dollar number north of $12,500? Would your choice be the same if you were putting your wealth away today for an heir to receive in ten, twenty, or fifty years?
..................................................................................................... Financial contagion happens at both the international level and the domestic level. At the domestic level, usually the failure of a domestic bank or financial intermediary triggers transmission when it defaults on interbank liabilities and sells assets in a fire sale, thereby undermining confidence in similar banks. An example of this phenomenon is the subsequent turmoil in the United Statesfinancial markets. International financial contagion, which happens in both advanced economies and developing economies, is the transmission of financial crisis across financial markets for direct or indirect economies. However, under today's financial system, with large volume of cash flow, such as hedge fund and cross-regional operation of large banks, financial contagion usually happens simultaneously both among domestic institutions and across countries. The cause of financial contagion usually is beyond the explanation of real economy, such as the bilateral trade volume.
Individual investor. On double secret probation for commenting on SA articles, especially for pointing out that a portfolio that an RIA was using as an example of the kind of great advice he would provide had a drawdown of over 60%.
I'm an English language teacher in Spain who happened to discover a few nasty things about Tesla Motors. I'm paid by no one other than my students and my financial position won't be affected at all by swings in Tesla's stock price - or in any other stock.
I like to annoy people with my unsolicited opinions on a range of matters. Apparently a considerable number of folks like what I write.
Canada’s leader in native advertising for public companies.
We provide media and marketing solutions to public companies in all market sectors. Using native advertising, we produce quality content on print, digital and broadcast platforms and distribute it to investors.
Combined we can reach 1,300,000 weekly viewers on Television, 8,000,000 unique monthly views online & 11,000,000 weekly readers in print.
Named the 2014 Notable Awards best digital and media company in Western Canada.
My name is Mark B. Spiegel and I'm the Managing Member of Stanphyl Capital Management LLC. I can be reached at: mark (at) stanphylcap (dot) com. My Twitter feed is @markbspiegel
I am a former sell-side analyst -- UBS 1996-2002, Needham 2002-2006 and ThinkEquity 2006-2008. These days I review automobiles and other technology products, as well as analyze the automotive and technology industries, and coming up with long/short ideas. I also continue to write (less frequently) on macroeconomics and politics.
Mr. A. Paul Gill has been the CEO of Lomiko Metals Inc. TSXV: LMR, OTC: LMRMF since June 2009 and CEO of Lomiko Technologies private) since 2014. Mr. Gill developed significant experience in the strategic development of resource companies such as Norsemont Mining,Inc. (Bought by HudBay Minerals for $ 512 million). He has held the positions of President, Chief Financial Officer, Corporate Secretary and Vice-President of Business Development of Norsemont Mining Inc. and served as a co-founding director. Mr. Gill has been a Consultant of AJS Management private) since March, 2001 and a Director with Graphene 3D Lab TSXV: GGG, OTC: GPHBF, Graphene ESD and Epic Mining Corp.
I lead the first example of a market wide conversion from fuel to lithium battery power as the CEO of a company that I founded and took from an idea to a global leader in its niche with offices in Europe and the US with wholly owned factories in Asia and major customers in over 30 countries.
With Seeking Alpha I have set out contribute the closest thing possible to an insider perspective and a visionary outlook on developments in and relating to the electrification of transport, in particular my commentary has focused on Tesla Motors Inc,. (TSLA)
My interest in Tesla stems firstly because this is a company I understand as its behavior matches my own experience in business to an extraordinary degree. Also owing to what I believe is its pivotal importance. I am keen to understand its interactions with the market still further through discussion and debate with others with varying views and expectations.
My background is divided evenly between science and engineering and brand building and marketing and I am equally comfortable in both the technical and aesthetic arenas but can perhaps serve best as an instigator and translator of engineering and business strategy into meaning in the form of brand value for non-technical persons.
From an investment perspective and as a business leader contemplating the growth in value and influence of a business, I am a believer in companies and strategies that focus on delivering meaningful brand value as the primary driver that yields all other metrics including the attraction of key and committed personnel, integrity in the design and function of systems, goods and services, valuable contracts and permits as well as financial structures that yield positive cash-flow growth and customers who are keen to support the company with both purchasing and promotion.
I am aware that the above describes the mode of conduct that is rarely achieved in practice, however it is no abstract theory that I espouse, it defines my own experience from the thick of delivering to those standards in a company growing at terrific speed from garage to dominant global brand. The body of commentary I have placed on this website is largely to aimed at demonstrating competence accordingly in a format open to public criticism.
Regarding contributions to this website, it is not my aim to promote nor to detract from the value of any particular stock. That being said, I am highly supportive of objectives I believe to be shared by Tesla in as much as they stand to be effective in achieving the widespread electrification of transport and the elimination of the use of hydrocarbons without reduction to the quality of human life.
I am also harshly critical of pseudo-science or other means of obfuscation that aim to promote the value of hydrocarbons as “green” or sufficiently “green” as well as misinformation aimed at hindering sentiment for genuine solutions to avoidable use. For example I have no issue with the statement “Natural Gas is cheap” but I will not tolerate the statement “Natural Gas is clean”. My issue in this example is not Natural Gas in the absence of a clean and economic alternative, it is selling it on an untruth as a means to supplant or suppress such an alternative.
If my comments aimed to expose mischief or to defend good science and reasoned thought in this regard yield no discernible justice for either camp, I would be all the more disappointed for it.
I believe that good business and good environmental stewardship are mutually attainable and in fact can yield better investment outcomes than clinging to old ways of doing things, and that goal has my support.
In the mean time, to the extent that any of my contributions here have helped you make a better-informed investment choice, then I am happy to have been of service.
Upon receiving my Masters degree in Music from Connecticut's Hartt School of Music, I took a job at a local Friendly's serving ice cream, where I perfected the disgruntled, comatose look, as seen in the photo at left. As a first-time participant in the American economy by way of fast-food, I noted the vileness and squalor into which our country was plummeting.
Now, as an SA commentator, I look forward to multiplying my earnings, once I get some, and settling down as a prime member of society, living out my remaining years in the luxury every red-blooded American deserves.
I currently live in a barn with my saxophones, watching America decline around me.