Private-Client Investment Manager Ron Dwyhalo Sr. Investment Manager Matrix Investment Service Individually Managed Investment Accounts Email: email@example.com “ The MARKET makes no sounds and is the only thing you should ever listen to ! ”
Ever feel like trading is like rolling dice? In a way, it is, because every mathematical model of the market includes a stochastic aspect. But I believe we can load the dice in our favor through the use of statistics. Understanding both the stock market and each individual stock as a sort of random process with its own characteristics allows us to more accurately predict what it will do in the future. Coupling statistics with fundamental analysis, I have the goal of revealing to you the hidden patterns within stocks so that you may do what you wish with that information.
Transcend Event Driven Research provides exclusive analysis and insight into corporate events such as mergers, acquisitions, spin-offs, IPOs and restructurings. Our high quality research aims to provide readers with timely and actionable event driven opportunities that will outperform in all market conditions.
By uncovering securities that are trading at a considerable discount to fair market value and by identifying the catalysts that will unlock this value, our unique insights will provide an advantage to investors. Our analysis includes an assessment of investment risk as well as an evaluation of potential outcomes across the capital structure.
I am an engineer and long time technical consultant specializing in control and instrumentation systems for medical, industrial, vehicle and aerospace companies. The technical, cultural, market, regulatory and other factors that separate successful products and companies from their peers has fascinated me for many years. My investment experience is limited to my own accounts.
Eric Parnell, CFA, is the Founder and Director of Gerring Capital Partners. Gerring Capital is a registered investment advisory firm seeking attractive returns opportunities emphasizing value, quality and risk control. Eric also publishes The Universal premium service on Seeking Alpha targeting winning strategies in bear and bull markets across the asset class universe. Gerring Capital implements these strategies for its investors and then Eric discusses them on The Universal. Eric is also a Visiting Instructor at Ursinus College in the Department of Business and Economics. Prior to founding Gerring in 2005, Eric was the Director of Investment Communications at SEI Investments and an Economist at Moody’s Analytics.
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I am not a stockbroker or financial adviser. I am a casual investor making casual observations for the purpose of discussion and open communication and analysis of companies and stocks. All articles are my opinion only and are not suggestions to buy or sell any equity, bond, option or other financial instrument. QTR may have long or short positions in any tickers mentioned at any time and reserves the right to open, close, or modify positions at all time without notice. My conclusions are the result of my personal due diligence and have been wrong in the past. There are tons of unqualified people out there offering up financial advice and its your responsibility to sort through the BS. You don't hit the button to fill my orders and I don't hit yours, so no whining or praising over stocks covered by me.
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I have over 17 years of investing experience. Investing allowed me to retire at 48 and pursue other passions. I focus on fundamental analysis and valuation.
Gasoline Energy Density = 11.8 kWh/kg
Typical Gas Tank Size ~ 20 Gallons = 55kg
Gasoline Engine, Transmission, Gas Tank & Exhaust System Weight = 700 kg
Gasoline Engine Thermodynamic Efficiency 25%
Typical effective energy density of gasoline system = (all the energy/all the weight)*efficiency
((11.8*55)/(55+700)) * 0.25 = 0.215 kWh/kg
Lithium Ion Energy Density 0.266 kWh/kg
Case in point Battery Size (85kWh) = 320Kg
Electric Motor, Battery Pack Structure and Inverter Weight = 100kg
Electric Drive Thermodynamic Efficiency: 90%
Typical effective energy density of state of the art electrical system = (all the energy/all the weight)*efficiency
((0.266*320)/(320+100) * 0.9 = 0.182
Put this together and we have an example of a system that is 182/215 = 85% of the effective energy density of gasoline ALREADY!!!!!!!
That means 15% away as an overall system from proving that a gasoline range extender is technologically pointless.
Considering that all of the improvements to close that gap would need to come from improved energy density cells (unlikely to reduce the weight of motors and inverters).
We are looking for an energy density improvement at the cell level of
(420/320)*.15 = 20%
That is the whole story right there, 20% improvement in battery energy density makes gasoline in all its forms unnecessary for all vehicles either as a main source of on-board energy or as a range extender.
SmartStops.net is an online service dedicated to helping investors of all levels improve their risk management capabilities and thus better protect their profits and minimize their losses. Buying decisions are made on a risk / reward basis. Unfortunately, the past measurements of "risk" have proven insufficient. SmartStops.net optimized methodology provides a continually adjusting measurement depending upon individual stock or ETF behavior combined with overall macro market trend behavior. The service provides effective, easy-to-use risk monitoring and alert services designed to help investors identify periods of above normal risk and take timely action to protect assets, improve returns and achieve peace of mind.
For more information on how to leverage SmartStops to achieve your investment goals, visit us at http://www.smartstops.net.
Our team is based in Chicago and New York with experience at Google, The Wall Street Journal, Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Tribune and WallStreetView.
YCharts visualizes massive amounts of market information to identify companies with long-term competitive advantages and appropriate valuations. Fundamentals matter and we believe it’s important to understand how companies perform over time and relative to their peers. We cover over 20,000 U.S. & Canadian companies and manage over 40 million investor trends in real-time.
Siddharth is a software engineer with a keen interest in personal finance and renewable energy. He blogs at http://www.s1dd.com at night and makes embeddable financial widgets and portals at http://www.chartiq.com/ by day.
Juan Carlos Zuleta is an economist. He holds a master's degree in Agricultural and Applied Economics from the University of Minnesota and did Ph.D. studies in Economics at the New School for Social Research. Since 1992 he has published a number of articles on the economics of lithium. Due to his contributions to EV World.Com, Industrial Minerals and Seeking Alpha.Com during the period 2008-2009, Juan Carlos was invited to participate as a speaker at both the inaugural Lithium Supply & Markets Conference (LS&M) held in January 2009 in Santiago, Chile as well as the second LS&M Conference held in January 2010 in Las Vegas, USA.
As I'm a long-term investor, I'll highlight some stockpicks which will have a 5-7 year investment horizon. As I strongly believe a portfolio should consist of a mixture of dividend-paying stocks and growth stocks, my articles will reflect my thoughts on this mixture.
Graduated from University of Cambridge with BA & MA in Economics. Worked in European Equities for 12 years. Previously at Credit Suisse in London in their European Equity Hedge Fund Group. Move to NYC with ING to build out European Equity platform servicing hedge funds. Left to launch a Single Family Housing Partnership focused on the high growth South East USA. Portfolio being built out in Charlotte, North Carolina.
I lead the first example of a market wide conversion from fuel to lithium battery power as the CEO of a company that I founded and took from an idea to a global leader in its niche with offices in Europe and the US with wholly owned factories in Asia and major customers in over 30 countries.
With Seeking Alpha I have set out contribute the closest thing possible to an insider perspective and a visionary outlook on developments in and relating to the electrification of transport, in particular my commentary has focused on Tesla Motors Inc,. (TSLA)
My interest in Tesla stems firstly because this is a company I understand as its behavior matches my own experience in business to an extraordinary degree. Also owing to what I believe is its pivotal importance. I am keen to understand its interactions with the market still further through discussion and debate with others with varying views and expectations.
My background is divided evenly between science and engineering and brand building and marketing and I am equally comfortable in both the technical and aesthetic arenas but can perhaps serve best as an instigator and translator of engineering and business strategy into meaning in the form of brand value for non-technical persons.
From an investment perspective and as a business leader contemplating the growth in value and influence of a business, I am a believer in companies and strategies that focus on delivering meaningful brand value as the primary driver that yields all other metrics including the attraction of key and committed personnel, integrity in the design and function of systems, goods and services, valuable contracts and permits as well as financial structures that yield positive cash-flow growth and customers who are keen to support the company with both purchasing and promotion.
I am aware that the above describes the mode of conduct that is rarely achieved in practice, however it is no abstract theory that I espouse, it defines my own experience from the thick of delivering to those standards in a company growing at terrific speed from garage to dominant global brand. The body of commentary I have placed on this website is largely to aimed at demonstrating competence accordingly in a format open to public criticism.
Regarding contributions to this website, it is not my aim to promote nor to detract from the value of any particular stock. That being said, I am highly supportive of objectives I believe to be shared by Tesla in as much as they stand to be effective in achieving the widespread electrification of transport and the elimination of the use of hydrocarbons without reduction to the quality of human life.
I am also harshly critical of pseudo-science or other means of obfuscation that aim to promote the value of hydrocarbons as “green” or sufficiently “green” as well as misinformation aimed at hindering sentiment for genuine solutions to avoidable use. For example I have no issue with the statement “Natural Gas is cheap” but I will not tolerate the statement “Natural Gas is clean”. My issue in this example is not Natural Gas in the absence of a clean and economic alternative, it is selling it on an untruth as a means to supplant or suppress such an alternative.
If my comments aimed to expose mischief or to defend good science and reasoned thought in this regard yield no discernible justice for either camp, I would be all the more disappointed for it.
I believe that good business and good environmental stewardship are mutually attainable and in fact can yield better investment outcomes than clinging to old ways of doing things, and that goal has my support.
In the mean time, to the extent that any of my contributions here have helped you make a better-informed investment choice, then I am happy to have been of service.
Philstockworld.com is the fastest growing stock and option newsletter on the Web. "High Finance for Real People - Fun and Profits" is our motto and our Basic and Premium Chat Sessions offer readers a chance to speak to Phil live during the trading day as well as authors like Optrader, Sabrient, Income Trader and Trend Trader - who send out Alerts during the market sessions and discuss trade ideas live with Members.
We even have a new low-cost "Trend Watcher" Membership that lets readers view our chat sessions without directly participating a great solution for people who want to test-drive the site and profit from our experience! Trend Watchers get to view all of our Chat Archives, weekly Webinars - as well as the amazing PSW Wiki, which gives you Phil's recent opinions and trade ideas as well as technical and fundamental analysis of hundreds of stocks that we follow.
Philip R. Davis is a founder of Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com), a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders. Mr. Davis is a serial entrepreneur, having founded software company Accu-Title, a real estate title insurance software solution, and is also the President of the Delphi Consulting Corp., an M&A consulting firm that helps large and small companies obtain funding and close deals. He was also the founder of Accu-Search, a property data corporation that was sold to DataTrace in 2004 and Personality Plus, a precursor to eHarmony.com. Phil was a former editor of a UMass/Amherst humor magazine and it shows in his writing -- which is filled with colorful commentary along with very specific ideas on stock option purchases (Phil rarely holds actual stocks).
Visit: Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com)
I am an independent investor, focusing on small to mid market cap companies with high growth potential and perform fundamental, market and risk analyses.
I joined Seeking Alpha to share some of my ideas and interact with fellow investors for progression.
I also work full time as a project manager in a Finance/IT company.
I'm an Independent investor with a passion for equity research. I'm usually long term minded, but occasionally engage in short term trades.
My trading style focuses primarily on fundamentals, with short term technicals occasionally commanding my attention. I believe that making money in the market requires forward thinking investment objectives, patience, confidence, and a trading ethic that embraces the opportunities presented by short term downtrends.
To reach out to Forward Looking Guru for business opportunities, to share ideas, guest writing opportunities, consulting opportunities e-mail him at Forwardlookingguru@gmail.com.