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Syntex (who developed the birth control pill) was the first stock I bought (in 67). Bought my first options (IBM calls) in Dec 1974. Was a commodity broker from 79 to 82. Have never had a losing trade in Treasury-bond futures since 1979.
Nominal gNp hit 19.2% in the 1st qtr 1981, the FFR to 22%, & AAA Corporates to 15.49%. My prediction for the peak in AAA corporate yields for 1981 was 15.48% (& that bonds would bottom in Oct). Predicted the month stocks bottomed in 82 & in 84.
Predicted the 87 crash. Predicted the top in the Y2K bubble. Predicted that the top in stocks would be July 2007. Predicted the severe contraction in the 4th qtr of 2008 in January of that year. Identified the bottom
in stocks as March 2009.
The markets confused me only once - when the FED executed QE2 (but I nailed the bottom in the CPI in Jan 2011 i.e., 7 months before it bottomed out).
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