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rv3lynn

rv3lynn
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  • Statoil: Jack Meets Julia In Deepwater Gulf Of Mexico [View article]
    The fat boy Norwegian government owns most of the company in the first place.

    Now they want to take "just a taste" more of what they don't own.

    Proposals like this make the Mafia look good.

    Long STO but not too happy about it.
    May 15 11:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla's Matrix Moment [View article]
    Nat gas vehicles - The only thing available to the general public is the Nat Gas Honda Civic. Nice car, but, Honda is promoting a cost saving nat gas vehicle in a platform that already is super efficient running on gasoline. Nice try but it takes 60,000 - 80,000 miles just to break even.

    Propane power - Give me a break, my 1978 Ford pickup runs on propane. Yes, it is clean, but at 7 mpg I'm not signing up for more pain. Particularly since propane at the retail level has not dropped in price to reflect the crash in NGL prices.

    Electric - TSLA has the superior product. If you install your own solar panels, you are self sufficient for most of your transportation fuel. That's worth something. You sure can't get self-sufficiency in any other fuel. Screw the oil companies, let's go!

    Still, I am haunted by all the Makita cordless drills that float around, most with failed batteries. The Tesla battery issue will be probably more significant than currently discussed.

    Still long.
    May 5 11:27 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Tesla: The Good, The Realistic And The Ugly Outlook [View article]
    The more serious concern for hydrogen is that there is no free hydrogen on this planet.

    All hydrogen must be derived from other compounds. At substantial expense.

    Hydrogen has no future as a widely used fuel.
    May 3 09:10 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • HollyFrontier: Time To Increase Exposure To This Cheap Refiner Again [View article]
    In addition to the WTI/Brent spread the WTI Cushing/WTI Midland spread compounded refiner profits. Both spreads have shrunk substantially in the last 60 days. Not sure if the stocks have declined enough to reflect the reduced forward profit margins.
    Apr 14 11:23 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Eagle Ford Shale: Schlumberger-Forest Oil Joint Venture - Quick Read [View article]
    Generally speaking, the the updip Eagle Ford is not that good. You can see that the proposed wells are crowding the SE part of the acreage. But, SLB has everybody's information. That plus perhaps the trade was good enough to bring them in.

    Still, surprised to see a service company taking an equity position.
    Apr 13 11:47 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • EIA Forecast: Texas Will Beat North Dakota In Crude Oil Production Growth [View article]
    West Texas producers were getting killed from November through February with actual realized oil prices of $15-$20 less than WTI NYMEX not to mention the Brent/WTI spread. Surplus supply and refinery shutdowns were the major problem.

    I was worried that drilling could slow down due to the somewhat marginal economics of $70/bbl crude.

    Big improvement in March. The Brent/WTI spread has narrowed and the new pipeline capacity is starting to take effect. Realized prices are around $85 or only $7-$9 under NYMEX. Drillers can breathe again.

    Permian production has a lot of room to grow. We just have to get it moved out of here. The pipeline companies and the railroads are getting it done.
    Apr 12 11:52 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Impressive Progress In The Federal Budget [View article]
    The trends are interesting, but the facts are that the spread between the blue line (revenues) and the red line (govt spending) is still greater than any time since 1990.

    If we could just keep the govt on a 1% escalator for 5 years running we would be in great shape.
    Apr 11 10:20 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Shifting Away From Defense [View article]
    PSX recently has been ripping off their customers of many years by paying $75.00/bbl when WTI posting is over $90.00.

    They call this buying "advantaged crude".

    Then they sell the refined product based on Brent price. Sooo, $3.75/gal gasoline.

    In my book I call this theft without a gun.

    Tomorrow we are changing purchasers. PSX can drop dead.
    Apr 8 01:52 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Petrobras And Total: Low Valuation Energy Stocks Deserving Upgrades [View article]
    PBR will be manipulated by the Brazilian govt for the forseeable future.

    The free market will not be applicable.

    Ride along at your own risk.
    Apr 6 12:29 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • You Won't Lose Sleep Owning ConocoPhillips [View article]
    Zach,

    You obviously will have some learning moments in your future.

    But on COP you are probably right. Buy yourself 10 shares and add as you are able.

    The fact that you are starting at your young age puts you ahead of almost all of your peers.

    Best of luck and fortune!
    Apr 6 12:05 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Top 25 Global Banks Ranked By Losses In 2012 [View article]
    Wow! $122 billion in losses. I wonder if anybody got fired. Probably not, but I bet their bonuses got reduced.
    Mar 31 11:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Confidence: Half Full Or Half Empty? [View article]
    Looks like over time the Baby Boomers have temped youthful optimism with the reality of experience.
    Mar 27 11:50 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • ConocoPhillips Announces A Significant Gulf Of Mexico Discovery [View article]
    So the appraisal well is 1000 feet low structurally to the discovery well.

    But still no water leg?

    Holy Mackerel!!! This could be the big one!l
    Mar 22 12:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Alaska's Oil Tax Cut Means For ConocoPhillips [View article]
    Alaskans pay the lowest per capita taxes in the United States.

    Alaskans also receive a check each year from the State paid for by oil production, roughly $1100 per person.

    This was fine as long as oil production rates were substantial and prices were high.

    But when taxes are relatively higher than other promising oil basins, capital will migrate, as it has.

    So now, the production decline curve and price decline curve are combining to force a reality check on the politicians and ultimately the taxpayers.
    Mar 21 11:52 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Valero, The Agricultural Oil Play [View article]
    A decent Eagle Ford well will make 500 BOEPD or 182,500 BPD the first year.

    Corn ethanol makes about 10 BE per year per acre or 6.7 bbl oil energy equivalent per acre.

    So one Eagle Ford well equals 27,375 acres of corn ethanol production.

    There are 240 rigs drilling in the Eagle Ford right now, perhaps 20 days per well.

    All the corn in Illinois cannot touch this.
    Mar 21 11:23 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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