keith's Comments keith's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/80089/comments UK Bank Run: It Could Happen Here http://seekingalpha.com/article/47415-uk-bank-run-it-could-happen-here?source=feed#comment-96239 96239
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Tue, 18 Sep 2007 06:51:34 -0400
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UK Bank Run: It Could Happen Here http://seekingalpha.com/article/47415-uk-bank-run-it-could-happen-here?source=feed#comment-96236 96236
In this case there is a slight difference. I agree that the US started the sub-prime mess, but we have not had a major bank run. In the case of country wide and the mortgage companies before that, these where not banking institutions. Northern Rock seems to be both. The conversation on the site has revolved around the need to most likely continue to keep these businesses separate, which happened under our Glass-Stegeal Act ]]>
Tue, 18 Sep 2007 04:36:01 -0400
In this case there is a slight difference. I agree that the US started the sub-prime mess, but we have not had a major bank run. In the case of country wide and the mortgage companies before that, these where not banking institutions. Northern Rock seems to be both. The conversation on the site has revolved around the need to most likely continue to keep these businesses separate, which happened under our Glass-Stegeal Act ]]>
Bernanke Actually Laid Out Monetary Policy in Berlin http://seekingalpha.com/article/47265-bernanke-actually-laid-out-monetary-policy-in-berlin?source=feed#comment-96234 96234 Tue, 18 Sep 2007 04:29:35 -0400 Bernanke Actually Laid Out Monetary Policy in Berlin http://seekingalpha.com/article/47265-bernanke-actually-laid-out-monetary-policy-in-berlin?source=feed#comment-96233 96233 Yes, higher rates does attract more capital all else being equal. That is to say there is not another several countries out there raising their rates at a quicker pace. ]]> Tue, 18 Sep 2007 04:24:21 -0400 Yes, higher rates does attract more capital all else being equal. That is to say there is not another several countries out there raising their rates at a quicker pace. ]]> I Think the Fed Will Hold Rates Steady http://seekingalpha.com/article/45363-i-think-the-fed-will-hold-rates-steady?source=feed#comment-94475 94475 Fri, 24 Aug 2007 06:50:58 -0400 This Will Have Been a Buying Opportunity http://seekingalpha.com/article/44612-this-will-have-been-a-buying-opportunity?source=feed#comment-94377 94377 lengerassetmanagement....]]> Thu, 23 Aug 2007 05:57:31 -0400 lengerassetmanagement....]]> This Will Have Been a Buying Opportunity http://seekingalpha.com/article/44612-this-will-have-been-a-buying-opportunity?source=feed#comment-94091 94091 Mon, 20 Aug 2007 04:25:54 -0400 A Stealth Fed Rate Cut? http://seekingalpha.com/article/44799-a-stealth-fed-rate-cut?source=feed#comment-93885 93885 Fri, 17 Aug 2007 04:59:05 -0400 Fear in the Market - Time to Buy http://seekingalpha.com/article/44819-fear-in-the-market-time-to-buy?source=feed#comment-93884 93884 Fri, 17 Aug 2007 04:54:54 -0400 This Will Have Been a Buying Opportunity http://seekingalpha.com/article/44612-this-will-have-been-a-buying-opportunity?source=feed#comment-93785 93785 thecapitalinvestor.com, you'll get a better picture. Our investors have been prepared for this correction for some time. I think the stats got a bit messed up in the translation from my site to seeking alpha. It is a bit more clear on my site. You will get a better sense of the on going conversation, if you review my site. Site aggregations, like seeking alpha, don't pick up all post. With a 13% cash weight, 4% weight in none correlated asset to the market, 4% mid cap, 15% EFA, 4% HYG and 60% large cap with growth bias, we are looking well prepared. Yes, we are starting to work money in the market. I think for the long term investor this will be a great time to work into certain sectors!]]> Thu, 16 Aug 2007 05:56:57 -0400 thecapitalinvestor.com, you'll get a better picture. Our investors have been prepared for this correction for some time. I think the stats got a bit messed up in the translation from my site to seeking alpha. It is a bit more clear on my site. You will get a better sense of the on going conversation, if you review my site. Site aggregations, like seeking alpha, don't pick up all post. With a 13% cash weight, 4% weight in none correlated asset to the market, 4% mid cap, 15% EFA, 4% HYG and 60% large cap with growth bias, we are looking well prepared. Yes, we are starting to work money in the market. I think for the long term investor this will be a great time to work into certain sectors!]]> Dollar-Cost Averaging Is Complete BS http://seekingalpha.com/article/40698-dollar-cost-averaging-is-complete-bs?source=feed#comment-90873 90873 Wed, 11 Jul 2007 06:17:20 -0400 More On S&P Short ETF http://seekingalpha.com/article/39871-more-on-s-p-short-etf?source=feed#comment-90187 90187
What I am trying to say, poorly enough, is that for a brief moment you are trading on pure short exposure with no interest build. It was distributed. Also, I think we may want to reword ex-date to ex-distribution. If you purchase on that date and hold through quarter by quarter, you will have built up a cushion of distributed interest or looked at another way your break even keeps getting better. Does this make better sense?

Roger, I appreciate your comments. I am a new hand at this, so your comments help my future articles. Also, you have a small fan here, as your blog inspired me to start my own. Call it Roger Wanna be. Keep up the good work!]]>
Mon, 02 Jul 2007 15:41:38 -0400
What I am trying to say, poorly enough, is that for a brief moment you are trading on pure short exposure with no interest build. It was distributed. Also, I think we may want to reword ex-date to ex-distribution. If you purchase on that date and hold through quarter by quarter, you will have built up a cushion of distributed interest or looked at another way your break even keeps getting better. Does this make better sense?

Roger, I appreciate your comments. I am a new hand at this, so your comments help my future articles. Also, you have a small fan here, as your blog inspired me to start my own. Call it Roger Wanna be. Keep up the good work!]]>
On S&P Short ETF Action and Chesapeake Corp. Options http://seekingalpha.com/article/39605-on-s-p-short-etf-action-and-chesapeake-corp-options?source=feed#comment-89923 89923 Thu, 28 Jun 2007 14:13:02 -0400 On S&P Short ETF Action and Chesapeake Corp. Options http://seekingalpha.com/article/39605-on-s-p-short-etf-action-and-chesapeake-corp-options?source=feed#comment-89922 89922 Thu, 28 Jun 2007 14:11:47 -0400 On S&P Short ETF Action and Chesapeake Corp. Options http://seekingalpha.com/article/39605-on-s-p-short-etf-action-and-chesapeake-corp-options?source=feed#comment-89914 89914 SH) is made up differntly and it was the distribution that moved it down. See my blog for full story. Very interesting!

thecapitalinvestor.com...]]>
Thu, 28 Jun 2007 13:27:44 -0400 SH) is made up differntly and it was the distribution that moved it down. See my blog for full story. Very interesting!

thecapitalinvestor.com...]]>
On S&P Short ETF Action and Chesapeake Corp. Options http://seekingalpha.com/article/39605-on-s-p-short-etf-action-and-chesapeake-corp-options?source=feed#comment-89903 89903 SH) went ex-div. It was .52. Thanks for keeping us updated R.S. Regards, Keith]]> Thu, 28 Jun 2007 11:54:47 -0400 SH) went ex-div. It was .52. Thanks for keeping us updated R.S. Regards, Keith]]> Why the Bulls Are Anxious, and the Bears Are Confident http://seekingalpha.com/article/39346-why-the-bulls-are-anxious-and-the-bears-are-confident?source=feed#comment-89631 89631
Keith L
thecapitalinvestor.com]]>
Tue, 26 Jun 2007 05:41:02 -0400
Keith L
thecapitalinvestor.com]]>
Choosing A Currency ETF: Why We Went With DBV http://seekingalpha.com/article/35403-choosing-a-currency-etf-why-we-went-with-dbv?source=feed#comment-86266 86266 DBV) seems to be working. The tendancy for currencies attached to high rates to move up and those with low rates to move down. Given the divesification of currencies in (DBV), I believe this aids in lowering your exposure to a quick unwind in a "carry trade" for a particular currency. Is it possible that all three currencies could unwind at once, sure. Is it possible for the stock market to experience a 20% to 30% correction, yes. However, these events are rare. Accordingly, I believe this to be more of a long term strategy. If you look at the annual returns attached to a specific year in (DBV), you will see there where some real underperformance for long durations. I don't see this particular vehicle as a trading vehicle, but more of a strategy to grind out superior return over the long term. On a broader portflio perspective it fits the bill for diversification via both correlation and volitility to S&P 500. The ladder further lending weight to mute concerns of a quick carry trade unwind. Keeping in mind that past performance is no sure ticket for future performance. Also, I added the above piece of the quote, since I think it is important to be aware of the risk. I think for the average guy or a manager, who manages asset classes for particular portflio startegies, this is a good fit. Does this add a bit more clarity to my thinking process?]]> Wed, 16 May 2007 01:13:00 -0400 DBV) seems to be working. The tendancy for currencies attached to high rates to move up and those with low rates to move down. Given the divesification of currencies in (DBV), I believe this aids in lowering your exposure to a quick unwind in a "carry trade" for a particular currency. Is it possible that all three currencies could unwind at once, sure. Is it possible for the stock market to experience a 20% to 30% correction, yes. However, these events are rare. Accordingly, I believe this to be more of a long term strategy. If you look at the annual returns attached to a specific year in (DBV), you will see there where some real underperformance for long durations. I don't see this particular vehicle as a trading vehicle, but more of a strategy to grind out superior return over the long term. On a broader portflio perspective it fits the bill for diversification via both correlation and volitility to S&P 500. The ladder further lending weight to mute concerns of a quick carry trade unwind. Keeping in mind that past performance is no sure ticket for future performance. Also, I added the above piece of the quote, since I think it is important to be aware of the risk. I think for the average guy or a manager, who manages asset classes for particular portflio startegies, this is a good fit. Does this add a bit more clarity to my thinking process?]]> Choosing A Currency ETF: Why We Went With DBV http://seekingalpha.com/article/35403-choosing-a-currency-etf-why-we-went-with-dbv?source=feed#comment-86094 86094
MDCigan....Thanks for keeping my nose clean on this. I will work to keep the facts right!!!!!!! Keith]]>
Mon, 14 May 2007 12:17:44 -0400
MDCigan....Thanks for keeping my nose clean on this. I will work to keep the facts right!!!!!!! Keith]]>