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investor987

investor987
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  • My Superyield Retirement Strategy [View article]
    Brandon, I am curious as to your take/thoughts on your portfolio's implied Beta. Did Beta come to your mind at all in pursuing this "expertiment" as you call it. If not, does it change your forward looking view at all. Just curious. Thanks. Good luck.
    Aug 9, 2011. 02:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • My Superyield Retirement Strategy [View article]
    Nevermind. I noticed you said equal weighted so I took the time to calculate the portfolio beta.... MLPL doesnt have one so I took that one one out. Otherwise, looks like your Beta is 1.01. INTERESTING.

    beta
    bpt 0.81
    drw 1.14
    fte 0.79
    jnk 1.54
    nmm 1.17
    pff 0.92
    rem 0.72
    Aug 9, 2011. 01:27 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • My Superyield Retirement Strategy [View article]
    Brandon, can you take a look and see what the composite (avg) Beta is for that portfolio? I am curious what risk you are taking for that level of income. Whats your weighted avg Beta for this portfolio? Thanks
    Aug 9, 2011. 01:06 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • 30 Dividend Paying Consumer Stocks for Defensive Investing [View article]
    Thanks. I think I'll be doing the same. I am a LT investor as well.
    Aug 8, 2011. 12:11 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Annaly Capital Management Looks Even Better as the Economy Crashes [View article]
    Then by definition you're saying QE3 because someone has to buy that debt and if no one else will because the rates are too low... then.... the Fed has to to keep the rates low. If that ends up being the case then its all going to get even uglier when the party ends. Ugh.
    Aug 8, 2011. 12:07 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 12 High-Dividend, Low-Beta Stocks to Consider During a Down Market [View article]
    Of course with the dividend payers, its also critical to keep a close eye on the payout ratio. A 5% dividend might sound great, but if it comes at 100% payout ratio (extreme for example purposes) then obviously that dividend will likely be facing some serious pressure to be lowered. (non-REIT stocks).

    I really conceptually like the idea of reinvesting it ... dollar cost avg future positions on a GOOD solid company/stock. But at the same time it has to presume that you are already well diversified. Otherwise, those dividends might be better served in accomplishing that.

    (off topic) I prefer investing in individual companies over ETFs, mutual funds as a general rule. With funds, you buy stocks you dont otherwise want. The only exception being, perhaps, emerging market investments.
    Aug 7, 2011. 12:15 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • 30 Dividend Paying Consumer Stocks for Defensive Investing [View article]
    Insider Monkey. Curious to get your thoughts on this question / topic.

    For those investing in income stocks (dividend payers like the list here), should the dividends....?

    .... Automatically reinvest right back into that same stock?
    .... Keep as cash for this volatile market / times?
    .... When enough $$ accumulated, buy other stocks?

    I am transitioning from a value investor to a value/income blend type investor. Am struggling with ideas of what to do with the income.
    Aug 7, 2011. 12:52 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • 12 High-Dividend, Low-Beta Stocks to Consider During a Down Market [View article]
    Osman, and the others, what are your thoughts about what to do with the dividend income. In general and with consideration to the gyrations we are in right now with the markets.

    Reinvest the dividends right back into the same stock OR collect and hold the cash dividends OR buy other stocks with the dividends when enough accumulated....?????

    Thoughts????
    Aug 7, 2011. 12:05 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Building a Model Income Portfolio Sector by Sector: Part 6 - Industrials [View article]
    I am skeptical of Defense stocks for the points you mentioned: budget cuts coming. I like Waste Mgmt because it's also diversifying into power generation through the off-gases at its waste sites. EMR is a great company... very well managed because of its discipline. I never considered Stanely/B&D before but I might have to keep an eye on them moving forward since their current yield below their avg (ie: converging to the mean is upside).

    I agree and like this approach for longterm investing and diversification.

    I have a question though in terms of creating/managing a personal INCOME portfolio.

    Should the dividends be reinvested into the stock or collected as cash. When enough accumulated, buy into other stocks along the way...??????
    Aug 6, 2011. 11:51 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Acquisition of MySpace Could Double Sirius XM's Stock Price [View article]
    Where are you getting $33/user from? FB is grossly over-valued at the projected $80-$90B or whatever it is now. That valuation puts it at about 40-50x sales. Not to mention PE. The user base is at 700+M worldwide. Yes, that is an amazing achievement and outstanding user growth. Kudos to them for that.

    HOWEVER, converting those users into a revenue stream isn't quite happening at the rate they probably hoped. I know they make money following the Google model ("adwords", banners, etc). But if they dont start getting that $$ conversion, this company is going to tank -- at least as an investment. Not saying users will flee like they did MySpace. But it could happen in the future. In this field, never say never.

    I like the idea of MySpace trying to re-emerge into market importance through indy music or maybe even other performing arts. Thats actually not a bad idea. YouTube would be a headwind but the social networking advantages of MySpace might (MIGHT) give it an edge. Who knows.

    Either way... I will definitely NOT be buying any SIRI stock any time soon. Nor anyone investing in MySpace.
    Aug 6, 2011. 01:56 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Annaly Capital Management Looks Even Better as the Economy Crashes [View article]
    There are multiple rating agencies... Moodys, Finch. And they reaffirmed AAA. That said, S&P downgrade will have a definite psychological effect. Below is a link to another post on SA which is interesting. I am not sure I buy all of what he is selling so to speak, but he makes a counter argument on the overall impact that is worth reading.

    seekingalpha.com/artic...

    No matter what, I think its fair to say that Monday is going to be a down-day. I would expect wild gyrations all week as program trading kicks in mini-flashes of buying and selling.

    Anyone thinking that rates are going to drop is kidding themself. NOT GOING TO HAPPEN. Simple reason, other sovereigns will not be buying our debt (ie: funding our gross spending waste) so rates by definition will have to rise to attract the buyers.

    Personally, I see stagflation in our near future. Hight rates/inflation with no economic growth. If not this year, probably next as the snowball effects pile on.
    Aug 6, 2011. 01:41 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Annaly Capital Management Looks Even Better as the Economy Crashes [View article]
    I am sure that NLY is an extremely well managed company. From what I have read it is 'best of bread' as Cramer might say. But anything with THIS much leverage just scares me. Hedged or not (remember, counter-party risk!). I will keep an eye on this stock. Good luck to those already in.
    Aug 5, 2011. 11:05 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Annaly Capital Management Looks Even Better as the Economy Crashes [View article]
    Sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but the "default risk" issue is not behind us. If anything, that risk just got ratcheted upwards. The markets are tanking in the aftermath of "the deal" because it lacks any evidence of commitment toward solving the debt problem.

    Basically, the markets are saying.... If $10 Trillion in new debt over the next 10 years is the problem ($24+T total), then how is $8T ($22+T total) the solution? It's not. Hence, the no market confidence.
    Aug 5, 2011. 10:51 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Annaly Capital Management Looks Even Better as the Economy Crashes [View article]
    As I posted in another recent post on NLY, this mREIT/stock makes me quite nervous to invest in with the balance sheet as it is - not to mention the market in general. The interest rates are going to rise... its NOT if but when! When that happens, the leveraged balance sheet is going to strangle NLY. In my opinion.

    Another point is that the dividend payout is slightly greater than the EPS. This suggests that the high divident yield may come under some serious pressure when the rates start to creep up -- not to mention spike.

    This seems like a great play IF the economy is entering into recovery mode. However, (all politics aside, speaking strictly in economic terms) with the economic policy idiocy coming out of the White House and Senate, I don't see a turn around in the near future.

    I'll keep an eye on this stock. But it just seems way too risky for me. Especially in these market conditions.

    Am I wrong....?
    Aug 4, 2011. 06:09 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 6 mREITs to Trade as the Debt Deadline Nears [View article]
    I am a little worried about diving into REITs when the interest rates will surely be moving up in the coming months and years. These current rates are artificially low. Now with an increase in the debt ceiling, insignificant spending cuts, and no political or national will to truly solve the problem, I dont see how our AAA rating will not be negatively impacted. Its when... not if... a downgrade is coming.

    I notices on NLY's latest balance sheet that they have some $80B of debt. Seems to me that even a slight increase in the interest rates will have HUGE HUGE HUGE negative impact!

    Too risky for me.
    Aug 1, 2011. 07:15 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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