Gresham's Law should become part of everyone's economic vocabulary.
We may see deflation in many assets but inflation in staples like food and water.
It's my feeling that we will continue to see a huge inflation in Cash prices but offsetting deflation in Credit prices. Think of the CPI as averaging the two hence the disinformation of current low inflation be reported.
We all know the distortions of the current CPI but just simplify the basket of goods to see the problem when including both necessities and luxuries in the sam inflation metric.
2006 - Bread - $1 per loaf, 30" Flat Screen TV - $1000 2009 - Bread - $2 per loaf, 30" Flat Screen TV - $500
In 2006, $3000 would buy 1000 loaves of Bread and two 30" Flat Screens
In 2009, $3000 would buy 1000 loaves of Bread and two 30" Flat Screens
Hence no inflation, as long as you can eat a Flat Screen TV
An Involuntary Transaction: Why BAC + CFC May Never Close [View article]
You fail to take the BSC/JPM analogy far enough. Both mergers were not about rescuing CFC or SC respectively but the market as a whole. Their was no ten year view in either case, just Fed forced false hope to prop the market up for a few more months.
Housing's Big Picture Isn't Pretty [View article]
Gresham's Law should become part of everyone's economic vocabulary.
We may see deflation in many assets but inflation in staples like food and water.
It's my feeling that we will continue to see a huge inflation in Cash prices but offsetting deflation in Credit prices. Think of the CPI as averaging the two hence the disinformation of current low inflation be reported.
We all know the distortions of the current CPI but just simplify the basket of goods to see the problem when including both necessities and luxuries in the sam inflation metric.
2006 - Bread - $1 per loaf, 30" Flat Screen TV - $1000
2009 - Bread - $2 per loaf, 30" Flat Screen TV - $500
In 2006, $3000 would buy 1000 loaves of Bread and two 30" Flat Screens
In 2009, $3000 would buy 1000 loaves of Bread and two 30" Flat Screens
Hence no inflation, as long as you can eat a Flat Screen TV
An Involuntary Transaction: Why BAC + CFC May Never Close [View article]