Pauly B

Friday Roundup: Commodities, Emerging Markets

Agree Mad Hedge Fund, the PE's are insane.

Another interesting thing I saw interday on Friday was the dollar was going down as the market was going down. Ummmm thats a little bit of a shift. Maybe its nothing but this is something to be watching over the next few weeks.

Friday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

I agree with Dennis Gartman who was on Bloomberg and said that this market sell off was a dollar squeeze as far to many were short the dollar and it had to give somewhere. I suspect we will still see more dollar destruction as the printing presses continue to run and this was just a relief valve going off.

Friday Roundup: Commodities, Emerging Markets

This moonshot could still go quite away's but boy am I protecting my longs right now. With all buyers and no sellers that is concerning to me.

Even the bulls have to be friends with the bears sometimes. The bears help to keep equilibrium. A good 5% pullback or a consolidation for a few weeks would be very healthy for my longs right now.

Your right, the fundamentals of the market are not on Wall Street but in Washington right now. When the printing press stops the punch-bowel will be taken away.

Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

Maybe the US dollar is now being used for the carry trade?

Right now the entire market is the dollar trade. Compare the UUP and the SPY. Bingo, almost direct correlation. Its a FOREX market all on the fundamentals of the dollar.

Wednesday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

Everyone is so euphoric right now. Everything is fixed, green shoots everywhere.
The VIX and Put to Call Ratio over at the CBOE are getting ridiculously low.

Best of all the Hal 9000 saves us everyday 1/2 hour before close to keep the market higher.

Ummmmmm perhaps I should keep my stops pretty tight!

Today in Commodities: Time to Diversify

It seems that refiners are reducing production too and inventories are rising in distillates. I also found that there are not as many oil rigs in use now because of reduced demand. Can you talk about that in future posts and what you are seeing in that area. Thank you

Risk Management in Trending Markets

I agree much of this is FED policy.


Putting the stock charts aside if one looks at the jobs numbers, bond and currency markets, this bear market was clearly developing June 2007 and has grown worse with each FED decision. I think they need to defend the dollar harder and be more focused on that.