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Doyle3000

Doyle3000
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  • A Pax Romana May Be Bad For Markets [View article]
    OK got it. So as volatility and premiums rise, you'd be ok forgoing your 'bird in the hand' i.e. 1% locked in ROI with assignment, for the proverbial '2 in the bush' if the final return was greater than the originally planned 1% ROI?

    I struggle to let it ride which is probably why I still have to work.
    Jun 15 11:34 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Pax Romana May Be Bad For Markets [View article]
    George, when you state ideally that you'd prefer to continually roll the options, is that assuming that you'd continue to add 1% ROI per week? So that theoretically a 'perfect storm' call option would start Jan 1 and after 52 rollovers you'd have earned 52% annual ROI on the position?
    Jun 14 05:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Great Correction Of 2014: Be Prepared To 'Buy The Dip' [View article]
    GILD is cheap on this dip from yesterday. If I were sitting on a pile of cash I'd sell GILD $78 PUTS expiring each week until they are put on you.
    Jun 10 02:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • I Was Wrong About Apple [View article]
    Dang you faked me out with the title. I was about to say "You're a good man Charlie Brown" as I always respect someone who admits when they're wrong.

    Now, AAPL may well end up at $50 someday but I'll have sold at $100 or higher by then. This is going to be a rather long and expensive short for you unless you have one of those sweet deals where you don't pay interest on your short positions.

    Good luck!
    Jun 9 08:20 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    Painfully I did and glad I did so
    Jun 8 06:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Rice Energy: Monster Bigfoot Well Is The Utica's Biggest Yet - Shares Have 50% Upside [View article]
    This young man (CEO) was on Cramer a few weeks ago and I was intrigued. Now I may start a position based on this very good article.

    Regarding long or short positions on stocks for which you are writing - in some ways it's more objective if you don't have a position. I am always leery of someone so bullish on their position that they are blind to certain facts about the company or the way the market is treating their space.
    Jun 8 11:45 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Western Asset Stock Price Is At The Buy Point For This Quarter [View article]
    Nooob each of these mREITS have different hedging philosophies. They try to smooth out the moves with interest rates but timing when and how much rates will move is almost impossible.

    You are buying WMC today at less than Book Value so it's good timing. It may stay below BV for a long time but it limits how much it'll go down from here. This assumes that they'll keep BV stable or even increase it.

    Your dividends are just a mathmatical calculation that is 90% of their income distributed quarterly with occasional capital returns and catch up dividends like last year.

    And when the correction hits (and it's when not if) you'll be happy you have this stock
    Jun 7 10:54 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Correction 2014: Are You Prepared? [View article]
    My broker's yacht says "I'm the one selling the options". Be that guy, not the guy buying them. Sell tight or even ITM calls on your positions, especially if you've made great money and the valuations are rich. And sell PUTS at strikes well below your current price too.

    Author is right that a correction is coming, but no one knows when. Buying insurance usually just benefits the person selling it.
    Jun 6 09:23 AM | 13 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Reality Bites, So Time To Sell [View article]
    ThomasViewPoint - "I have been looking for a good place to jump back in but I don't see the next big thing and without Jobs it appears they have lost their product genius."

    Geez August 11th 2013 would've been a really good time to jump back in. Hope you did. I had to read every one of these AAPL-bashing articles last year while everyone else made good money on their no-profit, worthless cloud stocks.

    But he who laughs last does indeed laugh loudest. My AAPL position has gained north of $60,000 since this article was written. Not including dividends.
    Jun 5 05:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Employment Trends Continue To Improve [View article]
    Love your stuff Todd, thanks.

    So if you had to guess, employment will continue to get stronger which will nearly guarantee continued FED tapering down to $0 purchases (and maybe some selling before interest rates start rising and bonds start to tank) and ultimately regardless, higher interest rates.

    I can't see any reason why interest rates wouldn't rise in 2015. It has been artificially held down long enough.

    Now of course China is showing loan default rates rising quickly and a major event there could change all of this.
    Jun 4 04:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tableau, Qlik slide after Tibco warns [View news story]
    TIBCO blames their misses on "weak sales" quarterly. Why would anyone get behind this stock?
    Jun 3 04:37 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Splunk - Tough Times Continue For Beaten Down Investors [View article]
    Good article - I didn't realize how excessive the options were. $43,000 per employee for this quarter alone? My god - is that how much people need to stay happy? I'd tell them to go be happy somewhere else. That is just flat-out irresponsible management.

    Where is the board of directors on this? Worthless as usual.

    After the 16% drop, I've sold puts in an effort to fish out the bottom, which I think is getting close. The company is still growing by leaps and bounds and growth mutual funds need to find a home for their money.
    Jun 2 09:28 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Minsky Moment: The Roles Of Complacency And Volatility [View article]
    I find that my stocks are never officially owned if I buy them on Monday and the ex-dividend date is Monday, Tuesday or even Wednesday; thus precluding me from the dividend. Does anyone else have that issue?

    Speaking of volatility I sold SPLK puts at a price outside the implied volatility and still may have to roll them over on Friday. 16% decrease post-earnings!

    CRM puts have been berry berry good to me. With all the institutional ownership, it seems as if it'll drop by 4% and then rise 4% each week. I've successfully earned premiums on selling puts on CRM for 12 of the last 14 weeks and the other 2 I just had to roll (like my $53s that were expiring yesterday).

    In acronym speak: CRM is my ANF. LOL.
    Jun 1 11:40 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Beware The Placid Island Of Investment Ignorance [View article]
    the whole mREIT sector took a 25%-40% bath after Bernake started talking about 'the taper'. many were trading over book value so some correction was due but now most if not all are trading below book value.

    AGNC was at $35 24 months ago. It went down below $20. That's a haircut.
    May 30 08:49 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Microsoft, Salesforce make partnership official; Office 365 in focus [View news story]
    Smoke and Mirrors, party of 1, your table is ready.
    May 29 08:46 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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