Seeking Alpha

Leftfield

Leftfield
Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
View Leftfield's Comments BY TICKER:
Latest  |  Highest rated
  • 8 Reasons Why A New Global Financial Crisis Could Be On The Way [View article]
    "The happiest people in the most stable countries are in Socialist countries (Denmark, Sweden, Norway etc)."

    This happy socialism is based on North Sea oil wealth which is running out. It appears happy times are ending as Nordic socialists may soon run out of other people's money to spend as all socialists eventually do.
    Aug 24 11:26 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 8 Reasons Why A New Global Financial Crisis Could Be On The Way [View article]
    "They did not read and/or understand the terms of their loan. In addition, they would not have come close to qualifying based on the terms after the teaser rate expired."

    Sounds like the massive debt Uncle Sam and most other Western nations are taking on to keep government waste, fraud and abuse fully intact. When the teaser rates expire, today's "public servants" expect to be safely retired on generous taxpayer-financed packages and career revolving door crony capitalist "private sector" jobs.
    Aug 24 09:41 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Amazon Is Coming After eBay And PayPal, Make No Mistake [View article]
    Google, Facebook and Amazon are the leaders in the field of amassing, integrating and finding ways to profit from customer data and this area is in it's infancy.

    Ebay has mostly benefitted from first-mover status in a couple of simple cash cows, e-commerce and now e-payments, mostly from captive Ebay users. These models have thrown off enormous amounts of cash but their relatively complacent management has focused primarily on quarterly bonuses while their once-dominant marketplace is now solidly behind it's main competitors and there is little reason not to expect Paypal to stagnate relative to it's growing competition also.
    Aug 21 12:22 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Italian Job: How Borrowing And Printing Lead To An Economic Dead End [View article]
    "Over the past several decades, there has been a slow but steady degradation in capital efficiency."

    "Why does it take so much more debt to generate growth?"

    "Same argument for government policies, since it covers 30 Congresses and 12 Presidents."

    Actually the growth in parasitism as reflected by government growth is, along with debt splurge, considered positive in official GDP calculations. Government and of course debt, has grown enormously since the backroom fixers gave us the Federal Reserve and the income tax a century ago, absolutely and proportionately. This has accelerated since WWII, and neither party nor any president has significantly altered the one-way ratchet of entitlements for votes that has now so insinuated itself in the US and all Western economies that no reasoning or facts seem able to change this course now.
    Aug 21 12:04 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Searching For Fail, And Still Finding It [View article]
    The problem with all the theories is not only that they can be counted on to come up pathetically short in a 40x-leveraged real world crunch but mainly that the exponents bear far too little personal burden for the consequences.

    With all the taxpayer $trillions thrown on the bonfire of policymaker corruption and mistakes, personal accountability by TBTF market participants, "public servants" and other connected elites who prosper like no other time in history regardless of their collateral damage and losses they count on Uncle Sugar to back, has never been more important at the top. Unfortunately this is where it is most lacking and that is why massively leveraged financial engineering and Orwellian cults of policymaker infallibility survive and thrive in the face of long-term societal decline and the next even greater crisis they are ensuring while elites prosper as never before.
    Aug 21 09:59 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Jackson Hole Spin [View article]
    The more failure our state and nominally quasi-state planners (CB's) have on their hands, the more they distance themselves from reality. As they are well into the process of routinely squandering taxpayer $trillions on their failed policies and ludicrously sending financial asset pries to the moon while Main Street remains comatose outside of growing government entitlements, there has never been a better time for them to step out of character and reflect on the data honestly.

    Sadly, the cult of these personalities and institutions that seems bent on rivaling that of the various Kim Jongs of North Korea whose economic results these Western luminaries seem bent on achieving, seems to attribute to them godlike powers of infallibility regardless of their continued and epic failure to move the economy forward even with the abundant printed and taxpayer $trillions they have seen fit to dissipate.

    Debt, grossly excessive government cost and overregulation plus growing "private" interests deemed too big to fail ARE the problem, which will not be solved by these charlatans regardless the cult of omniscience they have bestowed on themselves in their quest to rival Soviet state planners while bringing us the same awful results.
    Aug 20 08:14 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Obama Spins Subsidies Both Ways [View article]
    "It's ironic that the Obama administration is claiming credit for liberating women from the workforce. But before 1960s, most married women already enjoyed those luxuries. But when taxes and inflation rose to pay for the roll out of the welfare state, the single income household went the way of black and white TV. In the 70's and 80's the huge influx of women into the workforce was heralded as a great boost to the economy. Oh how times have changed."

    The cost as well as the perverse incentives of the welfare state is central to understanding much of the social and economic pathology which has flourished in the US since the inception of the Great Society in the 1960's. Incentives are either to qualify for a government check by not working or to get a "job" administering part of the bs rule-creating and administering bureaucracies and "professions" that arise. Families are truly ripped apart as latchkey kids who are cared for by strangers in infancy, fend for themselves after school until both working parents arrive home in the evening. Behavioral problems have skyrocketed as a result.

    The "solution" is always more programs, rules and costs and bubbles blown and debts skyrocketing in an attempt by politicians to hide the economic damage and decline resulting from hamstrung domestic private business no longer vibrant enough to carry the burgeoning parasitic burden.

    This will have to end either via a rational, productive return to personal responsibility or in a complete statist clampdown where the result will resemble the Soviet "we pretend to work and you pretend to pay us" farce and complete ascendence of the police state road to serfdom upon which Americans are well on their way.
    Aug 19 11:03 AM | 11 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • eBay May Have 10.2% Upside Until Year-End [View article]
    "PayPal remains the most dominant payment platform."

    Which was once said about the Ebay marketplace before the slow growth produced by management's ever-changing but seller-unfriendly policies allowed Alibaba and Amazon to overtake it. There is no reason to assume a wisdom on the part of this company's management that will surpass it's formidable rivals once they fully develop their offerings in online payment either.
    Aug 18 12:49 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • VISUAL PROOF THAT THIS "BULL MARKET" IS A SCAM [View instapost]
    Good luck waking up the muppets. Buy the dips has worked for a very long time; how much asset-based circular lending can this house-of-cards financial paper-"backed" (debt) system continue before the emperor's new clothes are finally seen for what they are? Will we have an irreversible feudal society in place by then - if it isn't already too late?

    A serious crisis of confidence will show an even more insolvent system than 2008, and one now out of policymaker "magic bullets" to extend and pretend the ZIRP- and taxpayer-financed financial-paper tower of Babel they have constructed. The next options they choose will be determinative of whether a relatively free-market capitalism can emerge from the statist and kleptocratic mess that parasites and rentiers of all income levels who are have gained so many levers of power and control seem so determined to preserve at any and all cost.
    Aug 17 11:29 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Latest Unsustainable Trend [View article]
    Somehow corporate share repurchases always peak at the same time as share prices and then crater during such times as 2009 when prices are low.

    Rather than an insightful investment timed to undervalued shares, American corporate share repurchases are a drunken orgy for top management to maximize compensation and bonuses to be obtained by any means necessary, whenever possible, good stewardship be damned.
    Aug 15 05:12 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Japan's GDP Problems, The Big Picture [View article]
    Once upon a time, pre-2008 Wall Street crash, it was not uncommon to hear and read criticism of Japan's zombie banks and interests who were not allowed to fail after their 1988 stock market debacle and recognize losses, and whose propping up by government and CB diktat and taxpayer debt and financial repression was creating bottlenecks, inefficiencies and burdens that could be clearly observed as stifling Japan's economic growth.

    Fast forward to 2014 and we find such a discussion is not considered "serious" if it even finds it's way into centralized MSM at all as a footnote, even though Japan's policies have clearly been adopted by the US and Europe with similar, horrible results. Results can be seen as horrible because describing them as "pitiful" does not do justice to their corrosive effects visited on the "land of the free" to protect the interests of Wall Street, the "citadel of capitalism" by centralizing power in Washington and the Federal Reserve to socialize the failures of the ruling kleptocracy.

    It is no stretch to point out that this road points Japan and also the US towards the same economic results as seen in Venezuela whose command and control system is of the same ilk as the former USSR whose government's effect on it's economy was correctly described as sure to produce a shortage of sand if it were in charge of the Sahara.
    Aug 15 10:58 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Low-Rate Oasis Is A Mirage For Real Estate Stocks [View article]
    Ignored or minimized by mainstream economists, rising rates will have the disastrous effect on real estate as well as corporate and government finances, of taking money out of budgets or the value of assets from the owners while buyers do not see much improvement because increased interest payments will eat up any benefits.

    Inflationary Fed policies will commence to protect leveraged balance sheets on TBTF Wall Street and corporations from such asset destruction but they will finally meet bond vigilantes when they are in a position to demand higher interest rates which is only a matter of time. Trying to protect the level of leveraged junk financing based on inflated assets that has gone on during ZIRP will not succeed in reducing interest rates as successfully as it will cause the dollar to implode.
    Aug 14 02:24 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Wallets Remain Closed [View article]
    Another clear damning indictment of the mainstream economist, political and MSM "recovery" spin that cannot stand true scrutiny in the light of day.

    Each graph showing the last several eras of monetary bubble-blowing pumps and subsequent declines cannot help but illustrate the clearly declining efficacy of each "pump priming" binge even as those policies reach levels of excess debt and moneyprinting previously unimaginable.

    Even an imbecile can see what economists can't; what does that say of that "profession" in a time of an unparalleled world debt binge when it has never been more important for it's practitioners to contribute sanely according to professional and scientific standards?
    Aug 13 05:04 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Bini Smaghi Pleads For More Money Printing By The ECB [View article]
    "It should be obvious even to Bini Smaghi and those supporting his ideas that not even an iota of real wealth can possibly be created by increasing the money supply."

    Unfortunately that is not at all obvious to any of the elitestas in charge nor is it to many on SA who are entirely content as long as they reap the gains afforded by the policy of creating a "wealth effect" that has failed to spread into real business activity and hiring beyond levels that have always been associated with recessions in the past. In fact, monetary inflation is core to the prevailing Keynesian "logic" with longterm effects excused because "in the long run we are all dead."

    And the last quote in the article from Mises sums up how activist central planners always push the same kind of increasingly worthless fiat and financial paper as John Law did, as their schemes which are increasingly uneconomic the larger and longer they grow require ever more and greater lies to cover previous and metastasizing economic fraud.
    Aug 12 11:30 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Long Look At Productivity And The Stark Reality Of It [View article]
    This article shows that even fudged as they are, these official labor statistics provide perhaps the clearest condemnation yet of the mainstream "recovery" narrative and the ridiculous contortions of interrelationships that are required to suspend disbelief. Such as the extreme declining productivity that must be imputed to conjure a sufficiently if barely rising number of hours worked to maintain a continued "recovery" presupposition.

    And an excellent summation, "The absence of that wealth is as we see above, where labor suddenly stops holding its relative 'value' and the economy simply wastes resources in non-productive pursuits (like the endless churn of ledger money and credit through expansive bubbles)," which is precisely the conclusion narrowly-concentrated corporate MSM would have us avoid regarding the financialist paradise that leaves the public holding the debt bag while the Bernanke "wealth effect" that inflates financial assets, costs of living and keeps too many politically favored zombie economic interests and activities alive, continues to plague entrepreneurism and to dash true recovery on Main Street.
    Aug 11 10:48 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
3,775 Comments
16,061 Likes