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    <title>tr4head's Comments</title>
    <description>tr4head's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/user/846227/comments</link>
    <item>
      <title>The big year for utility funds is pretty much over, ISI&amp;nbsp;predicts, expecting regulated utilities to post a flat total return for the balance of 2013. Even though the Utilities ETF (XLU) has another 13% to go before matching its 2007 high, ISI views the group&amp;rsquo;s valuation at nearly 16x next year&amp;rsquo;s earnings, its exposure to a change in interest rates and its big outperformance YTD as key reasons to stay away.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/927081?source=feed#comment-17356591</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17356591</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[OK]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 08 Apr 2013 11:15:14 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[OK]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The big year for utility funds is pretty much over, ISI&amp;nbsp;predicts, expecting regulated utilities to post a flat total return for the balance of 2013. Even though the Utilities ETF (XLU) has another 13% to go before matching its 2007 high, ISI views the group&amp;rsquo;s valuation at nearly 16x next year&amp;rsquo;s earnings, its exposure to a change in interest rates and its big outperformance YTD as key reasons to stay away.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/927081?source=feed#comment-17356521</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17356521</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[They have been saying this since early last year, then again spring, then summer, fall and winter, not to mention earlier this year.<br/><br/>What folks will try to do to manipulate people into risk!]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 08 Apr 2013 11:14:26 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[They have been saying this since early last year, then again spring, then summer, fall and winter, not to mention earlier this year.<br/><br/>What folks will try to do to manipulate people into risk!]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The big year for utility funds is pretty much over, ISI&amp;nbsp;predicts, expecting regulated utilities to post a flat total return for the balance of 2013. Even though the Utilities ETF (XLU) has another 13% to go before matching its 2007 high, ISI views the group&amp;rsquo;s valuation at nearly 16x next year&amp;rsquo;s earnings, its exposure to a change in interest rates and its big outperformance YTD as key reasons to stay away.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/927081?source=feed#comment-17339131</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17339131</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[This story went out early last year, mid last year, end of last year, etc etc.   Same old news, but you can't beat nearly 4% yields.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 08 Apr 2013 02:00:48 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[This story went out early last year, mid last year, end of last year, etc etc.   Same old news, but you can't beat nearly 4% yields.]]>
      </description>
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      <title>Gold may have had its "last hurrah," says SocGen, expecting $1,375/oz. by the end of the year thanks to an improving U.S. economy bringing with it a stronger dollar and higher interest rates. SocGen also notes the turn in professional sentiment as evidenced by heavy ETF redemptions. GLD -0.9% premarket.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/920311?source=feed#comment-17272131</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17272131</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Copper has basically been flat since Spring 2010. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 05 Apr 2013 12:48:03 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Copper has basically been flat since Spring 2010. ]]>
      </description>
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      <title>A healthy market is supposed to rally on good news, yes? If so, things don't look good for the gold bulls, as the metal fails to muster any bounce on news of the massive BOJ easing. GLD -0.9% premarket with gold at $1,544/oz. - its lowest level since late June.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/925041?source=feed#comment-17222201</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17222201</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[BTW - US equities are already at year end (2013 consensus) - this is what happens when stocks are being hawked by all the pros, central bankers and FED.   Don't get fooled!]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 04 Apr 2013 13:45:25 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[BTW - US equities are already at year end (2013 consensus) - this is what happens when stocks are being hawked by all the pros, central bankers and FED.   Don't get fooled!]]>
      </description>
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      <title>A healthy market is supposed to rally on good news, yes? If so, things don't look good for the gold bulls, as the metal fails to muster any bounce on news of the massive BOJ easing. GLD -0.9% premarket with gold at $1,544/oz. - its lowest level since late June.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/925041?source=feed#comment-17208361</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17208361</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Unfortuntely, you are incorrect on all accounts.  Growth is ALWAYS faked higher, then revised lower.  Since the current adminstration took office, 13 or 19 GDP estimates were wrong on upside.  As to inflation, if you believe its 2%, then I have some swampland for you.   <br/><br/>I know its convenient to go along with the flow, but best advise now is to lighten way up on stocks (esp US and Europe, exc Emerging Markets/Asia) and start buying a little gold now when it is low. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 04 Apr 2013 09:36:02 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Unfortuntely, you are incorrect on all accounts.  Growth is ALWAYS faked higher, then revised lower.  Since the current adminstration took office, 13 or 19 GDP estimates were wrong on upside.  As to inflation, if you believe its 2%, then I have some swampland for you.   <br/><br/>I know its convenient to go along with the flow, but best advise now is to lighten way up on stocks (esp US and Europe, exc Emerging Markets/Asia) and start buying a little gold now when it is low. ]]>
      </description>
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      <title>Precious metals (GLD -1.4%, SLV -1.3%) tumble to new multi-month lows, with gold at $1,552/oz. the weakest since last summer and right near what technicians like to call long-term support going back to mid-2011. At $26.87, silver also threatens key chart levels.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/923851?source=feed#comment-17185151</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17185151</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Agree.  Have said in other posts on same general topic - 20 years from now, maybe sooner, we will look at this period as the great Wall Street/Govt Equities Con job.   It goes beyond making the administration look good (helping reelection as well) but to the most basic issue of developed world vs emerging market economies.  For example, if anyone has an answer (other than manipulation) for Europe equity markets as good or even better than Asia, then please let the rest of us know.   Asia and EMs have growth we can only dream of and with lower PEs.  Not to mention  booming middle classes of smarter and more hard working people that don't go on the dole.  <br/><br/>BTW, for those Bulls out there that believe the dribble about how we are out of recession (we are still in it IMO),  please explain how commodities are not following equities up if our developed world economies are doing so wonderfully?  You can fake inflation, unemployment and GDP, but you just can't fake commodity prices.  Lower commodity prices means no growth, no growth means recession.<br/><br/><br/>.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 03 Apr 2013 17:05:36 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Agree.  Have said in other posts on same general topic - 20 years from now, maybe sooner, we will look at this period as the great Wall Street/Govt Equities Con job.   It goes beyond making the administration look good (helping reelection as well) but to the most basic issue of developed world vs emerging market economies.  For example, if anyone has an answer (other than manipulation) for Europe equity markets as good or even better than Asia, then please let the rest of us know.   Asia and EMs have growth we can only dream of and with lower PEs.  Not to mention  booming middle classes of smarter and more hard working people that don't go on the dole.  <br/><br/>BTW, for those Bulls out there that believe the dribble about how we are out of recession (we are still in it IMO),  please explain how commodities are not following equities up if our developed world economies are doing so wonderfully?  You can fake inflation, unemployment and GDP, but you just can't fake commodity prices.  Lower commodity prices means no growth, no growth means recession.<br/><br/><br/>.  ]]>
      </description>
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      <title>Gold futures fell $25 to settle at $1,575.90/oz., near four-week lows, as strength in the dollar and rallying U.S. equities has wiped out gains logged when Cyprus began to hit the headlines. Mining stocks such as Goldcorp (GG -2.8%), Barrick (ABX -2.2%), Kinross (KGC -4.3%) and Newmont (NEM -3.7%) are down in tandem with gold prices.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/921341?source=feed#comment-17131771</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17131771</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Gold down and dollar up - this is madness, or manipulation.  Chose your poison!]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 02 Apr 2013 17:37:36 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Gold down and dollar up - this is madness, or manipulation.  Chose your poison!]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Gold may have had its "last hurrah," says SocGen, expecting $1,375/oz. by the end of the year thanks to an improving U.S. economy bringing with it a stronger dollar and higher interest rates. SocGen also notes the turn in professional sentiment as evidenced by heavy ETF redemptions. GLD -0.9% premarket.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/920311?source=feed#comment-17115581</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17115581</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[20 years from now, maybe sooner, this is part of what will be called the great &quot;Obama Stock Market Con Job.&quot;    The goal of our current administration and compliant Central and Regional Bankers/Wall Street Brokers is to lie to the American People re economic growth and low equity valuations.   There is no objective evidence of either, you only have to look at the numbers and we all know something is dead wrong when commodities DON'T follow growth.  Why?  The simple answer is that commodity prices can't be faked - they go up and down with economic activity.  We have faked the recovery. <br/><br/>Why did this happen?  You only have to know that we are in a game of survival with emerging markets, mainly SE Asia.  Rather than try to improve our economy the old fashioned way (improve education, work ethics, small govt, low taxes and limited  regulation) the wall streeters like this author are happy keeping things going merrily along with big govt/big business collaboration.<br/><br/>The WSJ the other day finally admitted that the market bump under the Obama admin. has been entirely due to Wall Street pros.  These pros are now wringing their hands wondering why the little guy has not jumped in?  Simple - it will play out just like 2000.   The last bump up, the big guys sell en masses and there is nowhere to turn.  We know better and we won't be fooled again. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 02 Apr 2013 12:03:36 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[20 years from now, maybe sooner, this is part of what will be called the great &quot;Obama Stock Market Con Job.&quot;    The goal of our current administration and compliant Central and Regional Bankers/Wall Street Brokers is to lie to the American People re economic growth and low equity valuations.   There is no objective evidence of either, you only have to look at the numbers and we all know something is dead wrong when commodities DON'T follow growth.  Why?  The simple answer is that commodity prices can't be faked - they go up and down with economic activity.  We have faked the recovery. <br/><br/>Why did this happen?  You only have to know that we are in a game of survival with emerging markets, mainly SE Asia.  Rather than try to improve our economy the old fashioned way (improve education, work ethics, small govt, low taxes and limited  regulation) the wall streeters like this author are happy keeping things going merrily along with big govt/big business collaboration.<br/><br/>The WSJ the other day finally admitted that the market bump under the Obama admin. has been entirely due to Wall Street pros.  These pros are now wringing their hands wondering why the little guy has not jumped in?  Simple - it will play out just like 2000.   The last bump up, the big guys sell en masses and there is nowhere to turn.  We know better and we won't be fooled again. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Up 10%, Are Stocks Now Too Dangerous To Hold?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1309681/comments?source=feed#comment-17051441</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17051441</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Well, the cat is out of the bag.   FINALLY, the WSJ reported that the Obama bull run (yes, its his unfortunately) has been due to professionals.   The pros have been upset that the little guy has not joined their party.   The bulls, like Mr. Mr. Brochsetin, are a little perturbed that there is simply no volume supporting their cause. So, as part of the master plan, which has been the same for many such overbought cycles, they need to get main street to buy in to the hype.  Then, they can sell and the little guy is once more trying to catch the falling knife. <br/><br/>I am a bear not because of the lies (and there have been many lies posted by the pros about growth, inflation, unemployment and earnings valuations) but because the developed world is in a last gasp fight to the death - and sad to say, they are going to lose.   All of Mr. Bronsteins views are nothing - you have to only look at the future  and forward PEs, which are as high as they have ever been.  <br/><br/>Its a con and the big guys know they have overbought.  They are desperate to get the last push up from the little guy, and then they sell and wait for the next go-round. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 01 Apr 2013 00:16:23 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Well, the cat is out of the bag.   FINALLY, the WSJ reported that the Obama bull run (yes, its his unfortunately) has been due to professionals.   The pros have been upset that the little guy has not joined their party.   The bulls, like Mr. Mr. Brochsetin, are a little perturbed that there is simply no volume supporting their cause. So, as part of the master plan, which has been the same for many such overbought cycles, they need to get main street to buy in to the hype.  Then, they can sell and the little guy is once more trying to catch the falling knife. <br/><br/>I am a bear not because of the lies (and there have been many lies posted by the pros about growth, inflation, unemployment and earnings valuations) but because the developed world is in a last gasp fight to the death - and sad to say, they are going to lose.   All of Mr. Bronsteins views are nothing - you have to only look at the future  and forward PEs, which are as high as they have ever been.  <br/><br/>Its a con and the big guys know they have overbought.  They are desperate to get the last push up from the little guy, and then they sell and wait for the next go-round. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Up 10%, Are Stocks Now Too Dangerous To Hold?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1309681/comments?source=feed#comment-17051401</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17051401</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Stocks are up already beyond the year end consensus of broker predictions made at the end of 2012.  And, you think that the market is priced for more growth?  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 01 Apr 2013 00:15:25 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Stocks are up already beyond the year end consensus of broker predictions made at the end of 2012.  And, you think that the market is priced for more growth?  ]]>
      </description>
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      <title>An unmistakable trend is under way as investors cash in their bond ETF holdings and pour the money into stock funds. "A lot of fixed-income oriented people have decided to start chasing equities," says an ETF trader, as they fear being left behind by an equity market juggernaut (they already have been). Also seeing a rush are precious metals ETFs - the physical and the miners.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/551901?source=feed#comment-17001741</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">17001741</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Well, its 3-29-13 and guess what, stocks have been boosted - but so have bonds, so not the massive shift that the Bulls tried to fabricate.  Better have plenty of stop losses set for equities, because when people realize that valuations are near all time highs for DOW on going forward PE basis, the falling knife is hard to catch. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 29 Mar 2013 21:45:01 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Well, its 3-29-13 and guess what, stocks have been boosted - but so have bonds, so not the massive shift that the Bulls tried to fabricate.  Better have plenty of stop losses set for equities, because when people realize that valuations are near all time highs for DOW on going forward PE basis, the falling knife is hard to catch. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Where Did All The Bears Go?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1294501/comments?source=feed#comment-16663991</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16663991</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[No Bears = Recipe For Developed World Disaster.    The only bears are ind. investors, who have learned what happens in the end game - they get stuck and the big guys get out. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 22 Mar 2013 13:27:57 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[No Bears = Recipe For Developed World Disaster.    The only bears are ind. investors, who have learned what happens in the end game - they get stuck and the big guys get out. ]]>
      </description>
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      <title>Western markets are mostly marking time alongside the events in Cyprus, but emerging market debt continues a downtrend begun some time ago with the EMB hitting an 8-month low today. It's likewise with equities - off more than 5% YTD, EEM, VWO, and DEM are getting smoked by the SPY.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/905211?source=feed#comment-16662881</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16662881</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[SPY and DIA are, unfortunately, going to be long term losers compared to the growth prospects and better financials in EMs and esp China than the Developed world economies. These areas have been beaten down by manipulators - its us vs them and we are going to lose the economic battles of the next 50 years.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 22 Mar 2013 13:11:03 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[SPY and DIA are, unfortunately, going to be long term losers compared to the growth prospects and better financials in EMs and esp China than the Developed world economies. These areas have been beaten down by manipulators - its us vs them and we are going to lose the economic battles of the next 50 years.  ]]>
      </description>
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    <item>
      <title>Dollar (UUP) bullishness of 72% of respondents reached the highest level in the history of BAML's fund manager survey. At the same time, bearishness on U.S. stocks (SPY) reversed, with a net 5% calling the U.S. the market it most wishes to overweight vs. 19% underweight in January. (PR)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/897001?source=feed#comment-16636321</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16636321</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Thanks Jason -]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 21 Mar 2013 22:29:59 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Thanks Jason -]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>QE Hides In The Shadows</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1285751/comments?source=feed#comment-16510881</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16510881</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[&quot;As economic conditions accelerate to the upside ...&quot;<br/><br/>Huh?  Are you talking China or Japan?]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 19 Mar 2013 15:49:38 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[&quot;As economic conditions accelerate to the upside ...&quot;<br/><br/>Huh?  Are you talking China or Japan?]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Dollar (UUP) bullishness of 72% of respondents reached the highest level in the history of BAML's fund manager survey. At the same time, bearishness on U.S. stocks (SPY) reversed, with a net 5% calling the U.S. the market it most wishes to overweight vs. 19% underweight in January. (PR)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/897001?source=feed#comment-16510551</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16510551</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[&quot;Dollar (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup' title='PowerShares DB USD Bull ETF'>UUP</a>) bullishness of 72% of respondents reached the highest level in the history of BAML's fund manager survey. &quot;<br/><br/>When you publish a story that defies all common sense (who believes $ is going up in the midst of another pending US debt  downgrade?), it would be beneficial for you [SA] to povide a source or remove all references to this poll of fund managers.  <br/><br/>This story is without a credible reference, no valid author source and appears to be little more than propaganda for the US economy.   Like most people, I invest with eyes wide open and no rose colored glasses.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 19 Mar 2013 15:43:27 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[&quot;Dollar (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/uup' title='PowerShares DB USD Bull ETF'>UUP</a>) bullishness of 72% of respondents reached the highest level in the history of BAML's fund manager survey. &quot;<br/><br/>When you publish a story that defies all common sense (who believes $ is going up in the midst of another pending US debt  downgrade?), it would be beneficial for you [SA] to povide a source or remove all references to this poll of fund managers.  <br/><br/>This story is without a credible reference, no valid author source and appears to be little more than propaganda for the US economy.   Like most people, I invest with eyes wide open and no rose colored glasses.  ]]>
      </description>
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    <item>
      <title>More on the BAML survey: Just 14% of respondents expect the Chinese economy to be stronger a year from now, representing "one of the sharpest falls in this reading in the survey's history." The thinking is behind a shift out of emerging equity markets (EEM. DEM, VWO) and into developed - notably the U.S. and Japan. It also coincides with a sharp correction in Chinese stocks (FXI, CAF) over the last month.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/897041?source=feed#comment-16496141</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16496141</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Never heard of this survey - can you tell us who sponsored and paid for it?   I suspect that it is from folks scared to death of the coming massive transfer of wealth from Developed World to EMs.   The view that is projected is exactly wrong and not supported by anything other than sentiment being pushed by Wall Street.  The sad fact for us and Europe is that we are in a long term state of decline vis a vis EMs and their growing middle class (ours is shrinking).   <br/><br/>The Developed world is losing and will continue to lose long term because of massive debt and lazy citizens wanting largess from people that work.  Not to mention the fact that our kids don't hold a candle to Asia in education and ability.  <br/><br/>China's &quot;slowing&quot; GDP growth rate is something we can only dream of.   If you invest in the Developed world you invest in ongoing recession, more debt and massive structural changes that are unstoppable. <br/><br/>The shift out of EMs has been done by institutions in the Developed world for one purpose - to slow capital flight from us to them.   Shanghai composite is flat YTD while ETFs that invest in China are down 7%.   This is not sustainable and the reverse correction to fundamentals cannot be stopped, now is a great opportunity to buy FXI.  You cant hold it down for long, the squeeze is coming.      <br/><br/>Make no mistake - this so-called poll is nothing more than propoganda fostered by people in the US and Europe that want you to think EMs are too &quot;risky&quot;.   The facts are a stubborn thing and the fact is that EMs are less risky now than at anytime in history.  We are going to lose the war against the &quot;developing&quot; world.   So, if you want to make money now and in the future, short the Developed world (esp Europe) and buy EMs (esp Asia).]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 19 Mar 2013 11:31:59 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Never heard of this survey - can you tell us who sponsored and paid for it?   I suspect that it is from folks scared to death of the coming massive transfer of wealth from Developed World to EMs.   The view that is projected is exactly wrong and not supported by anything other than sentiment being pushed by Wall Street.  The sad fact for us and Europe is that we are in a long term state of decline vis a vis EMs and their growing middle class (ours is shrinking).   <br/><br/>The Developed world is losing and will continue to lose long term because of massive debt and lazy citizens wanting largess from people that work.  Not to mention the fact that our kids don't hold a candle to Asia in education and ability.  <br/><br/>China's &quot;slowing&quot; GDP growth rate is something we can only dream of.   If you invest in the Developed world you invest in ongoing recession, more debt and massive structural changes that are unstoppable. <br/><br/>The shift out of EMs has been done by institutions in the Developed world for one purpose - to slow capital flight from us to them.   Shanghai composite is flat YTD while ETFs that invest in China are down 7%.   This is not sustainable and the reverse correction to fundamentals cannot be stopped, now is a great opportunity to buy FXI.  You cant hold it down for long, the squeeze is coming.      <br/><br/>Make no mistake - this so-called poll is nothing more than propoganda fostered by people in the US and Europe that want you to think EMs are too &quot;risky&quot;.   The facts are a stubborn thing and the fact is that EMs are less risky now than at anytime in history.  We are going to lose the war against the &quot;developing&quot; world.   So, if you want to make money now and in the future, short the Developed world (esp Europe) and buy EMs (esp Asia).]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Apple: A Canary In The Stock Market Coal Mine</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1280311/comments?source=feed#comment-16406841</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16406841</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[All makes sense except your unloading China.   If there is anything good out there now, it is China which has been beaten down by Wall Street naysayers.  China Shanghai now has a PE of 9 vs 15-16 for US equities today. China has a growth rate more than triple ours - that is if we have even have growth. The PE for China is at the lowest level now in years vs our sky high valuations.  You need to be buying China - the so called &quot;slow down&quot; is to a level we can only dream of in the US.  <br/><br/>There is no fundamental reason for the reverse pricing going on between Developed World vs China (and also Emerging World)  other than manipulation by those that know we are in an economic fight to the death with Asia and there job is simple - prevent capital flight to China by beating investor sentiment down with ridiculous &quot;risk&quot; statements.  This has resulted in Shanghai Index down .30% and FXI down well over 7% (not apples to apples, but a close comparison).   The economic risks in China has been much higher in the past and now is no worse than ours while getting better with each passing year.   We (US/Europe) are on a long term trajectory downward against Asia for a myriad or reasons. <br/><br/>Bottom line - Asia has more people who are smarter than our HS graduates by the time they get to 9th grade.    This is resulting in a growing middle class, not a stagnating or disappearing middle class like we have.  Those are the long term trends that Wall Street can't gloss over.  China will have steady economic growth for years to come and risk factors will be reducing further, as ours will continue to rise.   Expect another smackdown in US credit rating soon as we become more Socialistic and China more Democratic.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 17 Mar 2013 15:27:39 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[All makes sense except your unloading China.   If there is anything good out there now, it is China which has been beaten down by Wall Street naysayers.  China Shanghai now has a PE of 9 vs 15-16 for US equities today. China has a growth rate more than triple ours - that is if we have even have growth. The PE for China is at the lowest level now in years vs our sky high valuations.  You need to be buying China - the so called &quot;slow down&quot; is to a level we can only dream of in the US.  <br/><br/>There is no fundamental reason for the reverse pricing going on between Developed World vs China (and also Emerging World)  other than manipulation by those that know we are in an economic fight to the death with Asia and there job is simple - prevent capital flight to China by beating investor sentiment down with ridiculous &quot;risk&quot; statements.  This has resulted in Shanghai Index down .30% and FXI down well over 7% (not apples to apples, but a close comparison).   The economic risks in China has been much higher in the past and now is no worse than ours while getting better with each passing year.   We (US/Europe) are on a long term trajectory downward against Asia for a myriad or reasons. <br/><br/>Bottom line - Asia has more people who are smarter than our HS graduates by the time they get to 9th grade.    This is resulting in a growing middle class, not a stagnating or disappearing middle class like we have.  Those are the long term trends that Wall Street can't gloss over.  China will have steady economic growth for years to come and risk factors will be reducing further, as ours will continue to rise.   Expect another smackdown in US credit rating soon as we become more Socialistic and China more Democratic.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Rebalance Periodically, Review Frequently</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1276371/comments?source=feed#comment-16376371</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16376371</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[moat:  see my prior comment about China.  Europe is up more than Asia now by significant margin and they are in recession.   Go figure.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 16 Mar 2013 14:54:07 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[moat:  see my prior comment about China.  Europe is up more than Asia now by significant margin and they are in recession.   Go figure.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Rebalance Periodically, Review Frequently</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1276371/comments?source=feed#comment-16344501</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16344501</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[EMs are being pushed down on low volume by US/European investment bankers.   This happened last year, but soon enough they will leave US and Europe behind.   There is no reason why the so called &quot;risk factor&quot; is significantly higher now for EMs than it was, say 20 years ago when the PE was much higher.  China Shanghai has a PE of 9  vs 15-16 for US equities today.  China also has growth rate more than triple ours - that is if we have growth.  The PE is at the lowest level now in years vs our sky high valuations.  <br/><br/>There is no fundamental reason for the reverse pricing going on between Developed World vs Emerging World other than manipulation.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 15 Mar 2013 16:34:52 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[EMs are being pushed down on low volume by US/European investment bankers.   This happened last year, but soon enough they will leave US and Europe behind.   There is no reason why the so called &quot;risk factor&quot; is significantly higher now for EMs than it was, say 20 years ago when the PE was much higher.  China Shanghai has a PE of 9  vs 15-16 for US equities today.  China also has growth rate more than triple ours - that is if we have growth.  The PE is at the lowest level now in years vs our sky high valuations.  <br/><br/>There is no fundamental reason for the reverse pricing going on between Developed World vs Emerging World other than manipulation.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Utilities' Dividends Look Unsustainable</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1260341/comments?source=feed#comment-16293601</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16293601</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[The fact that the DOW has moved up WITHOUT volume is the negative indicator.  This is a classic overbought signal, the little guy is pushing it up and they will run out of steam.  The big guys aren't buying, and they usually know when its time to go - leaving the little guy catching the falling knife.  This happens all the time. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 14 Mar 2013 16:09:33 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[The fact that the DOW has moved up WITHOUT volume is the negative indicator.  This is a classic overbought signal, the little guy is pushing it up and they will run out of steam.  The big guys aren't buying, and they usually know when its time to go - leaving the little guy catching the falling knife.  This happens all the time. ]]>
      </description>
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    <item>
      <title>The trailing P/E ratio on the S&amp;amp;P 500 (SPY) has creeped up to 15.25 from just above 13 late last spring, writes Bespoke. There's nothing unusual about rising valuations during rallies, they say, but keep it on your radar. Contributing most of late to rising multiples have been Staples (XLP) and Discretionary (XLY), but dividend favorites Telecoms (XTL) and Utilities (XLU) continue to trade at nosebleed (for them) valuations.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/882651?source=feed#comment-16287601</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16287601</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[XLU has a much better yield than S&amp;P/DOW (almost a 4% yield) and similar  trailing PE (but close).  Still, I think you have your risk/reward ratio backwards.   We have already passed consensus DOW level for all of 2013.    Risk ON is exactly the wrong advise now, need to be defensive and utilities are always a good defense for downturn.    Example - XLU down 17% in 2008 when DOW was lower 50%. <br/><br/>Your argument might hold if there is GDP growth, but none is on the horizon, so your DOW PE will go to way higher than nosebleed, probably a rupture.   I think XLU is a much better deal - better yield than S&amp;P and better downside equity risk from the ongoing recession.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 14 Mar 2013 14:21:47 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[XLU has a much better yield than S&amp;P/DOW (almost a 4% yield) and similar  trailing PE (but close).  Still, I think you have your risk/reward ratio backwards.   We have already passed consensus DOW level for all of 2013.    Risk ON is exactly the wrong advise now, need to be defensive and utilities are always a good defense for downturn.    Example - XLU down 17% in 2008 when DOW was lower 50%. <br/><br/>Your argument might hold if there is GDP growth, but none is on the horizon, so your DOW PE will go to way higher than nosebleed, probably a rupture.   I think XLU is a much better deal - better yield than S&amp;P and better downside equity risk from the ongoing recession.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Utilities' Dividends Look Unsustainable</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/1260341/comments?source=feed#comment-16063181</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16063181</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[What is unsustainable are US equity prices, now priced absurdly high based on prior year PE ratios.  I will take 4% XLU yields over the risk of no growth US equities for the rest of the year any day.  We have already reached consensus highs on US stocks due to the nutty push up by late comer ind. investors, who always come in just before the fall.    ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 08 Mar 2013 22:57:27 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[What is unsustainable are US equity prices, now priced absurdly high based on prior year PE ratios.  I will take 4% XLU yields over the risk of no growth US equities for the rest of the year any day.  We have already reached consensus highs on US stocks due to the nutty push up by late comer ind. investors, who always come in just before the fall.    ]]>
      </description>
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    <item>
      <title>Even as his hand has gone ice-cold picking stocks, John Paulson's stake in gold (GLD) has served as a positive counterweight for his funds. That's no more as gold's slide (along with the miners - GDX) spurred an 18% decline in his Gold Fund in February, and is now down 26% YTD, reports Bloomberg. "We believe in the long-term outlook for these positions as QE programs continue around the world," he writes to clients.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/873471?source=feed#comment-16004531</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">16004531</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Bernake said that “The state of inflation expectations greatly influences actual inflation and thus the central bank’s ability to achieve price stability.”<br/><br/>This seems a Machiavellan type reasoning that could influence our govt to falsify or at least minimize inflation.  They hide it so we don't expect it, and cause it to occur.<br/><br/>In other words, its all about mind control.  And the inflation numbers are BS.  Just use your own common sense.  Do you know anybody that says that their cost of living has barely increased since 2008?   Me neither.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 07 Mar 2013 17:40:12 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Bernake said that “The state of inflation expectations greatly influences actual inflation and thus the central bank’s ability to achieve price stability.”<br/><br/>This seems a Machiavellan type reasoning that could influence our govt to falsify or at least minimize inflation.  They hide it so we don't expect it, and cause it to occur.<br/><br/>In other words, its all about mind control.  And the inflation numbers are BS.  Just use your own common sense.  Do you know anybody that says that their cost of living has barely increased since 2008?   Me neither.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Even as his hand has gone ice-cold picking stocks, John Paulson's stake in gold (GLD) has served as a positive counterweight for his funds. That's no more as gold's slide (along with the miners - GDX) spurred an 18% decline in his Gold Fund in February, and is now down 26% YTD, reports Bloomberg. "We believe in the long-term outlook for these positions as QE programs continue around the world," he writes to clients.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/873471?source=feed#comment-15983411</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">15983411</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Everything you say is true, except for one problem.  The inflation numbers are pure crap.  Statistics don't lie, but liars figure statistics.  How is it that you believe US inflation stats when the rest of the world is inflating (even UK now)?   13 of 19 quarterly stats since 2008 were later corrected to show lower GDP growth and greater GDP declines.   Like I said, our numbers are BS because they have to be in order to prevent collapse and keep QE.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 07 Mar 2013 11:50:03 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Everything you say is true, except for one problem.  The inflation numbers are pure crap.  Statistics don't lie, but liars figure statistics.  How is it that you believe US inflation stats when the rest of the world is inflating (even UK now)?   13 of 19 quarterly stats since 2008 were later corrected to show lower GDP growth and greater GDP declines.   Like I said, our numbers are BS because they have to be in order to prevent collapse and keep QE.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Even as his hand has gone ice-cold picking stocks, John Paulson's stake in gold (GLD) has served as a positive counterweight for his funds. That's no more as gold's slide (along with the miners - GDX) spurred an 18% decline in his Gold Fund in February, and is now down 26% YTD, reports Bloomberg. "We believe in the long-term outlook for these positions as QE programs continue around the world," he writes to clients.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/873471?source=feed#comment-15983341</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">15983341</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[In a years time, I think you will be happy.  <br/><br/>Interesting to note that SLV and DGP (double gold) have been almost in lockstep the last year.   ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 07 Mar 2013 11:48:49 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[In a years time, I think you will be happy.  <br/><br/>Interesting to note that SLV and DGP (double gold) have been almost in lockstep the last year.   ]]>
      </description>
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    <item>
      <title>"The risks of being out of the game are huge compared to the risks of being in it," says Warren Buffett (BRK.B) is his annual letter, continuing to pursue elephants after being shut out in 2012 (he's already bagged one this year). He chides his fellow CEOs and the "uncertainty" meme about why they're not investing, noting Berkshire spent a record $9.8B on plant and equipment last year. "Of course the immediate future is uncertain; America has faced the unknown since 1776."</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/863271?source=feed#comment-15735451</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">15735451</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[But are govt economic statements quotable for anything other than propoganda?<br/><br/>Since Obama was elected in 2008 we have had 13/19 quarters of Govt GDP estimates that were too high on GDP growth and too low on GDP declines. Does not sound like economic recovery to me but if you say a lie enough, gullible people believe.<br/><br/>Now, we believe them when they say &quot;no inflation&quot;? ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 02 Mar 2013 12:37:52 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[But are govt economic statements quotable for anything other than propoganda?<br/><br/>Since Obama was elected in 2008 we have had 13/19 quarters of Govt GDP estimates that were too high on GDP growth and too low on GDP declines. Does not sound like economic recovery to me but if you say a lie enough, gullible people believe.<br/><br/>Now, we believe them when they say &quot;no inflation&quot;? ]]>
      </description>
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      <title>Goldman slashes its 2013 gold price target to $1,600 from $1,810 citing ... recent price declines. What wonderful value-added. Searching for a better reason to justify its fancy pay, the team notes a small increase in U.S. real interest rates as well as the perceived hawkish FOMC minutes (refuted by a half dozen Fed speakers over the past few days). GLD -0.3% premarket.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/850911?source=feed#comment-15540811</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">15540811</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[&quot;Ahhh.  A profit deal, huh.  Step right up and buy some crap!&quot;]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 26 Feb 2013 15:43:53 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[&quot;Ahhh.  A profit deal, huh.  Step right up and buy some crap!&quot;]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Goldman slashes its 2013 gold price target to $1,600 from $1,810 citing ... recent price declines. What wonderful value-added. Searching for a better reason to justify its fancy pay, the team notes a small increase in U.S. real interest rates as well as the perceived hawkish FOMC minutes (refuted by a half dozen Fed speakers over the past few days). GLD -0.3% premarket.</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/850911?source=feed#comment-15540781</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">15540781</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Since Obama was elected in 2008 we have had 13/19 quarters of Govt GDP estimates that were too high on GDP growth and too low on GDP declines.   Does not sound like economic recovery to me but if you say a lie enough, gullible people believe.   <br/><br/>Now, we believe them when they say &quot;no inflation&quot;?   ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 26 Feb 2013 15:43:05 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Since Obama was elected in 2008 we have had 13/19 quarters of Govt GDP estimates that were too high on GDP growth and too low on GDP declines.   Does not sound like economic recovery to me but if you say a lie enough, gullible people believe.   <br/><br/>Now, we believe them when they say &quot;no inflation&quot;?   ]]>
      </description>
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