I'm a small investor. As such I focus on the nano to small cap range. As this area generally seems to be under-researched. I'm probably wrong about as often as right in that I fully reserve the right to be very wrong. I'm currently working as a physicist by trade though you'll find no quant articles from me. I consider myself committed to fundamental analysis. The extent of my direct finance background simply consists of the 20 or so credit hours of economics I took back in college. That and managing my (very) small portfolio.
I am an experienced individual investor who has been trading merger arbitrage stocks and options since the 90's. I am a writer with a Master of Science from Northwestern University and I truly enjoy writing articles about the stock market. I try to look for opportunities where the odds are in my favor and there is a definite edge. On Seeking Alpha my articles will aim to provide insight and favorable risk/reward for the readers.However, I am not an investment advisor so any recomendations or ideas I write about in my articles, blogs, or comments shouldn't be taken as investment advice. I recommend using my writings as a starting point to which you should add your own research or that of an investment advisor.
"Any time you make a bet with the best of it, where the odds are in your favor, you have earned something on that bet, whether you actually win or lose the bet. By the same token, when you make a bet with the worst of it, where the odds are not in your favor, you have lost something, whether you actually win or lose the bet."
-David Sklansky, "The Theory of Poker"
My work consists in procuring investment situations for clients where the estimated monetary value of a quoted financial security is significantly higher than its market cost; thus establishing a margin of safety in investments that allows for market outperformance and a lower risk profile in the long term. During this time I have successfully identified and invested in inefficiently priced financial securities that with few exceptions have outperformed global equity markets.
My experience is further divided into two types of investments:
1.) General Equity Investments: Investments in companies whose true value is unrecognised by equity markets.
+Asset Value. Shares of companies selling for much less than their net asset value, liquidation value or those that have substantial hidden assets.
+Earnings Power Value. Shares of companies selling for much less than their cost of capital times their earnings, normalised earnings or their earnings potential.
+Great businesses at great prices. Shares of companies with excellent ROIC levels and competitive advantages selling for a price unreflective of such characteristics.
2.) Special Situations: Financial opportunities characterised by an unlocking of value via a complicated or uncommon financial structure that tend to be disregarded by market participants.
To realise the aforementioned investments, I read a great number of financial documents, reports and news articles daily and analyse and model my findings. While doing so my strategic framing and approach is two-fold:
+ Defensive Strategy: Monitoring and analysing the composition of the client’s securities portfolio and acting accordingly when the estimated value of a financial security changes.
+ Offensive Strategy: Exploring the global marketplace in search for investment opportunities, analysing them quantitatively and qualitatively and comparing them to the client’s opportunity cost (i.e. cash, current portfolio positions or other potential investments).