Dr. Kris has two degrees from MIT because one just wasn't enough. Her life goal was to figure out the universe and having done that (at least to her satisfaction), she decided to tackle something even more difficult—the stock market.
Applying the scientific method along with an insatiably curious mind, she began trading stocks, futures, and options in order to find the holy grail to market success. She's discovered to her immense satisfaction that not only is there one way to succeed but many. Combining her love of cooking with the stock market, she's devised recipes for investment success designed to please the palate of most investors. Dr. Kris currently manages a private equity long/short portfolio and writes of her current research projects that appear on her website, StockMarketCookBook.com.
Her most exciting project is applying market timing models to Modern Portfolio Theory to not only give greater returns but at substantially lower levels of risk. (See PortfolioPreserver.com for further information.)
Equipment Sales history Gas, Mining, Construction, Water, Foundations, and Environmental projects in the Western Hemisphere. Investing to build value, and enjoy challenges and learning from respected members of the community
Investor. Mission: Help people make money. Degree: Chemistry from Vassar College. Featured author of Momentum Options Weekly Wrap (http://momentumoptionstrading.com/ )
Follow me on Motley Fool Caps at http://caps.fool.com/player/modestus1.aspx .
For short-term ideas about big movers, follow my StockTalks. But please note I am not the best short term stock picker. I am 7-0-1 in the long term, but 0-3 in the short term. If you want better short term pickers, I recommend Michael Filloon and Alfred Little.
Over the last 12 years, I am 7-4-1. I was up 130%, 290%, 105%, 356%, 19%, 275%, 526% from 2001-2007 respectively, and down 9%, 39%, 72% from 2008-2010 respectively. In 2011, I was flat, but some ill-timed trades (should have held AG) caused a loss of 17% and 14% in 2012 and 2013. Note: gains and losses include transaction costs. 2009 and 2010, I traded frequently, adding up transaction costs. That is why I favor longterm holding over shortterm trading.
I invest in all stocks. I don't agree that US stocks are the safest. Want a safe stock, try TEVA. It did not fall much, or at all, during the credit crisis. And generics are the future.
Being a chemistry graduate, I tend to focus of the drug, medical, biotech, and chemical industries. So far, I wrote about 5 medical companies (RPC, OREX, KV.A, PLX, & XOMA). OREX and KV.A were right on target, though KV.A has fallen back hard after reaching their highs, which surprised me. PLX was half right: it did get a negative letter from the FDA, but the options strategy was wrong. For RPC, so far, I have been wrong, and exited my position in mid-May. XOMA also has fallen since I wrote about it.
However, I also cover diverse stocks, from BIDU to NCT. Ignoring other industries is a big mistake. I look for stocks I find undervalued on both a value perspective and a growth perspective, but placing more emphasis on growth. I combine both fundamental and technical analysis. The fundamentals only tell you part of the story.
Anybody can make money. Don't let Wall Street analysts manipulate you. Their analysis is good, but don't take everything they say. Good luck investing, and I will do everything I can to make you money.
Oh, and I invest in rather risky stocks with high potentials. If you are nearing retirement, I don't recommend you copy my portfolio. I will label my stocks with the risk/reward factor. I am adding a watch list with some stocks for retirement investors that I like. All watch list stocks are long term holdings.
BRK.B (very low risk/medium reward)
AAPL (low risk/medium reward)
TNH (low risk/medium reward)
JNS(low risk/medium reward)
RNF (low risk/high reward)
CVRR (low risk/high reward)
NRZ (medium risk/medium reward)
NEWM (medium risk/medium reward)
NCT (medium risk/high reward)
HOV (medium risk/high reward)
RSOL (high risk/high reward)
ESTE (high risk/very high reward)
YRCW (very high risk/very high reward)
JAZZ (medium risk/high reward)
NFLX (medium risk/high reward)
LVS (medium risk/high reward)
SAM (medium risk/high reward)
CMG (medium risk/high reward)
ZNH (medium risk/high reward)
RDY (medium risk/high reward)
MNK (medium risk/high reward)
YZC (low risk/high reward)
CF (low risk/high reward)
TTM (low risk/high reward)
NVO (low risk/high reward)
BIDU (low risk/high reward)
PCLN (low risk/high reward)
CLF (low risk/medium reward)
AAPL (low risk/medium reward)
GOOG (low risk/medium reward)
TEVA (low risk/medium reward)
CIM (low risk/medium reward) - dividend stock
TNH (low risk/medium reward) - dividend stock
GOL (low risk/medium reward) - dividend stock
SID (low risk/medium reward) - dividend stock
Martin Vlcek is a full-time investor and analyst who has been actively investing and managing money for more than 15 years. Martin has an Economics degree. He currently works for an asset management company BH Securities. Ideas and information expressed in his articles on SeekingAlpha are his own and don't represent an official BH Securities opinion. Martin’s investment philosophy is to hold a truly diversified portfolio of investments across asset classes with low or negative correlation and a positive carry if possible. His primary stock investment focus is on undervalued stocks with upcoming catalysts and a favorable reward-to-risk ratio.
Martin became a full-time investor and money manager after a 15-year career in online marketing where he was one of the pioneers of the pay-per-click search. Martin later held managerial positions at several Fortune 500 companies and also managed his own startup company.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Martin is not a Registered Investment Advisor, Broker/Dealer, Securities Broker or Financial Planner. The Information in his articles, his comment and his premium subscription service on SeekingAlpha.com or elsewhere is provided for information purposes only. The Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice, is general in nature and not specific to any individual. Before using Martin's information to make an investment decision, you should seek the advice of a qualified and registered securities professional and undertake your own due diligence. None of the information provided by Martin is intended as investment advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation, endorsement, or sponsorship of any security, company, or fund. Martin is not responsible for any investment decision made by you. You are responsible for your own investment research and investment decisions.
I'm a computer engineer with a great interest in finance. I'm not a pro, I do it for my family. But I'll share what I know and try to be as helpful as I can. I own about 10% of my assets in precious metals. As for currencies, I keep about 75% CAD vs 25% USD of my assets. I have about 35% in mutual funds; global small cap, global fixed income and global real estate. These allocations are fully managed by me, but I re-balance twice a year or so. That mutual fund core is insuring sufficient diversification and low correlation to the following US and Canada single stocks.
About another 35% is a trusted core of single stocks, both Canada and US. These positions are generally overweight at about 3% of portfolio. Core positions have a few properties in my portfolio: low turn-over, very long term, low debt, often dividend growers with low payouts, good valuations, good growth, low beta. They are safe and feel safe, and I usually build those position over the years. I consider it core after 2 years of reliable service. A stock can gain my trust by presenting profits. Not much mega caps, mostly small to medium caps. Another property of my core: easy to understand businesses. They wash linen, they sell groceries, they make boxes, they produce wine. As I build confidence and understanding, I allow more exotic positions in core. They manage money, they rent retirement houses, they dig for metals, they patent software, etc.
At the other extreme, I keep a few lottery tickets as satellite positions for about 20% of portfolio total, 0.75% to 1.5% of portfolio each position. More risky or difficult to understand business, more volatile and some signs of stink. Could be reversal plays, could be momentum stocks, can display signs of breaking out. Usually, I rely a little more on technicals than fundamentals there. And I trade. I learn. I make mistakes. I churn. Survival of the fittest.
I always look for dips in my core positions, and I wait for clear signals to buy back (volume, a few moving avg). If I have cash, I use it. If I don't I look at core and I trim large gains. If no gains there, I look at satellites for gains. If no gains, I look at satellites for mistakes, stinkers, unreliable bets. With money, I buy dips in core positions or in-the-middle stocks. In middle stocks are first buys aiming core, or rising satellites gaining confidence and improving.
Here's my complete stock portfolio as of mid-March 2016, where each record corresponds to (yes I would like to display as array):
NAME, TICKER, MKT CAP, PE, BETA, % of portfolio
Alimentation Couche-Tard ATD.B 33.71B 21.4 -0.11 5.0%
Richelieu Hardware Ltd. RCH 1.59B 26.74 0.57 4.9%
Winpak Ltd. WPK 2.89B 21.65 0.42 4.7%
Milestone Apartments MST.UN 1.49B 4.44 -0.17 4.7%
Supremex Inc SXP 144.07M 9.43 0.92 4.7%
Savaria Corporation SIS 311.44M 29.33 0.48 4.6%
K-Bro Linen Inc KBL 356.99M 30.42 0.4 4.4%
Intertape Polymer Group ITP 1.25B 17.94 1.05 4.3%
Andrew Peller Ltd. ADW.A 384.42M 20.23 0.22 4.3%
AMERCO UHAL 7.87B 15.9 1.55 3.6%
Saputo Inc. SAP 15.48B 25.96 0.25 3.6%
RDM Corp RC 98.02M 16.8 0.88 3.4%
Acadian Timber Corp ADN 306.91M 20.22 0.48 3.3%
Richards Packaging RPI.UN 280.52M 23.04 0.6 3.2%
Lassonde Industries Inc. LAS.A 649.85M 22.6 0.08 2.9%
Pason Systems Inc. PSI 1.46B 1000 0.37 2.8%
Tricon Capital Group Inc TCN 1.05B 11.43 0.43 2.8%
Metro, Inc. MRU 11.24B 21.33 0.22 2.8%
CCL Industries Inc. CCL.B 8.17B 26.01 0.85 2.8%
Walt Disney Co DIS 155.07B 17.59 1.34 2.8%
First Trust Health Care... FXH 1.18B 20 0.9 2.5%
Photon Control Inc PHO 79.55M 10.22 1 2.3%
Brookfield Asset Management BAM.A 44.31B 19.34 0.52 2.1%
Brinker International EAT 2.64B 14.54 0.4 2.1%
Sylogist Ltd. SYZ 249.35M 52.2 1.34 2.0%
Logistec Corporation LGT.B 442.18M 16.21 0.55 1.6%
Enbridge Income Fund ENF 4.00B 16.83 0.17 1.5%
Ceapro Inc. CZO 129.92M 19.85 2.14 1.3%
ProShares Ultra Nasdaq BIB 493.79M 30 2.18 1.3%
Pivot Tech. Solutions PTG 73.55M 9.55 0.45 1.3%
Biosyent Inc. RX 125.79M 34.13 -0.29 1.2%
XPEL Technologies Corp DAP.U 28.62M 18.28 0.1 1.0%
Pacific Safety Products PSP 10.96M 13.21 1.98 0.9%
Omni-Lite Industries OML 17.38M 22 1.11 0.8%
American Water Works AWK 14.82B 31.17 0.13 0.8%
IWG Technologies Inc IWG 11.88M 13.06 0.77 0.7%
I run a small, private long/short portfolio. I focus on long term value, with a full expectation of showing paper losses in the short-term. Agnostic on the topic of catalysts. Wary of false precision. Usually ignorant of quarterly results and analyst forecasts. Seeking durable insights on business models and industry trends, and general wisdom.
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