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ibarkinthedark

ibarkinthedark
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  • Market Rally Soon? - Extreme Oversold Levels [View instapost]
    Sorry, I've been out hunting deer.

    .....are we still short SLV?
    Nov 24, 2012. 11:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intraday Market Notes: Is Tech Poised For A Turnaround? -- November 16 [View instapost]
    Sorry, out hunting deer. Not everyone gets Thanksgiving dinner served to them on a platter.

    http://bit.ly/TWjUoK

    Enjoy the holidays!
    Nov 24, 2012. 11:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Did Apple Bottom Friday? [View article]
    Why not? It broke through support at $575 and has traded as low as $505 and change..........the primary trendline on a candle chart for AAPL is presently at about $460 with major Fibonacci support at $468. $475 is easily do-able.

    ....and get this, AAPL has broken trend on a 4.0 box point and figure chart with 5 (count 'em) consecutive sell signals. A point and figure chart is the best visual evidence of supply and demand for the shares of any stock, including AAPL. Prudent investors should take steps to protect long positions.
    Nov 18, 2012. 10:28 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Did Apple Bottom Friday? [View article]
    The Japanese spinning top candles on both AAPL and GOOG intersect major Fibonacci support. Therefore, the sector could well be in for a bounce here.

    On a 4.0 box point and figure chart, AAPL will reverse to a column of X's on Monday. However, longs should protect positions here and consider exits on a rebound as both AAPL and GOOG have broken trend on a point and figure chart with 5 consecutive sell signals for AAPL and 3 for GOOG.

    Got puts?
    Nov 18, 2012. 09:30 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Intraday Market Notes: Is Tech Poised For A Turnaround? -- November 16 [View instapost]
    Confirming your analysis, the Japanese spinning top candles on both of these charts intersect major Fibonacci support. Therefore, the sector could well be in for a bounce here.

    On a 4.0 box point and figure chart, AAPL will reverse to a column of X's on Monday. However, longs should protect positions here and consider exits on a rebound as both AAPL and GOOG have broken trend on a point and figure chart with 5 consecutive sell signals for AAPL and 3 for GOOG. Got puts?
    Nov 18, 2012. 09:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Buy Apple's Current Dip To Ride Its Likely Rise To $800 [View article]
    Ign'ance is bliss.
    Sep 29, 2012. 02:50 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Buy Apple's Current Dip To Ride Its Likely Rise To $800 [View article]
    The “Articles” tab under your name says “(1)”, so forgive me if I don't understand the “new math”. I guess I already figured out from your bio that you've written other stuff. Congratulations on that as well.

    I guess I'll go with my buddy Fibonacci for determining the best range to buy this stock. He wasn't a PhD. He was just a genius.

    Much luck and best wishes for success.
    Sep 29, 2012. 09:46 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Buy Apple's Current Dip To Ride Its Likely Rise To $800 [View article]
    Nice first article....but do you need a PhD. to write this?

    What is the range in the “current price dip” that is optimal for AAPL stock purchases?

    Let's say the low in the range is $600. If the price then reaches your $800 target in the next year, that's 33%. Not bad.

    But how about some comparative analysis? Every industry has its “Avis”. With NOK at 2.50 or so, with mean reversion and their new “gizmo” whatever, it could easily hit 5.00 in the next year. That would be a 100% gain.

    So which is the better investment over the course of the next year?
    Sep 29, 2012. 08:42 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gold, Silver And Mining Stocks: Breakout Time, Not Bubble Time [View article]
    September 2, 2011 - “Gold Miners Ready For Major Breakout” ----- Jeb Handwerger (long GDX)

    September 9, 2011 (one week later) – GDX reaches its zenith at 66.98

    May 16, 2012 – GDX has plunged to its nadir, falling over 40% in eight months (Jeb Handwerger is nevertheless still long GDX)

    August 31, 2012 – “...and as we have always said that it is better to be months early then (sic) days late...” – Jeb Handwerger

    We know it's never too early for some, but.......a short position in GDX might not be a bad idea either.
    Aug 31, 2012. 06:24 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • To Own Gold Or Silver? That Is The Question. May I Suggest...Both? [View article]
    “I'll let the performance of the companies speak for themselves.“

    Interesting that you should mention that.

    On a relative strength basis as measured on a point and figure chart, GG, AEM, GOLD, and numerous junior gold miners (including EGO) are all outperforming ABX since this rally began.

    Price action in the past month bears this out with GG up 20%, AEM up 23%, GOLD up 18% and EGO up 23%.

    Meanwhile, ABX is up just 16%. It's lagging for a reason. Perhaps in your next article you could do some meaningful analytical comparisons and tell us why.
    Aug 25, 2012. 11:16 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • To Own Gold Or Silver? That Is The Question. May I Suggest...Both? [View article]
    Here's my .01.

    Now, how many more times in the next week are you going to write the same article about ABX and SLW? (I count 4 in the last week.)

    Where were you a month ago when SLW was 25% lower and ABX was 16% lower?

    On July 30th (less than 30 days ago) you wrote an article advising that it is “Time to Pick Up The Gold Miners”. You listed five gold miners…...but no mention of ABX. (No SLW either, but of course, the article was about “gold” miners.)

    So since at least a week ago you've repeatedly been telling anyone that will listen that they should buy these miners "right now", yet you have no position in either ABX or SLW.

    .........fascinating.
    Aug 25, 2012. 09:53 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Earning A 17% Annualized Return With Coach [View article]
    Please don't take my comment out of context; and you don't get to tell me what I can do and what I can't. Saying that “timing the market is futile” is an over broad statement demonstrating a lack of understanding for the timing techniques that can be employed to diminish and control risk. Anyone can do it. Likewise, saying that you are in it for “the long term” is an excuse for making badly timed allocations of your capital.

    Since you didn't respond to the questions about buying Apple, I guess we can infer that you didn't buy it, though some would say it is a “better” investment than COH even at present price levels.
    Jul 13, 2012. 11:44 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Earning A 17% Annualized Return With Coach [View article]
    Yes, this is an interesting article.

    However, taking into consideration your article, the "analysis" and your comments, you can make the same argument for owning Apple and a number of other “companies”. You even wrote an article about Apple in December. Are you still “planning” on buying it? How is it that you didn't see the “value” in Apple until December (because you apparently didn't own it when you wrote about it)? Same question for Coach.

    The point is, timing is just as important as an understanding of the fundamentals of any prospective investment. To say that you don't care about a $25 swing in price in the stock because Warren Buffett doesn't care is hilarious. It's a humorous non-answer because you are no Warren Buffett. He will never have to live on the returns he generates from an investment in COH.

    This stock lost 80% of its “value” in two years leading up to March 2009. Wasn't it a “great” company then? If you say you “don't care” about the importance of timing your investments, it really means that you just don't know how to do it. That's OK, but don't try to pretend that it doesn't matter. You surrender your credibility when you do.

    For what it's worth, this looks like a reasonably good time to buy this stock, but I wouldn't open a position by simply purchasing shares. It's too risky.
    Jul 13, 2012. 08:58 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why This Is The Only Long-Term Safe Haven For Me [View article]
    This is blather!!!!

    Enough of the Greene/Connell tag team, already.

    Do you know what your "articles" remind me of??

    Imagine what it must look like when you put two mirrors directly against one another.

    I imagine that it is an “infinity of nothingness”. Now, doesn't that describe the two of youse's articles about gold rather perfectly?

    …........here's my penny....you earned it.
    Jul 4, 2012. 11:37 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • $10,000/oz Gold And The Money Supply [View article]
    Put a sensational headline with a lot of mindless trivia about the commodity, add a heavy dose of nonsense about economics and suddenly you have a SA quality “article”. Really?

    You know enough about economics to be harmless. I wonder if you and Shaun Connell don't make your living this way? Must be tough.

    Once you've written the “gold is not a safe haven, it's really not even a real asset” article, how many more times do you get to write it before the SA editors wake up? What's even more clever is how you and Shaun link to each other's articles.

    Perhaps your next piece of prescient journalism should be “How I Struggle to Make My Living Writing Fluff for Seeking Alpha”.......

    …...the fact is, there is nothing useful here for an investor, except perhaps one point. I note that between July 2nd and today (what a difference a day makes), you went from being long SLV (is that real silver?) to being flat. If that is an accurate disclosure (if true, one can only wonder why an article wasn't written about it), then it is a great contrarian indicator to get long SLV.
    Jul 3, 2012. 06:54 AM | 15 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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