US Marine 'Nam Veteran, Aviation Engineering 45 years, musician, curmudgeon (phi beta stigma). Reformed Payroll Slut (retired), my ultimate goal to grow the nest egg, in the meantime have some fun, share suppository knowledge and perhaps entertain (snark warning).
Kevin T. Jacques is a former senior economist with the U.S. Treasury Department in Washington, D.C. During his 14 years with the Treasury Department, he worked on topics including risk measurement and management systems, bank capital regulations, and systemic risk. In the mid-1990's, he served as staff on the President's Working Group in Financial Markets examining systemic risk in the U.S. financial system. In addition, during his time in Washington, Dr. Jacques taught finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. Dr. Jacques’ economic and financial commentaries have received hundreds of radio, television and newspaper citations including Bloomberg Financial News, National Public Radio (NPR), PBS television, American Banker, U.S. News & World Report, and others. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Michigan State University.
Vance Harwood is a private investor and consultant whose interests include macroeconomic forecasting, investor psychology, and volatility as an asset class. His investment activities include trading index ETFs, volatility related ETPs and their associated options. He blogs at sixfigureinvesting.com—mostly about volatility, but occasionally about options strategies, bond funds, and general market topics. He tracks the USA based volatility ETPs and has simulated the performance of most of them back to the initiation of VIX Futures in 2004.
A couple things Vance believes:
The past does not predict the future (see Nassim Taleb’s “Fooled by Randomness”). This invalidates much technical analysis–although I think the psychology of stock movements is very important
Past behavior of assets relative to each other (e.g., bonds vs stocks) does not guarantee future behavior
Markets fall a lot faster than they go up, typically at least 2X
“Buy and hold” ensures that you will experience the worst days as well as the best days of the market
Investing in individual stocks carries many more unknowns than aggregates like index ETFs (e.g., earnings surprises, analyst’s ratings)
Perhaps more than any other time in the last six decades, the fate of markets is inextricably intertwined with the ebb and flow of geopolitics. From the ECB's attempts to use the central bank's balance sheet to influence political outcomes across the eurozone to Saudi Arabia's efforts to transform the kingdom's influence over crude prices into an instrument of foreign policy, it's become increasingly clear that one simply cannot fully comprehend market movements without a thorough understanding of concurrent political outcomes. Drawing on extensive experience in both politics and finance, Heisenberg will help demystify a world in which investors can no longer hope to conceptualize markets as existing in anything that even approximates a vacuum. "I am the one who knocks."
Dr. John Hussman is the president and principal shareholder of Hussman Econometrics Advisors, the investment advisory firm that manages the Hussman Funds ( http://www.hussmanfunds.com). He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford University, and a Masters degree in education and social policy and a bachelors degree in economics from Northwestern University. Prior to managing the Hussman Funds, Dr. Hussman was a professor of economics and international finance at the University of Michigan. In the mid-1980's, Dr Hussman worked as an options mathematician for Peters & Company at the Chicago Board of Trade, and in 1988 began publishing the Hussman Econometrics newsletter. Virtually all of Dr. Hussman's liquid assets are invested in the Hussman Funds.
Note: Dr. Hussman is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Dr. Hussman's public commentary.
Retired (as of June 1, 2016) Physical Chemistry Professor deluded into thinking that a spreadsheet and 24 years worth of historical data are sufficient to devise a winning trading strategy that focuses on volatility ETFs.
My first experience with investing was just prior to the dot com crash. I read up on momentum investing (how do buy) but not when to sell. You can guess how that turned out.
I began developing my current strategies in 2011, based primarily on my own ideas, available data, and self-taught expertise in programming Excel spreadsheets. The strategies have worked well enough for me to retire from my day job eight years ahead of original expectations.
INDEPENDENT Financial Advisor / Professional Investor- with over 30 years of navigating the Stock market's "fear and greed" cycles that challenge the average investor. Investment strategies that combine Theory, Practice and Experience to produce Portfolios focused on achieving positive returns over a period of time. Providing advice in helping to avoid the pitfalls and traps that wreak havoc on your portfolio with a focus on Income and Capital Preservation.
I manage the capital of only a handful of families and I see it as my number one job to protect their financial security. They don’t pay me to sell them investment products, beat an index, abandon true investing for mindless diversification or follow the Wall Street lemmings down the primrose path. I manage their money exactly as I manage my own so I don’t take any risk at all unless I strongly believe it is worth taking.
Blogging here on SA is part of my research. I write to find out what I think.
I invite you to join the family of satisfied clients send an e-mail :email@example.com
I've been investing for nearly 30 years. I've lost a lot of money. I've made a lot of money. The school of hard knocks is rough sometimes, but you never forget the lessons. These days, I trade mostly volatility and momentum strategies.
Chris DeMuth Jr. is the founder of Rangeley Capital LLC. Rangeley is an investment firm that focuses on event driven, value-oriented investment opportunities. Rangeley Capital and his value investing forum, Sifting the World (StW), search the world for misplaced bets. Rangeley exploits them for its investors and then Mr. DeMuth writes about them on StW.
I'm an independent stock trader specializing in volatility products. I am the founder of Trading Volatility which provides financial data services focusing on volatility derivatives and capital structure arbitrage.
My educational background includes a B.S. in Electrical Engineering from the University of Maryland and an M.B.A. from the University of Oregon.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA, winner of the 2016 Dow Award and 2015 NAAIM Wagner Award, is chief investment strategist and co-portfolio manager at Pension Partners, LLC., an investment advisor which manages mutual funds and separate accounts according to its ATAC strategies. Prior to this role, Gayed served as a portfolio manager for a large international investment group, trading long/short investment ideas in an effort to capture excess returns. From 2004 to 2008, Gayed was a strategist at AmeriCap Advisers LLC, a registered investment advisory firm that managed equity portfolios for large institutional clients. In 2007, he launched his own long/short hedge fund, using various trading strategies focused on taking advantage of stock market anomalies. Follow him on Twitter @pensionpartners and YouTube youtube.com/pensionpartners. He has re-released his father's 1990 book Intermarket Analysis and Investing, now available on Amazon.com.
Institutional investment manager authoring on a variety of topics that pique my interest, and could further discourse in this online community. I hold an MBA from the University of Chicago, and have earned the CFA designation.
My articles may contain statements and projections that are forward-looking in nature, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks, uncertainties and assumptions. While my articles focus on generating long-term risk-adjusted returns, investment decisions necessarily involve the risk of loss of principal. Individual investor circumstances vary significantly, and information gleaned from my articles should be applied to your own unique investment situation, objectives, risk tolerance, and investment horizon.
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Past: Analyst / Trader at Exis Capital hedge fund. Sales and Trading at Citigroup. Portfolio Manager: 25M AUM under managment, Sydney, Australia. Current: Privet Fund manager Specialize in Vix and Vix derivative trading, 3400% plus return since October 2011 Trading the Nostro account Consulting privet clients Publishing monthly reports and analysis
My profession is in biomedical research. I have over 25 years experience investing and trading stocks, options, ETFs, mutual funds, and futures in most asset classes, including volatility. I have a long-standing interest in algorithmic trading strategies. Over the last several years, we have worked towards developing and in some cases deploying with real money the strategies we have developed.
A retired hedge fund manager with over 20 years of experience in financial markets.
Audited returns before fees of my hedge fund beat the S&P 500 by over 9.5% per year for over ten years.
I have earned the CFA designation and am formerly a CPA.
I have been a successful investor for decades with a thorough understanding of equities, options, technical and fundamental analysis of markets and individual companies. I have a proprietary market model that I use that incorporates thousands of inputs including incorporating many other market models. I am available to consult with a money back guarantee and I do not charge anything unless I benefit your investment account with my analysis and ideas (however if you get my ideas but do not implement them that is not my fault). I have a baccalaureate degree in psychology focusing on behavioral finance issues, a master's degree and a doctorate degree in law with a focus on financial analysis. I believe in a long-term investing perspective. I believe that to be successful in investing requires both solid fundamental analysis and understanding technical analysis, you have to be mindful of both. And you must pay close attention to the macroeconomics which can often dictate how an equity moves more than the technicals and fundamentals of any given company. Please contact me if you'd like to learn more about engaging my services. My email is firstname.lastname@example.org.
I was trained in finance, but work in strategy. I invest very infrequently, and balance my portfolio once a year. I buy and hold hold indices and volatility ETFs. I trade a little bit on the side, but that's pure gambling, for fun.
You can follow me on Twitter and StockTwits, just search Nathan Buehler.
I have always had a passion for finance and investing. I enjoy and appreciate engaging with like minded individuals that inspire me to think beyond what is generally accepted. My investment experience spans almost ten years. The bulk of my knowledge has come from independent observation, research, patience, and perseverance. Most of my strategy is geared towards long term outlook with focuses on short term events or situations that create attractive opportunities.
I hope the articles presented here help you in your investment decisions. I value our discussions and look forward to professional dialogues. If I can ever help you with anything please contact me. Know you are always going to get a straight answer. If I don't know the answer I will either research it for you or tell you I don't know.
During the school year there may be a delay in my responses. Keep the feedback coming!
Economist based in the UK. Earlier career in founding businesses and start-ups before a brief spell in academia (Warwick Business School); moved to high end economic consulting for leading firm of economists, before returning to help new businesses grow. Net estimated gain to client worth around $200m over the last decade.
I have actively traded stocks since 2010 based on fundamental analysis and my own quantitative forecasting methods.
Avi Gilburt is a lawyer and accountant by training. He formerly was a partner and National Director at a national firm.
Mr. Gilburt is also the Managing Member of Gilburt Financial Services, LLC, which provides:
- Financial market analysis to the public through ElliottWaveTrader.net;
- Elliott Wave market analysis to institutional clients;
- Specific stock analysis to retail clients; and
- Webinars and personal coaching on Elliott Wave analysis.
He is also the Managing Member of the of the consulting firm of Gilburt & Associates, LLC, which specializes in transaction structuring and tax services.