I have 15 years of experience as a senior quantitative analyst in fixed income. I specialized in the development of research systems and analytics. Currently a consultant and blogger. I have a B.Eng. in electrical engineering from McGill University, and a Ph.D. from the University of Cambridge in control systems engineering. I am a CFA Charterholder.
Kathy Lien is Managing Director for FX Strategy at BKAssetManagement.com and Co-Founder of BKForex.com. Having graduated New York University’s Stern School of Business at the age of 18, Ms. Kathy Lien has more than 13 years of experience in the financial markets with a specific focus on G20 currencies. Her career started at JPMorgan Chase where she worked on the interbank FX trading desk making markets in foreign exchange and later in the cross markets proprietary trading group where she traded FX spot, options, interest rate derivatives, bonds, equities, and futures. In 2003, Kathy joined FXCM and started DailyFX.com, a leading online foreign exchange research portal. As Chief Strategist, she managed a team of analysts dedicated to providing research and commentary on the foreign exchange market. In 2008, Kathy joined Global Futures & Forex Ltd as Director of Currency Research where she provided research and analysis to clients and managed a global foreign exchange analysis team. As an expert on G20 currencies, Kathy is often quoted in the Wall Street Journal, Reuters, Bloomberg, Marketwatch, Associated Press, AAP, UK Telegraph, Sydney Morning Herald and other leading news publications. She also appears regularly on CNBC – US, Asia and Europe and on Sky Business. Kathy is an internationally published author of the best selling book Day Trading and Swing Trading the Currency Market as well as The Little Book of Currency Trading and Millionaire Traders: How Everyday People Beat Wall Street at its Own Game – all published through Wiley. Kathy’s extensive experience in developing trading strategies using cross markets analysis and her edge in predicting economic surprises serve as key components of BK’s analytical techniques.
Dean Popplewell has nearly two decades of experience trading currencies and fixed income instruments. He has a deep understanding of market fundamentals and the impact of global events on capital markets. He is respected among professional traders for his skilled analysis and career history as global head of trading for firms such as Scotia Capital and BMO Nesbitt Burns. Since joining OANDA in 2006, Dean has played an instrumental role in driving awareness of the forex market as an emerging asset class for retail investors, as well as providing expert counsel to a number of internal teams on how to best serve clients and industry stakeholders.
George Dorgan had been one of the predictors of the financial tsunami of January 15, 2015. This is also visible in many posts in Seeking Alpha between 2012 and 2014. Very often he spoke about the impossibility of the peg and the strong Swiss economy.
He often criticized the - as for CHF - notoriously wrong bank research, in particular in the Seeking Alpha article:
The Swiss Franc, Pseudo-Mathematics and Financial Charlatanism
George lives in Zurich and knows well the Swiss mentality and the mindset of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) that is in line with supply-side and Austrian economics.
George is a heterodox economist and manages a very small private hedge fund on global macro basis following contrarian strategies.
Dorgan is largely an Austrian economist, supply sider and fierce advocat of deflation caused by technologic progress, free trade and the global distribution of labor.
He is against both the Keynesian mainstream and those Austrians that see the hyper-inflationary collapse coming. His ideas are also inspired by Minsky and Richard Koo, but he considers fiscal intervention only when private sector savings rates are rapidly increasing.
For Dorgan, GDP growth is currently not important, but a stabilisation of savings rates. Apart from some countries in Southern Europe, unemployment is extraordinarily low in the world, in particular in emerging and less privileged economies.
For him, the 2008 financial crisis was rather a balance of payments crisis of the United States and thanks to globalisation, only a very short-lived crisis.
Dorgan started up as quant programmer, worked at UBS and Reuters. He speaks nine languages including Russian.
He has a broad knowledge on (economic) history, law, computer science and business. He currrently manages Too Big To Fail projects in big Swiss banks.
His recent publications that were editor's picks in Seeking Alpha:
FX Rates, Contrarian Investment And The Misleading Concept Called GDP http://tinyurl.com/ortw73c
The Dollar, The ISM, Buy American And Irrational Exuberance http://tinyurl.com/o6q7qtg
Other useful contributions are the regularly updated:
What Drives Government Bond Yields? http://tinyurl.com/pnn3urn
The Six Major Fundamental Factors that Determine Gold and Silver Prices http://tinyurl.com/qxahse7
His Google Plus profile https://plus.google.com/u/0/+GeorgeMDorgan
and his Twitter account https://twitter.com/DorganG
Following 23 years with JPMorgan, Simon Lack founded SL Advisors, LLC, in 2009. Prior to that, Simon was CEO and founder of the JPMorgan Incubator Funds, two private equity vehicles that took economic stakes in emerging hedge fund managers. From the late 1980s through 1999 through several bank mergers Simon ran Fixed Income Derivatives and Forward FX trading for JPMorgan and predecessor institutions, ultimately overseeing 50 professionals and $300 million in annual revenues. Simon also sat on JPMorgan’s investment committee allocating over $1 billion to hedge fund managers. He is the author of two books: The Hedge Fund Mirage: The Illusion of Big Money and Why It’s Too Good to Be True, published in 2011 to widespread praise from mainstream financial press including The Economist, Financial Times and Wall Street Journal; Bonds Are Not Forever; The Crisis Facing Fixed Income Investors (August 2013). Simon makes regular appearances on cable TV business shows discussing hedge funds and investing.
My name is Mark B. Spiegel and I'm the Managing Member of Stanphyl Capital Management LLC. I can be reached at: mark (at) stanphylcap (dot) com. My Twitter feed is @markbspiegel
I have been a trader on the floor of the CME since 1996. My scope would be considered Global Macro. I trade markets all over the world but have been focusing my attention recently on the Japanese debt market. It is my opinion that there is a significant chance the Japanese will have a debt crisis and very possibly lose control of the yen in the coming years. I am registered as a CTA and maintain a fund that seeks to profit from what I think is the coming pressure on the Japanese government bond market.
Cliff Wachtel, CPA, is currently the Director of Market Research, New Media and Training for Caesartrade.com, a fast growing forex and CFD broker. He covers a variety of topics including global market drivers, forex, currency hedged and diversified income investing, and is currently working on a unique project related to that asset class - MLPs.
He is also the author of The Sensible Guide To Forex, and publisher of thesensibleguidetoforex.com. Both the book and website are uniquely dedicated to providing safer, simpler ways for active traders and passive long term income investors to use forex markets to diversify out of currencies like the USD, EUR, JPY, and others that are being debased by central bank policies, and so hedge currency risk and boost returns.
Since the Great Financial Crisis began in 2007, Cliff was among the first financial writers to focus on stocks that provide steady, high yields currency diversification for insurance against currencies being steadily devalued. Articles focus on both top income stocks for exposure to multiple quality currencies, and safer, simpler less demanding types of longer term forex trades than commonly covered on other forex sites.
He also posts a variety of articles on topics ranging from weekly strategic global market analysis, conservative forex trading, assorted special reports, currency diversified income investing, binary options, and trader training articles via multiple websites. His home sites include: globalmarkets.anyoption.com, thesensibleguidetoforex.com, caesartrade.com, globalmarkets.com, and others. Most can also be found at leading financial websites like seekingalpha.com, businessinsider.com, and forex sites like forexfactory.com and fxstreet.com. His work is regularly translated into numerous languages, including Spanish, French, Italian, Turkish and Russian, Arabic, German, and Chinese, often with his express knowledge and permission!
He has appeared in a variety of offline publications including Forex Journal, and John Nyaradi’s book, Super Sectors, in which he was interviewed along with other market experts like Jim Rodgers, Dr.Marc Faber, John Mauldin, Robert Prechter, and Tom Lydon.
Prior to his current positions, he was Chief Analyst at avafx.com, and a 30+ year financial market veteran as investor, trader, writer, analyst and advisor to private clients and institutions. He attended Vassar College and Cornell University, and is a certified public accountant.
He’s married with 5 children and lives in Jerusalem, Israel, where he can follow Asian markets in the early morning, Europe through the workday, and the Americas at night.
Marc Chandler has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for 25 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. A prolific writer and speaker he appears regularly on CNBC and has spoken for the Foreign Policy Association. In addition to being quoted in the financial press daily, Chandler has been published in the Financial Times, Foreign Affairs, and the Washington Post. In 2009 Chandler was named a Business Visionary by Forbes.
Marc's commentary can be found at his blog (www.marctomarket.com) and twitter www.twitter.com/marcmakingsense
Doug Short is first-wave boomer with a lifelong interest in markets and the economy. His professional career had been a satisfying split between academia (English Professor at North Carolina State University) and Information technology (IBM and GSK).
Doug retired in 2006 to devote himself full-time to his dshort.com financial website. The domain has now been acquired by Advisor Perspectives, and Doug has been appointed the Vice President of Research.
Doug is especially interested in the economy, long-term market trends and behavioral finance.
I possess 10+ years of trading and investing experience, with a focus on precious metals, currency, energy, and technology markets. My decisions are based on market cycles, valuation metrics, technical analysis, and industry-specific trends and technologies. I typically hold positions for several years.
I also run InformedTrades.com, a site dedicated to helping individuals learn to trade the world's financial markets.
James Quinn has held financial positions with a retailer, homebuilder and university in his 29 year career. Those positions included treasurer, controller, and head of strategic planning. He is married with three boys and is writing these articles because he cares about their future. He earned a BS in accounting from Drexel University and an MBA from Villanova University. He is a certified public accountant and a certified cash manager. These articles reflect the personal views of James Quinn. They do not necessarily represent the views of his employer, and are not sponsored or endorsed by his employer.
Lok Sang Ho is Dean of Business, Chu Hai College of Higher Education, Hong Kong. He holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Toronto and has worked in the Ontario Government as well as academia. Much of his research has focused on housing and the macro economy, with articles published in World Economy, Pacific Economic Review, Journal of International Economics,Journal of International Money and Finance, Contemporary Economic Policy, Policy Sciences, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Journal of Housing Economics, Social Science and Medicine, Economists' Voice, Urban Studies, Regional Studies, and other publications. Since he published his article on the "World Currency Unit" in World Economy, he has been working to perfect this "indexed unit of account." Daily quotations of this unit in alternative currencies is now available at http://www.ln.edu.hk/cpps/wcu/index.htm (http://www.ln.edu.hk/cpps/wcu/index.htm). He argues that commodity prices should be quoted in this "indexed unit of account," which represents a unit of global real purchasing power, rather than the US dollar. His earlier article in World Economy argues that having bonds denominated in the World Currency Unit will improve the efficiency of global capital markets as it will make real interest rates more transparent. He has published a number of books, including Public Policy and the Public Interest(Routledge), Psychology and Economics of Happiness, Health Policy and the Public Interest, APEC and the Rise of China(World Scientific), Exchange Rate Regimes and Macroeconomic Stability(Kluwer Academic Publishers); China, Hong Kong, and the World Economy (joint editor, Palgrave-Macmillan, 2006). He was president of the Hong Kong Economic Association 1999-2007.
John Thomas graduated with a bachelor’s degree in biochemistry with honors and a minor in mathematics from the University of California at Los Angeles (U.C.L.A.) in 1974. He moved to Tokyo, Japan where he was employed by a medium-sized Japanese securities house. Thomas became fluent in Japanese and was trained as a domestic Japanese research analyst and money manager. In 1977 Thomas became the Tokyo correspondent for The Economist magazine and the Financial Times of London. Thomas traveled extensively throughout Asia, interviewing premiers, presidents and prime ministers, writing on macroeconomic trends, and producing countless features about individual companies. Thomas witnessed China’s cultural revolution and was one of the first American correspondents to enter China prior to the U.S. normalization of relations. Thomas authored several books about the Japanese financial system still in use by business schools today. In 1983 Thomas joined a top US investment bank in New York with the mandate to develop an international equity business for the firm. In 1985 he moved to London, England to establish a presence in Japanese equity derivatives for the firm. In 1989 Thomas was appointed a director of one of the big three Swiss Banks with a mandate to design sophisticated hedging strategies for the bank’s considerable holdings of Japanese equity warrants and convertible bonds. With the invasion of Kuwait by Iraq, Thomas was drafted by the US Marine Corp to serve as a pilot. In 1990 Thomas became a pioneer in the nascent hedge fund industry by founding the first dedicated Japanese hedge fund. The firm managed segregated accounts for a variety of government agencies, banks, and high net worth individuals in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. After a decade of spectacular absolute and relative performance he sold his firm in 1999 and retired to manage his personal investments in the oil and gas industry. Seeing incredible opportunities in the marketplace and yearning for the adrenaline and satisfaction offered by active management, Thomas launched a new hedge fund in 2007. In his free time Thomas is a commercial aircraft pilot, long distance hiker and mountain climber, wine collector and avid photographer.
Caitlin Duffy joined Interactive Brokers in 2009. In her role as Equity Options Analyst, Caitlin provides daily market commentary; highlighting various options trades, trading patterns and strategies of interest. Through Interactive Broker's webinar program, Ms. Duffy presents a number of educational, options-related events describing the theoretical pricing of options, the option Greeks as well as options strategies.
Visit: Interactive Brokers Group (http://www.ibkr.com)
With hedge fund manager, CNBC regular and long-time veteran of the Russian markets Tim Seymour at the helm, Emerging Money (http://www.emergingmoney.com) provides education, trading analysis and comprehensive views of emerging markets around the world. As economies in the BRIC group and beyond become the growth engines of global wealth creation, Emerging Money provides insights and tools for investors to trade successfully in these markets via individual ADRs, foreign-traded stocks, currencies and ETFs.
Ralph Shell began his career as a grain trader for a large international grain trading firm. This involved negotiation of export contracts and moving grain and soy beans from the US to the export markets of the world. For a period, he also handled the companies hedging and trading activity in the pit of the Kansas City Board of Trade. After a short stint as a commodity analyst with Merrill Lynch in Chicago Shell began a career as analyst and trader on the floor of the Chicago Board of Trade. After trading on the floor for almost 20 years. the career continued as a broker trader away from the harsh Chicago climate. Commodity trading continued in the grains and other commodities, but the focus in recent years had been on the Forex markets.
Brad McFadden manages a proprietary global macro fund.
He invests by trading the primary direction of asset classes and also looks for extreme deep value situations, providing "liquidity" to panic buyers and sellers.
He publishes his investing approach through DailyTradingReport.com, along with actionable advice expressed through various portfolios. Each portfolio has its own risk profile and trading theme. Brad publishes his investing results, updated daily, with a complete performance history.
It is this accountability that he credits as being able to attract a loyal following of many thousands of people.
Through DailyTradingReport.com Brad also runs an Investor Mentor program. This provides a mentoring service for those looking to "take the next step" in their investment education.