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Wall Street Breakfast readership of over 900,000 includes many from the investment-banking and fund-management industries.
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We are a team of economics professors in the NY area with a passion for financial markets.
In our blog "BubbleBustInvesting.com", we write about individual stocks as well as macroeconomics events. We believe that most of the returns in financial markets can be made during the blow and bust of financial bubbles, provided that investors learn how to spot them ahead of the crowd and place their bets accordingly.
Make sure that you visit our blog at http://bubblebustinvesting.blogspot.com/.
Jeff is the President of NewArc Investments Inc., manager of both individual and institutional investments. Jeff is a registered investment advisor, and portfolio manager for NewArc's investment programs. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative modeling helped inform state and local officials in Wisconsin for more than a decade. A Public Policy analyst, he taught advanced research methods at the University of Wisconsin, and analyzed many issues related to state tax policy. Jeff began in the financial business as Research Director for trading firm at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and developed new forecasting techniques. In 1991 he established a general research consultancy, working with professional traders at all of the Chicago financial exchanges. In 1998 he started NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff has a commitment to the specific needs of individual investors. It is not a one-size-fits all approach, but one that emphasizes the unique circumstances of each client. Jeff also serves on the board of two small technology companies (currently Chairman at one). He is occasionally as an expert witness in legal cases involving financial markets and hedging.
Charles (Chuck) C. Carnevale is the creator of F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Chuck is also co-founder of an investment management firm. He has been working in the securities industry since 1970: he has been a partner with a private NYSE member firm, the President of a NASD firm, Vice President and Regional Marketing Director for a major AMEX listed company, and an Associate Vice President and Investment Consulting Services Coordinator for a major NYSE member firm. Prior to forming his own investment firm, he was a partner in a 30-year-old established registered investment advisory in Tampa, Florida. Chuck holds a Bachelor of Science in Economics and Finance from the University of Tampa. Chuck is a sought-after public speaker who is very passionate about spreading the critical message of prudence in money management. Chuck is a Veteran of the Vietnam War and was awarded both the Bronze Star and the Vietnam Honor Medal.
Valens Securities is a boutique research firm with 90+ professionals, housing truly unique, disciplined, and unbiased research systems for equity analysis, corporate credit, and macroeconomic strategy.
Valens provides institutional investor clients with various tools designed for each level of the investment process:
- Valens assists in screening and idea generation using a broad set of unique signals and Quantamental screening criteria
- Our Market Phase Cycle™ macroeconomic strategy helps CIOs, DORs, and PMs to better understand directional trends in credit and equities markets and sectors
- We provide monthly and alert-based portfolio monitoring and review, helping our clients to confirm risk-reward opportunities and avoid torpedoes
- Upon request, Valens provides an unparalleled level of forensic depth for due diligence on concentrated positions on a client by client basis
Performance and Valuation Prime™: Valens insights in financial statement analysis have been featured in presentations and publications in the top finance and accounting forums in the world. Existing credit and equity formulae are simply not geared for the complexity and distortions in financial statements. The Statement of Cash Flows, often heralded as the solution to distorted financial statements, is possibly the most flawed. Valens Securities systematically reclassifies the severe accounting distortions, providing a base for far more accurate business analytics.
Our Earnings Call Forensics™ have been featured on CNBC and in Institutional Investor Magazine. This "ECF™" is a powerful, proprietary process for studying and evaluating management's physiology and other behavioral characteristics of management during quarterly earnings calls and other public presentations. We use tools and systems that other sell-side firms and credit agencies have been either unwilling or unable to use. Their reluctance to use these technologies often stems from their fear of endangering their relationships with management teams.
Valens Credit Ratings and CDS research and pricing have made Valens Credit one of the most read authors on Seeking Alpha. The application of "Fundamental Forensics" to credit default assessments and recovery rates has contributed to the body of knowledge of corporate credit analysis that has been presented to over 30 CFA Society city and country events.
Our focus on "Incentives Dictate Behavior™" has uncovered management incentives and drivers of corporate actions that have been prescient in securities analysis. Our team focuses on the incentives and structures that highlight management’s collective and personal risk tolerance for the company, capital structure inclinations, and propensity for certain corporate actions. This uncovers hidden payout incentives that drive the value and risk of a company’s obligations and ultimate equity value. IDB™ has also been featured in the highly-acclaimed book, DRIVEN: Business Strategy, Human Actions, and the Creation of Wealth.
Valens Securities analysis teams are actually team-based with no “star analysts”. Our Chief Investment Strategist, Joel Litman, serves as committee chair for final edit of our publications. Our conflict avoidance procedures exceed that of any major agency, reducing analyst biases as we accept no issuer consulting fees and we report full disclosures of any related interests.
We disclose any holdings of any of our personnel or affiliates in any securities of the firm being rated, and not simply the credit. For holdings of any of our committee members, or any individual employee who provided analysis contributing to a particular rating, we disclose equity, credit, or options of that particular company being rated.
Former broker, now an independent analyst/writer on Seeking Alpha and founder and editor of the Growth Stock Forum. Focusing on small-cap, mid-cap and biotech stocks. Looking for substantial sales and earnings growth potential and seeking the best risk-adjusted returns from my stock selection. Taking advantage of medium to long-term momentum.
My articles represent my personal opinion and analysis and should not be regarded as investment advice in any way. Readers and subscribers should do their own due diligence and/or consult their financial advisor before making decisions to buy or sell securities. Trading and investing include risks, including loss of principal.
Exclusive research: http://seekingalpha.com/author/oneil-trader/research
Intelligent Speculator is a market discussion and research group that focuses mainly on technology stocks and macroeconomic trades. Intelligent Speculator does provide new stock picks usually on a weekly basis that are either outright or long/short trades. Intelligent Speculator provides views of the different trends in the internet marketplace and its effects on the stocks involved. Since the author has both a financial (CFA exams completed) and a technology-based (through various experiences as webmaster/strategist) experience, he has an advantage in looking through the numbers. Visit Intelligent Speculator (http://www.intelligentspeculator.net/)
I am a retired global analyst, currently busy in investing and writing articles about stocks at several investing publications and websites. I have also developed strategies for creating winning portfolios according to specific formulas.
In January 2015, I was ranked among the world’s top 10 financial bloggers according to TipRanks, which holds financial experts accountable for their recommendations by disclosing their stock ratings since 2009:
I describe my investing style as opportunistic. Too many times earlier in my career have I been burned by "value-traps", catching a falling knife, focusing only on where the company has been and not where it is going. As a result, many of my ideas take on a growth bias, or have a near-term catalyst. Some of my best investments have been in "fallen angels" or growth companies that hit a speed bump and as result see their multiple and price collapse in a short period of time. I am not married to one valuation technique and try to balance the flaws of each by using them all (or at least the relevant ones). I am disciplined in my approach, having established many personal investing rules aimed at eliminating emotional biases that often destroy capital. My analysis is based on establishing upside/downside targets, being able to understand and model the worst-case scenario, as well the best case. More importantly, understanding what is being reflected in a company's stock price and investors expectations. I am an investor and a trader, I do not subscribe to the "buy and hold" ideology. I believe in concentration and view idiosyncratic risk as a good thing, or an alpha driver. While I have been wrong more than I would like to admit, and will continue to be wrong in the future, as long as I am right 52% of the time I should continue to do well.
Jiang is not a value investor nor a growth investor. He believes that it does not matter if a cat is black or white, as long as it catches mice.
Jiang has a BSc in Management from Lally School of Management at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, and an MBA from Rotman School of Management at University of Toronto.
Chinese Internet/Media: AMAP, BIDU, CTRIP, DANG, FMCN, LONG, JOBS, RENN, SINA, SOHU, SPRD, VNET, YOKU
NA Tech/Media/Telecom: AAPL, AMZN, EBAY, FB, GOOG, GRPN, KYAK, LNKD, NFLX, PCLN, RIMM, T
NA Consumer Staple/Discretionary: CMG, COH, KO, LULU, MCD, SBUX, TIF, YUM
Special Situation: F, TSLA, EDU