Trader T

The One-Word Topic of the Day, and Week: Obama

GM's business model is fatally flawed, bailing them out would be a huge mistake and a costly one (they will just have to be bailed out again in the future) - If they go BK then so be it.

He mentioned his tax policy would result in a "net tax cut", if that means less money collected by the government, that will be bullish.

Another 'stimulus package' would just lengthen and deepen the recession. Similar to running up credit card debt to support a falsely elevated life style.

He's got to get his policy ideas through the barons in Congress - not an easy task. They will try to run the show.

Gauging Market Fear: Put/Call Ratio and Volatility Index

If you think Social Security will be paying out benefits beyond 2020, I have some LEH stock to sell you. Social Security is a government fraud greater than FNM or FRE and you are a fool if you plan on it being around for more than 10 years or so.

10 Reasons to Be Bullish on Stocks

Bear market rally's - sell into the irrational glee.

Interpret a Stagnant VIX As You Will

The VIX hasn't spiked because the market is 'comfortable' or 'agrees' with the recent downturn. We might get a 10% recovery off our lows in the short term but the market looks like it will do a slow bleed at least through the spring.

The VIX spike in the summer was a response to the bank problems seen through bull market eyeglasses. The bull market is gone.