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  • The Hartford: Only Paper Profits [View article]
    Your 79 cent quarterly loss is incorrect. You got that by writing off the $5.8B remaining unrealized loss but ignoring the fact that it is smaller than a year earlier. You can't have it both ways--either write off the $13.2B from last year and then take the ensuing gain into income this year, or leave HIG's accounting alone, HIG is reporting results from this quarter, during which their unrealized loss SHRANK.
    Nov 05 00:37 am |Rating: +2 0 |Link to Comment
  • Portfolio Recovery Associates: Apropo of Bailouts  [View article]
    PRAA is well run, has a record of making money on the debt they buy. They also are reputed to be more humane in their collection efforts than most in the business. I owned the stock some years ago, sold because times were too good (hedge funds were buying debt at too high a price) but I may have to revisit it, do new DD, as anyone should.

    The keys in this business are the price paid for the debt and the skill of the collection people--PRAA gets high marks in both categories from TMF, which has followed and recommended this stock for years.
    Oct 03 14:14 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Turnabout: Wells Fargo's Better Deal for Wachovia [View article]
    Thr FDIC statement says it will study the deal and do what is in the best interests of the taxpayer. I take that to mean Citi is out (or "pantsed" as one columnist put it).
    Oct 03 14:05 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Does Warren Buffett Think Goldman Is More Creditworthy Than GE? [View article]
    Buffet's GS and GE investments seem to combine equal parts of opportunism, value hunting, and an ability to create value simply by endorsing strong institutions in trouble, all at a very cash high return to him. Now i know why he has been sitting on that growing pile of cash for all those years!
    Oct 01 15:20 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Does Warren Buffett Think Goldman Is More Creditworthy Than GE? [View article]
    Following the announcement, CNBC interviewed Buffet, who was on his airplane, which he said is powered by GE engines that were performing faultlessly! Buffet strongly endorsed GE, stated he believed the "bailout" will pass, and mentioned GS had brought him the GE deal.

    Maybe it's time to buy BRK again.

    Oct 01 15:10 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Buffett's Big Bet: The Real Value of the Berkshire Investment in Goldman Sachs [View article]
    Buffet is now putting $3B into GE, which is also issuing an additional $12B in common, in a deal similar to his GS deal, and which he says GS brought him, according to his interview today on CNBC.
    Oct 01 14:27 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • GE Capital Default Risk Soars [View article]
    Buffet just said "if we don't (get Congressional action on the bailout plan), then I'll have done some dumb things."
    Oct 01 14:06 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • GE Capital Default Risk Soars [View article]
    Buffet will buy$3B of preferred with a 10% return, get some warrants. Pfd is redeemable after 3 years, Buffet issued strong statement on strength of GE, is being interviewed on CNBC this minute.

    Buffet says deal similar to GS deal, GE approached him.
    Oct 01 14:04 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • GE Capital Default Risk Soars [View article]
    CNBC is reporting that Warren Buffet will buy several $B of a new GE perpetual preferred and GE will sell $12B of common.
    Oct 01 14:00 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • The Lowdown on Citi / Wachovia [View article]
    So Bob Steel's nickname is not "Stainless" after all.
    Oct 01 13:54 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Petrobras: Extremely Overvalued  [View article]
    Frankly, I am disappointed with the heat and vitriol in the responses to this article. I hear people who are too much in love with their stock, people who vilify the author as a way of justifying their investment theses. This place is little better than Yahoo if this is the sort of "discussion" that greets a contrarian opinion.

    I sold my shares and am more comfortable having reduced my downside risk. Yes, the rewards may be great, but there is simply too much risk now, and there's plenty of time to re-enter if and when more is known about what is really down there.

    Jun 04 01:22 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Petrobras: Extremely Overvalued  [View article]
    Very convincing. I'm out tomorrow.
    Jun 02 03:12 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Yahoo's Jerry Yang: We're Done [View article]
    Very insightful. I think you've confirmed what Adami on Fast Money said--the way to play the Yahoo/MSFT deal is to own Google.
    May 29 01:27 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • Kinder Morgan Energy Partners - Dividend Analysis [View article]
    KMP is a master limited partnership, not a corporation. It pays distributions to its unit holders, not dividends to stockholders. That distinction is important, because of the significant differences in business model and tax treatment.

    Otherwise, the article is a nice recital of easily available financial information, but it does not touch on the nature of the pipeline business or KMP's future. With the recent completion of the Rockies Express pipeline and other major capital projects, distributions should increase more rapidly than in recent years.

    And there is a nice irony for people who remember Enron--Rich Kinder founded his dynasty of pipeline MLPs after being passed over for the CEO job at Enron in favor of Jeff Skilling. Kinder then bought Enron's pipelines from then and went on to succeed where they could not.
    May 21 02:29 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
  • 'SuperREIT' CapitalSource Swoops Up Fremont's Branches [View article]
    Are you saying the TONE acquisition, which they worked on for a year, did nothing to prepare CSE for the acquisition of FIL's 22 branches? Do you dislike the assets--$3B in cash and a loan pool administered by someone else? Earlier you were concerned about dividend coverage, and rightly so--do you not think this acquisition will help them in that regard? If you are concerned about management, have you investigated to find out how many of Fremont's employees are coming with the acquisition? Given the straits Fremont is in, I would expect nearly all want to come to CSE.
    Apr 19 02:42 am |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
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