MIke NO LONGER posts on Seeking Alpha.
Mike Stathis is the Managing Principal of Apex Venture Advisors, a business and investment intelligence firm for the private and public markets, serving the needs of venture firms, corporations and hedge funds.
Mike’s work in the private markets includes valuation analysis, deal structuring, and business strategy. His technology focus is in healthcare, specifically biopharmaceuticals and telemedicine. In the public markets he assists hedge funds and corporations with investment strategy, valuation analysis, market forecasting, risk management, and distressed securities analysis.
As one of the few who predicted the financial apocalypse in detail, Mike has been particularly active helping hedge funds navigate the real estate and banking crisis. The accuracy of his predictions has positioned him as one of America’s most insightful and innovative financial experts.
The public markets division of AVA, or AVA Investment Analytics, now provides the same cutting-edge research to individual investors (http://www.avaresearch.com/).
Mike is also a prolific author. Each of his books delivers industry-leading insight and analysis, recognized by some of the top experts in the world.
His 2006 landmark book, “America’s Financial Apocalypse,” serves as the leading resource for understanding America’s depression.
Meanwhile, his first book, “The Startup Company Bible for Entrepreneurs” is used in several business schools as a required text for completion of the MBA program.
Prior to Apex Advisors, Mike worked at UBS and Bear Stearns, focusing on asset management, institutional brokerage and merchant banking. Books published:
* America's Healthcare Solution (2010)
* The Wall Street Investment Bible, Volume I (2009)
Table of Contents >> http://www.avaresearch.com/files/20090422172428.pdf
* America's Financial Apocalypse: How to Profit from the Next Great Depression (2006 & 2007)
Table of Contents >> http://www.avaresearch.com/files/20090514024432.pdf
Excerpts >> http://www.avaresearch.com/files/20090430110359.pdf
* Cashing in on the Real Estate Bubble (2006)
Excerpts >> http://www.avaresearch.com/files/20090430110359.pdf
* The Startup Company Bible For Entrepreneurs (2005)
Analyst and Fund Manager with almost 20 years investment experience. Coverage includes a variety of industries, with a focus on technology.
Particularly focused on value stocks, poorly understood or under-followed situations, and contrarian perspectives.
Primarily invest in special situations with value that is poorly understood or not fully appreciated, or where we believe there is a highly asymetric risk/reward profile. Also look for long/short ideas in mid/larger cap names where we believe we have a variant view, and the market is dramatically mispricing value.
Follow me on Twitter @valinsights
Retired Refinery and Petrochemical Commissioning and Production Manager, having worked for 48 years worldwide in more than 42 countries and on more than 42 small and big projects. Fluent in at least 4 languages and a practical very Hands-on Engineer / peoples Leader and so on. Now staying in Switzerland on a Refinery Project.
Think B.I.G., by Bespoke Investment Group, provides some of the most original content and intuitive thinking on the Street. Founded by Paul Hickey and Justin Walters, formerly of Birinyi Associates and creators of the acclaimed TickerSense blog, Bespoke offers multiple products that allow anyone, from institutions to the most modest investor, to gain the data and knowledge necessary to make intelligent and profitable investment decisions. Along with running their Think B.I.G. finance blog, Bespoke provides timely investment ideas through its Bespoke Premium (http://bespokepremium.com/) subscription service and also manages money (http://bespokepremium.com/mm) for high net worth individuals.
Visit: Bespoke Investment Group (http://bespokeinvest.com/)
I am an activist investor in US and Chinese stocks. I was previously an investment banker in New York Hong Kong and London for 9 years, focused on Equity Capital Markets. I look at both long ideas and short ideas and typically focus on a small number on names where I can spend the time to conduct very deep research. I spend my time living between Los Angeles and Beijing, China.
Blogger, Self-Made Analyst, Trader, Investor, Crowdfunder and Critical Thinker. Currently, I am looking for a job in the investment space. Job offers are always welcome.
The name "Dutch Trader" refers to The Golden Age. This was a period in Dutch history, roughly spanning the 17th century, in which Dutch trade, science, military and art were among the most acclaimed in the world.
Dutch ships hunted whales off Svalbard, traded spices in India and Indonesia (via the Dutch East India Company) and founded colonies in New Amsterdam (now New York), South Africa and the West Indies. In addition some Portuguese colonies were conquered, namely in Northeastern Brazil, Angola, Indonesia and Ceylon. This new nation flourished culturally and economically, creating what historian Simon Schama has called an "embarrassment of riches". Speculation in the tulip trade led to a first stock market crash in 1637, but the economic crisis was soon overcome.
In 1602 the Dutch East India Company was founded. It was the first-ever multinational corporation, financed by shares that established the first modern stock exchange. This company received a Dutch monopoly on Asian trade and would keep this for two centuries. It became the world's largest commercial enterprise of the 17th century. Spices were imported in bulk and brought huge profits, due to the efforts and risks involved and seemingly insatiable demand.
To finance the growing trade within the region, the Bank of Amsterdam was established in 1609, the precursor to, if not the first true central bank.
My background is Management, Economics and Law. This I studied at Fontys Business School in the Netherlands, with specialization in Banking and Insurance.
My passion is investing, writing, travelling, history, swimming, playing chess and enjoying my family.
I love to analyze companies and sectors and write about it. Main points of interests: China, Biotechnology, Consumer, Energy, Mining, Dividend, OTC Market, Food, Robotics and some other themes.
As an investor I have a bias towards value investing and the markets. All opinions are my own and do not represent the views of my employer.Valuation metrics play an important part of my investment strategies. My investment philosophy is Unloved, Underowned and Undervalued.
One of the best investment quotes is: The key to making money in stocks is not to get scared out of them from Peter Lynch.
Do you have any other business proposals or questions, just write an email to email@example.com
Dutch Trader, The Netherlands================
For the Securities Disclaimer & Disclosure, read:
Dr. John Hussman is the president and principal shareholder of Hussman Econometrics Advisors, the investment advisory firm that manages the Hussman Funds ( http://www.hussmanfunds.com). He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford University, and a Masters degree in education and social policy and a bachelors degree in economics from Northwestern University. Prior to managing the Hussman Funds, Dr. Hussman was a professor of economics and international finance at the University of Michigan. In the mid-1980's, Dr Hussman worked as an options mathematician for Peters & Company at the Chicago Board of Trade, and in 1988 began publishing the Hussman Econometrics newsletter. Virtually all of Dr. Hussman's liquid assets are invested in the Hussman Funds.
Note: Dr. Hussman is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Dr. Hussman's public commentary.
Steven R. Chapski, CPA, CFE, CSM, is a partner in Chapski & Chapski, CPAs, LLP. He graduated with honors from the School of Business Administration at the University of Michigan in May of 1991. He passed with high distinction the Certified Public Accountant (CPA) examination later that same month and earned his CPA certificate in January of 1993. He gained the Certified Fraud Examiner (CFE) designation in July of 1993 and the Certified Software Manager (CSM) designation in May of 1996. He has work experience with the Criminal Investigation Division of the Internal Revenue Service and Pinkerton Investigative Services.
He is a member of the Michigan Association of CPAs (MACPA), the Association of CFEs (ACFE), and the Southeast Michigan Chapter of the ACFE. He served on the Litigation Support Committee of the MACPA from 1996 to 2002. He has spoken before various industry associations regarding litigation support and has written an article for a state-wide legal publication. He has spoken before the International Franchise Association (IFA) regarding royalty auditing and has written an article for Franchising World. His firm is a member of IFA's Supplier Forum.
Andrew Abraham has been in the financial arena since 1990. He is a commodity trading advisor and co manager of a Commodity Pool. Since 1993 Andrew has been a proponent of quantitative mechanical trading programs. Andrew's major concern is not only total return on investment but rather the amount of risk that one would have to tolerate in order to achieve returns He focuses on developing quant models that encompass strict risk adherence and correlation. He has been a speaker at conferences as well as an author of numerous articles. Andrew has spent years researching ideas that have the potential to outperform indices as well as maintain fewer draw downs. Visit his blog: Trendfollowingmentor.com/blog
Ian Bezek worked for 3 years as an analyst at a New York-based hedge fund. He's currently living in Mexico, pursuing some entrepreneurial opportunities.
Feel free to contact him regarding investments, writing, or speaking opportunities.
I look for opportunities to invest where the expected value is sufficiently greater than the cost to invest and look to invest the appropriate portion of the total funds available. To make a gambling analogy, a highly favorable investment would be one where you could invest $1 on a flip of a coin and receive $10 if it flipped heads and lose only $1 if it came up tails. However, you would not want to invest all of your funds because you would be broke if the coin turned up tails. Thus, the goal is to find investments where the edge is sufficiently large and then invest the appropriate portion of the funds. The Kelly formula provides a theoretical basis for the appropriate percentage of total funds to invest in a single opportunity.
However, in the real world, the precise odds are rarely known. Thus, I seek to develop the ability and obtain the knowledge to calculate the odds with a degree of accuracy, and conservatively enough, to be able to make intelligent invesments.
With regards to equities, which I have primarily invested in, I seek to understand the economics of the business so as to evaluate its potential for long term success or failure. I seek to use this understanding, along with an examination of its financial statements, to determine if the company is undervalued or overvalued. I may then decide to go long undervalued companies and I may decide to short overvalued companies. My preference is to find companies to purchase, rather than to short.
Peter started TF Market Advisors in 2011 as a platform to trade and provide market information. The trading strategies are macro, but the direction and value decisions are based on insights into the credit markets. The firm’s commentary has been gaining respect and Peter has become a recognized source of information on the developments in Europe in particular, but has also been very involved in recommendations on the banking industry and high yield bonds. He has appeared numerous times on Bloomberg TV and radio, and has been quoted in articles in the Wall Street Journal, the Associated Press, and Fox Business News. Many top hedge funds, money managers, and asset allocators have asked to be included on the distribution list.
Peter was a Portfolio Manager at KLS in the fall of 2008 and spring of 2009. He achieved positive performance for the period using a combination of single credit positions, well timed macro trading, and an active trading strategy that developed additional trading revenue around the core credit decisions and enhanced relationships to ensure allocations on investment grade new issues that could perform well. The returns were aided by product choice as much as specific credit decisions because the understanding of bonds, loans, and CDS, and investment grade and high yield, and single name and index, helped maximize returns or minimize downside for any level of risk.
Peter has been involved in all aspects of credit trading. He started his career with Bankers Trust in 1994 in the newly formed Credit Derivatives group. While at Bankers Trust and then Deutsche Bank, Peter ran High Yield Credit Derivatives which included cash, CDS, synthetic CDO’s, total return swaps on leveraged loans, and hybrid CLO’s. During this time he was very involved in the industry groups that developed the CDS product and that deep familiarity with the product helps when trading as the in depth knowledge can spot trading opportunities when markets are volatile or headline driven. He was hired by UBS to build out those businesses there, but over time became involved in the Credit Index Trading. He was a board member of CDS Indexco, which created the CDX suite of indices. He went on to start a successful index trading business at RBS in North America, where during 2007 and early 2008, the business went from nowhere to being profitable and a top 5 liquidity provider.
Peter received his Bachelors of Mathematics degree, Joint Honors Computer Science and Combinatorics and Optimization from the University of Waterloo, where he was a Descartes Fellow and graduated as the all-time leading scorer on the football team. He completed his MBA in Finance and Marketing at Vanderbilt University and was awarded the Matt Wiggington Leadership award for outstanding performance in finance.
Absaroka Capital is a private investment manager that catalyzes on special situations, event-driven, and deep-value opportunities. Absaroka Capital primarily focuses on the global natural resources sector.
Roddy Boyd is an investigative reporter who has worked for Fortune Magazine, the New York Post, The New York Sun and Institutional Investor News. He also founded The Financial Investigator website, www.thefinancialinvestigator.com. I also wrote "Fatal Risk," on the collapse of AIG.
Most recently, he has founded the Southern Investigative Reporting Foundation, www.sirf-online.org.
SIRF is dedicated to providing document-driven investigative reporting on publicly traded companies. Our work is centered on providing accountability and information to the investing public and regulators. We are organized as a tax-exempt organization, are members of the Investigative News Network and gladly adhere to the highest standards of journalistic integrity. We do not invest in any securities, short or long, and do not take payment for our work. No one sees our work prior to publication.
I am a Wall Street veteran. Based on a few incidents a few years ago with Chinese companies. I have become a specialist in identifying techniques that Chinese companies use to misrepresent their business prospects (accounting fraud) and how they use these representations to organize large-scale thefts from US investors without judicial reprecussions, even when they are caught red-handed. I have spent much of the last year shorting and writing about Chinese fraud.
I strongly encourage anyone interested in investing in China to talk to people who have conducted business there first. The concept of business ethics is rare (much much more rare than someone from the West could ever imagine). Yes, this statement may seem over-the-top and black & white... but don't take my word for it... talk to others... if you spend time in China and investigate, my guess is you'll reach the same conclusion that I did.
The Forensic Factor (TFF) believes that individual investors are disadvantaged when investing in certain smaller companies. TFF believes we can profit from market inefficiencies while also identifying companies that are misrepresenting their prospects or financial results. By illuminating corruption in the capital markets, individual investors can make more informed decisions when investing hard-earned capital....
With that said, TFF is a profit organization and will frequently trade in the securities about which we write. Our positions will always be disclosed in the posting. TFF goes to great lengths to ensure that all information is factual and referenced. All facts that we present on this site are true to the best of our knowledge. All opinions presented are our own and accurately reflect our actual opinion on the relevant subject being discussed at the time
At first glance many situations appear obvious. Rigorous examination may reveal that the obvious is in fact impossible. My focus is on companies that unethically sell the impossible and thrive only with financial slight of hand. I am a retired businessman living near Austin Texas and I both delight and profit from shining some light on these deceptions.
I invest in U.S.-listed Chinese companies. My website is at www.chinesecompanyanalyst.com.
I take long and short positions in the public securities of companies that I discuss on Seeking Alpha. Although I choose to remain anonymous, I provide full disclosure of my positions at the time of the publishing of each blog post. For all of my posts, I may buy or sell positions in the three days prior to and after each blog post.
Nowhere on Seeking Alpha do I attempt to provide false or misleading information. All facts that I present on this site are true to the best of my knowledge. All opinions presented are my own and accurately reflect my actual opinion on the relevant subject being discussed at the time ...More of writing. To the extent you believe I have provided false or misleading information, please contact me at firstname.lastname@example.org and if I agree with your assessment, I will modify the relevant content in the Q&A section of a given post.
I am an an entrepreneur, trader and programmer based in Mainz, Germany. I studied economics, journalism and ethnology at the Jonannes Gutenberg University, Mainz. My experience with financial websites goes back to the late 1990s when I published a German language site (redboerse.de) focusing on emerging technology stocks. To me, work must be enjoyable.
"The mind is like a parachute. It doesn't work if it is not open." (Frank Zappa)
A*L was established in 2010 by Jon Carnes, a growth and value-oriented investor who lived for six years (from 2005 to 2011) in China where he researched and invested in dozens of Chinese companies, first long (2005-2009) and then primarily short (2010-2012). Mr. Carnes outperformed other investors by performing extensive “on the ground” due diligence, conducted by a team of experienced analysts and local researchers. His investment opinions were greatly respected by other China focused fund managers attracted to the booming economy but wary of getting duped.
Over several years of scrutinizing over a hundred companies in every corner of China, Mr. Carnes realized that many of those that had gone public were seriously exaggerating their financial performance in their SEC filings. Investors raced to invest billions into Chinese companies that were dishonest and legally accountable to no one, a recipe for disaster for investors, both large and small.
Deciding to take action, Mr. Carnes decided to publicly expose the most egregious frauds he had discovered over the years, focusing on the worst offenders: companies that had exaggerated their profitability by at least 100%. In February 2010, he published a series of reports titled “Management Leaving Investors Stuck at the Pumps” showing that China Natural Gas (formerly NASDAQ: CHNG) management defrauded investors by failing to disclose and likely misappropriating $20 million from an acquisition of an undisclosed related party.
Unfortunately, when CHNG discovered that Mr. Carnes wrote the reports, its chairman Qinan Ji responded by sending an agent to threaten him where he lived in China. Frightened by Ji’s threat, Mr. Carnes removed the reports from the Internet. From this point onward Mr. Carnes knew that publishing the truth while living in China might get him killed.
Mr. Carnes nevertheless chose to remain in China to continue exposing fraud. Knowing that the safety of his researchers depended upon absolute secrecy and anonymity, he published my reports anonymously online using the obvious pseudonym “Alfred Little.” Beginning with CHNG, over the next two years Mr. Carnes exposed a diverse array of investment fraud committed by a U.S. listed Chinese companies.
After two years, CHNG Chairman Qinan Ji’s effort to conceal his fraud finally failed. On 9/21/11 NASDAQ halted trading of CHNG and on 3/8/12 CHNG was delisted. Most importantly, on 5/14/12 the SEC filed fraud charges against CHNG and its Chairman Qinan Ji.
Two more of the companies that Mr. Carnes first exposed faced the same fate. On 2/22/12 the SEC charged Puda Coal (formerly AMEX: PUDA) Chairman Ming Zhao with fraud, confirming each of the allegations in his 4/8/11 report, “Puda Coal Chairman Secretly Sold Half the Company and Pledged the Other Half to Chinese PE Investors.”
Then on 4/23/12 the SEC charged SinoTech Energy (formerly NASDAQ: CTE) and two of its officers with fraud. On 8/16/11, Mr. Carnes was the first to blow the whistle exposing CTE’s massive fraud in a report titled “SinoTech Energy: Enhanced Oil Recovery or Capital Extraction.” Unlike other numerous smaller “reverse merger” frauds, Sinotech was a $168 million IPO listed on NASDAQ underwritten by UBS and Lazard Capital Markets and audited by Ernst & Young.
Three companies, Deer Consumer Products (“DEER”), Sino Clean Energy (“SCEI”) and Silvercorp Metals (“SVM”) criticized in reports published by A*L sued Mr. Carnes for defamation. The three companies coordinated their legal and retaliatory efforts, both in the U.S., Canada and China to silence Mr. Carnes.
The epic battle that followed ended swiftly in a complete rout. NASDAQ delisted DEER and SCEI. SVM and DEER both lost their defamation claims against Mr. Carnes. SCEI abandoned its defamation claim against Mr. Carnes.
After winning the battle against DEER, SCEI and SVM, A*L emerged with the best track record of any China focused investment blog.
Whether you are a large or small firm, GeoInvesting will cater to your needs and create a sound process for corporate diligence. Our specialty is Portfolio Protection – in fact, every aspect of what we do boils down to various ways that your M&A process or investment portfolio can be safeguarded against red flags.
To accomplish this we choose to work closely with you so you can be kept abreast of the progress of our due diligence from start to finish, making sure that we cultivate a relationship of trust between our team and yours.
Who Can We Help Specifically?
We actually do not limit ourselves to any specific group? We have worked at great lengths with:
>High Net Worth Investors
>Private & Public M&A
>Other Due Diligence Firms
There is really no one that we can’t work with since we’ve covered just about every facet of the due diligence process, whether it be on-the-ground or “through the files.” We can even tailor our services to your specific requirements.
We have a retail solution for everyone – the long investor, the short investor, the pump and dump investor and the every day trader that is interested in the micro cap arena. We’ve shown that we can overcome the challenges posed by any market environment, quickly seizing investment and trading opportunities as they arise. Because of this, our Premium members have been able to enjoy above-average returns on our ideas. Our solutions enable us to cater to what matters to you the most.
Do you want access to reports that can convey the proper valuation of equities, reports that can immediately convince the market that these valuations are warranted? Do you want information arbitrage that allows you to be among the first to take action based on the intel? Do you need daily ideas, some of which have proven to be some of the most rewarding calls to action that the GeoTeam has offered? Would you like to follow our GeoBargains and select trades? Or do you just need to be part of an exclusive twitter following that receives alerts before the rest of the market?
If you have answered yes to any of the questions above, then don’t wait any longer. Join our Network and see why our following continues to grow on a daily basis. The faster you join, the more likely you will be among the first to harness the power of our offering.
Sign up today and start to get:
>Daily Trading Ideas
See GeoInvesting Prime on Seeking Alpha Marketplace