Jeffrey Frankel is Harpel Professor of Capital Formation and Growth at Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government. He directs the program in International Finance and Macroeconomics at the National Bureau of Economic Research, where he is also a member of the Business Cycle Dating Committee, which officially declares recessions. Appointed to the Council of Economic Advisers by President Clinton in 1996 and subsequently confirmed by the Senate, he served until 1999. His responsibilities as Member included international economics, macroeconomics, and the environment. Before moving East, he had been professor of economics at the University of California, Berkeley, having joined the faculty in 1979. Other past appointments include the Federal Reserve Board, Institute for International Economics, International Monetary Fund, and Yale. His research interests include international finance, currencies, monetary and fiscal policy, commodity prices, regional blocs, and global environmental issues. He graduated from Swarthmore College and received his PhD from MIT. Visit Jeffrey Frankel's Weblog (http://www.jeffrey-frankel.com/)
As I said:
I discovered the Gospel in July 1979. It is worth trillions of economic dollars. It should be classified as "top secret" by the CIA. I should be awarded the Nobel Prize in economics.
A prior post.:
"John, the #'s (which represent AD), for the 3rd qtr. are 2x that of the 2nd qtr. And that's without extrapolation and assuming Vt remains constant (& Vt will rise). - 20 Jul 2016, 06:50 PM
Dr. Leland Pritchard (Ph.D, Economics, Chicago School -1933,MS, Statistics):
"You have a predictive device nobody has hit on yet" - 9/8/81
And “considering the distortions in the def. of M1a and the rapid increase in the currency component, the correlation of the time series is remarkable”
Today's BEA release: Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2016 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 1.4 percent.
I am going to change the world.
- Michel de Nostredame
In Cambridge economist, Alfred Marshall's "motives" for holding cash balances, or in this case not holding cash balances, the EXPECTATION, of a rise in the prices of things will induce a decrease in the demand for money (increase in Vt). It deals with the uncertainty which affects economic behavior, it "bridges the gaps of transition periods".
Richard J. Parsons is a former banker who writes about banking. His newest book is “Investing in Banks: Strategies and Statistics for Bankers, Directors, and Investors,” published in April by The Risk Management Association. In this book he examines long-term bank stock performance and identifies specific factors that create and destroy shareholder value.
He is also the author of Broke: America’s Banking System, published in 2013. In this book Parsons explains why the U.S. banking system has suffered nearly 3,500 bank failures over the past three decades.
Parsons is a frequent contributor to the American Banker and the Risk Management Journal. He teaches the Operational Risk Management course for the Wharton-RMA Advanced Risk Management Program as well as the Advanced Operational Risk Management course for the RMA.
The RMA Journal selected Parsons’ article -- “The Next Crisis in Banking: A Talent Crisis?” -- as the first place winner in its 2014 Journalistic Excellence Award.
Prior to writing and speaking about the banking industry, Parsons spent more than 31 years at Bank of America where he was an executive vice president and member of the Management Operating Committee. In his last role he chaired the bank’s Operational and Compliance Risk Committee and the Emerging Risk Committee.
Parsons has a BA in history from Ohio Wesleyan University and an MBA from the University of Virginia Darden School of Business.
Adam has over twenty five years’ experience in capital markets and investment management, in a career that has involved proprietary trading desks, commodity trading advisors, sovereign wealth funds and private offices. During this time he has had trading book P&L responsibility, in addition to setting up and managing offices of regulated global financial entities in the UAE.
Ian’s Insider Corner research focuses primarily on long-term dividend-paying companies with stable and reliable growth, stocks suitable for individual retirement accounts. Ian also looks for “niche” shorter-term trading opportunities, and coverage. During the 3-years Ian worked at Kerrisdale Capital, the New York-based activist hedge fund had great success exposing fraudulent companies. Kerrisdale Capital returned almost 200% in 2011, and more than 300% in total. Ian Bezek offers in-depth coverage of all the stocks in his “IMF” portfolio.
*************Original User account: 17741882***********************
General : Aspiring Equity Analyst with 7 years of professional and personal investment experience. Primary focus is Value and Growth both domestic and abroad (Europe and Latin America)
Professional Experience: Hedge Fund Assurance and Valuation Services ( AUM 100M - 10B). Exposure to almost every investment strategy and product on the market. Strategies ranged from typical Long/Short Equity & Structured Products such as MBS and CDOs, all the way to reinsurance funds trading catastrophe linked bonds.
Licenses: CPA (NJ) Certified Public Accountant
CFA Candidate - Level 1 June 2017
Very proud Rutgers Graduate- New Brunswick Campus - GO Scarlet Knights ! -
Major: Bachelor's of Accounting
SevenSeas Investment Research was created to provide investors with honest, deeply considered, detailed, passionately conducted, straight forward, value focused, fundamental investment research on a variety of asset classes and market topics.
I use a combination of traditional value focused fundamental research and a proprietary method of stock selection that can be adjusted to meet a dynamic mixture of different risk tolerances, and various other investor criteria to construct concentrated and unique portfolios to any given individual's investment needs.
My deep knowledge of Alternative Investments and Accounting (both GAAP & IFRS), as well as my exposure to dozens of successful hedge fund portfolios and complex investment securities, provided me with a unique perspective few obtain of a side of the market unseen by the retail investor. I wish to share my passion and knowledge for the markets that has grown to an obsession over the last 7 years with the SA community, to bring value to investors ranging from beginners, all the way to seasoned professionals, and network with the thousands of talented individuals from around the world who come to the platform seeking the same objectives.
My overall mission is to provide readers with valuable research to assist them in making wise investment decisions. All articles are my own personal views, and do not constitute investment advice. **Please be sure to contact your own investment professional when considering purchasing an investment.
SevenSeas will remain dedicated to providing a complete, and consistent level of work and appreciation for the readers. The highest standards of ethics and professionalism will be displayed at all times. I welcome all feedback and can be reached via direct messaging. Best of luck to all, and I hope you enjoy the work.
Independent banking research, focusing on large U.S., Australasian and European banks. I identify long and short ideas and trading strategies around special events (CCAR).
To benefit from independent insights and quality analysis from a banking insider - subscribe as a "real-time" follower above.
Principal En-lightener - Purveyor of Darkness.
And Now - The Gift...
Stupid is as stupid does - Forrest Gump;
You can't fix stupid, no pill for it, it's fo'ever - Ron White ;
There are idiots, look around - Larry Summers ;
To avoid the pernicious global plague of stupidity, drink the Kool-Aid and become one of the innoculati. The Kool-Aid is available at [VIRUS REMOVED BY ECHELON UNDER ORDER OF PATRIOT ACT II ... transmission terminated]
I have been an active investor/trader since 1994, with quite good results.
I have done both academic and practical research on computer-based (fully automated or semi-automated) short-term stock market prediction and negotiation, but for consistent returns, I still believe it is hard to beat long-term investing based on fundamentals.
At present, the basis of my personal investment portfolio mainly combines energy-related commodities and stocks.
I recognize that the risk/reward tends to be heavily skewed against the short side and as such I believe short positions should be kept small, when not part of a well thought out long/short strategy.
Besides being an investor I'm a professor at a Portuguese university.
Ph.D. economics and Finance MBA finance
Globe Institute of Technology
Professor – Economics and Finance, Chair of Business Department
Colorado Technical University
Adjunct Professor – courses: Applied Managerial Finance (Graduate Level), Microeconomics, International Finance
European School Of Economics (New York Campus)
Adjunct Professor – Economics (Graduate Level) Courses taught: Microeconomics
Metropolitan College of New York
Adjunct Professor – Economics, Banking and Finance
Courses taught: History of Economic Thought, Macroeconomics, Money and Financial Institutions
World Gold Council
New York, NY
• Constructed econometric models relating to gold's role as a portfolio diversifier primarily aimed at institutional investors.
• Focused on models of the embedded optionality of gold in terms of its relation to other investment assets and economic fundamentals such as inflation and business conditions.
Founder and President, Internet Startup company with polling and investment advice websites.
Fundamental Portfolio Advisors, Inc.
Chief Portfolio Strategist – President
• At the predecessor company I started the New York Muni Fund, the first single state triple tax-free municipal bond fund.
• I took the fund from a one-employee start-up where I performed every function to a family of mutual funds which had five funds with total assets above $300 million and which did all of its distribution, accounting and transfer in-house.
• I wrote the initial prospectus and was responsible for managing the portfolios of what eventually grew to be a family of 5 mutual funds.
• Was chief economist for parent company’s brokerage affiliate.
• Involved on the buy-side in the development and monitoring of various structured municipal finance products. Worked with major issuers such as New York City and major investment banks such as Merrill Lynch and Goldman Sachs.
• Designed and submitted a U.S. Patent Application for a portfolio management system for mutual funds involving derivatives.
Note: In 1996 Fundamental Portfolio Advisors and myself were subject to civil litigation by the SEC which resulted in deregistration and a permanent bar from the securities industry.
A. Gary Shilling & Co.
Senior Economist – Vice President
Economic consulting, modeling and forecasting. Both macro and micro.
• Clients included: Emerson Electric, Bethlehem Steel, Castle & Cooke, Cooper Industries and the U.S. Department of Transportation.
• I was the author of the 1979 study commissioned by the U.S. Government Interstate Commerce Commission, which calculated the expected economic impact of trucking deregulation.
White, Weld & Co, Inc.
• White, Weld was the sixth largest investment banking and brokerage firm when Merrill Lynch bought it.
• Extensive work was done on the All-American Pipeline Proposal to tap the Alaskan Gas Reserves.
• The economics department of White, Weld formed A. Gary Shilling & Co. at the time of the Merrill Lynch merger.
American Stock Exchange
New York University
June 1978 Ph.D.
• Ph.D. dual field, economics and finance.
• Doctoral dissertation was in contingency claims (options) theory
June 1973 MBA with concentration in economics and finance
NYU Engineering School
June 1971 Bachelor of Science - Nuclear Engineering Tau Beta Pi
Analysis of the Embedded Inflation Optionality in Gold Prices. World Gold Council, 2000. New York, N.Y.
The Economic Impact of Trucking Deregulation. Interstate Commerce Commission, 1979, Washington D.C.
Owen Williams, CFA, DBA, is an equity fund manager in Geneva, Switzerland and a visiting professor at the Skema Business School, Paris, France. Dr. Williams has worked 16 years in the industry as both a bond/economics strategist with a top, independent research boutique and as a long-only macro equity fund manager. He has a Masters degree in international business from the Moore School of Business (Univ. of South Carolina) and a doctorate in finance from the Grenoble Ecole de Management.
Williams Market Analytics, LLC is a quantitative research boutique offering insightful, actionable analysis of financial markets. The firms also runs a systematic allocation strategy using Dr. Williams' quantitative models. The strategy portfolio can be accessed by both individual investors and RIAs in the U.S. and Europe. The strategy description and 5-year performance record can be found at:
Hardassetsinvestor.com (http://hardassetsinvestor.com/) is a Van Eck Associates-sponsored, research oriented Web site devoted to sharing ideas about hard assets investing. The site has been developed as an educational resource for both individual and institutional investors interested in learning more about commodity equities, commodity futures and gold (the three major components of the hard assets marketplace). The site focuses on hard assets investing, without endorsing or recommending any particular investment product or approach.
Visit: Hard Assets Investor (http://hardassetsinvestor.com/)
Editor for The Biotech Forum (www.biotechforumsa.com), the #2 subscribed to Marketplace investment service offered through SeekingAlpha. Top 5% ranked analyst (TipRanks) 2013 through first half of 2015. Daily contributor for Real Money Pro. Hedge fund manager from 2008 to 2011. Previously technology executive at Fortune 100 firm for a decade. For Free weekly investment reports on small, attractive biotech stocks just register at www.bretjenseninvests.com
I have been an active investor for almost 20 years. My main focus is on high-yield stocks, particularly MLPs, and high-growth oil companies in the Eagle Ford shale. I have a portion of my portfolio allocated to short-term trading, with a focus on over-reactions to company news and directional plays on VIX-based ETFs. I am happy to answer just about any question sent my way, especially from those new to the stock market.
Cited by Barron's as one of the top financial websites to visit on the weekend, Financial Sense (www.financialsense.com) provides educational resources to the broad public audience through a daily podcast, editorials, current news and resource links on salient financial market issues. Begun in 1985 as a local talk radio program, Financial Sense Newshour (www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour) is a weekly webcast with host Jim Puplava and top financial thinkers. Writing staff of Financial Sense includes: Jim Puplava, Chris Puplava, Ryan Puplava, and Cris Sheridan.
I'm a value investor focused on buying companies trading below the intrinsic value.
I've a back ground in engineering & finance. I'm also a Chartered Financial Analyst. I did my MBA from Emory University's Goizueta School of Business
Moon Kil Woong is currently a VP at a SME. Previously he was a tech stock consultant, VP of Research at ING, and sell side Director at Crédit Agricole Indosuez. Moon Kil Woong has a Masters in Public Administration from SJSU.
David Moenning is Chief Investment Officer at Sowell Management Services, a registered investment advisor with more than $500 million under management. Sowell emphasizes an MPD (Modern Portfolio Diversification) approach to portfolio design which diversifies client holdings not only across asset classes but also by strategy, manager, and investment methodology. Dave began his investment career in 1980 and has been an independent money manager since 1987. Thus, Dave has been live on the firing line and investing for a living for nearly 30 years.
I have written 2 dutch books on value investing: "Aandelen selecteren als waardebelegger" and "Beleggen in bull- en bearmarkten". See bol.com (search for the titles). As a mathematician (Ph.D.) I am most interested in investment strategies with statistically favorable returns. In particular I invest in net-nets (20-30% average annual returns). I find companies with low Enterprise Value/Earnings before Tax and Interest (EV/EBIT) and strong balance sheets (20% average annual returns) also very interesting. Since such stocks are rare I invest globally. Send me a message with your email address to get example articles of my premium research on Seeking Alpha.
Renaissance Capital is an IPO investment advisory firm providing pre-IPO institutional research and management of IPO-focused funds including the Renaissance IPO ETF (NYSE ticker: IPO), the Renaissance International IPO ETF (NYSE ticker: IPOS) and the Global IPO Mutual Fund (ticker: IPOSX). Through Renaissance Capital’s pre-IPO research service, investors get a hard-nosed, independent opinion, in-depth fundamental analysis and customizable financial models on all IPOs. The Firm's clients also gain access to the premier IPO knowledge base with deal calendars, market commentary, fundamental data on over 5,000 past IPOs and more.
Josh Young is the Chief Investment Officer of Bison Interests, an investment firm focused on publicly traded oil and gas companies. He is a value investor primarily focused on energy stocks, natural resources stocks, and companies trading a low multiples to earnings, cash flow, or book value. He previously served on the board of a small cap publicly traded oil and gas company. He has presented at numerous investment conferences, including Platts, LD Micro, Oil & Gas Money, Louisiana Energy Conference, and the Global Resources Investment Conference.