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pauldeba

pauldeba
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  • What To Watch For In UVXY And VXX [View article]
    Do NOT buy this stock, just look at the 3 year chart, it has not even been going for 3 years and it is down from $100,000 a share high on the day it opened to $24. If the VIX soars to an all time high this morning and slowly settles to a high of 26 in 6 months, you will have made nothing, even though the VIX would be more than double what it is today
    Jul 16 09:31 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix: Bullish On The Product, But Valuation Seems Expensive [View article]
    The way I see it is that Q4 is always a winner and Q2 is always a loser, at least for the open the following day.

    Q1 and Q3 have been mixed

    So, if you have 4 games in the NFL on Sunday an 2 are guaranteed winners, why bet on the other two, just watch them from the sidelines and enjoy.
    Jul 15 04:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What To Watch For In UVXY And VXX [View article]
    Sell calls, it has been like money growing on trees for me the past 2 years, sell in the money a little bit and buy out of the money slightly and get a 33% return like clockwork every 3 months, what a scam
    Jul 15 01:53 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix: Expansion In Europe Will Enhance Returns [View article]
    There was an upgrade form Raymond James, but they almost always have a pump like this the week before earnings.

    Funny thing about Raymond James, I took their numbers for 2023 subs (I know, what a joke) and came up with a PE 0f 10:1 for 9 years forward. So, in 9 years if everything goes as planned, Netflix will hit low growth and be a $450 stock. What could go wrong?
    Jul 14 04:12 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix: Expansion In Europe Will Enhance Returns [View article]
    It has not beat expectations on a Q2 (at least the subs and Q3 guidance) once since 2007. That is 6 straight crashes after Q2 earnings. Q4 has practically the same amount of jumps. Short Q2, Long Q4 - you can triple your money each time twelve times using that strategy.
    Jul 14 09:05 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix: Bullish On The Product, But Valuation Seems Expensive [View article]
    Not much risk until earnings. It is obviously soaring to $470+ again until earnings. I think it will have a heavy drop after earnings, it always does this quarter. It has dropped 5+% every Q2 earnings release since 2008, that's 6 in a row, same as the jump after Q4 Christamas quarter. if you just heavily shorted every Q2 and bought Q4 you could have basically doubled or tripled using out of the money options 12 straight times. $1K could have become $500 million just playing 12 days in the market the past 6 years. Of course, there isn't enough volume for a $500 million option play on NFLX, but you know if there were......
    Jul 11 03:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cynk Technology Is The New Scheme In Town [View article]
    No, they just need to show that the filings are false. They don't even exist in their supposed domicile. They will be sent a letter to respond immediately and the shares will be cancelled shortly after. There is limited risk for the SEC to take drastic action when the reality is about as well kept a secret as Liberace's sexual preference.

    I think the big sellers of these stocks will not be able to access the proceeds of those sales or liquidate their accounts for until the halt is over, and whatever is in their will be split by the lawyers (of course) and the defrauded. They will probably get 20-25 cents on the dollar
    Jul 11 03:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cynk Technology Is The New Scheme In Town [View article]
    600% * 14 = $84 per year / 2 weeks of halt = $3-4. You will win $14 and lose $4, not bad. It will be removed from the OTC long before those 2 weeks are up
    Jul 11 02:57 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Cynk Technology Is The New Scheme In Town [View article]
    Sellers more desperate to sell than buyers to buy. You don't need to be able to short for a stock to collapse.
    Jul 11 02:55 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cynk Technology Is The New Scheme In Town [View article]
    Actually, the best way to attract the attention of the SEC is to post about it in online porn site message boards, where they typically while away their days.
    Jul 10 05:39 PM | 25 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cynk Technology Is The New Scheme In Town [View article]
    This is not an SEC issue? A company that has basically lied about its business prospects on its legal filings solely in order to defraud investors is no an SEC issue? Then what is an SEC issue?
    Jul 10 03:41 PM | 22 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix: Bullish On The Product, But Valuation Seems Expensive [View article]
    absolutely agree, just not sure I want to invest much time in getting entertainment from decades gone by, some times it is little more than nostalgia to watch the old stuff, and I will opt for the lazier way of looking at new stuff on Cable. I streamed a few wonder years episodes a few weeks ago, it was nice but can't see my TV viewing being dominated by trips down memory lane. Although, the "Wayne on Wheels" episode was fabulous as was the The Giant Jackrabbit and Jethro the Beatnik
    Jul 10 11:16 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix: Bullish On The Product, But Valuation Seems Expensive [View article]
    not really, this is an investing blog, not Consumer Reports. well, I called $470 and said $300 next, I think we go up until earnings though, let me refresh the mail I sent you and see where we'd be at it, if I listened to my own advice
    Jul 10 09:54 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix: Bullish On The Product, But Valuation Seems Expensive [View article]
    I completely agree with everything you say Sakelaris and always enjoy your comments. But, I just see an irrational behavior by people like me when it comes to organizing entertainment options, especially since people who watch TV are typically the lazier members of society and people who want stuff really cheap aren't always the best market to profit off of, or at least don't typically play well as part of a complete group with people more willing to spend and desire better quality.

    So, I think pay-per-view is fair and will be the future and that is exactly the opposite of Netflix model and I don't think they can change to profit form it, when streaming becomes generic or a commodity.

    Everyone screams "cables are charging me too much for 300 channels I don't watch" and then they say "I ain't paying $5 to watch one stupid show" and "I can't stand commercials", so everyone defaults to "I don't want to pay anything and I want an unlimited variety and quality whenever I want to watch it" which is Netflix model - but guess what - You can't always get what you want, everyone can't date the Homecoming Queen (I guess except Jennie Class of '82 at my school, who was able to pull that off with a bit of shame - but I digress), so that is my ultimate thesis on why Netflix will not ever realize a value above $100 or so to shareholders.
    Jul 9 12:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Netflix: Bullish On The Product, But Valuation Seems Expensive [View article]
    Congratulations, you submitted this bullish article on the 5th largest daily drop on a non-earnings week in Netflix history
    Jul 8 12:27 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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