Investor. Mission: Help people make money. Degree: Chemistry from NC State University. Featured author of Momentum Options Weekly Wrap (http://momentumoptionstrading.com/ )
Follow me on Motley Fool Caps at http://caps.fool.com/player/modestus1.aspx .
For short-term ideas about big movers, follow my StockTalks. But please note I am not the best short term stock picker. I am 7-0-1 in the long term, but 0-3 in the short term. If you want better short term pickers, I recommend Michael Filloon and Alfred Little.
Over the last 12 years, I am 7-4-1. I was up 130%, 29%, 15%, 3%, 19%, 25%, 56% from 2001-2007 respectively, and down 39%, 39%, 79% from 2008-2010 respectively. In 2011, I was flat, but some ill-timed trades (should have held AG) caused a loss of 17% and 14% in 2012 and 2013. Note: gains and losses include transaction costs. 2009 and 2010, I traded frequently, adding up transaction costs. That is why I favor longterm holding over shortterm trading.
I invest in all stocks. I don't agree that US stocks are the safest. Want a safe stock, try TEVA. It did not fall much, or at all, during the credit crisis. And generics are the future.
Being a chemistry graduate, I tend to focus of the drug, medical, biotech, and chemical industries. So far, I wrote about 5 medical companies (RPC, OREX, KV.A, PLX, & XOMA). OREX and KV.A were right on target, though KV.A has fallen back hard after reaching their highs, which surprised me. PLX was half right: it did get a negative letter from the FDA, but the options strategy was wrong. For RPC, so far, I have been wrong, and exited my position in mid-May. XOMA also has fallen since I wrote about it.
However, I also cover diverse stocks, from BIDU to NCT. Ignoring other industries is a big mistake. I look for stocks I find undervalued on both a value perspective and a growth perspective, but placing more emphasis on growth. I combine both fundamental and technical analysis. The fundamentals only tell you part of the story.
Anybody can make money. Don't let Wall Street analysts manipulate you. Their analysis is good, but don't take everything they say. Good luck investing, and I will do everything I can to make you money.
Oh, and I invest in rather risky stocks with high potentials. If you are nearing retirement, I don't recommend you copy my portfolio. I will label my stocks with the risk/reward factor. I am adding a watch list with some stocks for retirement investors that I like. All watch list stocks are long term holdings.
BRK.B (very low risk/medium reward)
NRZ (medium risk/medium reward)
EXK (medium risk/medium reward)
SNR (medium risk/medium reward)
NCT (medium risk/high reward)
HOV (medium risk/high reward)
FRO (medium risk/high reward)
AMD (medium risk/high reward)
RGSE (very high risk/high reward)
SUNE (extremely high risk/very high reward)
AG (medium risk/medium reward)
YRCW (very high risk/very high reward)
GTIM (medium risk/high reward)
BOJA (medium risk/high reward)CVRR (medium risk/high reward)SWKS (medium risk/high reward)JAZZ (medium risk/high reward)NFLX (medium risk/high reward)
LVS (medium risk/high reward)
SAM (medium risk/high reward)
CMG (medium risk/high reward)
ZNH (medium risk/high reward)
RDY (medium risk/high reward)
MNK (medium risk/high reward)
YZC (low risk/high reward)
AVGO (low risk/medium reward)
CF (low risk/high reward)TTM (low risk/high reward)
NVO (low risk/high reward)
BIDU (low risk/high reward)
PCLN (low risk/high reward)
CLF (low risk/medium reward)
AAPL (low risk/medium reward)
GOOG (low risk/medium reward)
TEVA (low risk/medium reward)
CIM (low risk/medium reward) - dividend stock
TNH (low risk/medium reward) - dividend stock
GOL (low risk/medium reward) - dividend stock
Lejun James Shao is the founder of www.myIRAs.net (http://www.myIRAs.net/), WhitePine Investment Inc of USA, and CEO of WhitePine Software Inc, Beijing, China. He was the top finisher in MSN's 1st US One Million Dollar Investment Contest, "Strategy Open Tournament," with a +45.88% return in 4 months from August 28 - December 2008.
An IT wizard turned professional investor, James Shao graduated from the University of Michigan with a PhD degree in Computer Engineering in 1990 and worked as an assistant professor in Singapore's Nanyang Technology University for 5 years after graduation. He worked as Chief Software Engineer in DSP Technology, Design Engineer in Ford Motor Company, and several other high tech companies after his return. James Shao started his investment profession in 2001.
“When you are inspired by some great purpose, some extraordinary project, all your thoughts break their bonds: Your mind transcends limitations, your consciousness expands in every direction, and you find yourself in a new, great and wonderful world. Dormant forces, faculties and talents become alive, and you discover yourself to be a greater person by far than you ever dreamed yourself to be.” (Author - Patanjali)
“Tentative efforts lead to tentative outcomes. Therefore, give yourself fully to your endeavors. Decide to construct your character through excellent actions and determine to pay the price of a worthy goal. The trials you encounter will introduce you to your strengths. Remain steadfast...and one day you will build something that endures: something worthy of your potential.” (Author - Epictetus)
"Hope sees the invisible, feels the intangible, and achieves the impossible." (Author - Unknown)
"When I stand before God at the end of my life, I would hope that I would not have a single bit of talent left, and could say, 'I used everything you gave me." (Author - Erma Bombeck)
Formerly Chief Market Strategist at Capital Ladders Advisory Group LLC. After the sale of certain of CLAG's retail and institutional assets in October 2015, I have commenced my latest venture in the CPG industry which is centered on the development and licensing of consumer and commercial technology. https://www.linkedin.com/profile/view?id=AAIAAA3lJ9IBNi1rhhFzRWElkJl4MpyNuIiHglQ&trk=nav_responsive_tab_profile
CooLinX Integrated Technologies develops technologies for the beverage and CPG industry. We are presently effecting licensing agreements with multi-national brands and co-developing products aimed for mass market consumption.
Dr. Kris has two degrees from MIT because one just wasn't enough. Her life goal was to figure out the universe and having done that (at least to her satisfaction), she decided to tackle something even more difficult—the stock market.
Applying the scientific method along with an insatiably curious mind, she began trading stocks, futures, and options in order to find the holy grail to market success. She's discovered to her immense satisfaction that not only is there one way to succeed but many. Combining her love of cooking with the stock market, she's devised recipes for investment success designed to please the palate of most investors. Dr. Kris currently manages a private equity long/short portfolio and writes of her current research projects that appear on her website, StockMarketCookBook.com.
Her most exciting project is applying market timing models to Modern Portfolio Theory to not only give greater returns but at substantially lower levels of risk. (See PortfolioPreserver.com for further information.)
Chris Damas' contrarian equity research is broad based and covers energy production and infrastructure, metals, agriculture, chemicals, forestry, industrials, telecoms, retail, technology, financials, transports, renewables and special situations as well as US MLP's. Chris managed the second largest preferred share portfolio on Bay Street during the 80's and also follows currency and fixed income markets closely. His investment universe is broad and he spends most of his time hunting for actionable trade ideas and long term investment opportunities. His investment thinking and trading activity are now only available by subscribing to the US and Canadian versions of The BCMI Report (trademark) and The BCMI Flash (trademark) which are issued at least weekly and more frequently when opportunities and market conditions demand it.
Founder of "The Contrarian", a premium research service, featuring the "Bet The Farm" Portfolio. Actively investing since 1995, I have soared like an eagle, and been unmercifully humbled by the markets. Achieved positive returns in 2008, and turned an account with $60,310 on 1/1/2009 into an account with $3,177,937 on 11/30/2009. My best years have been 1995-2003, 2008-2012, and 2016-????. My worst years were 2013-2015. I believe inflation is coming, and we are at an inflection point in the markets.
Twenty year career as an investment analyst, investor, portfolio manager, consultant, and writer. Founder of Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd, which was incorporated in the spring of 2009. Dyed in the wool contrarian investor, who has learned, the hard way, that a good contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time, but being right at key inflection points is the key to meaningful wealth creation in the markets. I believe we are near a meaningful inflection point, perhaps the biggest one yet, for the third time in the past 15 years.
Historically, I have had huge wins and impressive losses based on a concentrated, contrarian strategy. Trying to keep the good while filtering out the bad.
Seeking to run an all weather portfolio with minimal volatility and index overlays to capture my strategic and tactical recommendations along with a concentrated best ideas portfolio, which is my bread and butter, but the volatility only makes it suitable for a small piece of an investor's overall portfolio. The following are a couple of my favorite investment quotes.
"Life and investing are long ballgames." Julian Robertson
"A diamond is a chunk of coal that is made good under pressure."
"Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world." Albert Einstein
I’ve been on top of the world, and the world has been on top of me. I have learned to enjoy the perspective from each view, and use opportunities to persistently acquire knowledge, and enjoy the company of those around me, especially loved ones, family, and friends.
At heart, I am a market historian with an unrivaled passion for the capital markets. I have had a long history and specialization with concentrated positions and options trading. Made money in 2008 with a net long portfolio, deploying capital in some of the market's darkest hours into long positions including purchases of American Express, Atlas Energy, Crosstex, First Industrial Real Estate, General Growth Properties, Genworth, Macquarie Infrastructure, Ruth Chris Steakhouse, and Vornado near their lows. Shorting, hedging, and option strategies also helped me in 2007 and 2009, and these are skills that I have developed ever since I started trading heavily in 1996.I enjoy reading, accumulating knowledge, and putting this knowledge to work in the active capital markets, learning lessons along the way.To this day, I continue to learn, and some of these learning lessons have been excruciatingly difficult ones, especially over the past several years, as I made mistakes allocating capital, including a sizable portion of my own capital (I always invest alongside my clients), to commodity related stocks. While all commodity related stocks have struggled since April of 2011, coal companies, which attracted me due to their extremely cheap valuations, and out-of-favor status (I am a strong believer in behavioral finance alongside fundamentals and technicals) have been the worst investing mistake of my career. The focus on the commodity arena has been the biggest mistake of my investment career thus far, yet in its aftermath, I see tremendous opportunity, even larger in scope than the fortuitous 2008/2009 environment.The capital that I accumulated and the confidence gained in navigating the treacherous investment waters of 2008 gave me the confidence to launch my own investment firm in the spring of 2009, right before the ultimate lows in the stock market. At the time I was working as a senior analyst at one of the largest RIA's in the country, and I felt strongly that the market environment was the best time since 1974/1975 to start an investment firm.
Prior to starting my firm, I was a senior analyst for three different firms over approximately 10 years (Charles Schwab, Redwood, Oxford), moving up in responsibility and scope at each stop along my journey. Since I was a paperboy, I have always had an interest in the investment markets. I love researching and finding opportunities. I am a Chartered Financial Analyst, CFA, as well as a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst, CAIA. After starting in the teaching program at Ball State University, I switched to a career in finance when I turned a small student loan into a substantial amount of capital. I graduated summa cum laude with a degree in finance from Ball State.
Full disclosure, I am not currently a registered investment advisor, though I did serve in this capacity from 2009-2014, while owning Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd. Additionally, I held various securities licenses from 2000-2014, without a single complaint filed, and I continue to hold industry designations. At the end of 2014, I voluntarily let my state registration expire, as I transitioned the business to a different structure. Prior to this, I had passed, and held, various securities exams and licenses, including the Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 exams, in addition to others, alongside my CFA and CAIA designations. Unfortunately, I did not file the proper paperwork to withdraw my state registration, and I did not disclose a personal arrangement, and subsequent civil case, between myself and a former close personal friend and client, that was initiated in 2011. I was unaware that I was required to disclose these items, and my securities attorney, at the time, did not advise me to do so. Previously, I had managed a portfolio for this gentleman, and we had taken an investment of approximately $7 million in 2009, and grown it to over $25 million at the beginning of 2012. After a difficult year of performance, an employee of the firm I owned, and friend, resigned in early 2013, and took the aforementioned client to a competing firm. As a result of not filing the proper paperwork, I agreed to a settlement, with a potential $2500 fine in the future, depending on if I choose to reapply to be a non-exempt advisor.
I am a long term value investor, but I am also interested in growth stocks when it is not overpriced.
I enjoy the process of finding out stocks with value, much like a gold-mining experience. Along the way, I also gained a lot of insight on various businesses.
Most of the time, I post articles and comments on Seeking Alpha to get opinions from other people, since it is important to get criticized and avoid the confirmatory bias. I also believe that small investors need to work together to share their research efforts in order to achieve an edge on information.
While I am passionate about investment, I am also passionate about many other things as well, such as Math, Machine Learning, Psychology and Philosophy. I believe life is about having fun, and a big part of that "fun" comes from constant learning and personal improvement.
I've spent considerable time working for a registered independent advisor, doing work such as structuring client accounts, researching stocks/bonds, and performing due diligence on external managers. My career shifted when I took a role at a major investment bank, where I've supported the front office in mortgage-backed securities and derivatives. I now work in an oversight and risk capacity, identifying areas of risk and control weakness when it comes to regulatory compliance. As for trading style, I lean towards small/mid-cap companies, as I believe they have the potential for greater risk-adjusted returns. I'm firmly contrarian, and look to buy out-of-favor equities that have an opportunity to revalue upwards in the medium term.
I spent my professional life – more than 45 years – working for and with large well-known investment management and investment banking firms. I’ve served at various times as an analyst, portfolio manager, senior investment executive, senior business executive and corporate director. On the buy side, the firms I worked for managed and sold mutual funds to retail investors and separate account investment management in a broad array of investment disciplines to large pension, endowment, public employee and other institutional investors. On the sell side, I’ve been associated with a substantial investment bank offering corporate finance, M&A and institutional research to corporate clients.
I spent many years as Chairman of the Investment Committee of a large non-profit. Our portfolio was invested globally and my Committee’s responsibilities included hiring (and, occasionally, firing) consulting and portfolio performance measurement firms and, more importantly, hiring (and, more than occasionally, firing) institutional investment managers who managed portions of our overall portfolio. We used both active and passive managers.
My personal approach to investing is based on my professional experiences. A few of a very large list of guiding principles are:
• There is only one relevant measure of investment performance. It is the risk-adjusted performance of an overall portfolio compared to its pre-established benchmark over a reasonable period of time. Most plan sponsors will not hire a manager with a performance record shorter than 5 years. After hiring a manager, they look at performance on much shorter time frames. Portfolios that generate profits – but less than their benchmarks – are failures.
• Generating Alpha is the sine qua non of professional active investment managers and their clients. It is incredibly difficult to achieve, especially after transaction and management fees are included.
• Passive (i.e. index) portfolios don’t care about Alpha. Typically they care about “Tracking Error”. Passive funds have tiny costs (“friction”) so they can get very close to zero tracking error. But, as long as they trade at all or charge any fees at all or run the portfolio by sampling or need to rebalance because of cash flows in or out the tracking error will never actually reach zero.
• For most people and institutions – including me – the path to investment success is to focus hard on asset allocation, then buy low cost/low tracking error index funds for each of the categories you choose. On the other hand, everyone knows, especially people who read Seeking Alpha, researching and buying/shorting individual stocks or -- at the institutional level -- hiring or firing active managers is much more fun!
• Personally, I drink my own Kool-Aid. About 90% of my portfolio is invested using low cost index funds to execute on a carefully considered asset allocation focused on multiple broad sectors of worldwide markets. I rebalance about annually. But, I spend a wildly disproportionate amount of time researching and investing (long or short) in typically less than a handful of stocks I find interesting, and I do each one with enough money that I really care about how it works out.
• John Bogle was right. Years ago he created Vanguard on the principle that expense ratios matter. In aggregate, all investors' activities add up to average, by definition. And, it is unbelievably difficult to be above average.
• Relatedly... • In today’s usage, a “Hedge Fund” is generally a misnomer. When they were originally created, hedge funds had specific investment objectives and styles. Today, the closest style to a real "hedge fund" would be describes as "long/short equity". In today’s usage, “Hedge Fund” refers to a pricing structure. It is applied to any fund with any objective invested in any assets that is organized as a limited partnership and charges clients both a management fee and a carried interest in realized profits. These days, the management fee is ausually 1-1/2 to 2%, plus a carried interest for the manager, typically about 20%. The shorthand for the pricing structure is “2 and 20” or "1-1/2 and 20". In earlier days 1/15 was more common. This explanation is this profile because it is my view that it is unbelievably difficult, as a client, to earn an above average return when paying such enormous fees. But, plan sponsors continue to do it – so maybe I’m wrong.
• I have never met (or even heard of) a short-term trader who has had more than momentary success. Individuals engaged in short-term trading (vs investing) who claim long-term success have selective memories – eagerly talking about their winners and forgetting about their losers – and have never subjected their long term investment record to mathematical analysis. Institutional firms can't get away with that as they need to publish all their performance numbers.
• Similarly, I have never met (or even heard of) a professional or individual investor who has had long-term success by market-timing.
• Investing is fundamentally a batting average game. Long term, the best – not the average, but the best – professional institutional investors are successful on their individual stock picks around 55% of the time. Of course, that means they are unsuccessful about 45% of the time.
• I drink that Kool-Aid too. When I buy or short individual stocks, I do careful research first. Once I've made an investment, I spend almost all my time focusing on factors that could prove I’m wrong!
• When it comes to investments, I am a classic “on the other hand” thinker, and, therefore, please understand that everything I write on SA is caveated with the ending quote from any of Dennis Miller’s famous rants: "...of course, that's just my opinion. I could be wrong."
• Enormous self-confidence – almost arrogance – and, at the same time, enormous humility are required to be successful as an active investor! You have to have serious conviction about an investment to put up your money. But, deep down you have to remember that, by definition, investing and the future are uncertain.
• Money moves markets. Bull markets are most often driven by loose monetary and fiscal policies. Bear markets are most often driven by tight monetary and fiscal policies.
• Too much leverage stretching for extra return has caused every major financial crisis I’ve ever lived through or studied.
• Flexibility is a hallmark of great investors.
• It really IS true that Past Performance Does Not Guarantee Future Results.
• There are innumerable investment-oriented aphorisms and maxims that I believe have just enough truth in them that I repeat them when appropriate. Here is a very tiny sample:
o Don’t confuse wisdom with a bull market.
o Don’t fight the tape.
o Don’t fight the Fed.
o Most of the time, the market -- especially in big stocks -- is right.
o It's good to be right for the right reasons, but it's more important to be right.
o The first rule of making money is: don't to lose it! After a loss (realized or not) the mathematics of breaking even are daunting. If you lose 50% on an investment, you have to make a 100% gain on that or something else just to break even. If you lose just 33% on something, that, or something else, has to go up by 50% to break even.
o More money has been lost in the search for high yield (or return) than in all the financial scandals in history.
o Sometimes, the return OF principal is much more important than the return ON principal.
o Bulls make money and Bears make money, but Pigs get slaughtered.
There are lots and lots more of these!
All of the opinions and perspectives I express on Seeking Alpha are my own and in no way reflect the opinions or perspectives of any business with which I am currently associated.
Most recently, Markos Kaminis predicted the stock market correction of 2015 through a series of prescient reports in August. (see proof here: http://seekingalpha.com/article/3482226-investor-who-predicted-the-stock-market-correction-offers-an-update ) Markos warned his followers to stop buying dips in stocks, raise cash levels for a near-term collapse and special buying opportunity, and he suggested aggressive investors or those in need of portfolio hedge use a volatility instrument to do so. He profited 30-fold in a matter of days on his contrarian view in August. Markos N. Kaminis generated a 23% average annual return on "Strong Buy" stock selections over 5 years and ranked 2nd among a group of 60 analysts in-house as a Senior Equity Analyst over a seven-year period at Standard & Poor's. After proving his value in-house, he was promoted into a special role as an idea generator, supporting the portfolios of institutional clients as well as driving performance within S&P's recommended lists and portfolios. At times, Markos was responsible for up to 10% of the firm's entire "Strong Buy" list and is due a great deal of credit for the group's outstanding performance during his tenure. Markos followed a group of 30-40 Small and Mid-Cap firms, and was charged with finding new buy and sell candidates across industry sectors. He generated a 23% average annual return over five years on his "Strong Buy" recommendations, and 26% over three years ended 2004. He was ranked 1st of 60 analysts in-house for his "Strong Buy" performance over 4 years (2nd over 5). Markos also authored IPO research and wrote for high-level newsletters, The Outlook, Equity Insights and Emerging Opportunities, as well as for BusinessWeek Online. He represented his firm as an analytical expert commentator for major media, including television, Internet and through quotes and interviews in reputable publications. What I want you to know about my plans: After witnessing the worst of Wall Street firsthand and having the ideal vision of my childhood career choice corrupted by reality, I almost switched to full-time charity work at age 40 and still have plans for a non-profit. However, I've since determined to put my stock selection skills, earned through blood, sweat and tears, to better use, and to make my own way. I've determined to give investors something rare, a dignified partner who can manage money with integrity and a clear conscience about the degree of due diligence behind investment decisions... someone who cares more about your money than your wife. I hope readers will become followers of my column here & at my blog, so that when our numbers are substantial, we might start an investment fund or two. Prior to his Wall Street career, Mr. Kaminis spent time in the back-office, as a mutual fund accountant, where he managed for a time the work of two men. Before this, from age 11 to age 25, he worked as a carpenter's apprentice and carpenter with his father, in both commercial and residential projects. Mr. Kaminis has an intimate knowledge of the real estate and construction market, as well as the restaurant industry. However, as a generalist stock analyst, he showed the ability to learn any and the most complicated of industries in short time - and he gamed every challenge presented to him. Mr. Kaminis earned his MBA at the Katz Graduate School of Business at the University of Pittsburgh, and his BA at Temple University in Philadelphia. However, Markos has been studying the stock market since age 13, when he determined his career path. He made his first investment at age 16, and funded much of his undergraduate education with the proceeds of his investing success. Mr. Kaminis continues to keep busy forecasting the economic path and securities market activity. Markos is considering the eventual start-up a long/short capital appreciation hedge fund. Such a fund would limit risk through beta reduction, using a diversification strategy targeting sector & industry and long & short position inclusion. At the same time, Markos' theoretical fund would seek maximum capital appreciation through the exploitation of Mr. Kaminis' inherent economic & market discernment gift and proven stock selection skills. Mr. Kaminis also has a team of a select few analysts, technicians, strategists and economists that he has been impressed by over the years, which he expects to tap for the project when the time is right. Mr. Kaminis welcomes your interest in such a potential forward effort, and looks forward to discussing his plans with those appropriate and within legal constraints. Markos is involved in very early stage entrepreneurial efforts in the testing of certain business models, all of which he intends to tie to a planned non-profit project. The tie will be that the businesses will give employment opportunity to individuals who would otherwise have difficulty finding gainful employment. It will house and heal the homeless, ex-convicts, those completing rehabilitation efforts for drug and other addictions, and others in need of help. Markos is currently Directing the widely syndicated blog he founded, "Wall Street Greek," and is writing for other well-known publications besides advancing several businesses. Markos' column is syndicated across sites like the Boston Globe, Kiplinger Magazine, UPI and other reputable newspaper and TV websites, as well as private networks, Amazon Kindle, iPhone and more. In the past, he has written for RealMoney.com, Motley Fool and others. Requests to research specific companies are welcome, as we serve our readers. You may contact us via the blog contact info. Mr. Kaminis welcomes you to follow him here at Seeking Alpha, where he is proud to be a long-time contributor to this strong team of writers. He considers the Seeking Alpha team and management close friends, and for you, people worth knowing and following. Visit his site: Wall Street Greek (http://www.wallstreetgreek.blogspot.com/)
A self motivated person who likes team work. Like everything related to technology and new media. Like to surf on the web, researching and extracting important information for my daily activities. A hospitable, good mannered person always responsible with people around me, and always in the mood to meet new people and new thoughts.
Ranked #18 overall blogger by TipRanks for 2014.
University of Virginia, class of 2011 B.A. English
I am a young investor focused primarily on dividend growth stocks. Seeking Alpha, and more specifically, the dividend and income community that exists here, has played a significant role in my development as a portfolio manager. I am not a professional, though I do manage my family's finances. I enjoy the process; the research, the decision making, the strategic planning...and not paying a financial adviser to do the work for me. I've built what I believe to be a conservative, diverse, and balanced dividend growth portfolio currently consisting of 48 positions. Thus far, I've been able to meet by goals from income, income growth, and capital appreciation standpoints. I use a wide variety of metrics, both fundamental and technical, when establishing fair value when doing my due diligence on an individual company. All of my methods are discussed in my work here. I hope this work inspires debate, conversation, and education - this is why I write for Seeking Alpha, to give back to the community that has helped me so much and to hopefully contribute, in some way...even if its by posing a question, to the growth of others.
Lastly, I began doing this in early 2015 and I plan on continuing to do so: I donate as much of the earnings that I get from SA on a monthly basis to various charities. Depending on how active I am writing each month, and what sort of side projects I have going on at the farm my wife and I recently purchased, the amount donated each month differs. However, I am pleased to be able to give back - I think its important to stay grounded and gracious when focusing so much on finances and these monthly donations help me not to lose sight of generosity.
*I should note that all articles that I write here are done so for my personal informational/educational purposes only. Any purchases that I make or opinions that I express are not meant as recommendations for anyone else. Please perform your own due diligence before following my lead into or out of a position. I am not a professional. I enjoy investing and the open discussion that articles on this site inspire - this is why I write, not to influence anyone else's decisions, but to enhance my own ability to make sound financial choices. That being said, I wish the best of luck to everyone. May we all meet our own financial goals.
I am a young up and coming professional. I work in regulatory compliance specifically pertaining to Banks and Financial Institutions. I am looking to build my knowledge of investing by actively trading and reading much of the useful information on SA. Hoping to use active investing to fund world travels one day.
Psychologist in practice for 35 years and looking for a way to build my retirement income (not retired yet). Distributor of an MLM product, Asea, that replenishes our bodies redox signaling molecules. These are native to the body but decrease over time and with illness. They are fundamental to cell communication and the body's optimal functioning.
Love to play outside, garden, 'piddle' around, and am learning to hate Northeast taxes and winters.
Two great adult kids (plus a great son-in-law) and a wife who drives me crazy and keeps me sane ;)
I'm a computer engineer with a great interest in finance. I'm not a pro, I do it for my family. But I'll share what I know and try to be as helpful as I can. I own about 10% of my assets in precious metals. As for currencies, I keep about 75% CAD vs 25% USD of my assets. I have about 35% in mutual funds; global small cap, global fixed income and global real estate. These allocations are fully managed by me, but I re-balance twice a year or so. That mutual fund core is insuring sufficient diversification and low correlation to the following US and Canada single stocks.
About another 35% is a trusted core of single stocks, both Canada and US. These positions are generally overweight at about 3% of portfolio. Core positions have a few properties in my portfolio: low turn-over, very long term, low debt, often dividend growers with low payouts, good valuations, good growth, low beta. They are safe and feel safe, and I usually build those position over the years. I consider it core after 2 years of reliable service. A stock can gain my trust by presenting profits. Not much mega caps, mostly small to medium caps. Another property of my core: easy to understand businesses. They wash linen, they sell groceries, they make boxes, they produce wine. As I build confidence and understanding, I allow more exotic positions in core. They manage money, they rent retirement houses, they dig for metals, they patent software, etc.
At the other extreme, I keep a few lottery tickets as satellite positions for about 20% of portfolio total, 0.75% to 1.5% of portfolio each position. More risky or difficult to understand business, more volatile and some signs of stink. Could be reversal plays, could be momentum stocks, can display signs of breaking out. Usually, I rely a little more on technicals than fundamentals there. And I trade. I learn. I make mistakes. I churn. Survival of the fittest.
I always look for dips in my core positions, and I wait for clear signals to buy back (volume, a few moving avg). If I have cash, I use it. If I don't I look at core and I trim large gains. If no gains there, I look at satellites for gains. If no gains, I look at satellites for mistakes, stinkers, unreliable bets. With money, I buy dips in core positions or in-the-middle stocks. In middle stocks are first buys aiming core, or rising satellites gaining confidence and improving.
Here's my complete stock portfolio as of mid-March 2016, where each record corresponds to (yes I would like to display as array):
NAME, TICKER, MKT CAP, PE, BETA, % of portfolio
Alimentation Couche-Tard ATD.B 33.71B 21.4 -0.11 5.0%
Richelieu Hardware Ltd. RCH 1.59B 26.74 0.57 4.9%
Winpak Ltd. WPK 2.89B 21.65 0.42 4.7%
Milestone Apartments MST.UN 1.49B 4.44 -0.17 4.7%
Supremex Inc SXP 144.07M 9.43 0.92 4.7%
Savaria Corporation SIS 311.44M 29.33 0.48 4.6%
K-Bro Linen Inc KBL 356.99M 30.42 0.4 4.4%
Intertape Polymer Group ITP 1.25B 17.94 1.05 4.3%
Andrew Peller Ltd. ADW.A 384.42M 20.23 0.22 4.3%
AMERCO UHAL 7.87B 15.9 1.55 3.6%
Saputo Inc. SAP 15.48B 25.96 0.25 3.6%
RDM Corp RC 98.02M 16.8 0.88 3.4%
Acadian Timber Corp ADN 306.91M 20.22 0.48 3.3%
Richards Packaging RPI.UN 280.52M 23.04 0.6 3.2%
Lassonde Industries Inc. LAS.A 649.85M 22.6 0.08 2.9%
Pason Systems Inc. PSI 1.46B 1000 0.37 2.8%
Tricon Capital Group Inc TCN 1.05B 11.43 0.43 2.8%
Metro, Inc. MRU 11.24B 21.33 0.22 2.8%
CCL Industries Inc. CCL.B 8.17B 26.01 0.85 2.8%
Walt Disney Co DIS 155.07B 17.59 1.34 2.8%
First Trust Health Care... FXH 1.18B 20 0.9 2.5%
Photon Control Inc PHO 79.55M 10.22 1 2.3%
Brookfield Asset Management BAM.A 44.31B 19.34 0.52 2.1%
Brinker International EAT 2.64B 14.54 0.4 2.1%
Sylogist Ltd. SYZ 249.35M 52.2 1.34 2.0%
Logistec Corporation LGT.B 442.18M 16.21 0.55 1.6%
Enbridge Income Fund ENF 4.00B 16.83 0.17 1.5%
Ceapro Inc. CZO 129.92M 19.85 2.14 1.3%
ProShares Ultra Nasdaq BIB 493.79M 30 2.18 1.3%
Pivot Tech. Solutions PTG 73.55M 9.55 0.45 1.3%
Biosyent Inc. RX 125.79M 34.13 -0.29 1.2%
XPEL Technologies Corp DAP.U 28.62M 18.28 0.1 1.0%
Pacific Safety Products PSP 10.96M 13.21 1.98 0.9%
Omni-Lite Industries OML 17.38M 22 1.11 0.8%
American Water Works AWK 14.82B 31.17 0.13 0.8%
IWG Technologies Inc IWG 11.88M 13.06 0.77 0.7%
I am a value/activist investor dedicated to the following ideals: (1) Focus on high relative strength, (2) Buy low, sell high aka "buy the dip, sell the rip" (3) Short high, cover low, (4) Go against the crowd, (5) It's all about the rules and discipline- hold them dear (6) Analyze the balance sheet-seek low debt,high cash and hidden value scenarios (7) Cut your losses short, let your gains run, (7) Don’t get emotional, (8) Follow the insiders- buy if they are buying, sell if they are selling (9) Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy.(10) Don't argue with the market unless you detect an inefficiency present-it is smarter than you are. In summary, some of these ideas might be construed as rather trite and overused, but consistent use of them pays off in the long run.
Mr. Krieger specializes in the food sector and is the originator of the "Basic Food Fund" index and the "Dirt Cheap Value Portfolio".Why the food sector? "everybody has to eat'!
He graduated from the University of Southern California with a BS in Business Administration with an emphasis in Corporate Finance. Mark resides in Cowan Heights, California with his wife, son and pug and is interested in mountain biking, gardening and reading.