As the liquidity from overleveraging chased ALL assets, these assets became much more correlated because ALL assets became inflated and frothy.
A global marketplace has brought greater market efficiency, hence it is harder to find undervalued assets. This also increases correlation.
Still, with financial center traders living from nanosecond to nanosecond, behaving like lemmings in search of cliff, the average trader has the advantages of perspective, rationality and common sense....
This perspective can be employed to anticipate structural markets. It can also short financial insanity.
Common sense also allows the prudent investor to hold cash and wait for value during capitulations.
So while excess liquidity and overleverage increase correlation, their cyclicality provides an additional dimension to asset allocation. In this case, "buy low and sell high" still holds some truth.
What Will Fill Our Economic Desert? [View article]
Good morning! Great content. Pleasant counterpoint to the financial blog world which is desert too!
I like your comment that we need to "redirect our PRODUCTIVE economic base...." This is certainly true. Once the banks are recapitalized with taxpayer dollars, how will the US economy create and add value? This is a huge issue.
>..... What would be interesting is to > plot the inflation-adjusted values of the DJIA, S&P500, and NASDAQ > over these periods to see if there has been any substantive gain > whatsoever in real present value in these indices for the past 25 > years. > > I doubt it. >
Bond Expert Friday Wrap: Crowded Trade [View article]
Seems anybody can write a financial blog these days. Seeking Alpha is polluted with mediocrity. Thanks for your fine analyses which certainly differentiates you from the crowd.
Consider Wisdom Tree Brazilian Real Fund for Commodity Exposure [View article]
I own BZF, but it seems a little sketchy. It pays offshore CD rates, not 11%. It pays a dividend only once a year, seemingly designed for a dividend rotation strategy.
Sirius XM's Latest Pricing Move Helps the Bottom Line [View article]
Thanks for your replies....
I comment as a consumer. Do i value XM/Sirius? I think broadcast quality has fallen since the merger. I don't think XM/Sirius is a good value, even at $4/month. Sorry.
Pandora is just a comparison. I can get personalized content which I would never hear on sattelite. XM/Sirius may have had its day in the sun.
Sirius XM's Latest Pricing Move Helps the Bottom Line [View article]
I was a XM subriscriber since 2006. I would get a teaser rate, wait until it almost expired, call to cancel and then get a $6/month deal. Since the merger, XM music quality has really dumbed down. I called to cancel again and they offered the standard $77/year deal. I turned it down too.
They recently called offering 5 months for $19.95 which I accepted. The music quality on the merged menu has really taken a dump. I'll probably stay with it for five more months, but not afterward. I see many friends and a businesses are now tuned to Pandora.com. No comparison in quality, variety and artistry.
XM/Sirrius is bland, but Pandora rocks! It's a no brainer.
Interesting article. I like to follow closed end funds. There are really some tremendous values, especially bond funds. I like PIM, GIM and FAX. Learn more at etfconnect.com
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Latest | Highest ratedThe End of Asset Allocation [View article]
A global marketplace has brought greater market efficiency, hence it is harder to find undervalued assets. This also increases correlation.
Still, with financial center traders living from nanosecond to nanosecond, behaving like lemmings in search of cliff, the average trader has the advantages of perspective, rationality and common sense....
This perspective can be employed to anticipate structural markets. It can also short financial insanity.
Common sense also allows the prudent investor to hold cash and wait for value during capitulations.
So while excess liquidity and overleverage increase correlation, their cyclicality provides an additional dimension to asset allocation. In this case, "buy low and sell high" still holds some truth.
What Will Fill Our Economic Desert? [View article]
I like your comment that we need to "redirect our PRODUCTIVE economic base...." This is certainly true. Once the banks are recapitalized with taxpayer dollars, how will the US economy create and add value? This is a huge issue.
Price and Return: Bonds vs. Stocks [View article]
On Apr 08 09:07 AM pacman1947 wrote:
>..... What would be interesting is to
> plot the inflation-adjusted values of the DJIA, S&P500, and NASDAQ
> over these periods to see if there has been any substantive gain
> whatsoever in real present value in these indices for the past 25
> years.
>
> I doubt it.
>
Great question....here's something from simpleinvesting.com
www.simplestockinvesti...
Faber and Schiff: Inflation Inevitable (So Here's What to Do) [View article]
FWIW, BGT is a good inflation play, there are many others too.
Bond Expert Friday Wrap: Crowded Trade [View article]
Consider Wisdom Tree Brazilian Real Fund for Commodity Exposure [View article]
Sirius XM's Latest Pricing Move Helps the Bottom Line [View article]
I comment as a consumer. Do i value XM/Sirius? I think broadcast quality has fallen since the merger. I don't think XM/Sirius is a good value, even at $4/month. Sorry.
Pandora is just a comparison. I can get personalized content which I would never hear on sattelite. XM/Sirius may have had its day in the sun.
U.S. Mint Actions Discourage Gold Ownership [View article]
Sirius XM's Latest Pricing Move Helps the Bottom Line [View article]
They recently called offering 5 months for $19.95 which I accepted. The music quality on the merged menu has really taken a dump. I'll probably stay with it for five more months, but not afterward. I see many friends and a businesses are now tuned to Pandora.com. No comparison in quality, variety and artistry.
XM/Sirrius is bland, but Pandora rocks! It's a no brainer.
Preferreds Get Crushed Again [View article]
Preferreds Get Crushed Again [View article]
An interesting alternative is Calomos closed end convertible funds.
Check etfconnect.com
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A New Use for Solar Energy - Highway Right of Way [View article]
CIBC Analyst: Current Market Sell-Off Rare Opportunity to Create Value [View article]
Irrational Stupidity [View article]