Petroleum Geologist Began investing in equities in 1980. Bought Walmart, Teledyne and Crown, Cork & Seal in 1980. Invested in bonds until 2001. Got out too early. Monthly trader. Made 11 trades in 2015. Try to keep a permanent-like portfolio. Own U.S. big caps; own foreign big caps; currently have 30% of portfolio in cash; no bonds. Also invest in oil & gas royalty and real estate directly. A conservative, politically. Not a Republican and definitely not a Democrat.
Lejun James Shao is the founder of www.myIRAs.net (http://www.myIRAs.net/), WhitePine Investment Inc of USA, and CEO of WhitePine Software Inc, Beijing, China. He was the top finisher in MSN's 1st US One Million Dollar Investment Contest, "Strategy Open Tournament," with a +45.88% return in 4 months from August 28 - December 2008.
An IT wizard turned professional investor, James Shao graduated from the University of Michigan with a PhD degree in Computer Engineering in 1990 and worked as an assistant professor in Singapore's Nanyang Technology University for 5 years after graduation. He worked as Chief Software Engineer in DSP Technology, Design Engineer in Ford Motor Company, and several other high tech companies after his return. James Shao started his investment profession in 2001.
Founder of "The Contrarian", a premium research service, featuring the "Bet The Farm" Portfolio. Actively investing since 1995, I have soared like an eagle, and been unmercifully humbled by the markets. Achieved positive returns in 2008, and turned an account with $60,310 on 1/1/2009 into an account with $3,177,937 on 11/30/2009. My best years have been 1995-2003, 2008-2012, and 2016-????. My worst years were 2013-2015. I believe inflation is coming, and we are at an inflection point in the markets.
Twenty year career as an investment analyst, investor, portfolio manager, consultant, and writer. Founder of Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd, which was incorporated in the spring of 2009. Dyed in the wool contrarian investor, who has learned, the hard way, that a good contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time, but being right at key inflection points is the key to meaningful wealth creation in the markets. I believe we are near a meaningful inflection point, perhaps the biggest one yet, for the third time in the past 15 years.
Historically, I have had huge wins and impressive losses based on a concentrated, contrarian strategy. Trying to keep the good while filtering out the bad.
Seeking to run an all weather portfolio with minimal volatility and index overlays to capture my strategic and tactical recommendations along with a concentrated best ideas portfolio, which is my bread and butter, but the volatility only makes it suitable for a small piece of an investor's overall portfolio. The following are a couple of my favorite investment quotes.
"Life and investing are long ballgames." Julian Robertson
"A diamond is a chunk of coal that is made good under pressure."
"Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world." Albert Einstein
I’ve been on top of the world, and the world has been on top of me. I have learned to enjoy the perspective from each view, and use opportunities to persistently acquire knowledge, and enjoy the company of those around me, especially loved ones, family, and friends.
At heart, I am a market historian with an unrivaled passion for the capital markets. I have had a long history and specialization with concentrated positions and options trading. Made money in 2008 with a net long portfolio, deploying capital in some of the market's darkest hours into long positions including purchases of American Express, Atlas Energy, Crosstex, First Industrial Real Estate, General Growth Properties, Genworth, Macquarie Infrastructure, Ruth Chris Steakhouse, and Vornado near their lows. Shorting, hedging, and option strategies also helped me in 2007 and 2009, and these are skills that I have developed ever since I started trading heavily in 1996.I enjoy reading, accumulating knowledge, and putting this knowledge to work in the active capital markets, learning lessons along the way.To this day, I continue to learn, and some of these learning lessons have been excruciatingly difficult ones, especially over the past several years, as I made mistakes allocating capital, including a sizable portion of my own capital (I always invest alongside my clients), to commodity related stocks. While all commodity related stocks have struggled since April of 2011, coal companies, which attracted me due to their extremely cheap valuations, and out-of-favor status (I am a strong believer in behavioral finance alongside fundamentals and technicals) have been the worst investing mistake of my career. The focus on the commodity arena has been the biggest mistake of my investment career thus far, yet in its aftermath, I see tremendous opportunity, even larger in scope than the fortuitous 2008/2009 environment.The capital that I accumulated and the confidence gained in navigating the treacherous investment waters of 2008 gave me the confidence to launch my own investment firm in the spring of 2009, right before the ultimate lows in the stock market. At the time I was working as a senior analyst at one of the largest RIA's in the country, and I felt strongly that the market environment was the best time since 1974/1975 to start an investment firm.
Prior to starting my firm, I was a senior analyst for three different firms over approximately 10 years (Charles Schwab, Redwood, Oxford), moving up in responsibility and scope at each stop along my journey. Since I was a paperboy, I have always had an interest in the investment markets. I love researching and finding opportunities. I am a Chartered Financial Analyst, CFA, as well as a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst, CAIA. After starting in the teaching program at Ball State University, I switched to a career in finance when I turned a small student loan into a substantial amount of capital. I graduated summa cum laude with a degree in finance from Ball State.
Full disclosure, I am not currently a registered investment advisor, though I did serve in this capacity from 2009-2014, while owning Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd. Additionally, I held various securities licenses from 2000-2014, without a single complaint filed, and I continue to hold industry designations. At the end of 2014, I voluntarily let my state registration expire, as I transitioned the business to a different structure. Prior to this, I had passed, and held, various securities exams and licenses, including the Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 exams, in addition to others, alongside my CFA and CAIA designations. Unfortunately, I did not file the proper paperwork to withdraw my state registration, and I did not disclose a personal arrangement, and subsequent civil case, between myself and a former close personal friend and client, that was initiated in 2011. I was unaware that I was required to disclose these items, and my securities attorney, at the time, did not advise me to do so. Previously, I had managed a portfolio for this gentleman, and we had taken an investment of approximately $7 million in 2009, and grown it to over $25 million at the beginning of 2012. After a difficult year of performance, an employee of the firm I owned, and friend, resigned in early 2013, and took the aforementioned client to a competing firm. As a result of not filing the proper paperwork, I agreed to a settlement, with a potential $2500 fine in the future, depending on if I choose to reapply to be a non-exempt advisor.
The author is an independent trader and investor specialising in analysis of stocks, foreign exchange and market indices.
When it comes to long-term stock investing, the author looks for companies that either a) appear to be undervalued/mispriced relative to their free cash flow/earnings growth, b) may trade at a premium but have sufficiently high rate of growth and prospects that would justify investment.
General Disclaimer: Please note that the information offered in the author's articles is strictly on an "as is" basis. The author is not aware of your financial circumstances or investment profile, and therefore any information from the author's articles should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. The author is not a qualified investment advisor, and it is the reader's responsibility to seek professional advice before buying or selling securities. While the author makes every effort to verify all details reported on across every article, investors are responsible for conducting their own due diligence. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Perhaps more than any other time in the last six decades, the fate of markets is inextricably intertwined with the ebb and flow of geopolitics. From the ECB's attempts to use the central bank's balance sheet to influence political outcomes across the eurozone to Saudi Arabia's efforts to transform the kingdom's influence over crude prices into an instrument of foreign policy, it's become increasingly clear that one simply cannot fully comprehend market movements without a thorough understanding of concurrent political outcomes. Drawing on extensive experience in both politics and finance, Heisenberg will help demystify a world in which investors can no longer hope to conceptualize markets as existing in anything that even approximates a vacuum. "I am the one who knocks."
Some information about my investing:
* I have been investing my own money (and managing it myself) for over two decades now. I would never let anyone else manage my money and neither should you.
* My portfolio is structured as a "High Yield Strategic Income" portfolio. The portfolio has evolved over the past 20 years. All distributions are reinvested.
* I make every attempt to tell my fellow investors what they "need" to hear, not what Wall Street and the main stream media think you "want" to hear.
* "Past performance definitely does not guarantee future results". With that said it amazes me that for most investors of dividend stocks, the best they can do is invest in all the same exact S&P company stocks by largest market cap.
* Educate yourself about what people really earn in this country:
Then ask yourself: "How is it possible most people the US can "appear" to be so wealthy?"
It is a starting point to cut through the deception that is the main stream media and Wall Street salespeople.
Also: Everyone no matter what age should watch "Money as Debt"
A personal note:
Our family are active charitable donors to
* The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia
* St. Jude's Children's Hospital
* Ronald McDonald House
These institutions provide valuable services to children and veterans in need. I know this from personal experience. If you are able, please donate a little something every month to each of these organizations. Thank you.
I am the investment manager for Darkravenwind LLC, a small software development consulting firm. 20% of our pre-tax revenue is my responsibility to invest and grow. I also help moderate the "Value Investing" group on Facebook. My hobbies include fighting the Fed, martial arts, and old video games.
I have been using value investing techniques as first described by Benjamin Graham since approximately 2005. I was wasting my life up to that point. My specialty, over and above corporate valuation, is analyzing people. Human behavior is remarkably consistent and can lead to huge gains when you understand what motivates them.
In my own portfolio, I have a diversified income focus with a preference for long term earnings and dividend growth. When a good opportunity comes along, I'll focus a large percentage of assets into that single holding. I'm also maintaining an income portfolio with a little over 180 high yielding companies inside of it as a bit of an experiment.
I was mostly self taught, but do have a partially completed business degree behind me as well. In 2008, I quadrupled my money in the crash, and saw numerous opportunities that I jumped on throughout the next few years. By 2012 my total portfolio was over 50,000% higher than when I had first started.
I was previously an employee at Countrywide Financial Corp., and was present during the mortgage meltdown. I saw firsthand how the company was falling apart from the inside while management continued to believe the organization could be rescued. Because of that experience, I have made bond analysis and studying the effects of inflation a specialty of mine.
Market direction is irrelevant. I look for value. Profitable companies that are low or even fairly priced, so long as the results are dependable. Intrinsic value is subjective, but earnings power matters. I am absolutely fearless of the future and do not make political views a part of my investment process.
I additionally make frequent updates to a blog maintainted at WhoTrades called "Brand Power", you can read and subscribe to it at bandpower.whotrades.com.
Dale Roberts is an Investment Funds Associate with Tangerine Investment Funds Limited, a subsidiary of Tangerine Bank wholly owned by Scotiabank. My articles are for information purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. These articles are my personal opinion and are not those of Tangerine Bank or its subsidiaries. Remember past performance is not guaranteed and may not be repeated. Investment strategies are not suitable for everyone and you should always conduct your own research or speak to a financial advisor.
Background: Former securities analyst and brokerage firm owner and
Currently doing investment strategy consulting for institutional investors
Undergraduate degree from Northwestern, Economics
Taught Advanced Financial Markets Class at a University in Chicago
In to Yoga.
I have been analyzing and trading stocks for over 10 years. I have primarily studied and followed value investors like Warren Buffet. However, I also believe that technical analysis can play a role in analyzing a stock before making an investment. I have found that solid financial analysis, combined with the ability to understand current market psychology is key to investment success.
I also find the best trading spot is far away from Wall Street, my favorite place is a sunny beach in Mexico.
I am planning to form a small private equity company which will focus on activist investing and possibly buyouts of smaller capitalization companies.
Family Office, Hedge Fund Manager, Tortola, British Virgin Islands; Markets traded, Interest Rates, Currencies, Metals, Energy, Stock Indices, Selected stocks, 20+ years as a professional trader including time on the floor.
Asia Frontier Capital Ltd. is a pioneering fund management company that specializes in investing in high growth Asian frontier economies by managing the AFC Asia Frontier Fund, AFC Iraq Fund and AFC Vietnam Fund. The investment objective of AFC Asia Frontier Fund is to achieve long term capital appreciation by investing in public equities of Asian frontier countries (Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, Iraq, Laos, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nepal, Pakistan, Papua New Guinea, Sri Lanka, Vietnam) that are seeing increasing consumption due to favorable demographic trends, rising incomes and high GDP growth. The AFC Iraq Fund was launched on the 26th June 2015 and aims to achieve long-term capital appreciation for investors by capturing value and growth potential in the post conflict high-growth & resource rich Iraq market. The fund emphasises long term investment horizon to truly capture the opportunity in Iraq. The fund's investable universe consists of locally listed companies that have their principal business activities in Iraq as well as foreign listed companies that have the majority of the business in Iraq as a whole including the prosperous Kurdish Region of Iraq (KRI). The AFC Iraq Fund offers access to investments in post conflict recovery potential of Iraq, including the KRI, and/or stability in its territory. The AFC Iraq Fund is managed by Asia Frontier Capital (Iraq) Limited, Cayman Islands under the executive leadership team of Thomas Hugger (CEO & Fund Manager) and Ahmed Tabaqchali (CIO) who have more than 47 years of investment experience as well as an extensive background covering global, emerging, frontier and MENA markets AFC Vietnam Fund invests exclusively in Vietnamese equities to capture value in growth companies; especially in the small to medium size company segment.
As I said:
I discovered the Gospel in July 1979. It is worth trillions of economic dollars. It should be classified as "top secret" by the CIA. I should be awarded the Nobel Prize in economics.
A prior post.:
"John, the #'s (which represent AD), for the 3rd qtr. are 2x that of the 2nd qtr. And that's without extrapolation and assuming Vt remains constant (& Vt will rise). - 20 Jul 2016, 06:50 PM
Dr. Leland Pritchard (Ph.D, Economics, Chicago School -1933,MS, Statistics):
"You have a predictive device nobody has hit on yet" - 9/8/81
And “considering the distortions in the def. of M1a and the rapid increase in the currency component, the correlation of the time series is remarkable”
Today's BEA release: Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2016 (table 1), according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 1.4 percent.
I am going to change the world.
- Michel de Nostredame
In Cambridge economist, Alfred Marshall's "motives" for holding cash balances, or in this case not holding cash balances, the EXPECTATION, of a rise in the prices of things will induce a decrease in the demand for money (increase in Vt). It deals with the uncertainty which affects economic behavior, it "bridges the gaps of transition periods".
Principal En-lightener - Purveyor of Darkness.
And Now - The Gift...
Stupid is as stupid does - Forrest Gump;
You can't fix stupid, no pill for it, it's fo'ever - Ron White ;
There are idiots, look around - Larry Summers ;
To avoid the pernicious global plague of stupidity, drink the Kool-Aid and become one of the innoculati. The Kool-Aid is available at [VIRUS REMOVED BY ECHELON UNDER ORDER OF PATRIOT ACT II ... transmission terminated]
Paul Wagner is the author of "The Duly Diligent Stock Investor", a well-reviewed book (available here) written for new investors seeking a fundamental understanding of business analysis and investing strategy.
Paul is a seasoned stock investor with a long background in financial analysis and portfolio management. He enjoyed a 25 year career with Heller Financial, a Chicago-based international secured lender to middle market companies. He left his position there as Senior Credit Officer of Heller's Current Asset Management Group in 1997 to create and manage his own portfolios of publicly-traded securities.
Drawing on his nearly 20 years of experience in this "second career" he has contributed several articles to Seeking Alpha members and frequently offers his comments on the articles of other contributors.
After having been in the investing world for more than 25 years from private banking and investment management to private and venture capital; I have pretty much "been there and done that" at one point or another. I am currently a silent partner for an RIA in Houston, Texas.
The majority of my time is spent analyzing, researching and writing commentary about investing, investor psychology and macro-views of the markets and the economy. My thoughts are not generally mainstream and are often contrarian in nature but I try an use a common sense approach, clear explanations and my “real world” experience in the process.
I am the Chief Editor of the REAL INVESTMENT REPORT, a weekly subscriber based-newsletter that is distributed nationwide. The newsletter covers economic, political and market topics as they relate to your money and life.
I also write a daily blog which is read by thousands nationwide from individuals to professionals at www.realinvestmentadvice.com.
David Moenning is Chief Investment Officer at Sowell Management Services, a registered investment advisor with more than $500 million under management. Sowell emphasizes an MPD (Modern Portfolio Diversification) approach to portfolio design which diversifies client holdings not only across asset classes but also by strategy, manager, and investment methodology. Dave began his investment career in 1980 and has been an independent money manager since 1987. Thus, Dave has been live on the firing line and investing for a living for nearly 30 years.
I am a 43 year veteran of Wall Street. My first 26 years were spent on the buy-side as an institutional money manager. I have spent the last 13 years as a sell-side strategist. I am a life long contrarian who finds it easy to take positions quite apart from the crowd. I am most comfortable with my forecasts when my macro and technical analysis are in sync and when my views are at odds with the consensus. I've always been fascinated by the behavioral aspects of investing. Years of observing investor behavior has led me to the conclusion that investor psychology may be the most powerful emotional force in the universe, more powerful than love or hate. It causes otherwise rational beings to make some very irrational decisions. I think every investor should read Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds by Charles MacKay.
I could put on this bio my education, work experience, investment strategy, and a nice thin (if I can find one) picture of me in a suit looking *smart*. Sorry but that's not my intent here. Sure I invest, help family make financial decisions, and make a ton of mistakes along the way. But my time spent here is to give all a formula for a well rounded view of fellow investors ideas and recommendations.
My goal is to have posters and investors educate one another so that eventually everyone has the opportunity to make money !! We should all have that same end game. Put the daily noise aside and think "outside the box" !!
I find investments are very different and difficult in these extremely Interesting Times!! We hear whispers of manipulation. QE'S that have never been done before. Then we have a template experiment in Cyprus to see the worlds reaction. I just ask everyone to sit back and ask themselves " 10 years ago would we even have thought a Cyprus could occur? "
Tossing ideas around is always fun....Authors posting their links on our blog is welcomed as well. Newbies with questions are urged to post. Either you learn from the answers or have asked a question no one has thought of . Either way that is EDUCATING !!
So feel free to join us !!