Brad Lamensdorf, a seasoned money manager and market strategist, is the editor of The Lamensdorf Market Timing Report, a newsletter designed to help investors improve performance via market timing by assessing the environment of the stock market using a variety of technical, fundamental and sentiment-oriented tools from powerful independent research firms. Many investors mechanically enter and depart the market without a true “game plan.” Studies have shown that retail investors, in particular, are very poor market timers, tending to invest at or near market peaks and sell at or near market lows. The newsletter is designed to provide risk parameters for both professional and retail investors around the short-term stock market environment, giving subscribers better insight about when to allocate assets into or out of the equity markets.
Lamensdorf, a frequent guest commentator and analyst on major business networks including CNBC, CNN and Fox Business News, also serves as a Portfolio Manager and Principal of Ranger Alternative Management LP, a sub-advisor to the Advisor Shares Ranger Equity Bear Exchange Traded Fund (NYSE: HDGE). In this role, he conducts top-down technical evaluations of broader market liquidity, sentiment and breadth to help identify short and intermediate-term market trends, manage exposure and mitigate risk. HDGE was launched in 2011 and is the first and sole actively managed, short-only ETF in existence.
Lamensdorf, also has managed investment portfolios for the Hughes family and acted as principal of Tarpon Partners, managing a long/short fund that was up more than 150% gross over six years. Earlier in his career, he was as an equity trader/market strategist for Taylor and Company, the Bass brothers’ trading arm, co-managing a short-only strategy in a derivative format with notional exposure. He also served as the in-house market timing strategist for the entire internal and external network of Bass managers.
CYNICONOMICS is run by F.F. Wiley and Ginger Snap – professional names for two veterans of the asset management industry. Our blog is based on our portfolio management experience and F.F.'s ongoing research, and motivated by our respective, midlife crises. Most people drive around in convertibles and reinterpret their wedding vows. We made up new names and started the blog. And F.F. has drafted a book, which one day he’ll finish up and publish.
Jeffrey has developed a large-scale macroeconomic forecasting model that allows him to analyze current economic trends and determine their future impacts on the economy.
His analyses can be found on the Economic Calendar in addition to the Economic Insight, Economic Data Previews, and Economic Data Reviews columns. He also provides commentary on Live In Play.
Prior to joining Briefing.com, Jeffrey spent two years at AEGON where he provided long-term economic forecasts and analyzed current economic problems for the investment division.
He was an adjunct professor at Ohio Wesleyan University teaching econometrics and obtained a Ph.D. in Agricultural, Environmental, and Development Economics from Ohio State University.
Matthew Claassen, CMT is founder and Partner of Claassen Research, LLC, providing exclusive private consulting, market strategy and investment research to institutional investment managers. His work combines proprietary technical indicators with macro-economic and sector analysis to provide unique and actionable market insights. Matthew has actively advised professionals and managed investment portfolios since 1986. His career includes experience as First Vice President and Portfolio Manager at major brokerage firms, publisher and President of The Technical View market newsletter and Senior Vice President of Lowry Research (the oldest technical market advisory in the United States) where he conceived, designed and implemented a sector analysis strategy based on his own success in investment management.
Mr. Claassen has been a popular guest lecturer at several Universities in Virginia and Washington D.C., and a respected public speaker on the subject of technical analysis. In addition, he has published articles in Barron’s Online and in The Technical Analyst, a UK based investment research publication.
Mr. Claassen holds the professional analyst designation of Chartered Market Technician (CMT), is a past Director of the Market Technicians Association (MTA) and a past director of the Market Technicians Association Educational Foundation (MTAEF). He is currently a charter member of the American Association of Professional Technical Analysts (AAPTA).
Joel Litman is Chief Investment Strategist at Valens Securities, Inc., Valens Equities (formerly Equity Analysis & Strategy, Inc.), and Valens Credit, LLC. He advises institutional clients in quantitative and fundamental analysis of corporate credit, equity, and macroeconomic investment strategy.
Litman serves as Chairman/CEO of Valens Securities. He is a member of the Board of Directors of COL Financial Group (PSE:COL).
Litman has held Manager/Director positions at Credit Suisse, Diamond Tech Partners (now PwC), Deloitte Consulting, HOLT Value Associates, and American Express. He has served as editor or author in Harvard Business Review, Strategic Finance, and others. He co-authored the highly-acclaimed book, DRIVEN: Business Strategy, Human Actions, and the Creation of Wealth.
Litman has taught or guest-lectured at Harvard Business School, University of Chicago Booth, MIT Sloan, Wharton, LBS, Hult IBS, SAIF Jiang Tong, and others. He has conducted seminars for CFA/CPA Societies, CalPERs, Fidelity, CSFB, HSBC, PwC, Oracle, the US State Dept. and others.
In education, Litman helped build The Institute of Strategy & Valuation; Credit Suisse’s HOLT University for investors and executives; the S.E.V. Concentration at the Driehaus College of Commerce at DePaul University; and the C.S.V. designation - Certified in Strategy & Value-Creation;
Intellectual property includes the Signal Flag patent; Return Driven Strategy©; Strategic Valuation™; and Credit Cash Flow Prime™.
Litman is a member of the Global CFA Institute for Chartered Financial Analysts. He received a B.S in Accounting from DePaul University. He is a CPA (Certified Public Accountant) and holds an MBA/MM from the Kellogg Graduate School of Management at Northwestern University.
Litman’s most important work is in assisting under-developed communities through elementary-through-college scholarships, job training programs, and microfinance lending, particularly in the Philippines.
Daniel Moore is the creator of FinancialRelativity.com, a web portal created for the purpose of tracking the status of financial markets and providing investment analysis and portfolio management insights to investors. Based on the systematic investment research, he writes about the market and publishes his views through internet market publications. He has over 25 years of management experience in corporate finance in a variety of high technology start-ups and public companies. A graduate of Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business in 1988, he has spent the last 10 years managing investment portfolios seeking high risk reward returns for fixed income investors.
Published Technical Analyst, Author, Commodity Trader, Systems Developer, Algorithmic Intelligence, Computer Modeling of Processes.
I custom build Proprietary Artificial Intelligence for each individual client's portfolio needs.
After more 30 years in the business, Patrick MontesDeOca has developed a unique and automated trading tool based on a combination of Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, WD Gann and Vedic Mathematics.
This proprietary trading tool is called, The VC Price Momentum Indicator.
“This revolutionary trading tool identifies major cyclical changes and trading opportunities in the commodities and financial markets with unprecedented accuracy.”
In 1974 Mr. MontesDeOca began his career as a legal, banking and trading advisor for several major Latin American coffee exporters. During the mid-1980's, he became a member of the New York Coffee and Sugar Exchange, and the New York Mercantile Exchange.
During this time he served as a consultant and technical analyst for the Mexican
He is the creator of the MCTS Markets Commentary, an advanced automated and technically oriented market letter for the financial and commodity markets published daily in Consensus Magazine since 2003.
In September of 2012, Mr. MontesDeOca created and founded the Equity Management Academy, A virtual online trading academy. “Our mission is to inform and educate individuals looking for alternatives to conventional wisdom with proprietary market intelligence and independent progressive research for the financial and precious metals markets”.
David Taggart is the Macro Trader and maintains TheMacroTrader.com blog.
TheMacroTrader.com is a site devoted to Global Macro and Multi-strategy Trading. Our philosophy on Macro Trading is that we are trying to be in the best risk to reward situations possible anywhere in anything. Instead of being married to value stocks, small-cap stocks, emerging market bonds, real estate, etc. we can go where we see the greatest opportunity or as some might say to “go where the money is.”
Please visit www.TheMacroTrader.com
I am the founder and editor of Investment Directions. My career has been managing and consulting to multi-billion dollar funds. Using the widely accepted “multi-manager” approach, I have worked with top investment managers throughout the country, gaining a high level of expertise.
My career has spanned many market environments, and I have hands-on experience searching out opportunities and avoiding risks in all of them. I now devote my time to Investment Directions, with the goal of helping investors further their understanding and improve their investing skills.
I am currently serving on: The AAUW Investment Advisers Committee and The City of Vista Investment Advisory Committee.
Dr. Ahanotu is a graduate of Stanford University with over twenty years of experience doing analytic modeling, executing pricing strategies through price optimization, and implementing, developing, and selling enterprise software. He adds to this industry experience another five overlapping years of research in knowledge management and organizational learning. Duru Ahanotu, Ph.D. founded Ahan Analytics, LLC to deliver sustainable, data-driven approaches for improving business performance. He recognizes the unique challenges companies face in leveraging their data to increase revenues, become more efficient, and drive profitability.
Before launching Ahan Analytics, LLC, Dr. Ahanotu was last a Sales Consultant in the Advertiser and Publisher Solutions (APS) group within Microsoft Advertising. In this capacity, he provided product knowledge, functional expertise, and technical support to APS account executives who sold APS’s suite of media monetization products. He led product demonstrations and increased the productivity of the sales team by training and certifying employees on the use and demonstration of the software. Dr. Ahanotu took on this role after Microsoft acquired his former employer Rapt, Inc. Rapt provided software solutions for maximizing revenue and yield for online media publishers.
With Rapt, Dr. Ahanotu last served as an Engagement Manager for a software implementation for a $100 million on-line publisher with a rapidly growing business. With his project team, Dr. Ahanotu created and coordinated novel approaches to inventory forecasting, structuring of product hierarchies, and ETL across software systems for order management, advertising delivery, and Rapt’s software. He also generated a step-by-step methodology for interpreting and using the results of price optimization.
As a Solutions Architect, Dr. Ahanotu served as the lead Solutions Consultant on client engagements and provided technical assistance and guidance to Solutions Consultants on other projects. Dr. Ahanotu designed and implemented price optimization solutions, demonstrating expertise in mathematical modeling, pricing, data analysis, SQL, and relational data models. He led discussions with customers and internal teams to improve implementation processes and product design.
Dr. Ahanotu held oversight responsibility for the analytic modeling for two projects using Price Director, Rapt’s price optimization software. Each project supported pricing decisions in Fortune 50 businesses: one business was a leading online media publisher, and the other was a rapidly growing technology company in a low margin business. Dr. Ahanotu helped the latter client integrate Price Director into pricing workflow. As part of this first-ever client implementation of Price Director, he worked closely with Product Management, Analytic Development, and Software Engineering to ensure that early-stage product functionality met client needs.
Dr. Ahanotu contributed several new methodologies for implementing Price Director analytics and conceptual frameworks for training clients on these analytics. He is a contributor on a related Rapt patent: “Method and System for Producing Optimized Prices for Products for Sale.” Dr. Ahanotu presented a white paper on the pricing of New Product Introductions at the 2006 INFORMS Annual Meeting. The Professional Pricing Society published this paper in The Journal of Professional Pricing (Vol. 16, No. 1, First Quarter 2007) as “Pricing New Products: Turning Portfolio Uncertainty Into Profits.”
Prior to Rapt, Dr. Ahanotu was a consultant with Integral, Inc, a small strategic management consulting firm. During his three-year tenure, he consulted on product development and technology strategy focused on high tech and pharmaceutical companies. Prior to Integral, he developed mathematical programming algorithms for managing and optimizing “Y2K” projects as an independent contractor. Prior to this work, he implemented expert systems for diagnosing and troubleshooting automotive and semiconductor manufacturing equipment as a Business Solutions Project Manager and Consultant for Expert Edge, Inc.
Dr. Ahanotu earned a Master’s and Ph.D. in Engineering-Economic Systems (1999), a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering, and Honors in Values, Technology, Science, and Society (1991) - all at Stanford University.
CFA Institute is a global community of more than 100,000 investment professionals working to build an investment industry where investors’ interests come first, financial markets function at their best, and economies grow.
Institutional investment manager authoring on a variety of topics that pique my interest, and could further discourse in this online community. I hold an MBA from the University of Chicago, and have earned the CFA designation.
My articles may contain statements and projections that are forward-looking in nature, and therefore inherently subject to numerous risks, uncertainties and assumptions. While my articles focus on generating long-term risk-adjusted returns, investment decisions necessarily involve the risk of loss of principal. Individual investor circumstances vary significantly, and information gleaned from my articles should be applied to your own unique investment situation, objectives, risk tolerance, and investment horizon.
Jeffrey Dow Jones is the managing editor for Alpine Advisor. He has previously worked for PaineWebber/UBS and Ford Motor Credit Company, and he spent the last decade co-managing a group of hedge funds. He holds a degree in Business Economics with a specialization in Computer Programming from The University of California - Los Angeles.
He publishes a free weekly newsletter at AlpineAdvisor.info.
Evan is the founder and CEO of Prattle Analytics, a financial data company. He holds a Ph.D. from Harvard University as well as Bachelors and Masters Degrees from Washington University in St. Louis.
Evan’s financial research has been featured in Bloomberg News while his academic research has been published in journals and edited volumes. Notably, Evan’s first article in Bloomberg, “Strong Dollar Advocates Make a Weak Case” (Jan. 25, 2012), showcased a mathematical model he designed to successfully predict every intermediate S&P 500 market bottom and top since 2008. Evan’s financial research will be further showcased in his forthcoming book titled “How the Fed Moves Markets.”
In his consulting capacity, Evan has vetted the political, economic and financial risks of major infrastructure investments for large corporations. Evan has also vetted finances, management structures and community engagement of small and midsize financial institutions to maximize relationships, tax status and grant opportunities from the government. From 2010-2014 Evan taught courses in economics, public policy and political science at Harvard University and Brown University.
Economist based in the UK. Earlier career in founding businesses and start-ups before a brief spell in academia (Warwick Business School); moved to high end economic consulting for leading firm of economists, before returning to help new businesses grow. Net estimated gain to client worth around $200m over the last decade.
I have actively traded stocks since 2010 based on fundamental analysis and my own quantitative forecasting methods.
Lawrence is the Managing Director of Fuller Asset Management. He has 20+ years of experience managing investment portfolios and serving the needs of individual clients. He began his career as a Financial Consultant in 1993 with Merrill Lynch. He worked for First Union Brokerage, Morgan Stanley and ING in the same capacity before realizing his long-term goal of complete independence. He graduated from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill with a B.A. in Political Science in 1992.
I spent many years working in various analytic jobs and trading on Wall Street. For nine of those years, I traded junk bonds for a large bank. I have an MBA from the University of Chicago, with a concentration in accounting and finance. Currently I co-manage a precious metals and mining stock investment fund in Denver. My goal is to help people understand and analyze what is really going on in our financial system and economy.
Jeff Paul has been investing since his teen years, though his professional career has been in software engineering and education. His math classes participated in online stock market challenges, providing an opportunity to share his enthusiasm for investing with his students and the chance for them to learn the fundamentals and try to identify the next big stock (they found Google). He recently completed an MBA at Portland State University with a focus on finance, and is currently a Senior Investment Analyst at a wealth management firm.
John Kosar, CMT, is Director of Research of Asbury Research LLC (http://www.asburyresearch.com/). Since 2005 Asbury Research has been providing in-depth, comprehensive financial market research to professional investors that understand the value and importance of incorporating technical, behavioral and quantitative market analysis into their investment strategy.
John is a 30 year veteran of the financial markets who spent the first half of his career on the trading floors of the Chicago futures exchanges, where he had the opportunity to learn how the these markets work from the inside out. This experience, early in his career, became the foundation for the unique analysis, insight and perspective that defines Asbury Research.
Kosar is is frequently quoted in the financial media and appears regularly on financial television including CNBC, Bloomberg and Fox Business. He was awarded the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation in 1999, and is a former Vice President of the Market Technicians Association (MTA) and served in its Board of Directors between 2002 and 2006.
During his career, John has worked as an analyst and trader for NatWest Markets, Greenwich Capital Markets and Deutsche Bank. Prior to founding Asbury Research, John spent three years as Senior Research Analyst for Bianco Research in Chicago.
Price Headley was inducted into the Traders' Hall of Fame in 2007 and is the founder of BigTrends.com, which provides investors with specific real-time stock and options strategies and investment education to profit from significant market trends. Price appears regularly on CNBC, Fox News, and in a variety of major financial news outlets. Timer Digest recognized the success of BigTrends.com's investment strategies by ranking Price among the Top 10 Market Timers for stock market timing.
A graduate of Stanford University and the University of Washington, I've worked at the crossroads of language, finance, and start-up tech for last nine years. Though I do trade stocks, my primary interest is in commodities.
I spent eight years at Bank of America in New York (1978-86) covering Wall Street, then moved to Moody's Investors Service where I worked for 22 years, covering banks, sovereigns and corporates. I chaired the Credit Policy Committee for four years. I retired in 2007 as vice chairman.
PLEASE FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER: @christophermah3
My philosophy: I am a libertarian, a market monetarist, an admirer of Fisher, Friedman and Minsky. I believe in a strong safety net and strict regulation of the financial system. I support most of Dodd-Frank. I think that the world's #1 problem today is inadequate inflation and nominal growth. I believe that the Fed should have two mandates: financial stability, and a nominal output target. I follow Scott Sumner and the other market monetarists. I respect Krugman as a brilliant economist who happens to be a leftist.
In addition to publishing at Seeking Alpha, I have my own financial blog at http://capitalismandfredom.blogspot.com
Joseph has been an analyst, investor, and student of economic theory; money and banking; and statistical methods for evaluating and implementing risk/reward trading algorithms since 1972. Joseph is also an occasional contributor to financial publications and his essays are frequently cited by other financial websites and publications.
Since the end of the Great Recession, Joseph came to recognize that traditional methodologies for forecasting economic growth and investment asset pricing are no longer of value, and a broader understanding of the post Glass Steagall, financially engineered world that has driven markets and economies since the turn of the century is required today.
He has a good grasp of Shadow Banking, High Frequency Trading, and Dark Pools, and their impact on today’s markets. He has also spent considerable time understanding the new global paradigm of central bank involvement in experimental policy designed to better control economies.
Joseph doesn’t subscribe to a specific school of theory on economics. Rather, his thinking is based on a combination of the Classical School, the Austrian School, and the Keynesian School. He even sees the writings of Karl Marx as particularly instructive.
Joseph is particularly fond of the following quote from Albert Einstein and sees his own work as driven by that same passionate curiosity that Einstein refers to:
“I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious.”
Coming in a close second in terms of favorite quotes that express his views, Joseph embraces Lord Acton’s views expressed here:
“The danger is not that a particular class is unfit to govern.
Every class is unfit to govern."
Associate Portfolio Manager and Research Analyst at Opus Capital Management. In response to multiple requests: We do accept individual investors into our Small Cap Value and Small Cap High Dividend Strategies. Financial Advisors are encouraged to contact Opus for more details.
Dr. Chris Martenson is an independent economist and author of a popular website, ChrisMartenson.com. His Crash Course video series explores the intertwining significance of the “three E’s”—the economy, energy, and environment and offers articulate, dynamic insight into the workings of our monetary system.
Chris earned a PhD in neurotoxicology from Duke University, and an MBA from Cornell University. His background as an educator helps him animate complex material with wisdom and humor. A fellow of the Post Carbon Institute, Chris’s work has appeared on PBS and been cited by the Washington Post. He is a contributor to the Huffington Post and FinancialSense.com.
Chris is an accomplished presenter who has offered the Crash Course seminar all over the United States. The online course has been translated into several languages, and been viewed nearly a million times. His website offers ongoing commentary and rigorously factual analysis into financial and energy-related issues and events as they unfold.
Chief Investment officer of the The Cambridge Strategy Asset Management. An Asset Management Business specialising in Currency, Macro, Emerging Markets and managing risk, especially tail risk.
London/HongKong/New York · http://www.thecambridgestrategy.com
As a contributor to the New Low Observer (http://www.newlowobserver.com/about-this-site), we intend to give new insights on a low risk approach to trading in dividend paying stocks for tax deferred accounts. The New Low Observer (http://www.newlowobserver.com/about-this-site) is not intended for regular or non-qualifying accounts however, the strategies and stocks mentioned can be used for non-qualifying accounts with the understanding of the consequences of potential short-term capital gains as well as the need for exceptional documentation for IRS purposes.
I have a professional background of working with the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Although I am an economist (and probably because of that fact), I am adept at being resourceful and thinking in a multidisciplinary fashion. For this reason, my professional experience only reflects a wide perspective that I have gained through the years and should not connote an air of authority.
George Dorgan had been one of the predictors of the financial tsunami of January 15, 2015. This is also visible in many posts in Seeking Alpha between 2012 and 2014. Very often he spoke about the impossibility of the peg and the strong Swiss economy.
He often criticized the - as for CHF - notoriously wrong bank research, in particular in the Seeking Alpha article:
The Swiss Franc, Pseudo-Mathematics and Financial Charlatanism
George lives in Zurich and knows well the Swiss mentality and the mindset of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) that is in line with supply-side and Austrian economics.
George is a heterodox economist and manages a very small private hedge fund on global macro basis following contrarian strategies.
Dorgan is largely an Austrian economist, supply sider and fierce advocat of deflation caused by technologic progress, free trade and the global distribution of labor.
He is against both the Keynesian mainstream and those Austrians that see the hyper-inflationary collapse coming. His ideas are also inspired by Minsky and Richard Koo, but he considers fiscal intervention only when private sector savings rates are rapidly increasing.
For Dorgan, GDP growth is currently not important, but a stabilisation of savings rates. Apart from some countries in Southern Europe, unemployment is extraordinarily low in the world, in particular in emerging and less privileged economies.
For him, the 2008 financial crisis was rather a balance of payments crisis of the United States and thanks to globalisation, only a very short-lived crisis.
Dorgan started up as quant programmer, worked at UBS and Reuters. He speaks nine languages including Russian.
He has a broad knowledge on (economic) history, law, computer science and business. He currrently manages Too Big To Fail projects in big Swiss banks.
His recent publications that were editor's picks in Seeking Alpha:
FX Rates, Contrarian Investment And The Misleading Concept Called GDP http://tinyurl.com/ortw73c
The Dollar, The ISM, Buy American And Irrational Exuberance http://tinyurl.com/o6q7qtg
Other useful contributions are the regularly updated:
What Drives Government Bond Yields? http://tinyurl.com/pnn3urn
The Six Major Fundamental Factors that Determine Gold and Silver Prices http://tinyurl.com/qxahse7
His Google Plus profile https://plus.google.com/u/0/+GeorgeMDorgan
and his Twitter account https://twitter.com/DorganG
William Gamble has been active in the international business as a consultant, lawyer, investor, and corporate counsel for the past thirty years. He has written three books. The most recent is Investing in Emerging Markets: Rules of the Game (2012). He has also written Investing in China (2002) and Freedom: America's Competitive Advantage in the Global Market (2007). Besides his books he writes weekly columns for Alrroya, the only financial newspaper in Dubai and MoneyLife, a financial publication in Mumbai.
He holds two law degrees, an executive MBA and has attended several universities in the United States and France. He has been a member of several state and federal bars. He has spoken five languages, visited over 40 countries and climbed Mt. Kilimanjaro. He has developed an original methodology derived from law and economics and game theory to determine the economic efficiency of a legal infrastructure. His premise is that economics is not just about capital and technological constraints. It is also about political-legal institutions, such as the protection of property rights and the enforcement of contracts that are critical determinants of sustainable economic growth and investment opportunities. His methods allowed him to successfully predict the crash of the Chinese, Russian, Brazilian stock markets along with the price of oil. He has appeared on many television networks including, ABC, CNN Asia, CNN FN, Bloomberg, Fox, CNBC and NDTV Profit in New Delhi. In addition to television, he has appeared on NPR, Bloomberg, and over 60 radio stations throughout the US. He has also appeared in Canada on the CBC and in China on Voice of America. He has also published numerous articles for various journals including Foreign Affairs, Harvard International Review, International Financial Law Review, and others for the International Assessment and Strategy Center. He has have published letters in the Wall Street Journal and over 29 in the Financial Times. He has spoken at many conferences and programs all over the world. As a participant in the CFA Institute’s Retained Speaker Program, he has made presentations in 12 countries and 11 US cities. He has testified before the US China Economic and Security Review Commission. He has been quoted in The New York Times, The ANALYST (India), CNN.com, Smart Money, USA TODAY, The Far Eastern Economic Review, The International Herald Tribune, The South China Morning Post, Sankei Shimbun (Japan), The Sacramento Bee, The Hartford Courant and on the internet at many web sites including NewsMax.com, ProDevelopment (Russia), La Opinion, Univision (Spanish).