I have been a professional economist since i was a little boy -- about 75 years. I lived through the Great Depression, watched poor people go hungry and steal used food out of our garbage. I had my $60 in gold nationalized by FDR. I was in the militia at the age of 12. I was drafted into the marines for Korea. I have made several million in my life and lost most of it in badly timed speculations. I do not think anyone can foretell the future. Bet on the worst -- it's bound to happen. Very few young people will starve quietly. Long guns and gold.