I only look at stocks that have the possibility to double over a twelve month period and stocks in which the risk/reward ratio payout is high. In addition I focus on swing trade opportunities.
I focus more on valuations and risk/reward metrics as opposed to what make companies tick.
I have been a professional investor for over 20 years and during the past several years an economics analyst and financial writer for capital.gr, the biggest economic news portal in Greece.
I have managed money from time to time and have also done some seed venture capital projects in the past.
Opportunities are always changing and I prefer to move along with them. I am constantly looking to spot areas of growth and value before the market does whether this is analyzing the latest news or tearing apart a 10-K.
As much as I would like to be spot on with every idea, I cannot guarantee that all of my ideas will beat the market. As always, remember to do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
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Recommended blogs for oil and gas valuation:
Dalesmann - Targetting Oil Shares: http://dalesmann.com/
Zman's Energy Brain; http://zmansenergybrain.com/
Studied: Power Engineering, Exploration Technology, Worked Upstream, Midstream, Downstream in Oil and Gas, Pipelines, Drilling, Refineries. Regardless of our desire for clean energy, oil makes things and is the building block of any economy. From production to transport to refining its the lifeblood of our lifestyle and we will likely pay more for it in the future as the USD looses its advantage as the worlds only reserve currency. The USD has likely peaked and will soon rollover and as it does the commodities will see a boom over several years.
I'm Interested in very big picture, game changers that come from sizeable economic deposits
of Oil, Gas, Gold, Silver, Uranium, Specialty Metals used in supplying Energy Infrastructure.
Anything dubbed "EXPLORATION" should always be considered high "RISK" Capital and never larger than a single digit % of your entire portfolio. (Please re-read that sentence, its important)
I don't offer investment advice, I generate compelling ideas that if they were to work out as promoted 'could' offer returns above average.
The caveat being that exploration in gold, oil, silver, uranium, rarely nets a commercial operation that pays shareholders back, so you can trade them, and speculate in them, but don't count on them to save you as they are only intended as a low % holding that has good risk/reward return if the thesis works out.
Your odds might be 2/100 for gold exploration, 3/100 for oil, so keep that in mind before plunking down your life savings. I try to weed out stories that have no hope, and shortlist ones that do.
Focus areas; Oilsands, Oil Shale in North Dakota, Natural Gas in Canada, Colorado, Texas, North Island New Zealand, Australia, Uranium in Saskatchewan, Texas. Metals Mining in Nevada, British Columbia, Mexico. Thorium as a substitute for Uranium. Oil Exploration in proven formations in WSCB, Colorado, West Texas, Southern Saskatchewan, North Dakota, and select riskier emerging locations in Africa, Albania, Colombia, Argentina.
Hydraulic Fracturing, Frac Sand Technologies, Oil Well Services and Horizontal Drillers. Natural Gas fired power plants and infrastructure, LNG Infrastructure, Terminals, LNG Shipping (LNG Shipping, Pipelines. North American OIL Pipelines, to and from Oilsands Producers, Refineries. OIL deposits organized by basin, geological name, or reserve size.
Operate a startup blog called Tullii.org which aims to summarize the above topics using info graphics and charts for the layperson interested in adding oil and gas investments with a 2-3 year horizon.
I approach from the Basin upward, do consult your own advisors before spending a dime on any of my ideas presented here. Remember I am just some guy you found on the internet, so do your own homework before you trade and be 100% responsible for your own risks and rewards. I repeat Most of what I present should only ever be 1-5% or less of your portfolio as its mostly unproven exploration projects nearing completion of validating reserves or resources.
That being said I try to filter the projects by their upside potential with an emphasis on 'potential' to beat traditional investments if the story turns to fact via the drillbit.
Value Digger holds MSc. in Electrical Engineering, speaks four languages and has lived in the U.S. for many years. Also, he is a full-time investor and a freelance writer with one of the highest Followers per Article (F/A) rates in Seeking Alpha. His F/A rate in Seeking Alpha is above 30.
After creating "Nathan's Bulletin" (a subscription-based investment guide for investors who can't afford a financial advisor), Value Digger launched a subscription-based Premium Service in Seeking Alpha entitled "A Fundamental Investor's Stock Club" which includes an unparalleled, actively-managed and high-return Portfolio of unknown and/or underfollowed stocks. Regularly updated and detailed lists in his Premium Posts PROVE these high returns. For reference, when Value Digger was managing money in the early 2000s, his Portfolio's annual ROI consistently exceeded 50%. His Premium Research is based on a comprehensive review of company-specific factors, macro conditions, competitors and the industry trends.
When it comes to his publicly-available picks and his free Seeking Alpha articles, Value Digger is ranked in the TOP-50 with a success rate of over 70%, an average return per recommendation of over 20% and a 5-star rating according to TipRanks.com, which is the highest category quality ranking used to evaluate financial experts. TipRanks.com is a comprehensive investing tool that allows private investors and day traders to see the measured performance of anyone who publicly provides financial advice. TipRanks.com collects data, evaluates and ranks 9,000 financial experts worldwide.
After almost 30 years of investing experience in the international markets (U.S., Canada, Australia, Europe), Value Digger has formulated a deep understanding of valuation analysis and his investment philosophy is firmly grounded in Ben Graham-style value-oriented opportunities that often have an assymetric risk/reward profile. On that front, he has created a unique proprietary database with thousands of publicly-traded companies per sector, which helps him spot the bargains and the bubbles before many investors find them.