Just a retired guy who has been investing in the market for the past 45 years. I've seen lots of ups and downs. No tree grows to the sky, and some good stocks (think Kodak) eventually become worthless. I am dismayed that man of today's investors spend so much time looking at supposed forward earnings while making excuses why the same stock hasn't made projections for a significant period of time. Past performance really does mean a lot more than what some (mostly biased) analysts think a stock might earn next quarter or next year. Start looking at performance over the past 5-10 years. Any stock is much more likely to continue that pattern than break out to some mythical upside. Take a look at the history of HSY as just one example. Sometimes, the most boring, least sexy stocks are the ones that make you the most money.