tclwrap's Comments tclwrap's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/94873/comments Toward Greater Bank Transparency: FASB Considering Expanded Mark-to-Market Rules http://seekingalpha.com/article/156147-toward-greater-bank-transparency-fasb-considering-expanded-mark-to-market-rules?source=feed#comment-630765 630765
See, allowing them to hide their losses will only make the problems worse down the road. Who takes the hit in the end? You guessed it, whoever is backing up the system. I agree these banks should be sliced & diced several times over before the whole thing falls flat to the ground. Which is simply a matter of time... ]]>
Sat, 15 Aug 2009 02:25:39 -0400
See, allowing them to hide their losses will only make the problems worse down the road. Who takes the hit in the end? You guessed it, whoever is backing up the system. I agree these banks should be sliced & diced several times over before the whole thing falls flat to the ground. Which is simply a matter of time... ]]>
The Teddy Bears' Picnic: Predicting a Market Crash That May Not Come http://seekingalpha.com/article/154694-the-teddy-bears-picnic-predicting-a-market-crash-that-may-not-come?source=feed#comment-621544 621544
www.zerohedge.com/arti...]]>
Sun, 09 Aug 2009 00:19:24 -0400
www.zerohedge.com/arti...]]>
Seeking Alpha Stock Market Email Alerts FAQ http://seekingalpha.com/article/28292-seeking-alpha-stock-market-email-alerts-faq?source=feed#comment-515102 515102 Oh well...
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Fri, 22 May 2009 21:24:39 -0400 Oh well...
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Censored Again http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/164535-mike-stathis/4847-censored-again?source=feed#comment-509626 509626 If you are lucky, you may match the S&P 500 and lose 50% of your retirement.

In the future though, things are more complicated by the baby boomers.
They are probably ready anyday now to take what is left off the table.
It is over for bull markets, we may be wittnesing the last of a duying breed
of bulls.

Many thanks for all your contributions! I have been following all your posts.
]]>
Tue, 19 May 2009 10:48:36 -0400 If you are lucky, you may match the S&P 500 and lose 50% of your retirement.

In the future though, things are more complicated by the baby boomers.
They are probably ready anyday now to take what is left off the table.
It is over for bull markets, we may be wittnesing the last of a duying breed
of bulls.

Many thanks for all your contributions! I have been following all your posts.
]]>
Seeking Alpha Stock Market Email Alerts FAQ http://seekingalpha.com/article/28292-seeking-alpha-stock-market-email-alerts-faq?source=feed#comment-507827 507827 ]]> Mon, 18 May 2009 00:18:21 -0400 ]]> Obama Stimulus Plan Will Fail, Here’s the Reason http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/175763-james-wood/3664-obama-stimulus-plan-will-fail-heres-the-reason?source=feed#comment-497909 497909
Our first reaction to too big to fail should have been to cut them down to size, where the entire system is not at jeopordy if the situation gets worse.

Instead, we are allowing the big banks to get even bigger, absorbing failed ones no less! Examples are the BAC and Merill/Country-Wide mergers.

I also fail to see the logic here, and how these mergers help stabilize the system.
]]>
Sun, 10 May 2009 14:17:20 -0400
Our first reaction to too big to fail should have been to cut them down to size, where the entire system is not at jeopordy if the situation gets worse.

Instead, we are allowing the big banks to get even bigger, absorbing failed ones no less! Examples are the BAC and Merill/Country-Wide mergers.

I also fail to see the logic here, and how these mergers help stabilize the system.
]]>
How the Gold Game Could End http://seekingalpha.com/article/131648-how-the-gold-game-could-end?source=feed#comment-468431 468431 ]]> Sun, 19 Apr 2009 11:22:42 -0400 ]]> How the Gold Game Could End http://seekingalpha.com/article/131648-how-the-gold-game-could-end?source=feed#comment-468395 468395
gold is a store of value, paper currencies are an IOU's...

many parts of the world, india/middle-east..., value gold. It is cultural, but it has been around for thousands of years!

The article is short sighted in my opinion.]]>
Sun, 19 Apr 2009 11:09:10 -0400
gold is a store of value, paper currencies are an IOU's...

many parts of the world, india/middle-east..., value gold. It is cultural, but it has been around for thousands of years!

The article is short sighted in my opinion.]]>
Why Our Credit Crunch Mirrors the Weimar Hyperinflation from 1919-1923 http://seekingalpha.com/article/130528-why-our-credit-crunch-mirrors-the-weimar-hyperinflation-from-1919-1923?source=feed#comment-461016 461016
I think it is a wealth transfer when the taxpayer is covering the losses.
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Sun, 12 Apr 2009 21:24:18 -0400
I think it is a wealth transfer when the taxpayer is covering the losses.
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Earnings Are Horrible, But It May Not Matter http://seekingalpha.com/article/130450-earnings-are-horrible-but-it-may-not-matter?source=feed#comment-460124 460124
The printing of money will only make inflation matters worse .
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Sat, 11 Apr 2009 21:51:34 -0400
The printing of money will only make inflation matters worse .
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Big Debt and Big Returns Could Be Spurring This Rally http://seekingalpha.com/article/128394-big-debt-and-big-returns-could-be-spurring-this-rally?source=feed#comment-447503 447503 ]]> Wed, 01 Apr 2009 01:53:44 -0400 ]]> Inflation: Is This the Real Danger? http://seekingalpha.com/article/128293-inflation-is-this-the-real-danger?source=feed#comment-444664 444664
I disagree with your statement:

"inflation is only bad for debtors..."

In reality, deflation is bad for debtors... This is because what you already owe is difficult to come by when wages drop 10%. The wage drops are due to price drops, which is caused by weaker demand.

If you have accumulated savings, deflation is good.



On Mar 29 04:37 AM capitalisthero.com wrote:

> Will someone explain to me why deflation is bad? In deflation, the
> purchasing power of my wages is increased. The purchasing power
> of my nest egg is increased. Food, water, shelter, and medicine
> is cheaper because of deflation.
>
> As far as I can tell, inflation is only bad for debtors because their
> real interest rate is increased. I guess that sucks for the U.S.
> government since it's the biggest debtor the world has ever known.
>
>
> Deflation = good. Inflation = bad. Buy commodities as a hedge against
> inflation. Divest yourself of dollars; they will become very abundant
> very soon.
>
> Check out my original articles at captialisthero.com]]>
Sun, 29 Mar 2009 22:50:30 -0400
I disagree with your statement:

"inflation is only bad for debtors..."

In reality, deflation is bad for debtors... This is because what you already owe is difficult to come by when wages drop 10%. The wage drops are due to price drops, which is caused by weaker demand.

If you have accumulated savings, deflation is good.



On Mar 29 04:37 AM capitalisthero.com wrote:

> Will someone explain to me why deflation is bad? In deflation, the
> purchasing power of my wages is increased. The purchasing power
> of my nest egg is increased. Food, water, shelter, and medicine
> is cheaper because of deflation.
>
> As far as I can tell, inflation is only bad for debtors because their
> real interest rate is increased. I guess that sucks for the U.S.
> government since it's the biggest debtor the world has ever known.
>
>
> Deflation = good. Inflation = bad. Buy commodities as a hedge against
> inflation. Divest yourself of dollars; they will become very abundant
> very soon.
>
> Check out my original articles at captialisthero.com]]>
Time to Short Long Term Government Bonds Now http://seekingalpha.com/article/125048-time-to-short-long-term-government-bonds-now?source=feed#comment-421377 421377 Wed, 11 Mar 2009 02:35:55 -0400 Glass-Steagall: If Not the Cause, Maybe the Cure? http://seekingalpha.com/article/124935-glass-steagall-if-not-the-cause-maybe-the-cure?source=feed#comment-420024 420024
Remember our reactions to the dot com bust? The CEO was held personally accountable for cooking the books, because of enron scandal. Now we have a totally unrelated issue, but it's effect is much bigger than enron. The real problem is, regulating after the harm is done is as good as no regulation.
]]>
Tue, 10 Mar 2009 00:12:12 -0400
Remember our reactions to the dot com bust? The CEO was held personally accountable for cooking the books, because of enron scandal. Now we have a totally unrelated issue, but it's effect is much bigger than enron. The real problem is, regulating after the harm is done is as good as no regulation.
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Read This Before Buying E*Trade http://seekingalpha.com/article/65006-read-this-before-buying-e-trade?source=feed#comment-405417 405417
" The real question is what are you doing to perpetuate a better America? Keep your posts of our economy in a positive light and you will see the light... However, throw on dire scenarios and focus on the ultimate risk, and you will keep the spirit of recovery in the gutter."

this really sums up everything. If we start to see a glass half full, instead of empty, that would improve the situation a great deal.

prescient11,

I am long ETFC because I like their brand, yes the trading platform and customer service. They have also performed miracles raising capital. However, reading your posts, it definitely learned a lot more...
Thank You!
]]>
Fri, 27 Feb 2009 02:56:20 -0500
" The real question is what are you doing to perpetuate a better America? Keep your posts of our economy in a positive light and you will see the light... However, throw on dire scenarios and focus on the ultimate risk, and you will keep the spirit of recovery in the gutter."

this really sums up everything. If we start to see a glass half full, instead of empty, that would improve the situation a great deal.

prescient11,

I am long ETFC because I like their brand, yes the trading platform and customer service. They have also performed miracles raising capital. However, reading your posts, it definitely learned a lot more...
Thank You!
]]>
USO: Black Gold Waiting to Erupt http://seekingalpha.com/article/121869-uso-black-gold-waiting-to-erupt?source=feed#comment-398932 398932 ]]> Sun, 22 Feb 2009 14:46:33 -0500 ]]> Three Potholes on the Road to Economic Recovery http://seekingalpha.com/article/120757-three-potholes-on-the-road-to-economic-recovery?source=feed#comment-391351 391351
"Returning U.S. troops are reportedly being riot trained now. Somebody in Washington is not as stupid as they appear to be most of the time."

This is news to me. Would you share a link?

Many thanks.

]]>
Mon, 16 Feb 2009 21:36:25 -0500
"Returning U.S. troops are reportedly being riot trained now. Somebody in Washington is not as stupid as they appear to be most of the time."

This is news to me. Would you share a link?

Many thanks.

]]>
What's Going to Replace the Dollar? http://seekingalpha.com/article/119268-what-s-going-to-replace-the-dollar?source=feed#comment-383387 383387
A good entry point for a long term Gold Bull may be around 700. I am waiting to pick up GDX when that happens...

]]>
Wed, 11 Feb 2009 01:57:38 -0500
A good entry point for a long term Gold Bull may be around 700. I am waiting to pick up GDX when that happens...

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What's Going to Replace the Dollar? http://seekingalpha.com/article/119268-what-s-going-to-replace-the-dollar?source=feed#comment-383367 383367
There are countering arguments, from articles I recently read, that describe a deflation cycle, not hyper-inflation as is suggested. The logic there, the loss in asset values such as stocks & bonds, homes, commodities have effectively reduced the money supply but a much larger amount than what's being introduced by the Fed. The Fed is fighting deflation and not expecting hyper-inflation as a result.

Anyone cares to explain which side of the story makes the most sense?

If you do jump on the gold bandwagon, deflation would kill that investment. If you hold the dollar too, the dollar gains in value in deflationary environments. Please comment, like to figure out which end is which! :-)
]]>
Wed, 11 Feb 2009 01:25:22 -0500
There are countering arguments, from articles I recently read, that describe a deflation cycle, not hyper-inflation as is suggested. The logic there, the loss in asset values such as stocks & bonds, homes, commodities have effectively reduced the money supply but a much larger amount than what's being introduced by the Fed. The Fed is fighting deflation and not expecting hyper-inflation as a result.

Anyone cares to explain which side of the story makes the most sense?

If you do jump on the gold bandwagon, deflation would kill that investment. If you hold the dollar too, the dollar gains in value in deflationary environments. Please comment, like to figure out which end is which! :-)
]]>
United Socialist States of America? Not Quite http://seekingalpha.com/article/112896-united-socialist-states-of-america-not-quite?source=feed#comment-343691 343691 >paper (money) to lend to the apparently bankrupt enterprises, in return >for an equity stake, dilution of current shareholders, and effective >operational >control of the functional enterprise.

petyaczar,

In an ideal world, the gov. would not need to intervene. In the real world, bad mistakes were made and these institutions, FNM + FRE, are not isolated from the rest of the economy. These institutions also become worthless after the realestate bubble burst.

May be it was done properly and perhaps not, however something needed to be done. The cost of doing nothing is far greater than the 700B.

Obama realizes this problem, no creation of his own. I hope whatever is done, it will be something that pays a divident for generations to come... not handing out free lunches to wallstreet.

Fixing the healthcare system would be good for all, corporations and the labor force.
]]>
Thu, 01 Jan 2009 17:25:21 -0500 >paper (money) to lend to the apparently bankrupt enterprises, in return >for an equity stake, dilution of current shareholders, and effective >operational >control of the functional enterprise.

petyaczar,

In an ideal world, the gov. would not need to intervene. In the real world, bad mistakes were made and these institutions, FNM + FRE, are not isolated from the rest of the economy. These institutions also become worthless after the realestate bubble burst.

May be it was done properly and perhaps not, however something needed to be done. The cost of doing nothing is far greater than the 700B.

Obama realizes this problem, no creation of his own. I hope whatever is done, it will be something that pays a divident for generations to come... not handing out free lunches to wallstreet.

Fixing the healthcare system would be good for all, corporations and the labor force.
]]>
Paulson's Plan Fails to Understand the Problem; Madoff Is a Perfect Example http://seekingalpha.com/article/110710-paulson-s-plan-fails-to-understand-the-problem-madoff-is-a-perfect-example?source=feed#comment-330592 330592 ]]> Mon, 15 Dec 2008 23:43:55 -0500 ]]> Five Forces Driving the Euro Down http://seekingalpha.com/article/91009-five-forces-driving-the-euro-down?source=feed#comment-231697 231697
Reasons 1 & 2 are also mute.
]]>
Fri, 15 Aug 2008 22:16:03 -0400
Reasons 1 & 2 are also mute.
]]>
Five Forces Driving the Euro Down http://seekingalpha.com/article/91009-five-forces-driving-the-euro-down?source=feed#comment-231691 231691 Fri, 15 Aug 2008 21:46:55 -0400 Is Oil Bubbling Over? http://seekingalpha.com/article/76381-is-oil-bubbling-over?source=feed#comment-165648 165648
news.nationalgeographi...

oil carries a cost.
]]>
Sun, 11 May 2008 00:43:19 -0400
news.nationalgeographi...

oil carries a cost.
]]>
Is Oil Bubbling Over? http://seekingalpha.com/article/76381-is-oil-bubbling-over?source=feed#comment-165644 165644
In the short term, oil most likely would decline due to global economic slowdown. This slowdown should include india and china. I agree with the prediction oil will be back at 70 by next summer. I don't know if the summer is going to be a prosperous time though, I doubt it.
]]>
Sun, 11 May 2008 00:08:07 -0400
In the short term, oil most likely would decline due to global economic slowdown. This slowdown should include india and china. I agree with the prediction oil will be back at 70 by next summer. I don't know if the summer is going to be a prosperous time though, I doubt it.
]]>
Financial Markets: An Apology http://seekingalpha.com/article/75141-financial-markets-an-apology?source=feed#comment-160456 160456 Good job! Last article I read from you for sure...
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Thu, 01 May 2008 22:59:29 -0400 Good job! Last article I read from you for sure...
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U.S. Dollar Rallies On U.S. Corporate Earnings http://seekingalpha.com/article/72961-u-s-dollar-rallies-on-u-s-corporate-earnings?source=feed#comment-153392 153392
I think a strong dollar would impact OIL and commodities prices. ]]>
Sat, 19 Apr 2008 11:56:59 -0400
I think a strong dollar would impact OIL and commodities prices. ]]>
Inverse Oil ETF Plunges 26%: What Gives? http://seekingalpha.com/article/71752-inverse-oil-etf-plunges-26-what-gives?source=feed#comment-148643 148643 ]]> Thu, 10 Apr 2008 21:11:51 -0400 ]]> Inverse Oil ETF Plunges 26%: What Gives? http://seekingalpha.com/article/71752-inverse-oil-etf-plunges-26-what-gives?source=feed#comment-148054 148054
Even if we hit 3 consecutive days of 111, chances are OIL would pull back from here till june. Still OK for me if I get (120-100)/3, better yet if OIL closes at 90!

If DCR moves to 10, I am selling and saying farewell.

I don't do options, never have. However, I could consider buying some UCR to hedge against DCR. Righjt now, I have set some stops.

thanks again!
]]>
Thu, 10 Apr 2008 00:37:29 -0400
Even if we hit 3 consecutive days of 111, chances are OIL would pull back from here till june. Still OK for me if I get (120-100)/3, better yet if OIL closes at 90!

If DCR moves to 10, I am selling and saying farewell.

I don't do options, never have. However, I could consider buying some UCR to hedge against DCR. Righjt now, I have set some stops.

thanks again!
]]>
Inverse Oil ETF Plunges 26%: What Gives? http://seekingalpha.com/article/71752-inverse-oil-etf-plunges-26-what-gives?source=feed#comment-148039 148039
From what I understand now, reading more blogs, if DCR seizes to exist so would UCR. The clause of 111 oil for 3 consecutive days only applies to DCR.
Do shareholders of UCR know about this?
]]>
Wed, 09 Apr 2008 23:57:59 -0400
From what I understand now, reading more blogs, if DCR seizes to exist so would UCR. The clause of 111 oil for 3 consecutive days only applies to DCR.
Do shareholders of UCR know about this?
]]>