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  • Algorithm Indicates Citigroup Will Be A Buying Opportunity, But Not Yet [View article]
    Is this just sell in may and come back in november. Your SPX forecast and AKS forecast had the same thing. 1 year bullish 3-6 month bearish. Is it just derivative of Sell in May algo?
    Apr 16 08:16 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Great Graphic - Case Study: San Jose Hiked Minimum Wage [View article]
    There are many people who are not worth their market return. Children with rare genetic diseases with treatements costing millions. Will they ever paytheir millions back? Probably not.

    Old Cancer Patients. If somebody is older than 65 why try to cure their cancer? They wont work anymore, they are useless. Their market return is very negative.
    Apr 16 08:04 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Great Graphic - Case Study: San Jose Hiked Minimum Wage [View article]
    Why not pay everyone $0? We have 100% employment.

    The biggest reason why minimum wage hikes like these wont have any effect on well-being is because most fast-food workers are already subsidized by the government, who sets a poverty level. they are already living a higher standard of living than 7$ an hour. Hiking to $10 means people will get fired from subsidized jobs, but their standard of living will not drop one bit. Its basically just an accounting change. The subpar subsidized job wasnt feasible anyway because it is predated on the government subsidies. It doesnt work for alot of subpar locations without government subsidies. THis hike makes sure only the most feasible jobs will survive, ones that survive without government subsidies. It's basically letting the free market do it's work correctly. You can make the assumptions and calculations yourself. its just shifting the cost of subsidization to walmart and McDonalds instead of the government paying for it.

    The minimum wage hike is the effect, not the cause.
    Apr 16 07:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Which VIX Spike Could Kill XIV? Here Are The Numbers. [View article]
    XIV acts like a better spy according to this means that you can buy 25% XIV and you can never lose more than 25% of your money, even in a crash of 100% of SPY. So XIV is even safer than SPY, with the same return. Or the same risk, gives a better return.
    Feb 21 03:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 5 Simple Reasons The U.S. Market Will Go Straight Up From Here [View article]
    I love all these bearish comments right before a rip your face off rally. =)
    Feb 9 03:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Maxxam: Unbelievable Value On A Hard To Buy Stock [View article]
    How deep is the book?
    Jan 29 01:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Avoid Argentina Stocks This Year [View article]
    It seems to be bullish

    "On average, investors who bought stocks during the month of the devaluation made a 45.63% return in local currency and a 25.26% rate of return in dollars in the next one year ."
    Jan 26 11:31 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why We Are Keynesians [View article]
    What is AD?
    Jan 24 09:21 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Anti-Scientific Foundation Of Macroeconomics [View article]
    But aren't we on an unsustainable trajectory salmo? Like you said earlier this country is somewhat doomed and standard of living will go down. Why would 2014 be a good year. Doomsday long-term, short term good outlook?
    Jan 20 10:57 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Weak December Jobs Report Likely A Fluke [View article]
    "If policymakers want to pump up the job market they are going to have to look for different incentives: e.g., ones that increase the after-tax return to working and investing, and ones that reduce the regulatory hurdles to new business formation."

    This makes no sense since corporate profits are at an all-time high. If I was a corporation, this economy would be my choice of economy to be in.
    Jan 11 02:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why We Are Not OK And Not On A Sustainable Trajectory [View article]
    If the FED suddenly stopped paying wouldn't that lead to a sudden shock in the market, they will jump up 20% a flash crash in reverse? That would be worse?
    Jan 10 08:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Great Northern Iron Now Worth Less Than $21, Will Fall To $0 In 15 Months [View article]
    Actually, the market noticed in 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013. There were seeking alpha articles in every single year saying that GNI is overvalued and will wind down. Every single time the stock went down for 10+% in a few days or so... and every single time the stock went up again for months. If you look at the weekly chart you can easily spot those drops.

    its like this stock attracts lots of new naive investors everytime...

    It might be a failure of efficient market hypothesis..
    Jan 6 02:17 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Great Northern Iron Now Worth Less Than $21, Will Fall To $0 In 15 Months [View article]
    A LOT of people see the 17% dividend yield and just buy, I guess. It's the only reason I can think of...
    Jan 6 02:14 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Great Northern Iron Now Worth Less Than $21, Will Fall To $0 In 15 Months [View article]
    That sounds like a lousy reason to own this stock. You dont even have the upside of short squeezes like many other high cost borrow stocks.
    Jan 6 11:43 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market Timing Report: Buckle Up For 2014 [View article]
    Margin debt is horrible for making predictions. I believe it does not predict, but follows the market, or behaves like the vix. We can have years of margin debt making new highs and nothing happening.
    Jan 3 09:03 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment