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Quin101

Quin101
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  • 'Patient' Is History [View article]
    Also a quantitative factor that will probably positively impact markets in the near term (3-6 months) is actually a sharp drop in oil prices like we had last year. but this is TA
    Mar 8, 2015. 04:24 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Target Range For Fed Funds, Not A Fixed Point [View article]
    > - every single rate increase was “behind the inflationary curve”)

    So rate changes have influence on inflation? I thought only reserve changes could do that job. does there even exist a rate transmission mechanism?
    Mar 8, 2015. 02:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Federal Budget Outlook And Implications For The S&P 500 [View article]
    I wasn't talking about Mish, Im sure hes great, but the atlantic cover
    Mar 8, 2015. 02:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Old Was That Shoeshine Boy Again? [View article]
    i see alot of jealousy that one is poorer than 17 year olds.
    Mar 8, 2015. 06:07 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Federal Budget Outlook And Implications For The S&P 500 [View article]
    a true hero standing up for what's right even though he suffered in the process. we need more people like him. But the world is crazy:

    http://bit.ly/1aTIxDf

    stay calm,dont get a heart attack.
    Mar 7, 2015. 06:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Federal Budget Outlook And Implications For The S&P 500 [View article]
    Pritchard was truly a visionary R.I.P.
    Mar 7, 2015. 12:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Surrogates [View instapost]
    Nice article brown trout, I already read most of it over the years but its a great summary.
    Im a bit more worried than you about the drops in roc in the first column in this year though, if you extend another month you will see it. but I looked at last years numbers and even then the numbers in the second column are similar at this point in time march 2014... meh I don't know. so something happened last year after march I guess if you are this positive.

    2013-12 0,10 0,25
    2014-01 0,16 0,34
    2014-02 0,13 0,38
    3 0,22 0,41
    4 0,21 0,40
    5 0,19 0,45
    6 0,18 0,41
    7 0,19 0,36
    8 0,14 0,31
    9 0,14 0,32
    Mar 6, 2015. 04:52 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Happy 6th Birthday, Bull Market! Can You Hang On A Little Longer? [View article]
    by the way how did I helped you? I have no clue haha
    Mar 6, 2015. 12:36 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Happy 6th Birthday, Bull Market! Can You Hang On A Little Longer? [View article]
    hello trout I didnt knew they had internet in natures outback.

    your reply doesnt make sense to me if you agree on a top shouldnt the market go down, not up? its hard to understand your logic. but now I do understand why you used the word inversion, a counter move to seasonals?
    Mar 4, 2015. 01:21 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Happy 6th Birthday, Bull Market! Can You Hang On A Little Longer? [View article]
    >But with an absolute value of 5 it seems like a safe bet.

    what do you mean? what has value of 5?

    >You already know! viz., lagged reserve accounting,

    I know what? what is lagged reserve accounting?

    >Agreed.

    good to know, thanks, but even when you agree with me, you still make me feel like an idiot haha. I did not understand the previous either:

    >Seasonal's turn in c. 2 weeks. Then there should be more buying.
    Mar 4, 2015. 06:55 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Happy 6th Birthday, Bull Market! Can You Hang On A Little Longer? [View article]
    Im calling the top. the market will start falling after 2 weeks
    Mar 3, 2015. 09:47 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • China Won't Be Faking It Much Longer [View article]
    a god resource is china law blog for a similar perspective. china is changing.
    Mar 3, 2015. 03:01 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • U.S. Economy: This Was Not Supposed To Happen [View article]
    hello brown trout

    >MVt = AD not nominal-gDp.

    Doesnt AD show up in GDP prints? or GDP growth is influenced by AD? I thought these are quite similar and the difference negligible
    Mar 1, 2015. 10:06 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Recent Spike In Rates - What Does It Mean For Stocks And Bonds? [View article]
    It was only a few years ago that I decided to do some work, I actually read everything you wrote, though I did not understand everything it was exciting to me, and only later I thought about actually contacting you for more elucidation.
    Feb 27, 2015. 01:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Recent Spike In Rates - What Does It Mean For Stocks And Bonds? [View article]
    you're right that I can't depend on you to do all of my work. I just thought you were being overly vague when you prognosticated "Best 2-4 weeks to sell short." because it was out of context so it didnt make any sense.
    Maybe you are being vague on purpose I understand why (its a trillion dollars after all), but when you seem vague, I ask questions.
    In any case I already believe I have learned enough to understand how the economy/stock market really works. thanks for answering all my questions.
    P.S. if you were wondering there is no longer a SSSPA we are disbanded after I inadvertently ruined your surprise it was supposed to be a secret and its a nono to reveal secrets as a secret society.
    have fun fishing.
    Feb 27, 2015. 01:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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