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  • Why You Should Not Sell Your Oil Stocks At A Loss [View article]
    The price of the oil majors still reflects the expectation that prices will quickly rebound. XOM is only 2% lower than it was trading on October 15, when oil was $75. The pain is probably only beginning for the oil majors.
    Dec 16, 2014. 12:45 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Barron's gets bullish on Cisco [View news story]
    In ten years, it will have something like $30 in cash per share.
    Jan 12, 2014. 04:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cisco: What Should Investors Do Now? [View article]
    What exactly would those be?
    Dec 3, 2013. 12:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GM is finally returning to the S&P 500: the auto giant will replace Heinz (HNZ), which is getting acquired by Berkshire Hathaway and 3G Capital. GM +4.7% AH. [View news story]
    If the government had allowed GM to collapse, how exactly were those bondholders supposed to get paid back? Go take your political trolling somewhere else. GM's comeback is one of the great success stories of the last 5 years.
    Jun 3, 2013. 07:15 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple (AAPL +0.7%) plans to start "production of a new iPhone similar in size and shape" to the iPhone 5 in calendar Q2, setting up a "possible summer launch," the WSJ reports. The paper adds Apple is working with partners on a cheaper iPhone with a 4" display and "different casing" than the iPhone 5, and that a 2H launch for the device is possible. Both scoops mesh with iPhone rumors (I, II, III) that have been floating around in recent months. Samsung's Galaxy S IV, replete with a 5" display, is expected to go on sale in late April and May (depending on the market). [View news story]
    Some of us put the phones in our pockets and not our European carry-alls.
    Apr 2, 2013. 08:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Much Should You Pay For Apple? [View article]
    Uh, in three years Apple will have $250 per share IN CASH.
    Jan 31, 2013. 05:42 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple (AAPL) is taking it on the chin again this morning as chatter about weak iPhone 5 demand in China, and UBS taking its price target on the stock down to $700 from $780 has the shares off 2.2% premarket. [View news story]
    Who cares? I don't want Apple to manage expectations or massage earnings. Let the traders suffer. Apple doesn't owe them anything, and I plan on holding for years at least.
    Dec 14, 2012. 12:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cisco: Everything Is Priced In [View article]
    Exactly. In the next 5-7 years, CSCO will have cash flows equal to its entire enterprise value.

    If we give CSCO a reasonable valuation of 15x cash flow + net cash, it should trade at around $35.
    Dec 14, 2012. 12:57 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cisco: Everything Is Priced In [View article]
    If you use a 14% discount rate, then there is a not a single stock that is not "overpriced" according to your analysis.
    Dec 14, 2012. 12:52 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Trading At 2.56x 2016 Cash Flow [View article]
    In four years that $335 billion is only going to be worth $320 billion. Run for the hills!
    Dec 11, 2012. 02:44 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Trading At 2.56x 2016 Cash Flow [View article]
    Any prediction for the future is a guess or an assumption. In your language, how does one "professionally" make projections for the future? This would be a very pointless site indeed if no one tried to anticipate future earnings.
    Dec 11, 2012. 02:37 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Trading At 2.56x 2016 Cash Flow [View article]
    "Growth through 2016 was baked into the $700 share price"

    Are you kidding me? A company that trades at less than 10x cash flow (net cash) doesn't have any growth baked in. In fact, the only way that $700 a share make sense is if we assume declining profits.
    Dec 11, 2012. 02:32 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dell (DELL): FQ3 EPS of $0.39 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $13.72B (-11% Y/Y) misses by $180M. Expects Q/Q revenue growth of 2%-5% in FQ4, below a consensus for a 5.6% increase. Maintains guidance for at least $1.70 in FY13 (ends in January) EPS. Shares +1.5% AH. (PR[View news story]
    Spectacular collapse is priced in. Slow, controlled collapse is good news.
    Nov 16, 2012. 12:59 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cisco: Grossly Undervalued At Current Prices [View article]
    Smart companies should stay away from China anyway.
    Nov 5, 2012. 06:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What's Going On In CRM? [View article]
    CRM dilutes shares, CRM loses money.

    Ironically, their per-share results end up looking better, since the losses are spread among more shares.
    Oct 21, 2012. 08:09 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
73 Comments
103 Likes