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Hypnos7

Hypnos7
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  • Texas Hold 'Em Tournaments And Value Investing [View article]
    One could argue that trading has more in common with tournament poker than value investing, in that it is almost completely a zero-sum game, and one relies on tells to gain EV. The big difference is that it's relatively impersonal, in that you are looking at charts than at people's faces.
    Apr 1, 2013. 10:56 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Today's Rally Seems Pre-Planned [View instapost]
    Poppity pop pop ...
    Mar 25, 2013. 10:04 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • What Do Hedge Funds Do? [View instapost]
    There are of course many strategies employed by hedge funds -- this kind of fundamental research is one of them.
    Feb 12, 2013. 10:01 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Fitch warns that a failure to avert the fiscal cliff will increase the likelihood that it will strip the U.S. of its AAA rating. Falling over the edge "would exacerbate rather than diminish the uncertainty over fiscal policy, and tip the US into an avoidable and unnecessary recession," Fitch says in its 2013 global outlook. [View news story]
    The power of rating agencies to state the obvious is remarkable.
    Dec 19, 2012. 06:37 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • President Obama will go into budget negotiations with Congressional leaders on Friday calling for a $1.6T increase in tax revenues over 10 years, double the $800B discussed during debt-ceiling talks in 2011. The sides are sticking to their guns over tax hikes for the rich, while the GOP also want entitlement changes. Obama is due to today meet a who's who of top CEOs, including those of Wal-Mart, IBM and Ford. [View news story]
    Sequestration would be a coup for the left wing -- Bush tax cuts would expire, defense funding would get slashed, entitlements would remain untouched.

    The liberal caucus ate the Republicans' lunch on this one ... they hold all the cards. Obama is even against it.
    Nov 14, 2012. 06:29 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Can They Spare A Penny A Click For International Coverage? [View instapost]
    I can't comment on SA's profit model, but it seems odd that they would not incentivize writers to find new investing opportunities for their readers. "Seeking Alpha" is its name, no?
    Nov 13, 2012. 08:52 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Back At The Desk, Wednesday, October 3, 2012 - Short Term Update [View instapost]
    You mean "bull trap" in your penultimate sentence, no?
    Oct 4, 2012. 09:51 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The middle class suffered its "worst decade in modern history" in the 10 years ending in 2010, falling backward in income for the first time since World War II, a new Pew Research study says. In 1970, the share of U.S. income going to the middle class was 62%, while the wealthy received 29%; by 2010, the middle class took 45% of total income, vs. 46% for upper-income Americans. [View news story]
    Unfunded liabilities and demographics are real problems. Better to concentrate on those than made up ones.
    Aug 22, 2012. 11:43 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The middle class suffered its "worst decade in modern history" in the 10 years ending in 2010, falling backward in income for the first time since World War II, a new Pew Research study says. In 1970, the share of U.S. income going to the middle class was 62%, while the wealthy received 29%; by 2010, the middle class took 45% of total income, vs. 46% for upper-income Americans. [View news story]
    "The fraud by those stealing from the middle class, through phony food stamps, unemployment, disability fraud , etc, is 10 times worse than any Wall Street fraud. "

    Then you know what the numbers are for these, to arrive at that ratio?
    Aug 22, 2012. 08:50 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • May. Reuters/UofM Consumer Sentiment: 79.3 vs. 77.8 expected and 77.8 prior.  [View news story]
    And we know how awesome things turned out after Oct. 2007.
    May 25, 2012. 11:28 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • BOJ governor Shirakawa says the bank is committed to easing, but won't do so solely to weaken the yen. Shirakawa adds the "biggest factor affecting currency moves now is investors' risk aversion," and there's no evidence that an expanded monetary base will weaken the currency. Currently: USD -0.13% to ¥79.36.  [View news story]
    I love how the currency market tells the BOJ to go eff itself.
    May 24, 2012. 04:25 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Japanese utilities plan to increase fees for peak-hour electricity usage in an effort to head off possible power shortages this summer following the closure of the nation's nuclear power plants. Starting in June rates for some power plants will be four to six times higher during the peak hours of 1 p.m. and 4 p.m. than those for night time hours.  [View news story]
    People will just make sure to be at the mall in the afternoon using their A/C instead of at home running theirs. Stimulus!
    May 21, 2012. 10:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • "The risks  of contagion for other countries of the eurozone have been reduced," says German finmin Schauble, making the case the EU could handle a Greek departure. Schauble may be the most senior official to publicly entertain such an idea - quite a departure from the assured Armageddon described by policymakers for the last 2 years.  [View news story]
    For him to mention it means that it is imminent -- trying to soften the psychological blow in the markets.
    May 11, 2012. 04:10 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • What Do Natural Gas And Equities Have In Common? [View article]
    From a purely technical standpoint:

    * Looks like equities have a strong support at SPX 1360/NDX 2629/AAPL 560. The spirit of the dip buyers must be broken before any correction can continue.

    * Natural gas has had choppy trade, but never broken its trend since $1.90 -- longs were rewarded today.

    * Any comment on precious metals? The drift downward seems to have become a rush ...


    Cheers,

    H7
    May 8, 2012. 09:47 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The next economic boom, writes Daniel Gross, will be created by the efficiencies unleashed by America's transition from an Ownership Society to a Rentership Society. It's not just housing - citizens are getting used to the flexibility of renting across a whole range of goods. "The U.S. economy needs the dynamism that renting enables as much as - if not more than - it needs the stability that ownership engenders."  [View news story]
    This is a fair point, that owning a home is an insurance policy against skyrocketing home values, and thus rental rates.

    The counterargument is that there are other places to put your capital where it can grow much faster than home values, allowing your afford rents and much more in the future. This includes the opportunity cost of not moving to get a better job, etc.
    May 6, 2012. 01:19 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
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