Seeking Alpha

Ivan the Fool

Ivan the Fool
Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
View Ivan the Fool's Comments BY TICKER:
Latest  |  Highest rated
  • How Fed Policy Has Devastated 3 Generations Of Retirees [View article]
    Yes... "when they are cheap." Are they cheap right now?
    Sep 6 12:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Fed Policy Has Devastated 3 Generations Of Retirees [View article]
    Parents should make counterfeit money and give their children as much of it as they want even though they continually spend it on candy.
    Sep 6 12:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Fed Policy Has Devastated 3 Generations Of Retirees [View article]
    If you happened to be born at the right time.
    Sep 6 12:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Fed Policy Has Devastated 3 Generations Of Retirees [View article]
    Yay! Cheap ketchup!
    Sep 6 12:23 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Fed Policy Has Devastated 3 Generations Of Retirees [View article]
    Real education means accepting reality for what it is even if it scares the hell out of you. Until we are ready to put away our fantasies, we are but lambs being led to... well, I guess if you get to go to heaven for eternity, then being slaughtered in this little life is no big deal.
    Sep 6 12:21 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Fed Policy Has Devastated 3 Generations Of Retirees [View article]
    How do you use options without selling? Did you say,"stay the course?" I remember someone else saying that a lot. You say buy and hold, but you hold a 401k? What else are you holding? Your career already happened. Holding on to the wrong things right now could be a huge mistake and destroy a lot of port folios. I believe that buying and holding is particularly bad advice at the moment. Better advice, I think, for working class people, is to take a cash position for the next few weeks at least and look for future buying points. Most people invested in retirement accounts whom are also still working have little control over their retirement funds which they can't liquidate without quitting their jobs. If there is a market crash or even a big scare, funds could get hit hard and most people would not be able to do anything about it. For now, people would be better advised to put extra money in a safe or under your mattress rather than into a retirement fund. The fund managers are too closely tied to the easy money. And while the Feds keep giving mixed signals about tapering, world powers are realigning, trade patterns are being re-established, the Petro-Dollar is being challenged by the G5-CRIBS (China, Russia, India, Brasil, and South Africa), Japan is staying the course to financial oblivion, the U.S. is approaching the debt ceiling again, we already have more debt than can realistically be paid back, the end of the fiscal year is rapidly approaching, resources are being stockpiled, our military is already deployed all over the world, and preparations seem to have been made for wide-scale civil unrest. It seems to me that buying into an inflated market that is ready to pop and holding on is like standing on a chair, putting a noose around your neck, and reaching for a quarter resting on a ledge that's just a little out of reach, but Good Luck!
    Sep 6 12:16 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Fed Policy Has Devastated 3 Generations Of Retirees [View article]
    Wow! You are so responsible - and well educated on how to dump people into groups to service your ego. Your parents sound very nice. Hopefully, they will continue to be supportive if your 401k gets annihilated, but no worries... I'm sure you have a healthy savings since you're so responsible.
    Sep 6 10:45 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Scary Is Syria? [View article]
    Priorities: 1. Safety, 2. Stability, 3. Comfort.
    When we sacrifice 1 & 2 for 3, we soon lose 1, 2, and 3.
    Addict Logic = Sacrifice the future for short-term comfort.
    Overdose = Game Over.
    Aug 29 11:43 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Scary Is Syria? [View article]
    FYI: I am indeed a Fool. I continually fail to see the obvious. For example, I only recently put together that the SEC's required quarterly reports have a huge impact on investor sentiment. The closer we get to those reports, the more anxiety that we have (FEAR) and so prices fall - bottoming out near the time that reports are released (unless info is released early). Then, once the reports come out, a new sense of HOPE begins and prices begin to rise. Due to the uncertainty of QE, the threat of a government shutdown, and the lack of real growth to substantiate increases in stock values, the anxiety going into the end of this year's fiscal calendar is extremely high. I am predicting that the market mania will continue for perhaps another 10-20 days, but then there will be a crisis. Prices will plummet as we near the end of the fiscal year - October 1st - and this could set off a chain reaction that would necessitate a Major Distraction.

    The funny money banking buddy system can't last forever. Similarly, $17 Trillion dollars cannot and therefore will not be paid back. Syria is the False Flag that will serve as a distraction from the Wall Street mayhem. Add to all of this the growing political nightmare created by the NSA debacle, that banker cronies are facing the possibility of prison, that Japan is on the brink of collapse, that we have strained relations with Russia, China, India, most of the Middle East and many countries in South America, AND that the U.S. military has ALREADY been deployed throughout the world and the logical conclusion is.... Big Red Reset Button.
    Aug 29 11:27 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How Scary Is Syria? [View article]
    Very optimistic outlooks. Why are we destabilizing so much of the region? Warships on top of the water, subs underneath. Spying on the U.N. Disrupted trade patterns. Stockpiling of resources. What is an "event?" Seems more like an extended process over 10+ years. A succession of Multi-Trillion Dollar money laundering events. A set-up through the media nearly identical to past invasions - based on blatant lies. A national debt of $17 Trillion with forecasts of $100 Trillion+ in unfunded liabilities. The rest of the world catching up with western technologies. The growth paradigm in jeopardy. The inability to run a profitable corporation domestically. I see possibilities much more dire than the near consensus opinion stated above that things are just fine.
    Which countries are truly allied? Looks to me that even many world leaders don't know where they will stand should the U.S. become too brazen in its geopolitical maneuverings. I have come to believe that there is a very real possibility that things could get ugly on the world scene. Caution is prudent at this time, I believe. Good luck to you all.
    Aug 28 10:22 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Welcome To The Desert Of The Real [View article]
    Liquidate liquidity
    2-second head start
    Completely Unregulated
    Jul 6 12:45 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Welcome To The Desert Of The Real [View article]
    Hegemonic Leveraging Of Liberty For All With Virtual Capital

    Jul 5 10:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Welcome To The Desert Of The Real [View article]
    Everything down accept cash even though it has been and continues to be printed at ridiculous rates? Mr. Mercenary, what is the true state of the U.S. economy? Where do we find fundamentals, prices, and sentiment triangulating into Capitalist bliss? What boats are passing in the trade routes? What red lines are being drawn by the heavy players and how close to the lines are twitching fingers that linger beside the big red buttons? Remember the 80s? How come nobody worries about the big red buttons any more? And pollution... maybe the earth won't cease to support life in the next few minutes, but it seems like there is real devastation to forests, rivers, reefs, aquifers, atmospheres, and what-not. What's the socio-political enviro-macro?
    Can you describe it in 20 syllables or less?
    Jun 25 08:18 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Markets Ignore Eurozone's Only Choice, And Growth Isn't It [View article]
    Charlie - and others -follow this and then fall back into the comfort of your delusion. To delay is much different than to prevent. Housing bubble created credit boom. Credit is one kind of virtual "currency." Banks filled up with "money." Banks then got liquidated - oops - not enough to cover when the flock came to withdraw. Way less money (I'll stop using quotes) in the marketplace creates potential for hyper-deflation (don't hear that term often), so feds step in. Banks must have money to lend for our economy to function (too big to fail), so the feds decide to bail out the banks - 1st with tax-payer dollars, but they could't do that for long because The People only have so much money - which was (is) not much after losing all their equity in their homes. So... they fill the banks back up with printed money rather than from taxes or real depositors. The money in the banks does not belong to The People. So now it appears that they have enough to start lending again - and we finally have industrial growth (not sure where). But still the money is not going to The People directly - only slowly and indirectly with gradual employment increases. This is the logic of reality. But Mr. Charlie sees a different reality - that's okay because we all have our own reality - right? The stock market is booming, so everything is groovy. Why is it booming? Not going to tell you. Figure it out. Then there's the reality of the rest of the world. To spend domestically is to give an advantage to other nations. This point is a little difficult to grasp. There are currency, equities, and trade wars happening - the feds are more concerned with our international interests than domestic growth because of long-term geopolitical security issues. This is the biggest power grab in the history of the world. Hello, people! Gold gobbling and Peak Oil to trillion-barrel supply overnight? Just regular market conditions, right? All G20 nations are printing and spending - fake money for real assets. Don't you wish you could do that? Charlie... you say that Mr. Logic WANTS a collapse. I think it's you who wants the collapse, because you want to get rich on this stock bubble that is set to blow up in our faces. Good luck to you. I hope you get out on time and get rich while millions (billions?) suffer. The reason our dollar is gaining relative to the yen is because Japan is (was) trying to spend domestically to boost their own economy. In doing so, they played right into our hands. Our dollar gains - their's loses while we buy and dump in (on?) their market. Do you see the game? And China... no more petro-dollar and no more happy business relationship with the not-quite-united States. What else? New trade rules and a reaching out from Congress to try to get other nations to want to trade with us. Good try, but a bit late for all-of-the-sudden wanting to play nice after hundreds of years of stealing resources. Charlie... I don't mean to offend you, but there is some truly scary stuff (I'd use different words, but I don't want my message to get pulled) happening in the world and this stock bubble is a grand illusion. Time to face the change (Thanks, Bowie). Or maybe I'm wrong and the people who have just ripped us off 5 or 6 times in a row for trillions upon trillions of dollars right under our noses are good people with good intentions. So... here's my final, final post (I mean it this time) and my final words... To Charlie and all others out there "seeking alpha." Start working on your war profiteering port-folios. I'm out - all the way out. I'd rather be broke than a fascist.
    Jun 1 12:49 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Markets Ignore Eurozone's Only Choice, And Growth Isn't It [View article]
    Real unemployment is likely over 9% right now and possibly closer to 25%. One major reason why the feds don't want to stop printing is because the unemployment checks will stop going out - and when that happens - it will be much worse than the 70s me thinks.
    Jun 1 11:36 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment