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  • On QE3: Buy Oil And Gas, Sell Obama Re-election Odds [View article]
    An observation in two words:

    You're lost

    A suggestion:

    Huffington Post.
    Sep 1 11:09 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • On QE3: Buy Oil And Gas, Sell Obama Re-election Odds [View article]
    The states requiring voter ID also offer free, or low cost solutions.

    I guess you never heard the joke about voting early and often. My late mother in law was a far left and staunch Democrat for life and head of state elections for at least two decades. SHE wanted to welcome a law like those now proposed as racist local political machines and cliques used fraud for their ends in the day .

    The problem was based in reality but I have no recent info. However, someone with a name like John Fund has a book out on the subject.

    Also, Governor Romney paid a higher tax rate than 95% of the people in this country. I actually get more Republican when I hear of his smooth financial moves. In case you haven't heard, we have a minor economic problem in this country and imitating Europe is not cutting it.

    The real problem for site like Alpha is stopping events like MF Global and PFG Best since both the regulators and the trial lawyers are taking the day off.

    We wouldn't have to worry as much about energy prices if the present administration would stop chasing Unicorn fuel and paying back donors with tax dollars .
    Sep 1 11:03 AM | 21 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Stocks To Rise Next Week, 2 To Fall [View article]
    Nice to have Brian Nichols writing again.

    I wonder what Brian thinks of calls on these and if the iPhone 5 will replace sliced bread.
    Aug 28 10:44 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 3 Stocks To Rise Next Week, 2 To Fall [View article]
    Playing pops? How about calls?

    I talked myself into selling Apple shares. Then I bought Jan 14 calls at about $725.

    It has been awful, I only made 38% in four months.

    I keep making money on Apple and Wal Mart stocks and calls and then I lose it on swing trades and long calls in Walter Energy and MS. If CHK would help, I would be a wise investor with some money left.

    Most of them are broke.
    Aug 28 10:42 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Harvest Your Apples, Winter Is Coming [View article]
    This high price scares many.

    It has been scary for years. I only wish I had avoided the experts and tipsters as they are nuts and will drive everyone else there, too.

    How about dumping AAPL and getting a ton of RIMM and HP? Their RSI's look very good, indeed. The we have solar companies to get in on the ground floor....
    Aug 28 04:59 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Steve Jobs Vindicated, Google Next Target [View article]
    Great opinion, jonrice80. Comments generating heat and not much light are part of human nature. I would like more analysis since I can't get enough elsewhere or do it myself.

    Now, on your minimizing this victory...first, it can be treble damages. Now, THREE to NINE billion does not seem like much to billionaires writing on Alpha.

    And maybe the billions are nothing to anyone without a big stake in Samsung. But using your numbers..take a quarter or more of any tech's firm's income and miss earnings. Oh Boy!

    If that does not make the point take a quarter or more of your annual income and pay it to a business competitor (ouch) or even just a charity.

    Moreover, losing a patent case is very bad and you can't measure it in merely the dollars or yuan lost. They have to do things differently. Without knowing the most intricate details of their operation, it is impossible to chart the eventual impact.

    Finally, your planning horizon holds that Sept. 21st is far off?

    Aside from payday loan operations and fashion designers, a month is nothing for retooling your product mix.

    I can't imagine anyone buying Samsung at the pre-verdict prices with that hanging over the firm.
    Aug 27 06:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Chesapeake Energy Flounders [View article]
    You have the courage of your convictions and are an example as to why I like ALPHA. Even when people get ripped here, the opinions seem a closer look at the investment than I get from the media.

    You have my gratitude.

    I already hold some 30 or 50 calls at 70 cents or $1. That is a lot of stock for the money.

    But CHK is looking a lot like a $18 to $22 stock for the next 12 months although all stocks look that way to me even with the lame QE3 which is probably coming.

    A good price from a sale item by CHK or Iran getting bombed may change all that drastically.
    Aug 26 01:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Steve Jobs Vindicated, Google Next Target [View article]
    Funny. I have been long AAPL but had an tech expert tell me to sell about three weeks ago. This was the fourth time he expressed that strategy but it was the strongest remark, yet.

    Our friend from "Mad Money" was suggesting taking some profits as the price was near a record high days ago.

    AAPL is big money and it does not seem fair. We kill ourselves chasing after the latest and the best in this country and devil take the hindmost. We respect innovators and inventors from the klutz gadgeteer to the fabricator to the inventor. They pay any price to climb the hill. See the films "Father of Invention" and "Flash of Genius" on some mythic but somewhat real expositions on what those guys go through. "Flash" was based on a real story.

    The guy in this thread who ridicules patents in the US should check and see who the best innovators on this planet are and where they work.

    Silly patents, sure. But we also have AAPL and IBM and about 200,000 other inventors with high profits and who are not playing paper games.

    I am long patents since I own several and am now working on a way to make injections painless. I don't risk money and live on stress adrenaline for the medals they used to give in the USSR or even the gold pins which some Asian firms award.

    Upholding patents pays.
    Aug 25 06:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Chesapeake's Asset Sales Are Offsetting Declining Operating Income [View article]
    Harry, I am not involved in the trusts. I can give you my answer but the better source is CHK investor relations lady or a SH meeting. They are careful about statements but can direct you. The staff helped me twice. Very nice people.
    Aug 21 12:12 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Chesapeake's Asset Sales Are Offsetting Declining Operating Income [View article]
    Tedious beats wrong. I hold some $23 and $25 Jan options which an innovative Turk I know claims I will make a KILLING on. I always trusted CHK not to be an Enron but a (breaking from the crowd) strong long position has been a real leap of faith.

    I will take this back if his projections work and CHK hits $22 plus before the election in November.

    It should be noted that the guy has given me pure gold in the past.

    I should ask him to write for Alfa.
    Aug 21 11:02 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • PFGBest Customers Get Offers From 20% To 25% [View article]
    As if the normal stock or options broker isn't enough of a reptile, we have snakes and fools like this. It was bad enough that we had systemic failure in 2008 beginning with some clown's idea that poor people could get huge loans for assets that required maintenance and become rich people.

    MF Global has had nobody go to jail. Why? Campaign contributions and a former governor running the circus.

    AZDane, I hear that they are crucifying people in Egypt, it is an election year and you hear...crickets.
    Aug 21 10:43 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Chesapeake Energy Flounders [View article]
    $64,000 question:

    What are the chances that the Jan 21 Calls at $23 and $25 will make money?

    I have plotted it out going both ways.

    Yet I will probably be wrong.
    Aug 20 10:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Kicking The Can Down The Cliff [View article]
    A couple of decades ago, a coworker said her life was like a soap opera. I said mine resembled a cartoon.

    Later, I was able to identify the cartoon. Life has reminded me of a Simpsons episode since 2008.

    Venal people, big risks, large losses and gains, then a lot of fast action ran across the screen. Finally, simple concepts such as common sense and loving your neighbor ended up being the best course. Because at the end of the day, the day ends.

    Who would have thought that Facebook and CHK would be almost in price parity?

    AAPL will probably go to $1,500 eventually since the product is the new telephone, television, telepath and best friend. Dashboards of everything from new VW's to Cadillacs have screens for their drivers which have only a tangental relationship to operating the vehicle.

    But where will Yahoo go? And will Pandora follow?
    Aug 18 11:06 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Chesapeake Energy Flounders [View article]
    We need a new deep water port in Delaware. And a pipeline to ship out nat gas and oil.

    I saw a study for it. But I am not holding my breath.
    Aug 17 08:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Chesapeake Energy Flounders [View article]
    The saving factor is that most investors don't understand those concepts and operations, either.

    For the near term there is this:

    Commerzbank’s analysts were out this morning with a caution for gas bulls. Namely, gas production starts to become profitable again at current prices. That creates what amounts to a price ceiling:

    The strong increase in speculative net long positions in recent weeks shows that the price climb to more than $3 per mmBtu has also been driven in part by speculative investors (chart 18, page 6). Because natural gas production becomes more profitable again at the current price level and gas-based electricity generation becomes less competitive, the recovery in prices is unlikely to continue. US gas prices should only adjust to the international levels when new markets have opened up to US producers.
    Aug 15 05:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment