Editor for The Biotech Forum (www.biotechforumsa.com), the #2 subscribed to Marketplace investment service offered through SeekingAlpha. Top 5% ranked analyst (TipRanks) 2013 through first half of 2015. Daily contributor for Real Money Pro. Hedge fund manager from 2008 to 2011. Previously technology executive at Fortune 100 firm for a decade. For Free weekly investment reports on small, attractive biotech stocks just register at www.bretjenseninvests.com
I run two services, Free CoT Data and Simple Stock Model. Free CoT Data reveals how different types of traders are positioned in the futures markets. Simple Stock Model aggregates financial and economic data so that investors can easily form a comprehensive data-based outlook on the S&P.
As the founder and CEO of Freedom Capital Advisors, Ron McCoy has been in the financial markets as an independent advisor for over 25 years. He has a tremendous understanding of the markets and uses both technical and fundamental analysis to assist his clients in achieving their goals. One of the major themes in his investment strategy is a very thorough understanding of risk vs reward and how it affects investment decisions. We specialize in selling options including but not limited to covered calls(buywrites) and naked and covered puts. We are value minded and would consider most of our investments on the conservative side. We do however, run a family investment fund that utilizes margin and selling puts and covered calls calls, the LOWS strategy. You can invest alongside us thru Covestor. If interested, click HERE for more information.
Market Anthropology is an independent journal of financial market research, produced and edited by Erik Swarts. The work provides a unique and novel perspective on global capital markets -- including equities, commodities, currencies, and yields. A wide ranging composite read of both quantitative insights, the journal offers intuitive market research and timely commentary.
Long term buyer and holder of silver. I still have silver from when it used to be the actual US money- when it had intrinsic value. I plan to hold it and hopefully accumulate more. Began investing and charting on paper in the late 1980's (hey, a computer cost $5000 then). On Gold: it's not that I am such a die-hard gold bug, it's more that I'm a big government and Federal Reserve pessimist and realist. The 10 cent candy bars I used to buy after school in 1961 when I was 10 now cost about $1.50. I have lived through the 90% decline of the Dollar. Thank you Federal Reserve.
Michael Pettis is a professor at Peking University's Guanghua School of Management, where he specializes in Chinese financial markets. He has also taught, from 2002 to 2004, at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management and, from 1992 to 2001, at Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business.
Pettis has worked on Wall Street in trading, capital markets, and corporate finance since 1987, when he joined the Sovereign Debt trading team at Manufacturers Hanover (now JP Morgan). Most recently, from 1996 to 2001, Pettis worked at Bear Stearns, where he was Managing Director-Principal heading the Latin American Capital Markets and the Liability Management groups.
Visit: China Financial Markets (http://www.mpettis.com)
Financial Analyst for Mutual Fund Investor Guide; currently living in Beijing, China. Previously worked as a financial analyst for for Fidelity Independent Adviser, Dion Money Management. Articles written have appeared on CNBC.com, Yahoo Finance, theStreet.com and Seeking Alpha.
Back in the deep forests of the southern Adirondacks after a six month, 9000 miles bicycle tour. When was the last time YOU went on a six month vacation that cost you about $100 a week. Most of that was for food; and I STILL MANAGED to trim down to 175lbs.Healthy and happy here, ready to get back to the market and writing for SA.
Now you know how I can live on an income most of you call pocket change. Put me in the bottom 1% of Seeking Alpha readers and most certainly contributors. Nothing like hanging out with loggers to cut expenses.
What a great way to avoid the carping on Wall Street. If I read another article about how the market is in a bubble, I shall pull out my hair...which is difficult because I have a shaved head.
Seriously though, I am a tried, true, and original Investment Biker. I've already toured in Europe, Asia, North and South America (see my website below) so I have about 200,000 cycling miles under my belt. It's been a while since I've done a long tour so starting this spring of 2015 I'm hittin' the road with my 28 speed Fuji Touring bike and riding for as long as I want. (Sorry about the Jap bike for all you Harley guys). Think about it...since I usually 'wild camp' in the forests for nothing, my only real expenses are food and some routine maintenance. I cover those expenses by using the monthly options cycle to generate income from calls, puts, or spreads of various sorts. So while you Seeking Alpha trendies are sitting in front of your screens all day, I'll be out riding in the Sierra, the Cascades, the Rockies, the Appalachians, the Catskills, the Adirondacks, the Green and White Mountains...and thats just this summer!
All i need to keep an eye on the markets are a small Grundig AM/FM/Shortwave radio (go to hell you Sirius guys!) and a Netbook for trading and fun when I can get internet access...which last time I looked was everywhere.
Enjoy the bull market which started in Summer of 2009 and should run for a few more years. Ignore these 'stuck in a rut guys' and Obamanazis. Between lower energy prices from natural gas frackomania, lower medical costs and longer lifespans from bioengineering marvels just coming down the pike, and the eventual collapse of slave labor kleptocracies like China (and Chicago), the outlook for stocks and capitalism is as strong as its ever been.
When not cycling I am a self employed stock trader and military/political analyst. Live in the US now, lived throughout Asia (Korea, Japan, Russia, Pakistan, India, SE asia) in the 1990s and early 2000s. Statistics and forecasting, using market based socioeconomic data, are my specialty. Sometimes I am an adjunct college professor, teaching statistics, some finance courses, and earth/environmental science classes online.
I'll try to submit SA articles from time to time but I enjoy READING the wisdom of many of you writers (thanks to many of you!). Maybe I can visit some of you along the way.
Richard Cox is a university teacher in international trade and finance. Lecture halls of 80 to 120 students. Lessons in macroeconomics and price behavior in equity markets. Investing strategies are based on technical and fundamental analysis of all major asset classes (stock benchmarks, commodities, currencies). Trade ideas are based on time horizons of 1-6 months. Twitter: @rcox_
Price Headley was inducted into the Traders' Hall of Fame in 2007 and is the founder of BigTrends.com, which provides investors with specific real-time stock and options strategies and investment education to profit from significant market trends. Price appears regularly on CNBC, Fox News, and in a variety of major financial news outlets. Timer Digest recognized the success of BigTrends.com's investment strategies by ranking Price among the Top 10 Market Timers for stock market timing.
I only look at stocks that have the possibility to double over a twelve month period and stocks in which the risk/reward ratio payout is high. In addition I focus on swing trade opportunities.
I focus more on valuations and risk/reward metrics as opposed to what make companies tick.
I have been a professional investor for over 20 years and during the past several years an economics analyst and financial writer for capital.gr, the biggest economic news portal in Greece.
I have managed money from time to time and have also done some seed venture capital projects in the past.
The Pendulum blog is an ongoing discussion of portfolio positions, investment ideas and market trends. As an investor I try to use my independence, flexibility and speed to my advantage.
I write three types of articles: (i) stock-specific articles, (ii) analysis of earnings estimates and (iii) overviews of the market that examine different asset classes. I hope you find them interesting and feel free to comment on the articles; I like the feedback. Thanks for reading!
I started thinking about stock prices in terms of a pendulum after reading Howard Marks' investor letters. Marks is the most perceptive investor about the role of investor psychology in the stock market and industry cycles. I always try to incorporate "pendulum thinking" in my analysis, meaning that it is important to think about the intrinsic value of a company as well as how investor psychology is going to drive the stock price to overshoot and undershoot that value.
I am a generalist. I am not an expert in any one sector or asset class. I have found that there is value in listening to generalists as well as experts, but it is important to be able to distinguish between the two. As a generalist, I try to add value by thinking about the relationships between things and comparing various parts of the market. Generalists can be helpful in avoiding tunnel vision and, hopefully, adding some common sense.
I like to establish a long term outlook for a company and then invest using shorter timeframes. I may be bullish on a stock and still sell it if I think it went up too much or if have concerns about the overall market. I don't mind moving to the sidelines and getting back in at a later point and I sometimes prefer to sell before earnings to reduce risk. I may invest in the opposite direction of my long term view if I think the market over-reacted one way or another. I like to hold positions for the long term, but I use stops to cut my losses. There is a difference between a good company and a good stock. Everybody has a different investing style, experience, tax status, risk tolerance, comfort range, etc., so please note that nothing that I write should be used as investment advice.
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed here should not be construed as investment advice. This is not tailored to specific investment objectives. Reliance on this information for the purpose of buying the securities to which this information relates may expose a person to significant risk. The information contained in this article is not intended to make any offer, inducement, invitation or commitment to purchase, subscribe to, provide or sell any securities, service or product or to provide any recommendations on which one should rely for financial, securities, investment or other advice or to take any decision. Readers are encouraged to seek individual advice from their personal, financial, legal and other advisers before making any investment or financial decisions or purchasing any financial, securities or investment related service or product.
Information provided, whether charts or any other statements regarding market, real estate or other financial information, is obtained from sources which we and our suppliers believe reliable, but we do not warrant or guarantee the timeliness or accuracy of this information. Nothing in this article should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are an indication of future performance.
THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED AS TO ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION IN THIS ARTICLE OR ANY LINKED WEBSITE.
Peter Way Associates is the only known provider of the price range forecasts of widely-held, actively traded stocks derived from the hedging activities of market-making [MM] firms as they balance big-$-fund sellers and buyers in large block trades. The price ranges offer explicit downside exposure forecasts not commonly found in publicly published investment analyses.
This is all forward-looking data, based on what the MMs will pay for protection against coming unwanted price change while temporarily committed firm capital is exposed to market risks. It is available by modest subscription cost at blockdesk.com.
The behavioral analysis involved has been performed daily since Y2K, now on over 3,000 stocks, ETFs, and market indexes. That has built an actuarial history of how market prices have subsequently behaved following several million price range forecasts, issue by issue.
That data provides a qualitative backdrop to current forecasts in terms of odds of profitable positions, size of prospective gains, credibility of forecasts, and worst-case price drawdown exposure experiences.
Peter F. Way is a veteran Chartered Financial Analyst, having taken and passed the CFA Institute’s required 3 examinations in the first years they were given, 40+ years ago.
Armed with BS in Economics from the Wharton School and an MBA degree from Harvard Business School, he has managed staffs of dozens of Investment Researchers and Quantitative Analysts for the nation’s largest bank, arbitraged index options for NYSE Specialists, and managed portfolios of hundred-million-dollar equity investments for Fortune 100 corporate pension funds and non-profit endowments.
He has been elected President of professional Investment Analyst Societies in San Diego and New York City and has served on the editorial boards of the Financial Analysts Journal and the CFA Digest. He has spoken at numerous schools and professional meetings.
We are a team of economics professors in the NY area with a passion for financial markets.
In our blog "BubbleBustInvesting.com", we write about individual stocks as well as macroeconomics events. We believe that most of the returns in financial markets can be made during the blow and bust of financial bubbles, provided that investors learn how to spot them ahead of the crowd and place their bets accordingly.
Make sure that you visit our blog at http://bubblebustinvesting.blogspot.com/.
Dr. Ahanotu is a graduate of Stanford University with over twenty years of experience doing analytic modeling, executing pricing strategies through price optimization, and implementing, developing, and selling enterprise software. He adds to this industry experience another five overlapping years of research in knowledge management and organizational learning. Duru Ahanotu, Ph.D. founded Ahan Analytics, LLC to deliver sustainable, data-driven approaches for improving business performance. He recognizes the unique challenges companies face in leveraging their data to increase revenues, become more efficient, and drive profitability.
Before launching Ahan Analytics, LLC, Dr. Ahanotu was last a Sales Consultant in the Advertiser and Publisher Solutions (APS) group within Microsoft Advertising. In this capacity, he provided product knowledge, functional expertise, and technical support to APS account executives who sold APS’s suite of media monetization products. He led product demonstrations and increased the productivity of the sales team by training and certifying employees on the use and demonstration of the software. Dr. Ahanotu took on this role after Microsoft acquired his former employer Rapt, Inc. Rapt provided software solutions for maximizing revenue and yield for online media publishers.
With Rapt, Dr. Ahanotu last served as an Engagement Manager for a software implementation for a $100 million on-line publisher with a rapidly growing business. With his project team, Dr. Ahanotu created and coordinated novel approaches to inventory forecasting, structuring of product hierarchies, and ETL across software systems for order management, advertising delivery, and Rapt’s software. He also generated a step-by-step methodology for interpreting and using the results of price optimization.
As a Solutions Architect, Dr. Ahanotu served as the lead Solutions Consultant on client engagements and provided technical assistance and guidance to Solutions Consultants on other projects. Dr. Ahanotu designed and implemented price optimization solutions, demonstrating expertise in mathematical modeling, pricing, data analysis, SQL, and relational data models. He led discussions with customers and internal teams to improve implementation processes and product design.
Dr. Ahanotu held oversight responsibility for the analytic modeling for two projects using Price Director, Rapt’s price optimization software. Each project supported pricing decisions in Fortune 50 businesses: one business was a leading online media publisher, and the other was a rapidly growing technology company in a low margin business. Dr. Ahanotu helped the latter client integrate Price Director into pricing workflow. As part of this first-ever client implementation of Price Director, he worked closely with Product Management, Analytic Development, and Software Engineering to ensure that early-stage product functionality met client needs.
Dr. Ahanotu contributed several new methodologies for implementing Price Director analytics and conceptual frameworks for training clients on these analytics. He is a contributor on a related Rapt patent: “Method and System for Producing Optimized Prices for Products for Sale.” Dr. Ahanotu presented a white paper on the pricing of New Product Introductions at the 2006 INFORMS Annual Meeting. The Professional Pricing Society published this paper in The Journal of Professional Pricing (Vol. 16, No. 1, First Quarter 2007) as “Pricing New Products: Turning Portfolio Uncertainty Into Profits.”
Prior to Rapt, Dr. Ahanotu was a consultant with Integral, Inc, a small strategic management consulting firm. During his three-year tenure, he consulted on product development and technology strategy focused on high tech and pharmaceutical companies. Prior to Integral, he developed mathematical programming algorithms for managing and optimizing “Y2K” projects as an independent contractor. Prior to this work, he implemented expert systems for diagnosing and troubleshooting automotive and semiconductor manufacturing equipment as a Business Solutions Project Manager and Consultant for Expert Edge, Inc.
Dr. Ahanotu earned a Master’s and Ph.D. in Engineering-Economic Systems (1999), a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering, and Honors in Values, Technology, Science, and Society (1991) - all at Stanford University.
Follow me and my trades on Twitter @Keddie
Long time private investor of Stocks and Options. I have been trading Stocks for 14 years and Options for 12+ years. I am extremely creative when it comes to my trades and I almost always attempt to keep things leveraged. The one thing I've learned is an investor should always be hedged and never be "Naked" in your trades.
Author of Quantitative Investing, the Global Household Index service and the free weekly Market Timing Signals. Investor looking for profitability in combinations of value and quality factors, closed-end funds selection, tactical asset allocation and volatility trading. To get information on my various model portfolios in stocks, ETFs and CEFs, click the link "send message".
PhD, Software Engineer, Civil Engineer, 20+ years working in various sectors and countries.
Avi Gilburt is a lawyer and accountant by training. He formerly was a partner and National Director at a national firm.
Mr. Gilburt is also the Managing Member of Gilburt Financial Services, LLC, which provides:
- Financial market analysis to the public through ElliottWaveTrader.net;
- Elliott Wave market analysis to institutional clients;
- Specific stock analysis to retail clients; and
- Webinars and personal coaching on Elliott Wave analysis.
He is also the Managing Member of the of the consulting firm of Gilburt & Associates, LLC, which specializes in transaction structuring and tax services.
Up until a century ago, there appears to have been a fairly equal emphasis on economic theory and observation. Although the interest in economics has probably always been a consequence of the need of the state to acquire resources, we are now at the point where the discipline of economics is both completely at the service of ideological camps and completely convinced of its own objectivity and scientific underpinnings.
I have taken an interest in markets since 2008, after which my already scant regard for conventional wisdom in the modern social sciences plunged even further. I try to understand historical price behavior and see what it says about present market conditions.
M. Kevin Flynn has held the Chartered Financial Analyst designation since 1992. He is the President of Avalon Asset Management Company, a Registered Investment Adviser, and has worked in the investment industry since 1983.
Avalon's MarketWeek, a weekly newsletter written by Mr. Flynn and covering the stock market, economy and individual stocks has been published continuously since April 2007. For subscription information please send an email to email@example.com
Dr. Feldman is the founder of Behavioral Finance Investment Advisors. Dr. Feldman is also an associate professor of finance at San Francisco State University. Dr. Feldman has published scholarly journals in the area of behavioral finance and agent-based modeling in various leading finance and economic journals.
Erik is the senior market technician for Prometheus Market Insight and has been performing chart analysis since 1995. The software program that he developed to monitor long-term stock market trends has correctly identified 92% of the cyclical turning points in the S&P 500 index since 1940. His Gold Currency Index has predicted every major trend change in the US gold market since its creation in 2005.
David White is a software/firmware/marketing professional and a long time investor. He has worked in the networking field, the semiconductor equipment field, the mainframe computer field, and the pharmaceutical/scientific instrumentation field. He has bachelor's degrees in bioresource sciences and biochemistry from U.C. Berkeley. He is a former Ph.D. student in biochemistry. He has done significant graduate work in EECS and business at Stanford (through SITN) and UC Santa Cruz. He was awarded a Certificate in Advanced Software Systems (about 1/3 of an MS in EECS) by the Stanford Computer Science Department. He also took most of Stanford's undergraduate Computer Science curriculum.
Ananthan Thangavel is the Managing Director of Lakshmi Capital and Lead Writer for the RealFinance Commodity Analyst Newsletter. He is particularly proud of producing a return 35.01% annualized since inception (through 12/31/11) for his Lakshmi Capital Global Macro ARS clients (www.lakshmi-capital.com/performance).
Mr. Thangavel is frequently interviewed by major media outlets including Forbes and Fox Business. He called the exact top of the silver market in an interview with Bob Lenzner of Forbes (http://www.forbes.com/sites/robertlenzner/2011/04/25/gold-and-silver-due-for-a-10-correction/) and also called gold's collapse in September 2011 (http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/1156274321001/bearish-outlook-for-gold-prices).
Mr. Thangavel authors The Commodity Analyst, a newsletter service that provides weekly in-depth commodity and currency research and trading recommendations as well as daily blog updates to remind investors what to keep any eye out for (www.realfinancenewsletter.com). Ananthan welcomes collaboration and interaction in his Members Forum, a discussion board that allows for direct interaction with Ananthan.
Ananthan Thangavel holds a B.S. in Economics from Northwestern University, and a J.D. from UCLA School of Law.
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
Stephen L. Weiss is an active investor, markets expert, public speaker and author. His most recent book is a novel called UNHEDGED (see below). He has also authored two well received investment books: The Big Win: Learning from the Legends to Become a more Successful Investor (Wiley, 2012) and The Billion Dollar Mistake: Learning the Art of Investing Through the Missteps of Legendary Investors (Wiley, 2010) which has been translated into two Chinese dialects, Vietnamese, Korean and Japanese. A 25 year veteran of Wall Street, he has held senior management positions at Salomon Brothers, SAC Capital and Lehman Brothers, where he built Wall Street's #1 ranked sales force, in addition to co-founding a hedge fund. Weiss is a CNBC Contributor with a regular role on Fast Money Halftime Report. He also frequently appears on The Kudlow Report.
Weiss maintains strong relationships with some of the industry's most highly regarded investment managers. During his tenure in sales, he was responsible for developing investment ideas for Soros Funds, Tiger Management, SAC Capital, where he subsequently worked, Omega Advisors, KIngdon Capital as well as many mutual funds.
Please visit: www.stephenlweiss.com.
The stock market is an incredibly interesting and dynamic puzzle that continues to draw me in like a game of chess where every few moves your opponent changes and parts of the board are obscured.
The investment models I design are typically used by family offices, hedge funds, brokerages and single investors. If you are interested in developing a certain model and want to throw a few ideas around, you are most welcome to contact me without feeling pressure or obligation.
My other passion is volunteering with the deaf. My wife and I moved to Malawi Africa from 2014 to 2016 where we learned Malawi Sign Language.
Jeff is the President of NewArc Investments Inc., manager of both individual and institutional investments. Jeff is a registered investment advisor, and portfolio manager for NewArc's investment programs. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative modeling helped inform state and local officials in Wisconsin for more than a decade. A Public Policy analyst, he taught advanced research methods at the University of Wisconsin, and analyzed many issues related to state tax policy. Jeff began in the financial business as Research Director for trading firm at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and developed new forecasting techniques. In 1991 he established a general research consultancy, working with professional traders at all of the Chicago financial exchanges. In 1998 he started NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff has a commitment to the specific needs of individual investors. It is not a one-size-fits all approach, but one that emphasizes the unique circumstances of each client. Jeff also serves on the board of two small technology companies (currently Chairman at one). He is occasionally as an expert witness in legal cases involving financial markets and hedging.
I possess 10+ years of trading and investing experience, with a focus on precious metals, currency, energy, and technology markets. My decisions are based on market cycles, valuation metrics, technical analysis, and industry-specific trends and technologies. I typically hold positions for several years.
I also run InformedTrades.com, a site dedicated to helping individuals learn to trade the world's financial markets.
I am the founder and editor of Investment Directions. My career has been managing and consulting to multi-billion dollar funds. Using the widely accepted “multi-manager” approach, I have worked with top investment managers throughout the country, gaining a high level of expertise.
My career has spanned many market environments, and I have hands-on experience searching out opportunities and avoiding risks in all of them. I now devote my time to Investment Directions, with the goal of helping investors further their understanding and improve their investing skills.
I am currently serving on: The AAUW Investment Advisers Committee and The City of Vista Investment Advisory Committee.
After having been in the investing world for more than 25 years from private banking and investment management to private and venture capital; I have pretty much "been there and done that" at one point or another. I am currently a silent partner for an RIA in Houston, Texas.
The majority of my time is spent analyzing, researching and writing commentary about investing, investor psychology and macro-views of the markets and the economy. My thoughts are not generally mainstream and are often contrarian in nature but I try an use a common sense approach, clear explanations and my “real world” experience in the process.
I am the Chief Editor of the REAL INVESTMENT REPORT, a weekly subscriber based-newsletter that is distributed nationwide. The newsletter covers economic, political and market topics as they relate to your money and life.
I also write a daily blog which is read by thousands nationwide from individuals to professionals at www.realinvestmentadvice.com.