Joseph has been an analyst, investor, and student of economic theory; money and banking; and statistical methods for evaluating and implementing risk/reward trading algorithms since 1972. Joseph is also an occasional contributor to financial publications and his essays are frequently cited by other financial websites and publications.
Since the end of the Great Recession, Joseph came to recognize that traditional methodologies for forecasting economic growth and investment asset pricing are no longer of value, and a broader understanding of the post Glass Steagall, financially engineered world that has driven markets and economies since the turn of the century is required today.
He has a good grasp of Shadow Banking, High Frequency Trading, and Dark Pools, and their impact on today’s markets. He has also spent considerable time understanding the new global paradigm of central bank involvement in experimental policy designed to better control economies.
Joseph doesn’t subscribe to a specific school of theory on economics. Rather, his thinking is based on a combination of the Classical School, the Austrian School, and the Keynesian School. He even sees the writings of Karl Marx as particularly instructive.
Joseph is particularly fond of the following quote from Albert Einstein and sees his own work as driven by that same passionate curiosity that Einstein refers to:
“I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious.”
Coming in a close second in terms of favorite quotes that express his views, Joseph embraces Lord Acton’s views expressed here:
“The danger is not that a particular class is unfit to govern.
Every class is unfit to govern."
I run a model fund at Ken Kam's Marketocracy, where they do capital management using the best member mutual fund track records with extensive tabulations of alpha, beta, R-squared, and many other fund management evaluations. Marketocracy Capital Management offers SMA (Separately Managed Accounts) through FOLIOfn Institutional ($100,000 minimum accounts) set up to track the top 15 or so long-term track records (many 12 years plus) of the 30000 or so active members that run models at their site. My fund is one of those top models available for SMAs. My SMA investment fund now has a first year performance with double digit alpha. You can see the fund's performance chart at marketocracy.com (the Turtle Fund - symbol BPMF) and there is one in my profile over at TalkMarkets.
My fund methodology is high diversification, usually running around 40-60 stocks from many different sectors. I rarely weight any position much over 5%. I began at Marketocracy developing an analysis method I've labeled The Fractal Base Flow Model. I've been experimenting with variations of my basic methodology with 4 other funds and a 5th where I try new things. With my first and main model fund BPMF (Bruce Pile's Mutual Fund) I did my basic method for the first 7 years or so with an alpha over 30, then strayed a little into other analysis methods that did not work as well. For the SMA, I am using the methods proven to work well.
Marketocracy is a new way of investing that solves a lot of the problems in the industry today. When investors nowadays survey their options, they are perplexed by the mish mash of risk and fees. In mutual funds, you have regulated safety where managers must diversify with less than 10% of your money in any one name in the top of your weightings scheme, making for at least around 20 stocks at any one time. The SEC also prohibits the risk of leverage and investing in dangerous derivatives, etc. But this safety is typically viewed as a tradeoff with performance vs hedge funds, where all the dangerous stuff is allowed. But the sad result of all this danger is that most hedge funds fail. The average life of a hedge fund that makes it past the first year is just 5 years. More than two thirds of all hedge funds that ever existed are now dead. There is the fund of funds option, but the high turnover means that even they must select an all new portfolio of funds about every 5 years. This makes selecting proven long-term performers virtually impossible. A fund of hedge funds will typically not only charge the high hedge fund fees of 1%-4% management fee plus 15%-25% of your returns, but will also charge fees for running the fund of funds. They pile complication upon complication and charge you for it. "Oh, and the hedge fund industry as a whole hasn’t produced alpha/added value to simple portfolios for years, since its assets under management ballooned." [FTalphaville] With typical leverage, that has grown over 15 years from around 20% to over 40% now, you get 40%more risk than mutual fund rules with no significant added performance, just more costs. And because that added leverage risk is so often concentrated in the same areas by all the large funds, inducing systemic risk, when those bets go wrong they can go very wrong. With all the above, an investor must live with the risk of having just one fund manager, or picker of rotating funds in a fund of funds. Imagine a place where you could go to sign up for an account where you could review track records and styles and risk levels of not just one guy, but up to 15 or so, and check on your account signup form how you want to spread your money among these guys. And imagine that all these managers have had to compile top ranked hedge fund performance levels for up to 15 years under the safety level of SEC rules for mutual funds. And imagine you could get all this at roughly cost of a mutual fund. It would be like opening an account and checking the names of Peter Lynch, Warren Buffett, and all your favorite hedge fund managers to gang tackle your investment objectives. And as in any team sport, if one guy hits a cold streak, the others will carry him. No dependence on one manager. Well there is such a place - Marketocracy Capital Management. Here, thousands of people from all walks of life, from retired and active fund managers to ordinary individual investors, compete online with virtual funds. If your track record qualifies, you can open a GIPS account for real money tracking of your model fund and have client accounts track your model. My fund is one of those, ticker BPMF. FOLIOfn Institutional can open a client SMA where you can pick and choose from the best of the best long-term performers. To look into this: Phone: 1-877-462-4180 email: firstname.lastname@example.org web: marketocracy.com
Ron Hera, founder of Hera Research, LLC, and the principal author of the Hera Research Newsletter holds a master's degree from Stanford University and is a member of Mensa and of the Ludwig von Mises Institute. A native Californian, Ron is a self described "escapee" from Silicon Valley. Originally a serial entrepreneur and private investor in communications software and mobile technology, Ron turned his attention to investing in hard assets after the dot-com bubble and stock market crash of 2000. When he is not consulting for investors and resource companies, Ron writes articles and focuses on special research projects. Ron's articles have appeared on GoldSeek.com, King World News and in other professional investment venues.
Editor for The Biotech Forum (www.biotechforumsa.com), the #2 subscribed to Marketplace investment service offered through SeekingAlpha. Top 5% ranked analyst (TipRanks) 2013 through first half of 2015. Daily contributor for Real Money Pro. Hedge fund manager from 2008 to 2011. Previously technology executive at Fortune 100 firm for a decade. For Free weekly investment reports on small, attractive biotech stocks just register at www.bretjenseninvests.com
Caiman Valores is a Colombian based investment consultancy operated by Matt Smith who has over a decade of experience in investment management. He speaks Spanish, has travelled extensively through South America and now lives in Medellin Colombia.
Matthew takes a fundamental approach to investing applying bottom-up analysis coupled with a macro overlay.
He earned a Master of Business Law from the University of Sydney as well as a Master of Arts in International Relations and a Bachelor Degree in Political Science and Economics from the University of New South Wales.
Please feel free to contact him if you have questions regarding investments, writing, or speaking opportunities via email at email@example.com.
Paul Nathan has passionately written in support of a free marketplace and real money for over forty years.
Since 2008 Paul has been a contributing commentator for Kitco and writes a candid, real-time, Market Update for subscribing traders investors.
In 2011 John Wiley & Sons published The New Gold Standard, Paul Nathan’s definitive work on the gold standard past and present.
Paul called the end of the bull market for gold in 1980, the beginning of the 25 year tech revolution and bull market in 1982, went “All In” on gold and gold stocks in 2001, and alerted his readers to short the DOW at 14000 in July of 2007. 2008 and 2009, catastrophic years for most traders, were two of the best years in his trading career.
He went all cash in 2011, calling the top of the bull market in gold, and recently in December of 2015, predicted the end of the downturn and the beginning of a new move higher in gold and commodities.
See "commentaries" @ paulnathan.biz.
I was trained as a lawyer and practiced in the fields of corporate law and bank regulation in large U.S. firms for 20 years, then decided to do other things. My career has included banking and being an entrepreneur. For seven years I was CEO of a high-tech sports business. I have retired from active business and spend full-time writing, mostly on economic subjects.
My books include:
High Rollers: Inside the S&L Debacle (1991)
Debt Spiral: How Credit Failed Capitalism (2009)
Practical Handbook for Bank Directors (1995), second edition due 2012
Corporate Governance for Public Company Directors (2003)
Gary Tanashian is proprietor of NFTRH.com and Biiwii.com. Actionable, hype-free technical, macro economic and sentiment analysis is provided in the premium market report 'Notes From the Rabbit Hole' (http://nftrh.com/nftrh-premium/). Complimentary analysis and commentary is available at the public site (http://nftrh.com), at http://biiwii.com and by email with our free - and spam free - eLetter service (http://nftrh.com/free-eletter/).
Peter "Pej" Hamidi is a well known trader on Wall Street and Founder of InvestmentCapitalist.com. He is presently a Quantitative Proprietary Trader running a global macro portfolio. By presenting a unique global macro perspective of financial markets, technology and the geo-political landscape affecting market movements, the site is visited on a daily basis by some of the most respected fund managers around the world. Investment Capitalist also helps readers understand how the tape can be used to recognize automated market making algorithms that may be vulnerable to coordinated attacks from hedge funds or when the algo's themselves are about to wreak havoc on the markets. If you're still leaving elephant tracks because you use market orders to unwind or put on positions, then you've got a big target painted on your back that says "I'm lazy".
Investment Capitalist's founder, Peter (Pej) Hamidi has refined these skills over 19 years as a professional trader, starting at 17 when he became the youngest person in the history of FINRA to obtain his Series 7 license on his 1st attempt. A common mantra drilled into every trader is "mastering your trading platform like Hendrix, Gilmore or Stevie Ray mastered their guitars is a prerequisite to success". In a world where milliseconds make the difference between success and failure, where even the slightest edge is crucial, if you're still using a few hot key combinations for all of your trading, the concept of "predatory algorithms" has still not become clear to you. Lazy traders are so frustrated by predatory algorithms disguised as automated market makers that they take it out on their keyboards or workstations.
InvestmentCapitalist.com has rapidly become the focal point of thousands of Institutional and Buy-Side Traders looking for real color that moves markets. If you've wanted to learn how one develops and trades a global macro theme properly, Investment Capitalist puts a great deal of time into showing viewers insight into this approach. Preferring not to charge money like many subscription services who sell their ideas because they lack the resources to trade on them, Investment Capitalist chooses to share actionable market intelligence. This avoids the risk of herd behavior stampeding in and out of trade recommendations, which are often picked off by hedge funds who take the other side of the recommended trade knowing short-term demand from fast-money traders is finite and fickle. Investment Capitalist says what needs to be said and nothing more. Patience is a virtue, garnering your resources, listening to the tape, collecting market color; until the opportunity becomes clear at which point it's "all in or go home".
With a pulse on developing technologies in Bio-Pharma, Computer Sciences, Big Data Storage and Analysis, Business Process Automation, Cloud Based Computing, and the phenomenon of Social Media Marketing and Behavioral Sciences across Philosophy, Economics, Anthropology and Politics; Investment Capitalist is an unending treasure trove of knowledge.
Felix Zulauf has worked in the financial markets and asset management for over 30 years. He started off his career at Swiss Bank Corporation as trader and portfolio manager. He also trained with a French broker in Paris and several leading investment banks in New York. In 1977, he joined Union Bank of Switzerland as portfolio manager for publicly listed mutual funds and institutional accounts. During his years with UBS, he also acted as global strategist, head of institutional portfolio management as well as Chairman of the investment committee of UBS' pension trust for clients. In 1988, he joined a medium-sized Swiss bank in Zurich as executive vice president in charge of investment policy. He founded his wholly owned Zulauf Asset Management AG in 1990, managing European equities long/short and a long/short fund for natural resources and related equities worldwide. He focuses on macro and strategic issues.
As Chairman of RGE Monitor, Nouriel provides strategic guidance for RGE Monitor's business and content. Professor Nouriel Roubini is an internationally known expert in the field of international macroeconomics. He is a Professor of Economics at New York University's Stern School of Business and is also the co-founder and Chairman of RGE Monitor, an innovative economic and geo-strategic information service named one of the best economics websites by BusinessWeek, Forbes, the Wall Street Journal and The Economist. Professor Roubini served as a senior adviser to the White House Council of Economic Advisers and the U.S. Treasury Department; has published numerous policy papers and books on key international macroeconomic issues; and is regularly cited as an authority in the media. He received an undergraduate degree at Bocconi University in Milan, Italy and a Ph.D. in Economics at Harvard University, and was previously a faculty member at Yale University.
You can purchase his new book, "Crisis Economics: A Crash Course in the Future of Finance" at http://tiny.cc/jrsvl.
Visit his site at http://www.roubini.com.
Dr. John Hussman is the president and principal shareholder of Hussman Econometrics Advisors, the investment advisory firm that manages the Hussman Funds ( http://www.hussmanfunds.com). He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford University, and a Masters degree in education and social policy and a bachelors degree in economics from Northwestern University. Prior to managing the Hussman Funds, Dr. Hussman was a professor of economics and international finance at the University of Michigan. In the mid-1980's, Dr Hussman worked as an options mathematician for Peters & Company at the Chicago Board of Trade, and in 1988 began publishing the Hussman Econometrics newsletter. Virtually all of Dr. Hussman's liquid assets are invested in the Hussman Funds.
Note: Dr. Hussman is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Dr. Hussman's public commentary.
Legendary investor Jeremy Grantham serves as Chairman of the Board of Grantham, Mayo Van Otterloo (GMO) and oversees quantitative products and investment strategies. Before GMO’s founding in 1977, Mr. Grantham was co-founder of Batterymarch Financial Management. Prior to helping found Batterymarch, he was a portfolio manager at Keystone Custodian Funds, a management consultant with Cresap McCormick & Paget, and an economist with Royal Dutch Shell. Mr. Grantham earned his undergraduate degree from the University of Sheffield (U.K.) and an M.B.A. from Harvard Business School.
Note: Mr. Grantham is not an active contributor to Seeking Alpha; rather, SA editors excerpt regularly from Mr. Grantham's public commentary.
Visit GMO (http://www.gmo.com/)
Dr Marc Faber was born in Zurich, Switzerland, where he obtained a PhD in Economics at the age of 24. Dr Faber worked for White Weld & Company Limited in New York, Zurich and Hong Kong from 1970 to 1978, and was then Managing Director of Drexel Burnham Lambert (HK) Ltd. In June 1990, he set up his own investment advisory and fund management business. He publishes a monthly investment newsletter, "The Gloom Boom & Doom Report", and is author of Tomorrow's Gold (http://www.amazon.com/Tomorrows-Gold-Asias-Age-Discovery/dp/9628606778?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1176643353&sr=1-1), one of the Seeking Alpha must-read investing books (http://seekingalpha.com/article/4068).
I am a market enthusiast and part-time trader. I started writing for Seeking Alpha in 2011, and it has been a tremendous opportunity and learning experience. I have been interested in the markets since elementary school, and hope to pursue a career in the investment management industry. I have been active in the markets for several years, and am primarily focused on long/short equities.
I hold a Bachelor of Science Degree from Lehigh University, where I double majored in Finance and Accounting, with a minor in History. My major track focused on Investments and Financial Analysis. While at Lehigh, I was the Head Portfolio Manager of the Investment Management Group, a student group that manages three portfolios, one long/short and two long only. I have had two internships, one a summer internship at a large bank, and another helping to manage the Lehigh University Endowment for nearly a year.
Disclaimer: Bill reminds investors to always due their own due diligence on any investment, and to consult their own financial adviser or representative when necessary. Any material provided is intended as general information only, and should not be considered or relied upon as a formal investment recommendation.
Please note that I do not read comments posted here, nor respond to messages here. I don't have the time. If you want my attention, you must seek it directly at my blog.
David J. Merkel, CFA — From 2003-2007, I was a leading commentator at the excellent investment website RealMoney.com (http://www.RealMoney.com). Back in 2003, after several years of correspondence, James Cramer invited me to write for the site, and now I write for RealMoney on equity and bond portfolio management, macroeconomics, derivatives, quantitative strategies, insurance issues, corporate governance, etc. My specialty is looking at the interlinkages in the markets in order to understand individual markets better.
I no longer contribute to RealMoney because my work duties have gotten larger, and I began this blog to develop a distinct voice with a wider distribution.
In 2008, I became the Chief Economist and Director of Research of Finacorp Securities (http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=109&STORY=/www/story/02-08-2008/0004752449&EDATE=). Finacorp went into liquidation in June 2010, after which I decided to open my own asset management shop, Aleph Investments, LLC. I manage stock and bond portfolios for clients.
Until 2007, I was a senior investment analyst at Hovde Capital, responsible for analysis and valuation of investment opportunities for the FIP funds, particularly of companies in the insurance industry. I also managed the internal profit sharing and charitable endowment monies of the firm.
Prior to joining Hovde in 2003, I managed corporate bonds for Dwight Asset Management. In 1998, I joined the Mount Washington Investment Group as the Mortgage Bond and Asset Liability manager after working with Provident Mutual, AIG and Pacific Standard Life.
My background as a life actuary has given me a different perspective on investing. How do you earn money without taking undue risk? How do you convey ideas about investing while showing a proper level of uncertainty on the likelihood of success? How do the various markets fit together, telling us us a broader story than any single piece? These are the themes that I will deal with in this blog. I hold bachelor’s and master’s degrees from Johns Hopkins University.
In my spare time, I take care of our eight children with my wonderful wife Ruth. Visit this site: The Aleph Blog (http://alephblog.com/)
Old Trader is a 63 year old private investor, managing a retirement portfolio constructed to a) generate a high current yield, b) preserve capital, and c) increase capital. His methodology involves taking a "top down" macro view to identify favorable trends, and then engage in fundamental analysis at the company level to identify "best of breed" companies that will benefit from those trends. He employs some simple TA to help determine favorable entry and exit points for positions.
The ultimate goal is the construction of an "absolute return" portfolio, fully recognizing that such a portfolio will lag in a strong bull market, but will result in much smoother returns, a characteristic he feels is critical for retirement accounts.
Founder and moderator of Chicagoland Investors' Group. Monthly Sunday brunch meetings to discuss markets and investing/trading strategies.
I can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
John Mauldin is a renowned financial expert, a New York Times best-selling author, and a pioneering online commentator. Each week, over 1 million readers turn to Mauldin for his penetrating view on Wall Street, global markets, and economic history.
Mauldin’s weekly e-newsletter, Thoughts from the Frontline, was one of the first publications to provide investors with free, unbiased information and guidance. Today, it is the most widely distributed investment newsletter in the world. Mauldin also offers The Mauldin Circle, a free service that connects accredited investors to an exclusive network of money managers and alternative investment opportunities. (In this regard, he is President and a Registered Representative of Millennium Wave Securities, member FINRA, please see legal disclosures).
Mauldin is a frequent contributor to publications including The Financial Times and The Daily Reckoning, as well as a regular guest on CNBC, Yahoo Tech Ticker, and Bloomberg TV. He also edits the free weekly e-letter Outside the Box.
John Eastman is a writer, mixed media artist, and founder of several businesses (www.redfishcreative.com) (www.eastmantribe.com)with over 25 years of hands-on business and entrepreneurial experience. He currently works and resides in a studio loft in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and NYC. Mr. Eastman has exhibited and read in various galleries and exhibits in the region as an artist and writer.
Mr. Eastman is the co-founder of www.smallcapcity.com, an online publication that focuses on small capitalized public firms, founder of www.blackandwhiteprogram.com, an online publication offering interviews, essays, and reports. He also writes for www.thechairmansblog.com, www.smallcapcity.com, Motley Fool, and several other online and print publications.
Mr. Eastman’s business background commenced in 1985 with the launch of a series of high tech, real estate, and design firms. He has extensive experience in banking and loan servicing, real estate property management and asset management, asset appraisal and valuation, Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) and FDIC bank closure proceedings.
Jeff is the President of NewArc Investments Inc., manager of both individual and institutional investments. Jeff is a registered investment advisor, and portfolio manager for NewArc's investment programs. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative modeling helped inform state and local officials in Wisconsin for more than a decade. A Public Policy analyst, he taught advanced research methods at the University of Wisconsin, and analyzed many issues related to state tax policy. Jeff began in the financial business as Research Director for trading firm at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and developed new forecasting techniques. In 1991 he established a general research consultancy, working with professional traders at all of the Chicago financial exchanges. In 1998 he started NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff has a commitment to the specific needs of individual investors. It is not a one-size-fits all approach, but one that emphasizes the unique circumstances of each client. Jeff also serves on the board of two small technology companies (currently Chairman at one). He is occasionally as an expert witness in legal cases involving financial markets and hedging.