I am a value investor with a bent for quantitative analysis. I got my start as floor clerk as the CBOE. While I have moved on to other professional endeavors, I have retained my passion for markets. I became a SeekingAlpha contributor because the user and contributor bases are host to an immense diversity of opinions and talent sets.
Axioms to live by:
* "GAAP is crap". - Me
* "CAPM? More like CRAP-M!"
* "The Crapital Asset Pricing Novel" - Me
* "Post-Mortem Portfolio Theory " - Me
* "The WACC is whack! " (another knock on Modern Portfolio Theory) - Me
* "You have to understand the fundamentals first" - Aleks Chechkin
* "You want to know about charts? All ships at the bottom of the ocean had charts; look where that got 'em!" - Bill McMahon
* "If you spend more than 13 minutes analyzing economic and market forecasts, you've wasted 10 minutes." - Peter Lynch
* "The market can remain irrational for longer than you can remain solvent" - Keynes
* "The time to buy is when blood is in the streets" - Baron Rothschild
* "There is no such thing as a bad investment; just a bad price"
* "The solution for high (low) prices is high (low) prices"
* “You can’t compensate for risk by using a high discount rate.” - Warren Buffet, quoted at a 1998 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting
* "It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong" - Warren Buffett
* "There are two kinds of businesses: The first earns 12 percent, and you can take it out at the end of the year. The second earns 12 percent, but all the excess cash must be reinvested - there's never any cash. It reminds me of the guy who looks at all of his equipment and says, 'There's all of my profit.' We hate that kind of business." - Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway 2013 Annual Meeting
* "You can observe a lot by just watching." - Yogi Berra
ESP LLC is an energy consulting firm specializing in alternative energy systems, and energy economics. We Provide energy consulting services to businesses, utilities, municipalities, and implementation of distributed generation(DG) solar microgrid ownership and development. ESP also creates software systems for energy modeling, utilities and facility energy management.
Finance professional with extensive experience analyzing companies. I have an innate passion for finance and investing. While most popular stock prognosticators tell investors what they want to hear, I try to inform investors about what they need to know to make an informed decision.
Disclaimer: Articles and/or comments represent the opinion of the author, who is not a licensed financial advisor. Articles are intended for informational and educational purposes only, and should not be construed as investment advice to any particular individual. Readers should perform their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
I'm a tech professional who seeks out stocks with asymmetric risk/reward profiles, primarily in the biotech and tech sectors. I often take medium-term positions in risky contrarian markets with the expectation of large time-averaged gains from these special situations. I'm always looking for an undervalued opportunity, even if it's long term, regardless of market cap. I also follow and comment on commodities and demographics.
Family Office, Hedge Fund Manager, Tortola, British Virgin Islands; Markets traded, Interest Rates, Currencies, Metals, Energy, Stock Indices, Selected stocks, 20+ years as a professional trader including time on the floor.
My name is Phil Mause. I am a Senior Advisor with the Pacific Economics Group, focusing on energy, regulatory and valuation issues. I retired from 40 years of law practice earlier this year. I am a yield oriented investor and in the last two years, I have done reasonably well in junk bonds, BDCs, mortgage REITS, and dividend paying blue chip stocks. As an avocation, I dabble in stand up comedy.
"Demonstrated success is the one outstanding fact which justifies confidence in the outlook for any particular business, and thus the investor will always, as a first test for an industry security, carefully consider the results already obtained." - John Moody
As an editor on the SA PRO team my job is to help find the best content for PRO, to provide feedback and develop talented contributors, and to work with other departments to strengthen the platform.
I have studied to ply my trade in finance with a bachelors in accounting. In 2014, I developed an app to access corporate disclosure materials at the SEC. My grandparent’s home was filled with valuing investing paraphernalia and, naturally, I became interested in the stock market.
Seeking Alpha is full of hidden gems and bum steers. Check out some of the authors I follow. And authors, check out "The Elements of Style" by Strunk & White.
Stocktalks represent my personal opinion only - links are not endorsements.
Bill received a BS in 1972 from West Point with concentrations in math, physics, chemistry, and engineering. He was an NCAA All American Wrestler and captain of the wrestling team. He is an eight-year infantry veteran, Airborne, Ranger, Arctic Light and Mechanized Infantry in the United States Army.
His industrial experience started in 1980 working for Honeywell setting up manufacturing capabilities around the US and Europe.
In 1986 he founded Applied Statistics, Inc. (now ASI-Datamyte) to develop and sell the software, electronics, and tools to implement Statistical Process Controls for manufacturing processes.
In 1989, he founded JITCorp to create the software to apply the concepts of process management to the selling process. JITCorp’s principal products are WebClerk and CommerceExpert.
In 1998 he began working controls for the mobility process (Patent 6,810,817). JPods, Inc. was founded apply just-in-time concepts to the mobility process and cut costs per passenger-mile by 85%.
Bill is the author of Desktop Hosting, A Developer’s Guide to Unattended Communications (Wiley), which outlines technology and concepts for networking the supply matrix. He holds Patent 6,810,817, Intelligent Transport, which applies distributed collaborative computer networks to moving physical packets, a Physical-Internet™.
I'm an investment professional with more than 15 years of trading experience.
My current and upcoming articles will contain a short synopsis of overall market developments on a weekly basis. Particular focus is on VIX-related instruments.
Daniel Moore is the creator of FinancialRelativity.com, a web portal created for the purpose of tracking the status of financial markets and providing investment analysis and portfolio management insights to investors. Based on the systematic investment research, he writes about the market and publishes his views through internet market publications. He has over 25 years of management experience in corporate finance in a variety of high technology start-ups and public companies. A graduate of Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business in 1988, he has spent the last 10 years managing investment portfolios seeking high risk reward returns for fixed income investors.
I have been "managing" my portfolio for the past ten years. Managing in quotes because I didn't do very much for myself. Instead, I listened to the advice of family and friends and the talking heads on TV.
My wake-up call came a few years ago when I calculated my annualized return and discovered I did little better than a savings account.
I decided that my process was not working. I would often swing for the fences by buying small companies, only to make paper profits and lose them. I had no buy or sell discipline and that was hurting my returns. I embarked on a journey to overhaul my investment process.
I read books and online articles (a lot of Seeking Alpha) to learn about other people's processes. I made myself a model in MS Excel that at least acts as a baseline for decision-making and helps instill discipline in my process. By using this model my returns have improved considerably.
Value investing is a philosophy that sits well with me, and I'll say I identify most with it. Not exclusively, but it's generally what I look for. It's funny that when I started swinging for singles and doubles instead of home runs my returns increased.
My journey is still in its early stages, only three years in (and in a rising market, to boot). I will have to wait and see where the next 10 years take me. For now, I'm happy with my new process and recent results.
We primarily subscribe to a buy-and-hold investment philosophy and therefore, look for under-valued companies that are well managed, have highly certain growth prospects, strong balance sheets, and sustainable competitive advantages. Secondarily, we look for short-term, contrarian opportunities where unusual circumstances have caused a stock to be temporarily misappraised.
Fincom Investment Partners focuses on mid-stage development and special opportunities in the technology and commodity sectors. Over the past 30 years our President has worked with many of the world's top-tier investors, such as Upfront Ventures, co-founded by Paul Allen and last decade’s #1 performing VC. In addition to developing a proprietary Risk vs. Reward parameter methodology, he has initiated many dozens of successful investments such as a $2 million start-up financing for Petrohawk which became a $15 Billion buyout (BHP 2011). He has been quoted in most the financial press including the WSJ, IBD, Barron’s; and in 1989 hosted “The Venture Capitalist” which aired on (now) CNBC.
Wolf Richter is the founder and CEO of Wolf Street Corp. He has 20 years of C-level operations and finance experience, including turnaround situations and startups. He lived in five foreign countries and traveled to 100 others on all continents. Currently in San Francisco.
Capitalist Exploits is a team of globe-trotting professionals dedicated to seeking out and investing into unique, undiscovered, and profitable opportunities worldwide. This could be an asymmetric trading opportunity in the global currency markets, seeding a tech startup in Israel, or co-investing into a bespoke private equity deal in Ghana!
Our team lives and spends time in several different countries, on several different continents. Although we all come from different cultural backgrounds and parts of this great ball of dirt hurtling through space, in today’s world this matters little, as our values and mission are all aligned.
Joseph has been an analyst, investor, and student of economic theory; money and banking; and statistical methods for evaluating and implementing risk/reward trading algorithms since 1972. Joseph is also an occasional contributor to financial publications and his essays are frequently cited by other financial websites and publications.
Since the end of the Great Recession, Joseph came to recognize that traditional methodologies for forecasting economic growth and investment asset pricing are no longer of value, and a broader understanding of the post Glass Steagall, financially engineered world that has driven markets and economies since the turn of the century is required today.
He has a good grasp of Shadow Banking, High Frequency Trading, and Dark Pools, and their impact on today’s markets. He has also spent considerable time understanding the new global paradigm of central bank involvement in experimental policy designed to better control economies.
Joseph doesn’t subscribe to a specific school of theory on economics. Rather, his thinking is based on a combination of the Classical School, the Austrian School, and the Keynesian School. He even sees the writings of Karl Marx as particularly instructive.
Joseph is particularly fond of the following quote from Albert Einstein and sees his own work as driven by that same passionate curiosity that Einstein refers to:
“I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious.”
Coming in a close second in terms of favorite quotes that express his views, Joseph embraces Lord Acton’s views expressed here:
“The danger is not that a particular class is unfit to govern.
Every class is unfit to govern."
I am a Danish investor who enjoys to share my views on companies with others. My primary interests within the economic area are stock picking and investment theory. Furthermore I am a classic value investor. I have a keen interest in European companies and most of my articles will probably concern companies from my own continent, but I do also look towards the US occasionally.
I do not believe in market timing nor do I believe in any kind of chart analysis. I believe that owning great businesses at cheap prices during thick and thin will give you the best risk adjusted returns while sleeping well at night.
I am strongly influenced by theory and literature from numerous investors. The most influental have been Benjamin Graham, Howard Marks, Peter Lynch, Philip Fisher, Warren Buffett, Guy Spier, Mohnish Pabrai, Joel Greenblatt and Charlie Munger. I am eager to accumulate knowledge from these investors and many others during my lifetime. I hold a MSc. in business economics from Denmark but the literature from these aforementioned legendary investors are worth more to me than anything I have and will ever read during my studies.
Dr. Chris Martenson is an independent economist and author of a popular website, ChrisMartenson.com. His Crash Course video series explores the intertwining significance of the “three E’s”—the economy, energy, and environment and offers articulate, dynamic insight into the workings of our monetary system.
Chris earned a PhD in neurotoxicology from Duke University, and an MBA from Cornell University. His background as an educator helps him animate complex material with wisdom and humor. A fellow of the Post Carbon Institute, Chris’s work has appeared on PBS and been cited by the Washington Post. He is a contributor to the Huffington Post and FinancialSense.com.
Chris is an accomplished presenter who has offered the Crash Course seminar all over the United States. The online course has been translated into several languages, and been viewed nearly a million times. His website offers ongoing commentary and rigorously factual analysis into financial and energy-related issues and events as they unfold.
Gregor Macdonald is an oil analyst and energy sector investor, who also focuses on the coming transition to alternatives. He has spent this decade researching and investing in the energy sector. While his focus remains on global fossil fuel supply, he has developed several models for transition to The Grid, as the world migrates from autos, to public transport. Solar, Wind, Nuclear and other sources of new supply to The Grid will also be a focus of his writing.