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sws1967

sws1967
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  • Ethical Investing And Philip Morris [View article]
    Note that technically "hooch" refers to alcohol....very important to be technically accurate with drug lingo;)

    I am concerned with the recent performance of PM and MO....with the market falling these should be safe havens, but they've gotten crushed after never really running up to begin with in 2013! Here we are set back two years with zero capital gains and the market only 8% down from all-time highs.....so how to get high again?
    Feb 5 11:17 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Memo To Apple Bears: Give Up For Now [View article]
    AAPL is either going to go up or down. I could say it in a more clever manner, such as "AAPL will rally hard due to expected holiday sales, but there could be a minor pullback due to x, y, z..." and sound really smart, but what the hell have I?

    Nice to see the shares I bought last fall regain their profit - Dan Nathan's call BF for Nov worked out quite well with a 100% profit also. Time to sell some BuPS?

    When all the bears are gone, who will be left to convert and buy shares?
    Dec 2 11:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Munster forecasts strong iPad Air sales, Apple matches Wal-mart's price cut [View news story]
    Great! But I'm not replacing my kid's iPads to get that.
    Nov 1 03:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Apple Enigma: Confessions Of A Reformed Apple Hater [View article]
    Sounds like you have the right approach honestly. There's Apple and then there is AAPL, and they aren't always friends. The past year has proven a few things:

    1. Most forecast info you find on AAPL is WRONG!
    2. The stock can quickly diverge from company fundamentals and stay that way longer than you would ever imagine.
    3. There actually are OTHER STOCKS, so if this dog won't behave go get a cat. (but not CAT, apparently;)
    4. Again, I followed this stock every day from summer 2012 until last Spring and NOBODY saw a double-dip into the $300s....NOBODY. So whatever you are hearing now from the same people - did they fix their crystal balls?

    5. This stock can DROP 50% and you can lose ALL of your money using options, or only half of it with the common stock, in only a few months. Gotta love the "safety of large caps, low P/E, great balance sheet, etc." right?

    Meanwhile, plenty of other stocks did quite well since last fall, and you could have thrown a dart and probably done better than trying to follow all this AAPL nonsense, and for what? Well, it might go back to $600 this year and that's about 20% higher...yay. Could have bought the SPY last year and turned this noise off and done better.

    Best to leave this one....unsolved. You can't really dust for vomit...;)
    Oct 25 12:45 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Should Send Delusional Carl Icahn Packing [View article]
    I was curious about the same thing - what's stopping him from loading up on calls and then tweeting to make the market move up....I wonder if we'll see restrictions on his trading like others who are in the media have.
    Oct 24 07:45 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Philip Morris Overvalued? [View article]
    It would seem to me that it is only a matter of time....how much time is the question and I don't know the answer. Oil and cigarettes....
    Oct 24 12:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Funds Are Selling Out Of Apple: What You Need To Know [View article]
    So...I can go ahead and put all of my money into AAPL? You're sure it's going to blow out earnings ALL YEAR? That's what everyone said last year...
    Oct 23 11:34 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Misek boosts Apple to Buy [View news story]
    Yep, AAPL stock is completely manipulated by "them" and "they" run it up and down! That's why we try and trade it because it's completely transparent and fair - oh wait, I mean it's a total conspiracy, which is why I spend my money trading it so that I can....oh, look the sky is blue!
    Oct 7 12:42 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • It May Be Apple Harvest Time [View article]
    The "fashion" element is a really tough one to quantify. I don't think Blackberry and Dell are good comparisons as they never had the "brand cool" that AAPL has maintained.

    On the one hand, my kids and every other family I'm aware of has "iPads" NOT "tablets" and they are all growing up with AAPL and the AAPL ecosystem. Does this mean a whole new generation of AAPL consumers? Maybe. Or maybe not.

    As you point out, they could just as quickly decide they hate that simple device that was for kids and there goes your AAPL "coolness" as the young crowd moves elsewhere.

    I don't know the answer to this one, but it's dangerous to assume that what is cool now will always be cool....except for Pearl Jam.
    Sep 28 12:19 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It May Be Apple Harvest Time [View article]
    "dennch" if you invest based on your "feelings" - which it sounds like you are doing based on your insults - you will lose money faster than most.

    Why are you offended by someone proposing a view opposite to yours? (that's a rhetorical question, no answer needed, just consider it yourself).

    I suggest you seek out opposing view points and seriously consider them as a check on your emotional attachment to your investments. This will help you know whether you are really being objective or not. If opinions here make you "upset" then you are not being objective.

    I own AAPL to make money - no other reason - and if there's a risk to that then I want to hear why whether I agree ultimately or not.
    Sep 28 12:07 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • It May Be Apple Harvest Time [View article]
    "Max pain" being the unsupported hypothesis that amateur traders like to use as a guide to where the stock price will close on Friday op ex - talk about a concept that should be ignored! Case in point it did not close at $480 or the predicted $478.

    Guess what? On any given morning I can tell you within +/-2% what the closing price will be on AAPL with an 80% correct outcome. yay. worthless.

    Cramer said he preferred GOOG over AAPL in October of 2012...yeah, what a bad call that was! I recall the same "he's an idiot, he's always wrong" talk on that call. Since the spring Cramer has said it would be stuck in a trading range of $450 - $500 and guess what, that's exactly what has happened so not sure I'd say he's "almost always wrong."

    AAPL is still a "show me" stock, but it's worth keeping a medium-size long position IMO due to the buyback, dividend, and potential. Most people seem to think it's either going to the moon or down into the gutter so I will propose that it will struggle around $500 for much longer than most people think possible - but I'm wrong much more than Cramer;)....
    Sep 28 11:57 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It May Be Apple Harvest Time [View article]
    Are you serious? You think an author on SA can move AAPL's stock price...LOL...yeah, AAPL can never go down, put all your money into it and go long, good luck.

    How about we all agree to sell at the same time, and then when the price drops we'll all buy back in? Can we do that?
    Sep 25 12:08 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Continental Resources: Impressive Production Growth Continues At Largest Bakken Producer [View article]
    I did move forward and sold about 10% each of my XOM and CVX and bought the more growth-oriented CLR. It's still a relatively small position at about 3% of the portfolio, but it helps to diversify my "energy" exposure as well. And....this is for an investment portfolio, not trading, so there is no plan to sell unless the story changes. May look to add opportunistically...
    Sep 20 04:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Continental Resources: Impressive Production Growth Continues At Largest Bakken Producer [View article]
    I'm looking at selling a little of my CVX and XOM to start a position in CLR next week....
    Sep 14 04:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: A $500 Price Floor With NTT DoCoMo And China Mobile Agreements [View article]
    These are good points to consider - had Apple announced a China Mobile deal as expected, would the stock still be down? I doubt it....so if the deal is coming there's your catalyst and this pullback may be worth putting some $$ to work, looking toward the fall.
    Sep 13 02:08 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
96 Comments
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