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sws1967

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  • Apple's (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook on Q3 2015 Results - Earnings Call Transcript [View article]
    This may turn out to be one of the only good buying opportunities this year if AAPL continues it's usual "sell on earnings no matter what" behavior.

    I'm not surprised at all. I've seen ridiculous things with AAPL that last much longer than anyone will tolerate....the 50% drawdown a couple years ago - what was that about? Oh yeah, no "innovative" product, yet there still is nothing considered "innovative" and the stock has doubled.

    Just own it at the right size and let it grow over the years. Hope they kick the dividend up!
    Jul 21, 2015. 08:57 PM | 13 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Apple Has To Take Bendgate Seriously [View article]
    Why the hell would you put a big phone in your back pocket?

    Pants shouldn't even have back pockets....I'm shorting Macy's until they stop this nonsense!
    Sep 26, 2014. 11:29 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple iWatch: Buy The Rumor And Buy The News [View article]
    The next generation knows nothing of a "tablet" or "phone" they all know "iPad" and "iPhone" and how to operate the gadgets by intuition.

    If I buy puts, the stock will drop, but recover before options trade again. If I don't buy puts, the stock will sell like usual and look like a no-brainer;). If I want to gamble, probably do it in Vegas - meanwhile holding my long shares (as part of a diversified portfolio;). Equal parts AAPL and GOOG actually.
    Sep 8, 2014. 02:23 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Not Selling Apple On September 9th Makes More Sense [View article]
    Doc,
    As you say...."under your stop price.." is exactly the problem with the sell-stop order. He didn't say whether it was market or limit, but it's not the strategy I would use to protect profits.

    Yeah, maybe buying puts and sell calls to finance them will work, but this will drag on your returns over time. Just look at how well funds using "options" perform - badly.

    Hey, options are fun to trade, they make you feel really smart when you make some money with them, but the vast majority of people trying to work these events lose money.

    I'm just holding my shares....going mountain biking instead of sweating the chart.
    Aug 27, 2014. 03:12 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Not Selling Apple On September 9th Makes More Sense [View article]
    I have yet to see ANY proof that ANY day trader can obtain returns better than an investor (investor defined as someone buying into the business).

    I've done it myself and I see great potential for showing all of my good, positive moves (only) while neglecting to mention the overall return over 5+ years.

    Even day trading books typically tell you up front not to expect great returns. Is there any PROOF that it's possible? (Note: not interested in opinions or antidotes, I want real proof.)
    Aug 26, 2014. 09:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Not Selling Apple On September 9th Makes More Sense [View article]
    Is the trailing stop because you want to sell while it's still "high enough" and then get back in once it is "low enough"?

    It is an interesting point that previous launches have been met with selling, but the past repeats until it doesn't, so in current market conditions there's no way to tell if the event will follow the "average"....though I'll bet it goes DOWN and then UP and then Down/Up as millions try to time it. Good luck slipping that bid in.

    You could sell calls to limit your upside, or puts to provide insurance for others at your expense....or just hold the shares, add if you get enough weakness, sit back and make a lot of money over the next 10 years.
    Aug 26, 2014. 08:58 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Is Heading Lower [View article]
    So what are your returns on AAPL from May 2011 until May 2014 - including losses - by following these "signals" and trading AAPL?

    Note: The longs who have simply held shares have done considerably better than "treading water" so for a fair comparison, let's see the numbers?
    May 9, 2014. 08:57 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Memo To Apple Bears: Give Up For Now [View article]
    AAPL is either going to go up or down. I could say it in a more clever manner, such as "AAPL will rally hard due to expected holiday sales, but there could be a minor pullback due to x, y, z..." and sound really smart, but what the hell have I?

    Nice to see the shares I bought last fall regain their profit - Dan Nathan's call BF for Nov worked out quite well with a 100% profit also. Time to sell some BuPS?

    When all the bears are gone, who will be left to convert and buy shares?
    Dec 2, 2013. 11:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Apple Enigma: Confessions Of A Reformed Apple Hater [View article]
    Sounds like you have the right approach honestly. There's Apple and then there is AAPL, and they aren't always friends. The past year has proven a few things:

    1. Most forecast info you find on AAPL is WRONG!
    2. The stock can quickly diverge from company fundamentals and stay that way longer than you would ever imagine.
    3. There actually are OTHER STOCKS, so if this dog won't behave go get a cat. (but not CAT, apparently;)
    4. Again, I followed this stock every day from summer 2012 until last Spring and NOBODY saw a double-dip into the $300s....NOBODY. So whatever you are hearing now from the same people - did they fix their crystal balls?

    5. This stock can DROP 50% and you can lose ALL of your money using options, or only half of it with the common stock, in only a few months. Gotta love the "safety of large caps, low P/E, great balance sheet, etc." right?

    Meanwhile, plenty of other stocks did quite well since last fall, and you could have thrown a dart and probably done better than trying to follow all this AAPL nonsense, and for what? Well, it might go back to $600 this year and that's about 20% higher...yay. Could have bought the SPY last year and turned this noise off and done better.

    Best to leave this one....unsolved. You can't really dust for vomit...;)
    Oct 25, 2013. 12:45 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Should Send Delusional Carl Icahn Packing [View article]
    I was curious about the same thing - what's stopping him from loading up on calls and then tweeting to make the market move up....I wonder if we'll see restrictions on his trading like others who are in the media have.
    Oct 24, 2013. 07:45 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Funds Are Selling Out Of Apple: What You Need To Know [View article]
    So...I can go ahead and put all of my money into AAPL? You're sure it's going to blow out earnings ALL YEAR? That's what everyone said last year...
    Oct 23, 2013. 11:34 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • It May Be Apple Harvest Time [View article]
    The "fashion" element is a really tough one to quantify. I don't think Blackberry and Dell are good comparisons as they never had the "brand cool" that AAPL has maintained.

    On the one hand, my kids and every other family I'm aware of has "iPads" NOT "tablets" and they are all growing up with AAPL and the AAPL ecosystem. Does this mean a whole new generation of AAPL consumers? Maybe. Or maybe not.

    As you point out, they could just as quickly decide they hate that simple device that was for kids and there goes your AAPL "coolness" as the young crowd moves elsewhere.

    I don't know the answer to this one, but it's dangerous to assume that what is cool now will always be cool....except for Pearl Jam.
    Sep 28, 2013. 12:19 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It May Be Apple Harvest Time [View article]
    "dennch" if you invest based on your "feelings" - which it sounds like you are doing based on your insults - you will lose money faster than most.

    Why are you offended by someone proposing a view opposite to yours? (that's a rhetorical question, no answer needed, just consider it yourself).

    I suggest you seek out opposing view points and seriously consider them as a check on your emotional attachment to your investments. This will help you know whether you are really being objective or not. If opinions here make you "upset" then you are not being objective.

    I own AAPL to make money - no other reason - and if there's a risk to that then I want to hear why whether I agree ultimately or not.
    Sep 28, 2013. 12:07 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • It May Be Apple Harvest Time [View article]
    "Max pain" being the unsupported hypothesis that amateur traders like to use as a guide to where the stock price will close on Friday op ex - talk about a concept that should be ignored! Case in point it did not close at $480 or the predicted $478.

    Guess what? On any given morning I can tell you within +/-2% what the closing price will be on AAPL with an 80% correct outcome. yay. worthless.

    Cramer said he preferred GOOG over AAPL in October of 2012...yeah, what a bad call that was! I recall the same "he's an idiot, he's always wrong" talk on that call. Since the spring Cramer has said it would be stuck in a trading range of $450 - $500 and guess what, that's exactly what has happened so not sure I'd say he's "almost always wrong."

    AAPL is still a "show me" stock, but it's worth keeping a medium-size long position IMO due to the buyback, dividend, and potential. Most people seem to think it's either going to the moon or down into the gutter so I will propose that it will struggle around $500 for much longer than most people think possible - but I'm wrong much more than Cramer;)....
    Sep 28, 2013. 11:57 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It May Be Apple Harvest Time [View article]
    Are you serious? You think an author on SA can move AAPL's stock price...LOL...yeah, AAPL can never go down, put all your money into it and go long, good luck.

    How about we all agree to sell at the same time, and then when the price drops we'll all buy back in? Can we do that?
    Sep 25, 2013. 12:08 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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