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Nolesince87

Nolesince87
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  • The Paradigm Shift Has Begun - This Isn't Going To Be Pretty [View article]
    Is this particular paradigm shift different than the previous 316 paradigm shifts of the past four years that amounted to NO shift at all?
    Jun 11 11:41 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • May Nonfarm Payrolls: +175K vs. consensus +170K, 149K previous (revised from +165K). Unemployment rate 7.6% vs. consensus 7.5%, 7.5% previous. [View news story]
    I call B.S., Tack. I've got two bachelor's degrees in biophysics and chemistry, and a master's in biochemistry and NOBODY will offer me a job. Nothing, from entry-level to merely teaching at a community college.... Companies are being stingy because fiscal policy encourages them to be... the lack of qualified candidates is a MYTH.
    Jun 7 01:58 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Will We Hold It Wednesday - Russell 975, Dow 15,200 Edition [View article]
    By your argument, why stop at 0%? Why not just HAND them free money for existing and creating any jobs at all--oh wait, we're already doing that, aren't we, and what a TREMENDOUS impact that has had on job growth, right? We are only near historic highs of unemployment (using a REAL measure such as employment-to-population ratio).

    If this giant multinationals don't think they will be able to make it raking in ONLY $95Billion/yr instead of $100Billion/yr, then guess what.... let them take their businesses elsewhere. Maybe they can move to China, India, or Iran and make MORE money! Yes, I understand the corporate tax rate in Iran is 0%.
    Jun 5 02:10 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Will We Hold It Wednesday - Russell 975, Dow 15,200 Edition [View article]
    Phil,

    To be in the upper wealth echelon yet care about the little guys who lack opportunities and/or advantages, makes you a man among men in my book. Some people wonder why the concept of kingdoms ever flourished in the olden days, but if one considers the benevolence that some kings&queens possessed, the kind that mirrors your own, it doesn't become such a mystery. If only our "rulers" today believed in the concept of a level-playing field instead of protecting the "rights" of the big-money criminals.

    I understand that many will disagree, clinging onto the "trickle-down" effect argument (see the comments above about "0% corporate tax") and how it ultimately benefits everyone, the fact is it is a slap in the face to any human being to be told they should be happy prospering by an amount "X" while other human beings, of equal creation and abilities (or in many cases, lesser abilities), are allowed to prosper by a factor of "1000X". How lucky he or she should feel!

    There is a giant chasm between the concept of a "well-fare state" and income equality, yet it is always surprising to see how otherwise intelligent people are brainwashed into believing that they are the same thing.
    Jun 5 02:04 PM | 11 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why You Should Add IBM To Your Portfolio [View article]
    I don't have anything negative to say about IBM, but I do know that from a technical look, it is setting up for a correction, like many other big name stocks are right now.

    I came here looking for a cogent argument AGAINST buying IBM stock, and strangely, the fact that NOBODY has presented one (except some guy named Brian, whose "arguments" are anything but cogent) is reason enough! You see, that can only mean one thing: all the good news is priced in.

    I love IBM as a company, personally, but company appreciation and stock appreciation are two very different things.

    Conclusion: a very good short opportunity here.
    Jun 4 07:06 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Weighing The Week Ahead: Will The Interest Rate Surge Continue? [View article]
    Some very good technical traders see the market action of the past few weeks as a clear sign the direction of wind blowing has reversed.

    I do agree that "financial markets tend to lead the economy by a few months," but only because financial markets tend to dictate the direction of the economy not because of some magical prophetical powers.... as such, after the fastest 4.5 year bull market in history during a period of purely muddling economic performance--which is now the BEST economy it can possibly be, given the environment of disastrous fiscal policy--the market's impending downward turn spells the beginning of another recession.
    Jun 3 05:08 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stock Squeeze! Look For All The Money You Can Invest In The Stock Market [View article]
    The time to sell stocks is "never"? That's kinda INSANELY silly, don't ya think? There are a number of billionaires out there who'd be closer to living under a bridge instead if they had taken that advice.

    How many people wish they had taken their profits in 2000 or 2007?

    Not knowing WHEN to take profits is not justification for staying in the markets forever.
    May 28 05:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market Outlook 2015-2045 - Men Vs. Machines [View article]
    Oh Charlie, cut the crap already. It's because of people like you whining and b*tching to SA that we were deprived of Phil's contributions for a lengthy period of time. You and your ilk are exactly the reason for the phrase "throwing out the baby with the bathwater".

    To extend some of GreenRiver's remarks, which I mostly agree with, it is not a bad thing at all that menial jobs be slowly purged from the world. There will be a greater and greater class disparity between "the have*s" and "the have-nots", in accordance with the principles of capitalism... it is a pseudo-natural selection process.

    Human minds are capable of far greater things than menial tasks so we should not mourn the loss of such jobs. We know that in the future, it likely should be possible to replace almost any one of your damaged organs with an exact copy grown in the lab, using your own DNA... the most important organ, the brain, may be an exception, but if/when that day finally arrives, you theoretically have a bridge to immortality... why would any reasonable human being not prefer to pursue more worthwhile endeavors such as this--or numerous other examples--with the vast resources of their minds instead of flipping burgers or answering phone calls for the rest of their lives, if given the choice?
    May 20 06:35 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dow 20K - A Halfway Update [View article]
    The number doesn't matter. You cannot create wealth by creating more paper. Whether Dow hits 20K, 30K, or 50K, the only thing that is certain is that--without improvement in the core economic fundamentals--it has gone down when priced in terms of REAL dollars.

    The market is still nowhere near historic highs when inflation is considered.
    May 17 05:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Most Nagging Question About Stocks [View article]
    Can you elaborate on your method of estimating 1.2 million bearish-minded "freaks"? Also, do you have any data to show that the 1.2 million smallest players in the market actually have more buying/selling power than just a handful of the largest players (I have "data" to support otherwise)? You would need to prove both before some of your other arguments could even be considered.
    May 17 12:55 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Monday Market Movement: Time To Sell In May [View article]
    It is a big mistake to use any data from ZH to make market decisions in the short-term or even intermediate-term. The divergence between macro data and the equity market has been going on far longer than the past 60 days, try maybe 4 years.

    The market won't crash until September, at the earliest, IMO. I have a pretty good guess at what the magical date is when that will happen. I base this guess not only on the projection of a confluence of macro and technical factors that are aiming for month #9, but also on the assumption that the market is manipulated, and the manipulators are very twisted, evil, mentally disturbed *word that rhymes with trucks*
    May 6 01:06 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index: -15.6 vs. +5.0 expected, +7.4 previous. Production fell to -0.5 from +9.9. New Orders -4.9 from +9 - the first negative reading this year. Prices +2.5 vs. +19.1. Expectations -6.7 vs. +15.3[View news story]
    ...in other words, not for a loooong time.
    Apr 29 12:05 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index: -15.6 vs. +5.0 expected, +7.4 previous. Production fell to -0.5 from +9.9. New Orders -4.9 from +9 - the first negative reading this year. Prices +2.5 vs. +19.1. Expectations -6.7 vs. +15.3[View news story]
    It's not quite as easy as you say. Market is hungry for that final inflationary leg that forcibly drags retailers in and major news that it has to wait longer for that to happen can sometimes call for a brief sell-off... "May" see that happen soon.

    Of course, the time to really sell and GTFO of the market is when it is reported that the economy is booming.
    Apr 29 12:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why The Fed Doesn't Fear Inflation, But You Do [View article]
    I disagree that the Fed does not see problems coming. They have the most access to knowledge and information about our economic metrics than any other entity on the planet.

    They know what they are doing--the only question is, who are they really working for? The day Apple pre-announced a miss on earnings last year, and as the stock market began to tumble, the Fed instantly began running its mouth, thru some media leak... they reassured the markets that even MORE liquidity was coming and the market quickly stopped its losses and began turning back up! That was no coincidence, lest you also believe the dozens of other similar incidents were all coincidence as well.
    Apr 29 11:47 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 5 Reasons Why I Am Shorting The Market [View article]
    We are due for a seasonal correction, that like all the others, will be muted. Barring a new debt crisis market should resume its uptrend after that, but even with a new crisis, we will get commensurate liquidity by Fed to compensate.

    Make no mistake, Fed bond-buying money is being used in a roundabout way to buy US stocks. When Fed takes away the candy we are going aaalllll the way back to 2009 levels. However, that probably just won't happen UNTIL the economy really starts improving. We will need to see unemployment fall probably under 6% (not 6.5%), GDP surge, and corporations to start reporting improved top line growth... none of that happens until corporations actually start USING all that free Fed money....

    ....and when that happens you should see four things: 1) inflation 2) a surge of retail investors reading happy headlines (and having jobs now) 3) stock market start to sell-off, because of... 4) Fed not only shuts down QE but withdraws liquidity rapidly due to #1.

    I see a stock market sell-off happening 1-2 years down the line followed by years of stagnation.... when we finally get through that, a new bull market should emerge provided our national brain power has come up with new, innovative world-changing technologies
    Apr 17 03:43 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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