Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
  • Aramark: Look For Value In This Under-Covered Name  [View article]
    PE Ratio of 46... doesn't seem like a value play.
    Jun 2, 2014. 02:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Here Is How J.C. Penney Could Be Worth Over $50 A Share  [View article]
    "deals" are a perception. It's what JCP used to do very well. They'd mark up the products and then give you a discount. The former CEO came in and said "these deal schemes are ridiculous... let's just give them low prices everyday." Even though it cost about the same at the register, the customers liked the perception of a deal and went else where. What's going to happen is the sticker price will be higher again and then you'll see that 20-40% discount off back down again. No problem, it's what Macy's does too.
    Oct 14, 2013. 01:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Here Is How J.C. Penney Could Be Worth Over $50 A Share  [View article]
    Though... to be fair... if you played NOK last year, you'd be in pretty good shape right now.
    Oct 14, 2013. 01:21 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • J.C. Penney Dilutes By 30%, Avoid At All Costs  [View article]
    There's an element not mentioned in this article:
    September 16, 2013
    "Steven Roth has resigned from the board of JC Penney (JCP) and stated that he will sell his remaining shares in the retailer, currently a 6.1% stake. Roth joined the JCP board at the same time as Pershing Square's Bill Ackman after the two held a combined 27% position with JCP. Ackman recently resigned his position on the board and sold all his remaining shares in the company in protest over the CEO position."

    27% of the shares hitting the market... hmmm... I wonder what's driving the price down?
    Sep 29, 2013. 06:32 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • FedEx, Caterpillar And Oracle Disappoint: What Sign Are These Bellwethers Sending?  [View article]
    I was under the impression that natural gas drilling was on the decline. Maybe it picked back up?
    Apr 23, 2013. 11:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • "I think we're seeing fear fatigue," says money manager Darell Krasnoff. Clients of his out of stocks for some time are calling and asking to get back in. It's the same story at Fidelity and Schwab (SCHW), both seeing marked increases in trading activity. The Vix (VXX)? It declines even on days when the markets sell off.  [View news story]
    Fear spelled backwards is "RAEF". ; )
    Feb 19, 2013. 09:05 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Coach - An Attractive Investment Opportunity  [View article]
    Stan... I'm glad you commented because what I was hoping to get at is what you mentioned. That is, Is $COH's current price a circumstance of market overreaction or a fundamental change? Is $COH in decline or did they just have a tough quarter? It seems like the Author's rational for the added 10% drop is that it fits into his equation for returns and that he thinks that $COH is a good buy and has the potential to grow. Well, if that's the case, using historical references on price seems a valid "Apples to Apples" comparisons.

    However, the picture you paint is different in that they're in a state of decline... that they've lost their competitive position compared to where they were in 2010... Right? However, and this is the part you could help me better understand, once they reach the $43ish range THEN there'll be a scenario of market overreaction and THEN you can expect your quick return of 20-30% to around the $51.80 - $55.90 range? Is that where you stand here?
    Feb 17, 2013. 10:18 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Coach - An Attractive Investment Opportunity  [View article]
    10% from current is $43.47. The last time $COH was at that level was October 2010 and we all know the recovery story that was still happening then. To put into perspective, not even last year's August / September sell off did $COH hit that level. So, when I think of $COH at that level, I can't help but think of either a market wide sell-off or some REALLY bad news that spooks the analysts covering it. Maybe I'd buy into the new lows... It depends on the circumstances... but 10% lower could change the game from me thinking it's current price was a market overreaction to something more complicated and perilous like a secular decline. You wrote a really good article, I just wonder if you'll either miss the boat or have a change of heart if it drops another 10%. Best Regards...
    Feb 15, 2013. 10:14 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Skullcandy: 8 Reasons To Buy This $8 Busted IPO  [View article]
    Earnings come out on Feb. 18th. That's probably the best chance for a short squeeze. Reminds me of $BAC and $GMCR when they were in the dumps.
    Feb 1, 2013. 03:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple Now 32% Below Price Target  [View article]
    I wish you would regularly publish the list of "S&P 100 Stocks Farthest Below Price Targets"! That would be awesome to have as a reference every quarter. : )
    Jan 16, 2013. 03:42 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Tomb Raider Could Be One Of The Hottest IPOs In 2013  [View article]
    Microsoft if planning to release new console by Black Friday 2013.
    Jan 2, 2013. 12:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2012 was a big year for mobile game development and game studio layoffs, observes VentureBeat's Dean Takahashi in a year-end recap. 42% of gaming startups are now focused on mobile, as soaring user activity attracts developers in spite of the business model challenges. 2012 also saw social casino game use take off, something that could bode well for Zynga's (ZNGA) online gambling efforts, and witnessed multiplayer online games such as World of Warcraft and Star Wars: The Old Republic adopt free-to-play models.  [View news story]
    World of Warcraft still charges a $15 a month charge.
    Dec 28, 2012. 03:22 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Call Of Duty Can't Save Activision  [View article]
    I'm a loyal COD player and recently got back into WOW to play MISTS after some time away.

    Why I Play COD:
    Multiplayer action. I have a couple of friends who play and we can usually just talk / bad mouth stuff while we play. I haven't even touched the single player game so I have no idea if this round is good or not compared to others. COD has ruined me on playing single player games. It's just not where the action is. The thrill of buying the latest COD is the new maps to learn and the experience of leveling a character and prestiging all over again. I don't see that changing anytime soon.

    Why I'm back into WOW:
    It's still the standard. I played Rift for a while, but tired of it. If you're looking for an MMORG experience, it's still has some juice and a loyal fan base with nothing really as good to move to. I can see the model getting old though which is why I left in the first place during CATA. But, it has some nostalgic appeal and the MISTS expansion has been fun so far.

    My Thoughts on Titan:
    Blizzard is known for putting out good games, but they're also known for taking their sweet ass time. So, if you're looking to play ATVI for that game, I wouldn't hold your breath. In terms of stocks and investing, that's light years away from being in play. I'd be surprised if we didn't see a spike in natural gas prices before that game is downloadable.

    All that said, $ATVI has an interesting "flat chart" that goes between $10.50ish to $13ish. I'm no expert, but my guess is that technicians love that sort of "predictable pattern" when scoping out stocks. So, there may be some technical pressures upward to contend with if you're trying to short. Could be wrong. It could break through resistance. Both games SEEM to have a loyal customer base, but that doesn't really matter for stocks. It's about continued growth and Amit raises a big question mark... right?

    I don't know, my inner "LeRoy Jenkins" says long. ttp://

    Dec 20, 2012. 09:43 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Price Pressure And Competition Produce A Negative Inflection Point For Skullcandy  [View article]
    I would argue that headphones are not a commodity product because they have differentiating characteristics. Why else would the market allow a $4 pair of Sentry headphones a $300 pair of "Beats"? I would characterize the differentiating factors as being 1) perception of quality and 2) fashion / extension of a lifestyle. $SKUL was able enter the market and succeed because of it's mix in these two areas. The danger moving forward isn't the pressures of commodization (look at newer brands like "Beats" as an example of further diffentiation) but the same dangers that any fashion line faces: no longer being "hip" and struggling to re-brand themselves (i.e. GAP not so long ago, or Guess Jeans).
    Nov 7, 2012. 09:40 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Price Pressure And Competition Produce A Negative Inflection Point For Skullcandy  [View article]
    Thank you for sharing!
    Nov 6, 2012. 10:29 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment