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traverj

traverj
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  • The Treasury Bond Market: The TIPS Mystery [View article]
    Enjoyed your article. All it took for me to stay long the TIP for some time and then run for the hills was the weekly chart with a 40 week price rate of change technical study. Been trading a long time and have rarely seen anything quite like it. Great divergence on new highs and finally a move into negative territory by the price ROC.
    Jul 21, 2013. 09:21 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Interesting stuff - the TIPS curve has inverted, the 1-year yield moving from -2.5% to zero in 4 months, meaning the market is now pricing in 0% inflation over the next year vs. 2.5% just weeks ago. Inflation expectations haven't collapsed like this since 2009. Might this chart be making the rounds with the Fed staff?  [View news story]
    Take a look at the chart of the Ishares Barclays TIPS Bond Fund (symbol TIP) especially the weekly chart. A well defined bull move with duration and trending. Has been above the 40 week moving average since early 2011!
    Jun 6, 2012. 12:39 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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