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elvinkwokca

elvinkwokca
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  • More Pain Is Coming To Equities [View article]
    Total agree with you.. Earnings are good due to the weaken USD. USD basically has weaken against all currencies by 20-30%. imagine the impact they make to all the US companies..It also help US to reduce their trade deficit as a result..
    Sep 24, 2011. 01:49 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Margin Calls Whacking Gold [View article]
    A cheaper gold will be good.. let hope it go even lower.... when gold and equities market move in correlation, the market is heading down even more..just that expectations over more rescues by govt/organizations are pushing up the market..**Delusion**
    Sep 24, 2011. 01:45 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What To Look For In The Market Next Week: U.S. Earnings, Euro Bailouts And Banks [View article]
    Rewarding bad banks/companies/countries are the forte of government/ECB/IMF/Fed.. They should have let Greece default long time ago, they only know how to prolong the pain and i reckon it due to the face issue (like Asian culture), as letting Greece default will make European Union to lose alot of face in the world if they fail to back Greece.

    Market been trading in a range since Aug, market will do another rally due to lot of government talking/intervention, looking to short more at 1200...
    Sep 24, 2011. 01:39 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Equity Valuation Update [View article]
    Equity Analysts/Strategists will always be positive over the market as they never take into the macro factors into considerations.

    Most of their research reports are still buy... they are the worst stock pickers as majority of them never invest due to company restrictions before so they wouldn't feel the pain.
    Sep 24, 2011. 01:34 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Equity Valuation Update [View article]
    If you plan to long, don't ever think of it .. It's just the start of the bear trend. Bear trend normally will take at least a minimum of 16mths. It's not worthwhile to invest to get 8% when there's a higher probability of a drop of >8%.

    The market has been trading in a range since 2000. see this..
    http://bit.ly/oBcg6r

    Stay clear of the market and don't buy because it cheap cos it will be cheaper..
    Sep 24, 2011. 01:33 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Market Turns Red [View article]
    Still waiting for US to turn bear market.. Persistent long fund managers who still so optimistic over the earnings.

    USD is rising and might be hitting conversion of foreign revenues to US earnings which will reduce their earnings/profits.
    Sep 24, 2011. 01:23 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is The Dow In 1930 A Preview Of 2012? The Case For The 2009 Lows [View article]
    Humans will always look at the most recent lows on the most recent history. The previous credit crisis hit even lower than the dot-com bubble.. I doubt no one can explain why it tanked there cos there's no right or wrong in finance...

    There might be a higher probability that it will hit even lower this time.. It's a bigger structural problem for Europe & US.. The twin tower of the world, and if China property prices start to collapse.. it will be a triple effect..

    See the past trends from 2000:
    http://bit.ly/oBcg6r
    Sep 24, 2011. 01:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • UBS's Shady Dealings Are A Lehman Deja Vu [View article]
    According to my ubs friend, UBS has too many systems which are outdated and failed badly in managing the risk. To identify risk trades from entity, it seems that its the middle office who have to pull up the trades instead of the risk team.
    E.g they create another risk system because their previous risk system can be easily amended by traders. What i find disturbing is that why is the old system not able to prevent amendments and a new system which is the same has to be created to prevent any amendment. Its crap

    Blame should be on the management who only thinks of adding new projects when in charge and these new projects basically become a failure after a few year. Too many layers of management fats as all the projects are done by the junior guys and pass down from ton of layers of managements..
    Sep 23, 2011. 08:53 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News [View article]
    Govt interventions just prolong the pain of the equity markets. They have never learn from lessons, they too focus on following the markets that ECB/IMF/Fed are becoming more like traders instead
    Sep 23, 2011. 08:47 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Worst Performing Stocks Over The Last Two Days [View article]
    Run while you can.. Sell Sell Sell
    Sep 23, 2011. 04:18 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is This Another 2008 Or 2009? [View article]
    Look at the chart from year 2000, the bull trend and the bear trend and you will notice similarities

    Death cross has been spotted and it a major trend that market will head low.. it might even be lower than the previous crash as the credit crisis created a even lower than the dotcom bubble..Reckon human always look at the most recent to use as a benchmark.

    Time will tell
    Sep 23, 2011. 04:17 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Welcome To The Collapse Of 2011 [View article]
    Short sellers, have to be patient for the market to collapse due to the super long fund managers ...

    Market is just prolonging the pain.. Nothing has changed since Aug 2011 thanks to those long fund managers.. Have practically no faiths in them as they will be always bullish..
    Sep 23, 2011. 04:14 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It's A Sovereign Crisis, Not A Liquidity Crisis [View article]
    It's a sovereign crisis and it's going to be liquidity crisis for the banks.. it's hard for them to borrow $$ from one another due to their huge exposure to govt bonds.

    Why are they holding so much exposures in the first place..? Getting free $$ using public deposit but it's payback time for them.
    Serve them right....
    Sep 23, 2011. 04:08 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • America Stares Down The Threat Of Another Lost Decade [View article]
    The only way to save the consumers is to write off their debt, but that impossible for sure.

    Rule 1: Never trust the government and bankers who continue to tell you to invest and borrow to increase your debt level
    Rule 2: Never forget rule 1
    Sep 22, 2011. 11:30 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Market Panic, In A Nutshell [View article]
    Sell sell sell !!!

    Buy only if you are willing to hold for 10 years but only REITs as they paid some dividends..

    It's not worthwhile to go for 5% gain when u will be losing more than that..only those dumb-ass long fund managers will tell u to invest..
    Sep 22, 2011. 11:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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