Doug Short is first-wave boomer with a lifelong interest in markets and the economy. His professional career had been a satisfying split between academia (English Professor at North Carolina State University) and Information technology (IBM and GSK).
Doug retired in 2006 to devote himself full-time to his dshort.com financial website. The domain has now been acquired by Advisor Perspectives, and Doug has been appointed the Vice President of Research.
Doug is especially interested in the economy, long-term market trends and behavioral finance.
Chris Rowe is an investor and entrepreneur who has been managing investor portfolios since 1996.
During this time, Chris has also been involved with some of the most dynamic companies to emerge from the financial services sector. Chris’s most recent company was Tycoon Publishing, which he co-founded in 2003. Chris’s tenure culminated in Tycoon’s sale to Agora Publishing in 2012, resulting in the creation of the Institute For Institutional Investors. After the Agora acquisition, Chris founded Rowe Wealth Management, a money management firm.
Having a total of 20 years of experience within the financial services industry, Chris held various senior positions at money management and investment banking firms where he served high-net worth and institutional investors. Since 1996, he has been analyzing and managing investment portfolios of publicly traded equities, debt securities, derivatives, options, commodities and private securities.
He was a consultant for large hedge funds, helping them identify profitable investment opportunities. He was as an active underwriter of both initial public offerings and secondary/follow-on offerings, some of which acted as the investment banker placing angel investors’ money into the private placement. Before launching Tycoon Publishing, Chris was an active investor and wealth manager, working with cutting-edge companies like IPO Syndicate and Lexington Capital Partners.
In 2004, Rowe co-founded a financial publishing firm, Tycoon Publishing LLC, which published sophisticated and unbiased research for individual as well as professional investors, an online school with over a dozen online video and webinar courses taught by professional money managers, a hedge fund manager and exchange floor options market makers and an options specialist algorithmic automated trading system creators and more.
At Tycoon Publishing, Chris managed two trading services, was the author of a free newsletter, created two online technical analysis courses (each of which was 20 hours of content with quizzes, exercises, exams etc.) and authored and published a technical analysis book and helped an options floor specialist create a course on options trading.
He also created several data products and algorithmic automated trading alert services. The financial publishing firm was sold in 2011 to the worlds largest financial publishing firm, Agora Inc. The result of the acquisition was the founding of the Institute for Individual Investors, an investor education firm. IFII’s assets were later merged into another “Agora Affiliate”, The Oxford Club, where Chris serves as the chief technical strategist.
IMPORTANT NOTE: Neither Tycoon Publishing, The Institute for Individual Investors, The Oxford Club, Agora Inc. or any of its affiliates have any affiliation whatsoever with “Rowe Wealth Management LLC”, these firms are publishers, are not registered investment advisors and do not manage money or give personalized investment advice in any capacity. The two are completely independent of one another. Thus, Rowe Wealth Management Employees will not be able to answer any questions relating to those publishing firms and the publishing firms will not be able to answer any questions regarding Rowe Wealth Management or money management in general.
An internationally respected authority on options, and co-founder of Tycoon Publishing, Chris Rowe has been spinning off profitable trades for his Trend Rider members since launching the service in 2005.
While most professionals consider an options trader who is right on 3 of 10 trades to be very good, Chris had been right on 9 out of every 10. That’s why The Trend Rider filled up so quickly that they had to close the service to new members.
But investors can still enjoy access to Chris through his weekly Tycoon Report articles, where he focuses on making even the most complex trading strategies easy for even the greenest investor to understand and profit from.
Visit his site: Tycoon Publishing (http://tycoonresearch.com/)
Georg Vrba is a professional engineer who has been a consulting engineer for many years. In his opinion, mathematical models provide better guidance to market direction than financial "experts." He has developed financial models for the stock market, the bond market, yield curve, gold, silver and recession prediction, most of which are updated weekly at http://imarketsignals.com/.
After more than 4 decades in the financial markets, Robert P. Balan has retired. Education in mining engineering, computer science, finance, and training in economics led to a commodity analysis career during the commodity boom of the early 1970s. Robert made a switch to global macro focus in the early 1980 when the commodity bull market waned, with specialization in foreign exchange. Robert wrote a very high profile daily FX analysis while Geneva-based in the mid-1980s (the first FX commentary with a real global readership, "most accessed" in the Reuters and Telerate networks from 1988 to 1994). He worked for Swiss Bank Corp and Union Bank of Switzerland (precursors of today’s new UBS) as head of technical research and as proprietary trader in various major finance centers (London, New York, and subsequently head of proprietary trading in Toronto, respectively) from late 1980s to mid-1990s. A stint at Bank of America as head of global technical research (in London and New York) followed in late 1990s to early 2000s. Robert did technical analysis for Saxo Bank (Denmark) in the mid-200s based in New York. He returned to Switzerland in 2004 as head of technical research and strategy, and FX and commodity market analyst for Swiss Life Asset Management in Zurich. He joined Diapason Commodities Management in 2008 as senior market strategist, and subsequently as Chief Market Strategist, utilizing fundamental macroeconomic drivers, and structural/technical data in modeling asset price and sector movements. Robert wrote a book on the Elliott Wave Principle in 1988, which was hailed by the London Society of Technical Analysts as “the best book ever written on the subject”. Robert is a member of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), USA.
Business owner for over 35 years now working less and investing more. Our company has grown from $1M in sales to $25M in that time. I have recently sold my shares as part of an exit strategy. My philosophy for success in life and business is based on creativity. As Albert Einstein once said, "Insanity: doing the same thing every day and expecting a different result."
Physician, sailor, writer - retired at 54. Clinical Surgeon and former board member and president of a large multi specialty group. Discovered an aptitude for the financial aspects of managing a successful business. Seeks to identify macro trends impacting business sectors or economies before they are generally acknowledged. Investment style focused on good businesses out of favor with the market. Applying option strategies to maximize returns and minimize risk.
I run two services, Free CoT Data and Simple Stock Model. Free CoT Data reveals how different types of traders are positioned in the futures markets. Simple Stock Model aggregates financial and economic data so that investors can easily form a comprehensive data-based outlook on the S&P.
HORAN Capital Advisors (http://www.horancapitaladvisors.com) is an SEC registered investment advisor that manages investment portfolios for individuals and institutions. Our firm utilizes a disciplined investing approach that should create wealth for our clients over time. Our investment bias is to invest in companies that generate a steady return over time, i.e., singles and doubles. This singles and doubles approach tends to lead to investments in higher quality dividend growth/cash flow growth companies. On the other hand, there are times when a company's stock price seems to be trading below its fair valuation. Short term gains are possible in these situations. I have been managing investment portfolios for individuals and institutions for over fifteen years and believe investing is like running a marathon and not a sprint. Taking the road less traveled, more often than not, leads to higher returns. Visit: The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors at (http://disciplinedinvesting.blogspot.com/)
Hale Stewart spent 5 years as a bond broker in the late 1990s before returning to law school in the early 2000s. He is currently a tax lawyer in Houston, Texas. He has an LLM from the Thomas Jefferson School of Law in domestic and international taxation where he graduated Magna Cum Laude and is also a Chartered Asset Manager, Chartered Wealth Manager and Chartered Trust and Estate Planner from the American Academy of Financial Management. He is the author of the book US Captive Insurance Law. You can read him daily at the XE.com currency blog (http://community.xe.com/blog/xe-market-analysis).
Over 30 years of investing in individual stocks. Extensive business experience with small to mid-size companies, including as CEO. Many hundreds of blog posts on financial and economic matters since 2008. Focus on value with catalysts for upside price action. Background as a physician and pharmaceutical inventor and entrepreneur, however focus now is global and involves almost all economic categories.
CTO, FLHP Trading Systems, LLC
Aerospace and Computational Engineer with 28 years experience in Engineering and Scientific Modeling and Programming including large scale vector and parallel processing. Work includes Finite Element Modeling in Structural Analysis, Magnetic Modeling, and Fluid Dynamics codes primarily for the Aerospace community. 30+ years of stock market and mutual fund investing, 8+ years of ETF and options trading.
Owen Williams, CFA, DBA, is an equity fund manager in Geneva, Switzerland and a visiting professor at the Skema Business School, Paris, France. Dr. Williams has worked 16 years in the industry as both a bond/economics strategist with a top, independent research boutique and as a long-only macro equity fund manager. He has a Masters degree in international business from the Moore School of Business (Univ. of South Carolina) and a doctorate in finance from the Grenoble Ecole de Management.
Williams Market Analytics, LLC is a quantitative research boutique offering insightful, actionable analysis of financial markets. The firms also runs a systematic allocation strategy using Dr. Williams' quantitative models. The strategy portfolio can be accessed by both individual investors and RIAs in the U.S. and Europe. The strategy description and 5-year performance record can be found at:
INDEPENDENT Financial Advisor / Professional Investor- with over 30 years of navigating the Stock market's "fear and greed" cycles that challenge the average investor. Investment strategies that combine Theory, Practice and Experience to produce Portfolios focused on achieving positive returns over a period of time. Providing advice in helping to avoid the pitfalls and traps that wreak havoc on your portfolio with a focus on Income and Capital Preservation.
I manage the capital of only a handful of families and I see it as my number one job to protect their financial security. They don’t pay me to sell them investment products, beat an index, abandon true investing for mindless diversification or follow the Wall Street lemmings down the primrose path. I manage their money exactly as I manage my own so I don’t take any risk at all unless I strongly believe it is worth taking.
Blogging here on SA is part of my research. I write to find out what I think.
I invite you to join the family of satisfied clients send an e-mail :email@example.com
Ever feel like trading is like rolling dice? In a way, it is, because every mathematical model of the market includes a stochastic aspect. But I believe we can load the dice in our favor through the use of statistics. Understanding both the stock market and each individual stock as a sort of random process with its own characteristics allows us to more accurately predict what it will do in the future. Coupling statistics with fundamental analysis, I have the goal of revealing to you the hidden patterns within stocks so that you may do what you wish with that information.
Come watch our Introduction video on homepage:
Career experiences of founders: buyside portfolio manager, investment banking, institutional & high net worth asset management, website construction & professional trading. We have no affiliation with any financial institution.
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Wall Street Breakfast, Seeking Alpha's flagship daily business news summary, is a one-page summary that gives you a rapid overview of the day's key financial news. It's designed for easy readability on the site or by email (including on mobile devices), and is published before 7:00 AM ET every market day.
Wall Street Breakfast readership of over 900,000 includes many from the investment-banking and fund-management industries.
Sign up here to receive the Wall Street Breakfast in your inbox every business day: http://seekingalpha.com/account/email_preferences
Harry Long is the inventor of Hedged Contango Capture and Hedged Convexity Capture and is the Managing Partner of ZOMMA, the world's most innovative strategy index creator.
Mr. Long is a globally recognized expert on the research and development of quantitative investment strategies. The ZOMMA IP portfolio of strategy indices is sought after by asset management firms, investment banks, hedge funds, principal trading organizations, index providers, ETP sponsors, and private equity firms to help them develop and deploy active manager-crushing quantitative investment strategies.
ZOMMA helps investors create long term value by replacing reckless emotional decision making with cutting-edge technology based upon objective evidence.
Mr. Long is a graduate of Rice University with a B.A. in Economics.
Note: Due to the sheer number of requests for bespoke quant strategies, research projects, and quant consulting services, we have instituted the following pricing for the non-exclusive licensing of our algorithms to institutions:
I. Exclusive commercial licenses for unique bespoke algorithms run six figures and up.
II. Non-exclusive AUM licensing fees for our strategy indices run 10 basis points and up for commercial licenses.
Please realize that we often get more than 3,000 e-mails per week. This means that we read everything that comes in, but we cannot respond to any email or message that does not include the sender's full name, phone number, request, and budget. Thank you for your understanding.
This Dubai-like pricing is necessary, because we can't freely give answers to tough problems which we have dedicated massive R&D capital to solving. World-class statistical talent is hugely expensive, valuable, and rare. Our clients recognize that outsourcing quant work to our firm and paying our fees represent a huge cost savings over hiring full time employees, and usually results in a far more profitable, turn-key solution.
I've been a financial advisor for the past 7 years. Currently hold my CFP and a struggling CFA candidate. I created The 5 Funds initially to provide friends with good investment advice for free. The 5 Funds is a portfolio of 5 low cost ETFs that are updated quarterly. I have 3 portfolios based on risk tolerance: The Conservative 5, The Moderate 5, and The Aggressive 5.
View our website at: www.RotationInvest.com
RotationInvest.com provides quantitative tools to facilitate research and anaylisis of a wide variety of exchange trade funds (ETFs), stocks, and mutual funds.
Custom build your own rotation, asset allocation, moving average portfolio, market timing, volatility targeting, rebalanced portfolios, and risk on risk off strategies using our backtesting tools. Also strategies that trade your portfolio equity using the same powerful tools that rotate, allocation, and rebalance your regular stocks/ETFs.
Our tools are highly customizable, and utilize modern graphics with fully interactive daily charts of performance, drawdown, and trade transitions. Our tools allow users to test a wide variety of ideas on almost any stock, ETF or mutual fund ticker.
I've developed personal investing strategies for individual stocks and Asset Allocation:
1) Stocks - Fundamental value investor using Free Cash Flow as defined by Buffett's 1987 shareholder letter. Invest in predictable, undervalued stocks with good management. Buy with a Margin of Safety, Sell at Intrinsic Value. Hold cash when nothing is available at my price. Use the Kelly Formula to determine optimum fraction to invest in each stock which maximizes the amount of money you win over a lifetime of investing.
2) Asset Allocation (for 401-k, small IRA accounts, and available cash) - Use a 'Value-Weighted' asset allocation strategy with inputs of projected returns/historic volatility. Apply the Kelly Formula to determine optimal asset allocation. Rebalance twice a year in April and October.
Store my portfolio - and my brain - on the web at www.healthywealthywiseproject.com
25 years experience in Quantitative investment research, portfolio management, and stock market data analytics. 18 years experience in index trading / ETF strategist. Risk manager.
Evidence based, mean revision / time series / seasonal studies applied towards general market trends with a focus on long term format.
Full-time Investor, and frequent speculator.
Focus on US Stocks and Real Estate.
Degree in Economics and Finance.
Over 35 years of economic analysis and active investing experience. Retired Financial Services CEO (company had $2 Billion in financial assets).
Macroeconomic conditions and cycle progression are the foundation of my investment strategy. I evaluate the macro trend, and then select investments that will benefit from that trend, shifting the mix as the cycle progresses. Earnings growth is the sustainable fuel for investment gains. So, I look to position my portfolio accordingly.
I stay fully invested during the rising tide of a growing economy. I use leverage until the expansion shows signs of constraints and exhaustion. Rising input costs (wages, materials, energy, interest rates) eventually squeeze corporate profits, making growth less feasible. When I see evidence of a coming recession combined with weakness in the market, I exit my equity positions, reduce my real estate holdings, and shift to the safety of cash and treasury bonds. After the market slides deeply, and after the panic reaches headline proportions, I begin to reinvest as I anticipate or see evidence of the market bottom. I successfully avoided the 2001-2002 and the 2008 bear markets, while being fully invested for the bull markets around those declines.
In prior cycles I purchased individual stocks. However, during this bull market I am making heavy use of ETFs (including Sector ETFs). This is much less work, but results in more average returns. I do purchase some individual company stocks when I think the company will perform better than the average in its industry sector. I do not sell short, and rarely use options.
My portfolio is about half market tracking. I also use sector rotation, selected specific companies, modest margin debt, and 3x leveraged ETFs, within the rising cycle trend to magnify and outperform the average trend. I also adjust the size of my market exposure based on market conditions, and historic patterns.
My gross investment asset allocation target is roughly 70% stock, and 30% real estate (rentals). Current Stock Portfolio Mix (Dec 2016): 46% Broad Market Tracking (VTI, SPY, RSP, QQQ, VB...),16% Homebuilders and related, 14% Consumer Discretionary (VCR), 9% Industrials (XLI), 05% Berkshire Hathaway, 10% all other. Margin Debt is about 2% of portfolio value. Total Market Leverage is 1.08x (down from 1.34x in 2014). No bonds, and cash is less than 2% of gross assets. Real Estate is Residential Rentals, mostly near the beach (average LTV is about 40%).
Over the past 35+ years of active investing in stocks and real estate, my investment returns have been significantly above the average return of the S&P 500 (largely due to market timing and leverage). Since October 2007, my Stock portfolio average total return has been about 15% per year, compounded. My Real Estate portfolio average total return has been about 8% per year for the same period. The S&P 500 average total return has been about 7% per year during the same period.
Personal investor who has been investing in stocks for over 10 years. Through turning every stone, every rock, and sifting through the sand I seek opportunities to buy growth at a reasonable price (GARP). People in the past have messaged me with questions about a news article or a good investment idea for a year. I can make bets with strong conviction when current stock price does not equal intrinsic value, but I cannot tell you when they will meet. Through my experience stock price should move in tandem with earnings over the long-run. My goal is to find the greatest margin of safety in quality growth stocks that will achieve above-market returns without taking excess risk (alpha). My investment process: -Turn every stone, every rock, and sift through the sand. -Invest in good businesses with solid management track records. -Never overpay for a stock. Enter when current price trades at a 30% discount to intrinsic value. -Be patient. -Review holdings and sell only if fundamental business has changed since initial purchase.
Retired 42yr old semiconductor industry exec. Currently living in my RV traveling the US. 'Working' part time managing my retirement portfolio and making sure it lasts forever!
Writing a blog about my investments and managing a retirement portfolio.
Individual Investor with over 20 years experience.
Interested primarily in ETF's, contrarian views, dividends, quant, trend, volatility, asset allocation and in select economics data. The articles I write for SA are to help enlighten individual investors. Freedom to write about what's interesting in the world of ETFs and stocks is my passion.
Darwin Investment Strategies: An elegant reconceptualization of asset allocation using portfolio mathematics, insensitive to noise and regularly reconfigured to account for observed changes in volatility and correlations across the world's major markets and asset classes. No story, no forecasts, no biases; just maximum returns per unit of risk.